Warde Speaks on UM-ND Renewal
Per Brendan Quinn's Twitter timeline, Warde Manuel was on The Michigan Insider this morning talking about the ND series renewal. I'm sure the audio will be available in Podcast form soon, but for now some highlights:
- Negotiations were underway shortly before he arrived, started by Harbaugh and Kelly
- Says he's "hopeful" they can change the imbalance of the MSU and OSU games
- Says ND should be "consistently on the schedule. Maybe not every year..."
The last point makes me the most hopeful after the news broke yesterday (officially).
I'm really excited about our future series against Texas, Oklahoma, UCLA, and others and would really hate to see any/all of them canceled for the sake of playing ND. I'm glad to see ND back on the schedule, but we need some variety when it comes to playing strong non-conference opponents. I know if we schedule ND in any given year that's likely to be the only interesting non-conference game we play that year with the move to 9 Big Ten games.
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There really is no reason why the switch couldn't take effect for the 2017 season. It would only effect three teams, UM, MSU, and IU, and it would not effect the balance of home/away games.
Wandered over to RCMB to get their take on the scheduling imbalance.
They are still angry over the scheduling imbalance in the 50's, so.........
Wandered over to RCMB to get my take on their imbalance.
Fixed it.
And yet they accuse Michigan fans of "living in the past" if you mention anything that happened more than eight years ago...
to the 50's.
I just don't think playing Notre Dame regularly is in our best interest, given that Harbaugh likes to recruit nationally.
Playing Notre Dame is redundant with us playing a Big Ten schedule. It does not cover any new ground for us.
We're better off playing teams like UCLA, TX, and FL that are national games in recruiting hot spots.
Maybe put ND on the schedule for a home and home once a decade. But that's about it.
ND isn't a "national" game in the sense that we travel far for it, but it's a "national" game in the sense that it has national interest. Most of our recruits aren't going to attend any of our road games anyway, so the physical location where we play a road game is irrelevant.
But the ND game is guaranteed to be on national TV and be one of the most-covered games of the week, even in one of ND's down years, which is valuable. And ND legitimately does have fans everywhere due to their Catholic ties.
Most of our recruits aren't going to attend any of our road games anyway
??
One of our recruits from LA is not going to watch us come out there and play UCLA?
IMO you really only want one traditionally strong power 5 conference opponent per year. If you win the B1G and go undefeated you'll likely get into the playoff. If you lose a game, you're likely out unless you lose to a bottom half team and beat the quality teams on your schedule and the rest of the country only has a minimum of 2-3 undefeated teams. I don't think you need multiple quality out of conference opponents. Having a Okla & ND in the same year in addition to the B1G schedule is just adding another potential loss. I know it's great for the fans, but in terms of potential to be in the playoff there's more to lose than gain. Harbaugh and the players probably don't see it that way and maybe there's more to consider like coverage, TV time, recruiting, etc, but I think there's more to lose than gain with multiple quality out of conference opponents.
There have been two playoffs so far, and in both of them, three out of the four teams that made it had one loss (including both national champions). It's essential that we have a strong nonconference schedule, because if we finish the regular season with one loss we'll be fighting other one-loss teams on SOS to get in.
See, this is why I don't like the 4-team playoff. You still get schools scheming to do just enough to sqeak in.
Either no playoff at all, or a 6-8 team playoff, with P5 conference champions getting automatic berths, so they have no disincentives for scheduling more tough OOC opponents.
Why do we have to mend relations with them and they don't have to do anything for us? As it currently sits, we got bent over and taken to Brown Town.
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It's not like we'll forget we ended there last time. If a long-term contract is eventually signed, I would bet that would be factored into our negotiations.
I'd love to hear what ND "compromised" to get this deal done. So far, M compromised:
- ~$2M to Ark, which some say is chump change, but apparently the whole reason Warde went with this sched. was so M could have 6 home games every year, b/c apparently only 5 home games puts M in the red in any given year. Christ on the cross, they get $35M from B10 network (soon to be 45?) and they are still living on a margin of ONE home football game every year?
- OSU/MSU/ND all on the road or at home. I'm actually not too upset about this b/c it's 6 of one, half dozen of the other. Sure it's nice to try and smooth out the schedule, but as bad as the even years are, the odd years are that much to the good. I understand season ticket holders not liking it, but the same theory applies and you still get PSU and NE (and Wisc?) at home. Not awful. PLus, that was more of a B10/Dave Brandon screw over than an ND one.
- Playing in A2 in Oct- middle of the B10 schedule. doesn't M have like 3 open dates in Sept in '19? ND couldn't make ANY of those work?
- ending in South BEnd and starting there - NBD to me since this is a 2 game series short term - tho would like to start in A2 post 2019 to right the sequence.
I mean, did ND amend their ACC schedule? The USC series? the MSU/Pur/Navy/BC series?
with regard to future schedules. I fully expect that we will continue to play all 3 rivals on the road in the same year and would not be surprised at all to lose some or all of the home and home series with Texas, Oklahoma and UCLA.
We also won't be seeing another night game until ND in 2019. When it comes to football scheduling, Manuel is DB part II, Electric Boogaloo.
based on...what? the fact that you don't like the ONLY SCHEDULE THING HE'S DONE SINCE HE'S BEEN HERE?
sheesh.
I don't have any confidence in him, either. I absolutely HATE the way he got ND back - by giving everything and taking nothing. Seriously, tell me what ND gave up to get back on the schedule? Are they kicking in some of the $2M cancellation fee? Did they move one of their previously scheduled games? Did they give up a home game and cancel a series? What, exactly, did they sacrifice?
That, in combination with some of the things he's already said, lead me to have no confidence in him. He prefers noon games, so doesn't schedule night games because the logistics are 'hard' to work out. Others can make us play on the road because they want a night game against Michigan. But Michigan? It's apparently too hard to figure out the logistics of a night game. He "hopes" to resolve the OSU/MSU fiasco he inherited, but is on record saying that it will be extremly difficult to do so. He can't seem to balance a two year budget that includes the same number of home games over a two year period, despite a ~$10M increase in TV money in that time frame.
He appeared, at his introductory presser, to be about himself and who he knows. And he hasn't done anything to dispell that, yet. I want him to succeed, but he's off to a really bad start. The kind of bad start that is exceedingly difficult to overcome.
I hope he proves me wrong.
Do you think, perhaps, NBC agreed to fork over the $2 million?
& haven't asked any friends who are yet but:
how often does the AD send out surveys & stuff to gauge interest in different sports, opponents, projects, etc?
Do they do this often, just rely on concerned emails, big donor-whims ?
I'd think a 10 question survey with a stongly agre/diagree scale once a year might be helpful in anticipating fan/donor opinion on certain AD directions.
Now that Dave Brandon (who was born knowing what was best for everyone) is gone.
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That's been my question all along, what is the reasoning for sacrificing the Arkansas series for the ND series? Both could easily coexist, and with whom will Manuel replace Arkansas, Akron? Because it won't be another P5 team, that would be just plain stupid. Great, Michigan pays off Arkansas to the tune of $2M and then pays the likes of Akron another cool million to be Michigan's sacrificial lamb.
You know what is really crazy. I am not happy about playing Ohio State, Michigan State, and Notre Dame on the road in the same year, but let's not act like it's an impossible feat.
If Alabama can win a national championship by winning vs Wisconsin, @ Georgia, @ A&M, vs LSU, @Mississippi State, and @ Auburn, I like our chances @MSU, @OSU, @ND, vs Nebraska, vs Wisconsin, vs Penn State.
We should have an incredibly deep squad by then who will be battle tested and ready to perform. I think sometimes we forget that we used to win at MSU, at OSU, and at Notre Dame all the time. Brady Hoke's road woes and Rich Rod's road AND home woes have made us believe it is impossible to win consistently on the road -- which is not the case.
I was waiting for the other shoe to drop with regard to playing OSU, MSU, ND all on the road, and all we got from Warde was, 'Wish it could've been different'???? Eff Notre Dame! They're not worth it. I'd rather have that date be another P5 school at home in the years we play M/OSU on the road. We didn't even get dinner and foreplay out of this.
Atleast Warde understands the issues with the schedule and is attempting to fix future seasons. I'm curious what is going to happen in 2020/21; If i'm Va Tech or Washington i'm getting nervous about getting a cancellation phone call.
I disagree that we can't have two challenging teams OOC with the 9 B1G games. We added an in conference game sure, but it's a cupcake considering the added teams are MD and Rutgers and we play them every year. So it's really the same as playing 2 challenging OOC and 2 cupcake OOC. Our schedule is no tougher than it was 10 years ago. In fact it's probably weaker, there are only 2 good teams in our division besides us until PSU shows they can recover.
I've seen a lot of comments about how UM appears desperate and how we made the concessions to make this work.
Has Swarbrick weighed in on the return of he rivalry? I've seen quotes from Harbaugh and obviously Warde has spoken. To me, if Swarbrick hasn't been out here all giddy about the series coming back like folks from UM have, that just adds to the poor optics for our side.
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http://www.und.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/070716aac.html
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I don't know. It's just annoying as hell that Notre Dame gets the best end of this deal despite their calculated dick move timing of ending the series in the first place. The fact that Michigan had to do a ton of sacrificing and I haven't heard of any sacrificing that Notre Dame has had to do to get this series back makes it seem obvious that Michigan wanted this game back much more than the Irish.
What's the hurry, though? Why not start the series back up in 2020 or some time shortly after? We've had breaks with ND before and the world still went on.
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When Maryland and Rutgers joined the Big Ten and the conference established the two divisions, it became obvious that the B1G wanted two of Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and Penn State to play each sease either at Maryland or at Rutgers.
Once that was established, the conference then had to decide how to rank the remaining teams in the Eastern Division. Based on what happened with the schedule, it looks like they kept the same rankings that were in place when Nebraska joined and the B1G had the Leaders and Legends Divisions. Ohio State was #1, Penn State, #2, Michigan State was third and Indiana was ranked fourth. The conference evidentally thought it wise to put #1 and #3 on one home/road schedule rotation and #2 and #4 on another. That's how Ohio State and Michigan State both ended up as either home or road games.
So if you swap the MSU game and put it opposite OSU, then the conference probably also needs to move the home/road roation Michigan has with Penn State (rather than Indiana). The new home/road rotations for the Eastern Division would then be:
Rotation 1: Ohio State, Penn State, Rutgers, One B1G West Team
Rotation 2: Michigan State, Indiana, Maryland, Two B1G West Teams
Would people be happy with this? Keep in mind that the Big Ten has also planned to have teams from the East and West play one another based on their relative strengths over a four-year cycle. That's why Wisconsin is on Michigan's schedule from 2016 through 2019 and is currently lined up on the same scheduling cycle with Penn State, Indiana and Maryland.
Fast forward to 2020 and let's assume we have the swap I mentioned above is in place and Nebraska is on the schedule from 2020 through 2023. Then this is what the rotations would look like:
Rotation 1: Ohio State, Penn State, Rutgers, One B1G West Team
Rotation 2: Michigan State, Indiana, Maryland, Nebraska, One B1G West Team
People need to keep in mind that it's not as simple as moving Michigan State. A second Big Ten East team (probably Penn State) has to be swapped as well. You also have to consider what Big Ten West team is going to be on the 2020 through 2023 schedules each season. It would probably be Nebraska with perhaps Iowa being the second choice.
Manuel also said that having seven home games each season. Assuming the Big Ten keeps the same rotation of five and four home conference games intact through the next decade, the only non-conference team on the correct home/road rotation that allows seven home games per year is Washington. With that in mind, I expect Michigan to drop Virginia Tech and replace them with a couple of pay for play games.
The UCLA, Texas and Oklahoma home-and-home series locations will also have to be swapped to ensure that Michigan has seven home games per season. Of course, who knows? By the time those games are played (starting in 2022 with UCLA), the Big Ten may have expanded or announced a planned expansion and the schedule will be scrambled all over again.
You made a really important point that I've never seen mentioned, but definitely noticed at the time. When MD and Rutgers joined, the main focus was evenly spreading out the visits to NY/NJ and DC Metro. Second was preserving OSU/UM at the end of the season, and then after that it seems like it w as just filled in to even it out with no real priorities. Obviously, UM and MSU both dropped the ball with this, because we both got screwed with our home/away schedule regarding years we visit each other and Columbus. I think it's a combo of not really thinking about it enough and also Brandon being an asshole.
If Manuel and Hollis want to make it work, I'm sure they could convince Indiana to do the swap. If we have to play a neutral game in Indianapolis or Detroit for one year, so be it. It could be a lot of fun. I know it seats less, but imagine a Red River Shootout at Ford Field and the festivities in downtown Detroit. It would be well worth it to get the rotation corrected.
To think the conference should just fix it because it's obviously wrong is very close minded. What if Nebraska doesn't like it's rotation with Wisconsin and Iowa? Maybe NW is pissed it had to travel to Illinois two time in a row at some point. If you think Delaney and the other ADs will happily agree to change Michigan's schedule because we think it's too difficult, you are out of your mind. They will all take whatever advantages they can get. It would have to be an agreement between UM/MSU/IU that is completely agreed upon presented to Delaney. I'm sure a neutral site UM/MSU game would easily convince him to agree at that point. Hi FOX $$$$
Won't make a difference. Michigan will go 3-0 on the road in 2018 vs ND, MSU and OSU.
/prays a little
I'd like to see ND included with other P5 conference representatives in some sort of rotation: 1 P5 opponent home, 1 P5 opponent away each season, rotated on 6 year cycles (e.g. Y1 home, Y4 away).
So every thiird year we get: a) a Big 12 team & an ACC team; b) ND & a PAC12 team; c) an SEC team & an All-America, another Indepedent, or another PAC12 team.
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