OT: USMNT ranked #10 in the world

Submitted by BursleysFinest on August 12th, 2021 at 3:48 PM

I know there's some soccer fans that read this blog who may care; Coming off CONCACAF Nations League and Gold Cup wins, FIFA has the USA as as the #10 best soccer team in the world.

FIFA's rankings are purely objective, based on who you played, who you beat, etc, but they can be a little wonky (I don't think anyone believes we're a better team than the Netherlands, Colombia or Germany right now), but still a good indicator that the team is on the right track and starting to turn talent into results.

FIFA rankings: https://www.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/men?dateId=id13372

ESPN article: https://www.espn.com/soccer/united-states-usa/story/4452127/usmntmexico-in-fifa-world-ranking-top-10-after-gold-cup-success

 

BursleysFinest

August 12th, 2021 at 8:40 PM ^

I hope you're right.   Right now I see a 1st Tier of your elites (France, Spain, Brazil, England, Belgium, etc), a 2nd tier of Good teams (Uruguay, Croatia, Colombia, Switzerland, etc.) where it's not a surprise if they make a run in a tournament, and then the US is in a 3rd tier, and need to push to establish that as their baseline.   Pulisic is the heart of the team now and he may be getting pushed out of playing time at Chelsea, so we still have someways to go IMHO.

BTB grad

August 13th, 2021 at 1:40 AM ^

Spain actually looked pretty decent in the Euros, only losing on pens to the champions. I think they were just missing a true #9 to bury all those great chances they were setting up. They just need to have striker come on or have Morata/Moreno stay in good form (both kept trying to do their best Timo Werner impersonation)

FauxMo

August 12th, 2021 at 3:59 PM ^

While our team may not be better than Colombia, I think it's unlikely an American player would be assassinated by a narco for scoring on his own goal. So we've got that going for us... 

BTB grad

August 12th, 2021 at 3:59 PM ^

FIFA rankings are absolutely pointless. We were also a top 10 team before the 2006 World Cup... 

This ranking also has us above Denmark, Netherlands, Uruguay, Germany, & Colombia who I would definitely not pick the US to beat coming off their Euro and Copa America performances and taking a look at the talent on those rosters.

We're definitely getting better and stronger but we're not one of the 10 best teams in the world lol

funkywolve

August 12th, 2021 at 4:53 PM ^

This.   When it comes to drawing groups for the world cup, don't they divide teams by FIFA rankings?   You end up with groups of death because you have a country that is traditional really good in a down period and their ranking reflects it.  You dont get a group of death because the 1, 4 and 9th ranked teams were all drawn into the same group.

truferblue22

August 12th, 2021 at 11:29 PM ^

Also, the higher your national team is ranked, the easier it is to get UK and EU work permits. As a top-10 team, a player only has to appear in 30% of our national team's games to qualify for a work permit, which is huge. The lower the ranking the higher percentage of games you have to appear in. This is anything but pointless. 

ShadowStorm33

August 12th, 2021 at 5:55 PM ^

FIFA rankings are absolutely pointless. We were also a top 10 team before the 2006 World Cup... 

Not just top 10, but top 5! We peaked at #4 earlier that year, and were #5 when the World Cup seeding was done. And how'd we do in 2006? We came in dead last in our group, with a whopping 1 point.

BursleysFinest

August 12th, 2021 at 4:22 PM ^

National Championship...I know I'm in the minority, but I believe football can turn this around and get to that level in a 2-3 years with some luck.  World Cup is an uphill battle, in a low scoring sport (i.e. prone to freak occurrences) and would be hard to bet on, even if we were undoubtedly a Top 5 team.

BTB grad

August 12th, 2021 at 4:27 PM ^

Exactly. England & Spain with all the talent they've had have only ever won 1 world cup. Imagining the US getting to that level sooner than Michigan winning a national title seems very unlikely. It's much more likely a 1997 type season happens where everything falls in place and breaks our way perfectly. There's also just the numbers game of only 1 WC every 4 years vs. CFP every year.

Perkis-Size Me

August 12th, 2021 at 4:54 PM ^

UM beating OSU (or winning a national championship) for sure happens first. For one thing, Michigan gets a chance every year vs. having to wait four years, and for another, even countries with truly great teams have to wait years, often decades, before they can hoist a World Cup trophy. England hasn't won in I think sixty years. I think up until 2010, Spain had never won. USMNT, right now, can't hold a candle to those guys. Has the Netherlands ever won? I don't think they have, either? 

Secondly, all Michigan needs to do, at least to make it to the playoffs, is to stop getting in its own way. It has all the resources and financial support it needs to compete with an OSU or Alabama right now, but the right coach needs to be in place. That is easier to overcome than the challenges facing USMNT. 

For the USMNT, I may not follow soccer very well, especially compared to some on this board, but I imagine it'll be years, maybe even decades or several generations, before it is truly in a position where it can seriously challenge for a World Cup title. Where it can go against Brazil, Germany, Spain, France, etc. and reasonably expect that it can win that game. The talent level, while getting better, isn't there right now. I also don't think the emphasis on the sport, as a nation, is there. Most kids (specifically, boys) right now would rather play football, baseball or basketball. You go abroad, and kids anywhere and everywhere only want to play one sport from the moment they come out of the womb.

I do think interest is growing, but not really at a monumental pace. The US divides too much of its interest over multiple sports, whereas your soccer world superpowers are largely that way because the populace only cares about and wants to play that one sport.

 

BursleysFinest

August 12th, 2021 at 8:23 PM ^

Generally agree, but I don't think US having multiple sports  is a detriment. Just from a numbers perspective, the US has ~328M people, while Spain (~47), Italy (~60) and France (~67) have at least 6 times less people.   Even if the interest is split, there's still enough of a population base to be able to field a good team.  Not to mention some of the body types  (NBA centers, NFL lineman) for those other sports aren't conducive to soccer anyway.

You are right in that soccer is treated more like a "participation" sport here, and it needs to be more skill development and training at the youth levels and not just "throw the ball out there and let them run around for 90 minutes".

bsand2053

August 12th, 2021 at 4:52 PM ^

Seems odd that Italy is ranked below three European countries (including England!) after having won the Euro.  Is the consensus that Italy got a bit lucky?  All I heard is that England got an easy draw but I know precious little about soccer so ??‍♂️

NittanyFan

August 12th, 2021 at 5:02 PM ^

The FIFA ranking algorithm is a bit like the World Golf Rankings ---- it has its quirks and because both those algorithms have older results that will "roll out" as new results "roll in", there will be some weird things that show up from time to time.

I vaguely recall Tiger Woods once winning a major, but dropping to #2 in the Rankings because that win simply replaced his win in that major 2 years prior in the algorithm, whereas whoever had been ranked #2 (and moved to #1) replaced his 45th place finish in that major 2 years prior with a new 10th place finish.

Overall, it's a decent directional tool.  But not gospel.

ngroves

August 12th, 2021 at 8:16 PM ^

Italy didn't qualify for the last world cup and is viewed as a very aging team with some under the radar upstarts.  Several of those players got decent contracts from middling Euro clubs after the tournament.  I don't expect them to make a world cup splash but then again, nobody expected them to win the Euro 2020.

schizontastic

August 12th, 2021 at 5:23 PM ^

What would people consider the most fluky/Cinderella run to the World Cup semis/final? Is a fluky run to finals more or less likely in the 12 team CFP than a World Cup final?

I think 2002 Korea has to be up there in the pantheon of fluky runs (with a lot of grumbling from Spanish fans about the refs). 

Toasted Yosties

August 12th, 2021 at 6:00 PM ^

10/10 post. A simple, informative title, a general summary with some analysis, and workable links. A picture of this post should appear on the screen as an example of what to shoot for when anyone attempts to post. Well done!

Yo_Blue

August 13th, 2021 at 10:51 AM ^

Not a troll trufer, so don't get your panties in a bunch.  I'm commenting more on the state of soccer in the US.  There is no way we shouldn't be able to qualify a team for the Olympics, youth or otherwise. While we may not be as soccer-centric as most countries, our facilities, coaching, training, etc. should allow us to put together a team that at least gets to the dance.