|10/14/2018 - 9:54am||MSU fumbled 4 times and…||
MSU fumbled 4 times and recovered them all, and recovered PSU’s only fumble. Certainly an element of luck to that.
|10/14/2018 - 12:18am||If roids in the O line gets…||
If roids in the O line gets you 3.4 YPC they’re gonna need more. MSU ran almost 90 plays from scrimmage, bad things happen when you let teams hang around.
|10/14/2018 - 12:07am||We should play as many home…||
We should play as many home night games as we can, if for no other reason that we really seem to struggle in them on the road. Maybe playing more of them at home will help, who knows. If we ever make a NCG, that thing ain’t kicking off at noon EST.
|10/12/2018 - 10:43am||Based on my interpretation…||
Based on my interpretation of UFR, we've been basically running more counters to power than actual power all year. We were far more of a power team last year with some IZ to keep everyone honest. Do we think that the offensive brain trust has been saving up a "smash your face off" power game where we run it over and over with great success because a major opponent hasn't been preparing much for actual power, mainly IZ and Down G? In a game with very pliable DL but good LB's that may or may not hold up if OL get to them, is this the game?
|10/11/2018 - 11:27am||In year one of Harbaugh, we…||
In year one of Harbaugh, we outperformed the team talent IMO, and had a peek talent year in 2016 that had just about every coin flip go against them, but the general direction of everything seemed to be trending up. Coming in to 2017 I think there was a lot of "sweeping under the rug" of potential problem areas among the fanbase (not just here on MGoBlog). The staff had improved everyone through the first two years and everyone expected that to continue. The Drevno/Frey disaster coupled with a lack of dedicated WR coach was IMO the biggest reason for last year's issues, the QB struggles were just insult to injury (injury to injury? injury to insult?). The preview here famously stated "2016 Amara Darboh = 2017 Kekoa Crawford," which of course isn't how things worked out.
As the year slowly went down hill, it seemed like our coaches couldn't coach and nobody would get better. The ND game this year turned those sentiments into facts for a lot of people, who have largely ignored the last 5 games or continued to move the goalposts after the game (Nebraska is a legit team [pregame]....Nebraska is TERRIBLE [post game]).
Michigan may very well lose this game. It's college football, the standard deviation of team performance from week to week can be quite extreme. However, no team with 4 OL "Dangermen" and a backfield full of "Dangermen" should ever lose to a bad BYU team at home.
|10/11/2018 - 11:10am||Last year did a number on…||
Last year did a number on this fanbase and MGoStaff's confidence level. Witness lack of UFR for last few games, "Whatever" post, constant "I'll believe it when I see it" attitude in threads, etc. It's the year of the BPONE and the reversal process is still ongoing.
Also, if you ever listen to Steve Clark on WTKA Midweek Peek he is largely the same way- acts like every team we play is going to give us a game or makes them seem much better than they are (IMO).
|10/10/2018 - 11:07am||LOL, comment of the day.||
LOL, comment of the day.
|10/10/2018 - 9:42am||I don't think you get what…||
I don't think you get what we're going for here.
|10/09/2018 - 5:26pm||So by that logic, do we now…||
So by that logic, do we now accept being incorrectly called "Big Blue"? As in, people say it so it is a thing even though it is wrong?
|10/09/2018 - 3:53pm||Serious off topic question -…||
Serious off topic question - Does Wisconsin, its players, fans or alumni every refer to themselves as "Wisco" or "Wiscy"? I see both in the current Diary/Message board area and both seem, well, really dumb. Aren't they just UW if you don't want to spell it out? Do people refer to our program as "Michy" elsewhere? WHO DETERMINES THESE THINGS I ASK.
|10/09/2018 - 11:01am||That was my first thought as…||
That was my first thought as well. Just really, really bad, like hard to read bad.
|10/07/2018 - 10:24pm||Brian- ribs can be good…||
Brian- ribs can be good smoked or braised. Many people wrap their ribs in foil after smoking for a few hours which also has a braising effect. Stop throwing up straw man arguments against smoked ribs.
|10/07/2018 - 10:58am||I don’t think this is all …||
I don’t think this is all “social media” age. So many people here are living in the BPONE zone and are incapable of processing the fact that you don’t need to succeed on every play and every drive to win a football game. Even OSU gave up 26 points to IU last week. When you get into conference play you’re just not going to dominate every game from start to finish.
|10/07/2018 - 10:41am||FWIW, I’m far closer to the…||
FWIW, I’m far closer to the FSU-Miami market and ABC stayed with UM-MD.
|10/04/2018 - 10:11am||It continues to baffle me…||
It continues to baffle me why people care so much about his salary. It effects basically nothing that impacts you as a fan. There is a point of diminishing returns when trying to get a top coach to come to your program - there are very few of them and the demand is high. If you want one, you're probably going to "overpay" to some extent, especially if your argument consists of cherry picked examples of coaches at other programs that are having their best year. "We could save 3MM a year if we hired that guy!" Actually, no you wouldn't, because that guy is getting a big pay raise at his next stop.
|10/03/2018 - 3:09pm||Completely agree - Someone…||
Completely agree - Someone else mentioned in a podcast (either the MGo or M Insider) that at least the "rules expert" back in the studio seems to have no qualms these days saying "Yeah that is a bad call" or "I have no idea how they came to that conclusion." That, along with Klatt's comments seems to be a bit of a shift- there always used to be a "let's give the officials the benefit of the doubt" air to commentators and the studio rules guy. I don't know if the fact that they now have replay has reduced the margin of error for officials in the eyes of all spectators but it certainly should.
|10/03/2018 - 8:46am||He makes that joke in some…||
He makes that joke in some form at least a couple times a year in this column.
|10/03/2018 - 8:43am||It is such a Marcus Ray…||
It is such a Marcus Ray thing to say that factions within the team are the reason for losses (not beat for other reasons), then due to their (his) great leadership they (he) fixed them and they went undefeated and won a national championship.
He was a great player, but he is, was and always will be the Mercury Morris of the '97 team. I'm convinced he does not want a Michigan team to be as successful as his last team so he can continue to talk down to the program.
|10/02/2018 - 11:13am||Michigan has played a lot of…||
Michigan has played a lot of zone this year, significantly more than the last two years under Don Brown. This whole "M is always in man and everyone knows it" is not true.
|10/02/2018 - 9:58am||Ha, after I wrote this I…||
Ha, after I wrote this I went over to 247 and sure enough "Karan Higdon showcasing his dependability to Jim Harbaugh" is one of the top stories.
|10/02/2018 - 9:55am||Because they've already…||
Because they've already written their article and are trying to fill it in with Harbaugh quotes.
Article titled "Harbaugh says Higdon's ball security 'critical' to offensive success" coming to a 247 Michigan Insider near you.
|10/01/2018 - 10:49am||I don’t blame you, he is…||
I don’t blame you, he is quite memorable for all of the wrong reasons. This is not just a Michigan thing. O’Neal’s crew has a knack for missing blatant stuff and asserting themselves into the game at terrible times with “I guess you COULD call that but why now” calls. They are consistently inconsistent.
|10/01/2018 - 10:32am||Pretty sure that was Caprion…||
Pretty sure that was Caprion, the guy that led the crew that did the NC game last year. Notable O’Neal games are MSU 2015 and Iowa 2016.
|09/30/2018 - 3:33pm||Running up the middle isn’t…||
Running up the middle isn’t a play call. You’re only judging the play by the result- a play can fail (or succeed) for numerous reasons outside of design.
Funny how nobody calls running “conservative and predicable” when we’re moving the ball well on the ground.
|09/24/2018 - 10:29am||I'm surprised so many…||
I'm surprised so many thought NW would be good this year and are now saying they are "underperforming." NW has oscillated back and forth between 6 and 10 wins a bunch based on schedule (meaning B1GE crossovers) and roster maturity - teams that coach well but don't recruit at a high level are prone to drop-offs when they have a lot of young guys playing. Being in the B1GW makes a lot of 8-4 teams out of 6-6 talent teams.
All of that being said, being a 2 TD road favorite against a non-disaster team is still quite a few points. If you think it should be more, put some money down.
|09/23/2018 - 9:30pm||Agree. Just because you…||
Agree. Just because you typed a lot and used paragraphs doesn’t mean your post is too good for the snowflake threads.
|09/23/2018 - 10:15am||He certainly had this board…||
He certainly had this board running scared before the game.
Some of you guys really need to back off the ledge.
|09/22/2018 - 8:58pm||It certainly was annoying,…||
It certainly was annoying, but short of randomly tripping that dude was going the distance if he catches in stride. That being said, there are tons of “almost” plays in every game.
|09/22/2018 - 5:45pm||I hope a Michigan beat…||
I hope a Michigan beat reporter asks Scott Frost in the post game presser: “So Scott, if you were a coach with your job on the line would you rather play Michigan or Nebraska?”
|09/20/2018 - 11:27am||Somewhat off topic but does…||
Somewhat off topic but does everyone that writes for online publications these days have an app that scans an article and spits out a click-bait title? "Josh Metellus 'Reveals' how his interception 'Almost didn't happen'"? Feels like "You'd be 'shocked' to find this interception almost didn't happen" or "Josh Metellus almost taken out of game but you'll never guess what happens next" were also options.
|09/19/2018 - 6:07pm||Debatable, he comes out hot…||
Debatable, he comes out hot in the first but then in the second somewhat baits/rope-a-dopes Clubber into tiring himself out...by blocking punches with his face and his hands down.
Is it sad that I know this?
|09/19/2018 - 6:03pm||Lol, verified 4.3 40 is now …||
Lol, verified 4.3 40 is now "sneaky speed."
|09/19/2018 - 3:11pm||Came here to post both of…||
Came here to post both of these things. Did not leave disappointed.
Also, Rocky IV has by far the best music score during the main fight of the movie.
|09/18/2018 - 10:18am||I’m at the point where I don…||
I’m at the point where I don’t think anyone can handle inside information anymore. Anything good brings expectations too high and anything negative breeds 300 post hot take threads.
We should all probably just go back to watching football for 3-4 hours on Saturday and get on with our lives for the rest of the week. Yes, this post is directed at myself as much as anyone else.
|09/13/2018 - 4:07pm||What did you do to get your…||
What did you do to get your account caved? Argument with Brian over his misuse of the term "Barbeque?" I'd die on that hill with you.
|09/12/2018 - 11:52am||I have never seen another…||
I have never seen another blog, message board, website, etc so obsessed with redshirts.
It's particularly strange given at least half this blog demands our recruiting standard should be on an Alabama/OSU level and constantly producing high end NFL talent. If you're burning 5 star rocket fuel redshirts are pointless, you're only getting 3 years from those guys anyways.
|09/12/2018 - 9:54am||Hey, you're on your way to…||
Hey, you're on your way to being a full time contributor at 24/7!
Will need more headlines though, need at least 2 articles generated off of each interview, and space them out over a couple days so it looks like new instead of recycled info.
|09/10/2018 - 3:47pm||He was promoted to #2 when…||
He was promoted to #2 when Peters got hurt and I heard multiple rumblings that Peters was sick in the week leading up to the game. Haven't seen the Harbaugh presser transcript yet, maybe it is more clear than the one statement. I'd say if Dylan comes in as #2 against SMU it's probably a solid bet he's #2 for the rest of the year.
|09/06/2018 - 3:37pm||Pretty sure Solomon is a So…||
Pretty sure Solomon is a So as well.
|09/05/2018 - 2:26pm||Preseason AP poll opponent…||
Preseason AP poll opponent position:
1. Penn State
9. Ohio State
11. Notre Dame
25. Michigan State
Final AP poll opponent position:
9. Washington State (Rose Bowl)
12. Ohio State (Finished 0-2 with losses to M and bowl game)
16. Penn State (Went 2-2 after M blew them out on "Judgement Day")
In the B10, Purdue did finish ranked but wasn't on the schedule in 1997.
Literally every opponent Michigan beat ended the season ranked lower than when Michigan played them. During the season they played 7 ranked teams including 4 in the top 10.
Here is the first result for "1997 football strength of schedule" (Sorensen) that puts M at 38th.
There is certainly an element of weaker SOS when you win all of your games as you can't play yourself, but the schedule did not look as tough at the end of the season.
|09/05/2018 - 12:24pm||Malzone was a Harbaugh…||
Malzone was a Harbaugh recruit.
|09/05/2018 - 11:10am||#Hottake: The '97 team's …||
#Hottake: The '97 team's "resume" so to speak was highly inflated by where teams were ranked when they played them. Many of the signature wins ended up being over unranked teams at the end of the season.
That being said, winning was still better than losing.
|09/04/2018 - 3:31pm||Completely agree. Not to…||
Completely agree. Not to bag on one guy, but this is a PSU level beatdown with last year's QB's. The D actually got a chance to rest and sort things out, throw a couple 3 and outs and short fields into that game and it could have gotten out of hand quickly.
|09/03/2018 - 9:01pm||Gotta disagree on the 2nd…||
Gotta disagree on the 2nd and goal pass from the 2 not being a terrible call. 2nd and goal from the 5 or further maybe that’s a reasonable pass. That call was getting cute, Pete Carroll style.
Even the staff agrees- given the same scenario but running out of time at the end of the game they ran back to back times inside the 5 for a TD.
|08/31/2018 - 3:38pm||Just giving him/you a hard…||
Just giving him/you a hard time. He/you is/are the best non-guest caller on the show.
|08/31/2018 - 2:39pm||Uh, Ryan Glasgow left after…||
Uh, Ryan Glasgow left after 2016?
|08/31/2018 - 12:27pm||Yeah I much prefer that Don…||
Yeah I much prefer that Don guy that calls every day to rehash threads that came up recently on MGoBlog.
|08/30/2018 - 4:42pm||Partially disagree- much…||
Partially disagree- much like an offseason (pre spring I think?) interview with Sam Webb, Pep has made it clear multiple times that it is Jim's offense. What that actually means - Jim is the OC, Pep is just a QB coach now, some combination of the two - I'm not sure but it is a point that has been stressed this offseason.
|08/30/2018 - 11:20am||It's based on ESPN's FPI…||
It's based on ESPN's FPI metric. I'm sure some contrarian will disagree with me but FPI is terrible.
If you're bored you can read about it here.
- Includes data from previous 4 seasons with emphasis on previous season
- Includes returning starters on offense and defense with QB counting as more
- Strength of the team's recruiting class (with input for transfers)
My main beefs:
- The recruiting metric is a bit of a wildcard. Does it adjust for transfers in and out properly? (Maybe- Probably?) Does it adjust for obvious busts or breakouts? (probably not)
- Roster and coaching turnover on a CFB team over 4 years is huge, there is a good chance data very irrelevant to the current team is being put into the model (example, this year's preseason FPI still includes Hoke's last year)
I know we're all info starved but common sense will tell you that any predictive model for this year that has no data from this year is going to be pretty shaky.
|08/30/2018 - 11:03am||I was going to say "thanks…||
I was going to say "thanks for the advice but I'll go ahead and watch a non-terrible game"...but this is probably going to be the best game on, so cheers to you.