Effect of 2014 E8 loss to Kentucky on Beilein's recruiting?

Submitted by Larry Appleton on
In the wake of the recent commitment from Austin Davis that has obviously caused a great deal of confusion amongst the board, I can't help but wonder if we're just witnessing the reprecussions from the Elite 8 loss to Kentucky last spring. In that game, Michigan takes on a large and athletic Kentucky team by putting out a starting five with no one over 6'8. The result: 17 offensive rebounds given up against only 10 defensive rebounds secured, several put-back dunks by a guy who barely played up to that point, an total rebound deficit of 11, and 6 shots blocked. Since that fateful day, Beilein accepts commitments from two 4s and one 5, all at least 6'9, which have put the team at or near the scholarship limit for 2015 and 2016. This despite an apparent upcoming need for ball-handlers. So what do you all think? Are we seeing a reaction from Beilein from the Kentucky game, which may have given him nightmares of Marcus Lee throwing down tip-dunk after tip-dunk?

CaliUMfan

April 17th, 2015 at 1:31 PM ^

Upon reading the thread title, I thought you were going to make some asinine comment about recruits perception of UM vs. Kentucky. I think you actually might be onto something here though. Belien has made a few comments over the last year that would lead me to believe that this is definitely a contributing factor. 

ijohnb

April 17th, 2015 at 1:52 PM ^

think it is limited to the Kentucky game though.  We got physically manhandled in a few games this year.  MSU made us look like the JV at Crisler and Wisconsin mutilated us down low in the BTT.  Louisville also ran a lay up line against us in the second half of the NC game with McGary a year before the UK game.

He can't compete consistently at al elite level and get dominated down low.  He get do it at WVU and consider it a success when they sneek into a Sweet 16 or something but we have to be able to defend at the rim and rebound to consistently compete in the BIG and nationally. 

There is also an element to this that we are more or less good for a while in the backcourt and on the wing.  I am of the perspective that Hatch is going on medical, Williams is signing, Levert is returning, Spike is redshirting and Walton is a four year player.  Chatman, MAAR, and Dawkins are likely all four year players and Irvin may very well stay 4.

There is not much room in the backcourt or on the wing right now.  Add to this that Donnal was a dissapointment and Michigan State is going to have the front court from Hell the next two years and I think JB is just looking at it from a perspective of need.

Commie_High96

April 17th, 2015 at 10:14 PM ^

I kinda wondered for a while why we haven't been recruiting big men. When I asked a friend who is on the training staff for UM BBall about this, he basically said bigs are hit and miss and scholarships are valuable. If you aren't getting the guy you want or a top ten type, it is a real risk. You can get to where they got to without the big, but to get to the next level you need the guy. Mitch was the guy, but we lost out on the others the staff wanted.

funkywolve

April 17th, 2015 at 1:33 PM ^

might be he found himself without any experienced big men this year.  While the Kentucky game might have raised some eyebrows with Beilein, I don't know if you change your recruiting strategy based upon one game.

Larry Appleton

April 17th, 2015 at 5:51 PM ^

Would Kentucky had been in position to hit a game winner if Michigan even rebounded HALF of Kentucky's missed shots, though?

ken725

April 17th, 2015 at 1:34 PM ^

I posted this in the Hello front page post.

Michigan might not be full for 2016 because there is a chance that Davis takes a prep year. If that happens there is room for a guard in the 2016 class.

Go Blue in MN

April 17th, 2015 at 2:30 PM ^

Kid absolutely has some developmental work to do, and may not even see the floor until 2018.  But he has some potential as a low-post scorer, which is something we've lacked for a while (other than McGary in the 2013 tourney).  Plenty of bigs are slow and plodding, even some with NBA contracts.  But if a guy is tall (6'10" is his floor, could still be a 7-footer), strong (Camp Sanderson), has good footwork (he does), and can finish (he shows some ability in this area), he can be a real asset.

BigBlue02

April 17th, 2015 at 1:35 PM ^

I'm just guessing here, but maybe Beilein knows roster management better than random posters on the Internet, therefore he is probably evaluating his roster, evaluating talent, and taking commitments from people who are good at basketball. Did we not all learn after overreacting to Davis' sophomore tape and then seeing him look much more lean and athletic a year later that maybe, just maybe, our basketball coach is paid millions of dollars because he is good at what he does? Good question though OP. Now let's all speculate who will be leaving the team soon, because that is inevitably what will happen in this thread. Ugh.

BigBlue02

April 17th, 2015 at 2:15 PM ^

Discussion is completely fine with me. Speculating on who will leave the team, who isn't going to contribute because they haven't met our expectations as redshirt freshmen, and who isn't dedicated to the team because they heard from no one in particular that they were upset about not playing and they were possibly going to leave because a freshman coming in might take their minutes is not ok with me. If you look at any discussion on Davis, you will undoubtedly find names of guys speculated to leave the team for no other reason than they didn't play much as a redshirt freshmen. That isn't something I think we should get into. The fact that we lost 3 big men within a couple weeks of that Kentucky game and it wasn't even mentioned in the post should be a sign of how in depth this analysis of our roster is. This post could have been easily said in any of the other threads about his commitment.

gte896u

April 18th, 2015 at 1:37 PM ^

get over yourself. this is the worst part of this board, when someone pretends this isnt an independent site for UM sports discussion and instead acts like everyone should speak like an official representative of the the athletic department. No one is making personal attacks, just speculating on the roster.

New Kid

April 17th, 2015 at 1:35 PM ^

If that's the case I don't think the UK game is the only factor. Getting dominated in the paint has been a major theme for years on beilein's teams.

ijohnb

April 17th, 2015 at 1:55 PM ^

are athletic.  Wilson is all kinds of athletic but just needs bulk.  Doyle is a pretty effective finisher who displayed better than average footwork for his age and an ability to finish strong at the rim.   He is athletic just not the kind of athletic you are thinking.

In reply to by ijohnb

TrueBlue2003

April 17th, 2015 at 2:27 PM ^

are the kind of athletic we would need to not get dominated in the post, is what he's saying, because that was the theory presented by the OP. If the attempt was to try to not get dominated in the post, Beilien would have pursued longer, shot-blocking rim protectors. But that's not what he's done.

He's just recruited another below-the-rim skilled big man, who can finish around the rim but probably won't have any more success on the defensive side than Morgan or Doyle had the past two years against bigger teams. And there's nothing wrong with that.  We've had pretty good success with Beileins current style.  That style has been making sure every player has skill on offense and needs to be accounted for, and we sacrifice a bit on the defensive end to be able to have that.

alum96

April 17th, 2015 at 2:48 PM ^

This was exactly my thought when reading the OP.   He said after that game we need "above the rim" guys.  Doyle, Teske, Davis are not really guys with hops like that.  They are tall.  DJ Wilson supposedly is athletic - we'll see we have barely seen him.  But that is the exception not the rule.

With all the long range shots this team needs a 6'10 version of Dennis Rodman would be perfectly damn fine.  A Udoh type.  And no, he was not projected as a NBA player coming out of HS - he was a raw, jumping jack.  That's a perfect 5 for the Beilein system to clean up the glass, protect the rim, block shots.  He should get 8-9 pts a nite just cleaning up everyone else's mess.

As for the 4, I keep going back to Chris McCullough of Syracuse as a 4 that Beilein should be going after.  He is a jumping jack 4 who was ranked just about the same as Chatman (Not a top 10 guy destined for UK, Kansas, Duke) - solid shooter (not all the way out to the 3) and affects the defense via rebounding (7 per game in under 30 min) and blocked shots (2 per game in under 30 min).  Plus was averaging an excellent FG% in the 2 pt range (48%)  and lots of points for a true freshman.   No these guys are not a dime a dozen but again UCLA OSU (which are not UK, Kansas, Duke, UNC) seem to get guys in the 25-65 range pretty easily to fit their needs.  Beilein seems to recruit guys as if he is at West Virginia still - either find a guy rated low to begin with who ascends late in his HS career (GR3 Irvin types) or go for borderline 100 to 200 range.

You marry that sort of 4 with an above the rim player at 5, along with our normal 1-3 and you have a hell of a lineup that is difficult to deal with and balanced.

All Day

April 17th, 2015 at 2:07 PM ^

I think it was more likely all the armchair quarterbacks (point guards?) on the interwebs complain'n that we never have a back to the basket game or a solid rim protector. 

BlueIsland

April 17th, 2015 at 2:20 PM ^

We have a winner. Need moar bigs to compete and succeed against the elites. JB is a weird guy that the coolness of Bacari and Lavell can't overcome when recruiting the 1 and done types. Therefore to excel against the best you need to continue to take your high IQ, untapped talent (Irvin, GRIII, Levert, Stauskas, Burke, Hardaway) and add them to 3yr, 4yr and 5yr 6'9-6'10 legit post men (minus the eilte athleticism).

Avon Barksdale

April 17th, 2015 at 2:23 PM ^

in the committment post on the front page. It seems like JB wants a few more big guys who can get the basketball off the boards. We'll see. I actually prefer his old method of "you don't need to rebound if you make enough 3's"........

UMfan21

April 17th, 2015 at 2:36 PM ^

Beilein was quoted in the off season after the Kentucky loss saying he was going to start recruiting taller, more athletic (ie shot blockers) recruits.

freejs

April 17th, 2015 at 7:44 PM ^

the pessimism, the disrespect for the greatest fucking coach of Michigan college basketball of all time, the inability to see how great things are about to get for this program once again - I can't take it anymore. 

Some of you are so fucking dumb it hurts. 

freejs

April 17th, 2015 at 8:26 PM ^

we lost on a deep three at the buzzer really confounds me. 

More though, the idea that our genius of a coach who has run this program with general mastery - the idea that this guy is not proceeding from a plan but is simply reacting or reacting in panic, it's just ridiculous. 

We have a great staff. They know what they are doing. The immediate future is very bright. 

I can't even fathom the weeping and the doubting of Coach Beilein. 

 

 

Larry Appleton

April 17th, 2015 at 9:34 PM ^

As I posted previously, would Kentucky have been in a situation to win it at the end had Michigan not given them so many second-chance baskets? And yikes, are you suggesting that a coach, even a genius coach, would never adapt his plan? You think reacting to experiences is a bad thing? Regardless, calm down, fergodsake.

freejs

April 17th, 2015 at 11:05 PM ^

over Marcus Lee going Marcus Lee and the team being right there at the buzzer in a year where his All American center was lost to injury. 

Your post remains ridiculous and there are too many ridiculous posts about this basketball team made by Michigan "fans" on pretty much every Michigan forum. 

It's madness.