ESPN: PSU has 81% chance to beat M, 22% chance to beat OSU
October 1st, 2017 at 2:02 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:09 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:12 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 4:53 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:16 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:26 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:34 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:49 PM ^
Wow, this is a truly incredible take
October 1st, 2017 at 6:17 PM ^
That's the same number of punts as Ohio State had today. Considering that Ohio State led 35-0 at halftime, I don't think the number of punts they had means anything.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:04 PM ^
i get it , because michigan won, those are all "bad" teams now? and michigan won`t be in another league from what psu has played so far? of coarse it will be a tough game but i think that holds true for both sides.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:10 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:54 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:38 AM ^
that certainly haven't aged well.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:39 PM ^
Florida and Purdue are both decent to good... probably as good as anyone Penn State has played, if not better (unless you like Iowa a lot more than I do.)
I think there's a lot of questions yet to be answered for both teams.
Meanwhile, OSU lost to the only good team they've faced.
I'm skeptical of us until I see some consistency from the offense. But it's way too early to write us off in either of those games.
October 1st, 2017 at 3:01 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 8:35 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 1:53 PM ^
Add freshman receivers to last year's shakey o-line and inconsistant quarterback play. We are a different team too overall--a very, very young team. The night game against MSU is shaping up to be a great test of that youth. And Harbaugh teams always show growth, improved play, adjusted scheming after bye weeks.
October 1st, 2017 at 1:54 PM ^
Good thing we have a rabid squirrel at linebacker.
October 1st, 2017 at 3:01 PM ^
to see that matchup!
Bush may have one assignment from Brown the whole game - Where Saquon goes, you go!!!
FYI - love the "rabid squirrel" label for Bush. Perfect description - well done.
October 1st, 2017 at 4:24 PM ^
That's Brian's term, not mine, but 100% yes.
October 1st, 2017 at 5:11 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 1:55 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:11 PM ^
sound really accurate
October 2nd, 2017 at 12:54 PM ^
I didn't see the State-Iowa game, but totally agree about last year's Michigan-Iowa game. 9 times out of 10, Michigan wins that game. As Brian pointed out before last season, you can be the favorite to win every single game, but yet it's extremely unlikely that you actually go undefeated.
October 1st, 2017 at 1:56 PM ^
It will change a lot though if we handle MSU and Indiana. We have not beat up on cupcakes like a lot of other teams which has skewed our rankings. Hopefully the offense will be much improved now and bring up the offensive ranking which is dragging us down right now
October 1st, 2017 at 1:59 PM ^
We've got some hungry wildings from EL headed our way in 6 days. Let's TCB and let the Penn State chips fall another day
October 1st, 2017 at 2:01 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:23 PM ^
My interpretation:
He was explaining that fans are getting ahead of themselves in a manner that may make them (the fans) look stupid for their overconfidence.
October 2nd, 2017 at 12:35 AM ^
O'Korn had one good game.
I don't think this talk means much going into this week's game.
I agree with Jesus.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:00 PM ^
Welp might as well shut it down for the season then. Board up the Big House. Can't win against the almighty FPI.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:02 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 12:37 AM ^
year.
Let's not lose sight of what we are doing here.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:05 PM ^
Thank goodness for this bye week to prep for MSU.
Beat MSU.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:02 AM ^
College Football Team Win Trends - After A Bye, 2017
- MOV: The average margin of victory (negative in losses)
- ATS +/-: The average amount of points that the team covers the spread by
| Team | Win-Loss Record | MOV | ATS +/- |
| Navy | 1-0-0 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Miami (FL) | 1-0-0 | 22 | 8.5 |
| Colorado St | 1-0-0 | 30 | 23.5 |
| Kansas St | 1-0-0 | 13 | -1.5 |
| Indiana | 1-0-0 | 35 | 13.5 |
| Texas Tech | 1-0-0 | 7 | 0.5 |
| Memphis | 1-0-0 | 3 | 6 |
| Central FL | 1-0-0 | 28 | 32 |
| Marshall | 1-0-0 | 17 | 20 |
| GA Tech | 1-0-0 | 18 | 11 |
| Florida | 1-0-0 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Arkansas St | 1-0-0 | 45 | 45 |
| Fresno St | 1-0-0 | 20 | 12.5 |
| S Florida | 1-0-0 | 24 | 7.5 |
| Texas | 1-0-0 | 10 | 5 |
| Wisconsin | 1-0-0 | 9 | -7.5 |
| Florida Intl | 1-0-0 | 6 | 7 |
| Hawaii | 0-1-0 | -7 | -1.5 |
| Georgia State | 0-1-0 | -56 | -19 |
| Iowa State | 0-1-0 | -10 | -5 |
| Air Force | 0-1-0 | -16 | 7 |
| LA Monroe | 0-1-0 | -11 | -3.5 |
| E Michigan | 0-1-0 | -7 | -8.5 |
| Michigan St | 0-1-0 | -20 | -17 |
| Oregon St | 0-1-0 | -35 | -8.5 |
| Arkansas | 0-1-0 | -7 | -5 |
| Illinois | 0-1-0 | -22 | -16 |
| Maryland | 0-1-0 | -28 | -32 |
| S Mississippi | 0-1-0 | -15 | -23 |
| N Illinois | 0-1-0 | -6 | 3 |
| Northwestern | 0-1-0 | -9 | 7.5 |
| Mississippi | 0-1-0 | -63 | -34 |
| GA Southern | 0-1-0 | -35 | -14 |
| UNLV | 0-1-0 | -33 | 7.5 |
| Coastal Car | 0-1-0 | -7 | -5 |
| Florida St | 0-1-0 | -6 | -17 |
| BYU | 0-1-0 | -16 | -17 |
| Minnesota | 0-1-0 | -7 | -21 |
| Connecticut | 0-1-0 | -20 | -9.5 |
- 17-22
- This is a push wrt spread as well...
| Row Labels | Average of ATS +/- |
| 0-1-0 | -10.40909091 |
| 1-0-0 | 10.88235294 |
| Grand Total | -1.128205128 |
Mileage may vary... I think there have been diaries on this as well ...
Bye weeks don't mean much.
Rivalry games are outliers as well.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:06 PM ^
lord knows espn has never been wrong.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:06 PM ^
I give us NO shot to beat either team. We're doomed.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:06 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 7:11 PM ^
What are your opinions on Doris Burke? This seems like a good thread for those too.
October 2nd, 2017 at 8:52 AM ^
and deserves the opportunities that she's given, unlike Hill.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:09 PM ^
So, Massey Ratings has the next three games as follows:
Michigan State - 87% win prob.
Indiana - 86% win prob.
Penn State - 50% win prob.
So, by their estimate right now, our chances of going 3-0 in this stretch are 37.41%, same as our chances of going 2-1 with the sole loss being Penn State.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:12 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:58 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:20 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:21 PM ^
#BeatMSU
October 1st, 2017 at 2:24 PM ^
81% seems high, and 22% seems low, but definitely PSU should be favored against Michigan and a slight underdog vs. OSU. It's probably 60-40 for the home team in both those games. What gets me about OSU is every year they look bad against a good defense, then everyone assumes they are back because they beat the shit out of Rutgers and Army. They'll beat up on Maryland starting it's 18th-string QB, then they'll beat up on terrible Nebraska with a failed Tulane transfer at QB, and they'll somehow be #4 in the country even though Michigan will be undefeated, and then they'll start to play actual teams and we'll see.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:27 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:46 PM ^
I'm with ya, it's 99% about what our offense can do on the road at night. Let's see what O'Korn and the offense do the next two games and then we'll have a better idea.
As far as Barkley and McSorely? They don't worry me too much either given our defense... they'll score but they won't be sniffing 24+. I'd say it's 70/30 PSU chance at this point, unless our offense builds on what they did last week of course. As far as vs OSU, I think PSU has a decent chance, maybe 40/60.
October 1st, 2017 at 2:28 PM ^
This defense has enough in the chamber to hold Barkley at bay. If Penn State's defense doesn't have one hell of a gameplan, they are Wolverine food as always. Penn State is Michigan's bitch. This year is no different. Book that shit!
October 1st, 2017 at 2:31 PM ^
October 1st, 2017 at 2:31 PM ^