Passing Attack through 2 games.

Submitted by MichiganMan14 on
It's very easy to beat on Wilton at the moment. Not going to do that but let's look at the stats. 51% completion rate with 400 yards 3 TDs 2 picks and a fumble thus far. Suprising regression from a Senior but does this have more of a tie to Pep Hamilton than we are accrediting? Wilton faded in the last 3 games last year but was pretty solid up until that point. I'm a little surprised that with the ground success seen thus far, the emphasis on passing has been so direct. This game Saturday will be a good chance to see which direction the offense is going. This is key because Penn state....Wisconsin and Ohio state are all beatable this year and Michigan likley has a Playoff defense. We just need to get to the root of the problem with this passing attack. Heaping it all on Wilton isn't neccessarily fair. After watching Baker light up the shoe it is a tad frustrating to not have a playmaker in that mold...or to not be playing one of we do have him. I think there is still some time to get this fixed but all involved in the passing game to include backs/receivers/coaches need to own up and get this right. This is a Playoff year for Michigan if the passing attack gets fixed.

lhglrkwg

September 12th, 2017 at 12:02 PM ^

Front 7 looks awfully good, but a hapless Cincinnati getting open over the top a few times makes me worried about the back 4-5 a bit. We're going to have to wait and see till Purdue probably. I'm gonna bet Florida is a horrendous offense and Cincinnati is probably bad too. TBD.

stephenrjking

September 12th, 2017 at 12:10 PM ^

It speaks well of the recruiting and coaching of this staff that phrases such as "this is a playoff year for Michigan" doesn't simply get laughed out of the building. Michigan has a back four that starts one guy older than a sophomore, a receiving corps that essentially has nobody of such experience, and an OL that lost three starters from a mediocre squad last year. Our QB is a redshirt junior 3* recruit. 

When the experienced guy among your receivers is the true sophomore, you're going to have some growing pains. When you lost your best TE to an unexpected transfer and you're cobbling together a team from (talented!) spare parts and position switches, you're going to have some growing pains. 

We are two games in. The QB has missed some throws. The OL has biffed some blocks. There have, however, been good throws. And open looks. And holes. 

This exceptionally young team has a lot of growing to do. A lot will happen this year. Maybe we can throttle back on the feelingsball subtext criticism of the coaches and the QB, and wait and see what happens when we play quality B1G teams.

CarrIsMyHomeboy

September 12th, 2017 at 12:10 PM ^

TomVH just hammered home an astounding dichotomy. I mean, those pocket numbers approach the highest level for his position. But those scrambles...

http://www.espn.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/142819/back-to-fundamentals-f…

"Through two games when Speight is passing in the middle of the field between the numbers, he has completed 76.4 percent of his passes for 396 yards. Outside the numbers on the left and right side of the field, when out of the pocket, Speight only has completed 10 percent of his passes for 6 yards."

stephenrjking

September 12th, 2017 at 12:18 PM ^

Now those are some useful numbers.

Weird ones, too. Speight was good scrambling last year. I don't know the source and my memory is vague, but wasn't he really effective when moving around compared to the pocket?

Perhaps there's some usable information here: Michigan has young receivers. Last year the receivers had some athletic limitations, but they were smart and experienced. It's not hard to wonder if last year's crew of Chesson, Darboh, and Butt were good at improvising on scrambles to find space to get open, whereas this much younger group of pass-catchers isn't as good at moving around when things break down and/or hasn't developed the same chemistry with Speight that existed last year.

gasbro

September 12th, 2017 at 12:42 PM ^

And maybe not all on Speight.
OL not creating pocket.
More players in to block means fewer out to receive when pocket breaks down.
Inexperienced players not working back to QB when needed.
Coaches/players haven't developed a bailout option like RB in the flat.

Seems like a lot of ways to improve those terrible outside the pocket numbers and hopefully maintain those very good inside the pocket numbers.

Pai Mei

September 12th, 2017 at 12:15 PM ^

UF's dline is very good. Probably a top 2-3 dline we play this season. We ran for over 200 yards against them

Still plenty of time to imrpove the passing game. 

SMart WolveFan

September 12th, 2017 at 12:16 PM ^

VS OSU 2016

 

23/36 (64%), 219 yards, 2TD, 2INT, 18.1 QBR

by a 9 game starter in the toilet in November

 

17/32 (53%), 226 yards, 2TD, 2INT, 22.8 QBR

by a 20+ game starter, hiesman hopeful, at home in week 3

 

Maybe Speight will show the same improvement in the same amount of time, and still in half the games it took Mayfield.

 

 

charblue.

September 12th, 2017 at 12:27 PM ^

It's not about one guy. And because it isn't, laying the blame at the qb's feet for everything wrong with the passing offense is neither correct nor advisable. Because you don't know the blocking schemes and protection requirements as it relates to the patterns and eligible receivers on any given play.

I'm fairly certain that Speight is willing to correct fixable mistakes like adjusting his handoffs on given plays and setting his feet whenever possible before making certain throws which offset his ability to hit receivers in certain windows along the sideline and downfield. The fact is that in game mechanics sometimes lead to bad habits becoming issues in throwing motion.

In any case, we are moving forward 2-0 and the team must help the qb improve as much as Speight needs to imrove his own game in order for all of us to enjoy the kind of season we are all hoping for. It's better in fact that we can identify and work on something that our coach is also an expert in dealing with as both as a coach and player because he understands the nuance of adjusting amid the pressure of performing at a school he attended.

This will get fixed on way or the other.

Fezzik

September 12th, 2017 at 12:30 PM ^

I have not been thrilled with the play calling on offense. I'm not sure who calls these or if it's by committee. Maybe the style of passing game Pep wants doesn't mesh well with Speights strengths?

SMart WolveFan

September 12th, 2017 at 12:46 PM ^

....but IMO it still seems to stem from Drevno trying to get this run game going early.

The actual passing plays do seem to be working because there are a lot of open receivers whether Speight hits them accurately or not.

Too many 3 and 7+ after running on 1st and 2nd downs; you end up throwing to the first down marker way too much and giving a huge advantage to the defense.

1VaBlue1

September 12th, 2017 at 12:52 PM ^

Maybe the generic, basic, un-flashy play calling has something to do with a new scheme, new WR's, new TE's, and new right side OL?  Perhaps its been basic because it can be while the new parts are all learning how to run routes against hostile opposition?  While the new parts are learning to pick out and block hostile tacklers?  

Do people realize that DPJ ran nothing but go routes in high school?  He's learning the various route trees that professionals in teh NFL run.  And that's not just patterns, it include different types of breaks and the various moves to setup those breaks.  It includes depth - where and when he should be there to get the pass.  Black is still learning that, too.  Evans is still learning pass pro schemes that Smith had trouble with last year.

Settle down - they'll be alright...

1VaBlue1

September 12th, 2017 at 12:30 PM ^

Lets see if I can summarize this thread...

OP calls it a numbers thread, doesn't give it any numbers, and then says math is for nerds to a bunch of nerdy, science-y, Michigan grads.  When the lack of numbers are pointed out, OP calls out a bunch of plays the offense should run - because the offensive coaches don't know anything about personnel or play calling, obviously.  When confronted with the reality of rookie players playing like rookies in thier rookie year, OP says it shouldn't matter - the 4th year players that were beaten out by the rookies and haven't earned playing time in 4 years should be playing if the rookies don't know the part.

Do I have this right?

bronxblue

September 12th, 2017 at 3:10 PM ^

You have a really weird view of what a "troll" is.  Of course, you also think "stand down" is a cool way to end a conversation on the internet in 2017, so maybe that shouldn't surprise me.

Yes, those are all plays people can run.  Point out instances where Michigan called bad plays in games recently, plays that cost them yardage or use the wrong personnel, and we can talk.  But literally everything you've written in this thread reads as reactionary and rudimentary, the "to win this game, they'll need to score my points"-level of analysis that I take issue with it.  And I remember how you went after Brian (and others) after the spring game when he said it looked like Evans was the lead back and guys like Higdon and Isaac would be complementary, and you were demonstrably accusatory that he was purposely downplaying Higdon despite repeated references by him and others that Higdon was a good back and brought a lot of positives to the team.  So yeah, keep on yelling at everyone and thinking that matters.  But I'm sorta done trying to talk to you about this, as it won't ever change your outlook and certainly nothing you've said here will change my views.

umfan323

September 12th, 2017 at 12:55 PM ^

Lol yet I’m wrong for saying he’s worse than most of the QBs in the top 25 and a good 10-15 after that ... Shane is better

bronxblue

September 12th, 2017 at 1:05 PM ^

I would take issue with the claim that the running game is succeeding. Isaac is succeeding. Everyone else seems to be scuttling. As witness, Michigan is seeing a lot of third and long thus far.

In reply to by MichiganMan14

bronxblue

September 12th, 2017 at 3:25 PM ^

I've been keeping stats on average 3rd-down position this season as part of my diary writing (and yes, getting ahead of the inevitable 3rd-grade insult you'll hurl at me, I am a "nerd" who can do basic math on a calculator).

Michigan's average 3rd-down position in the first two games are:

 

Opponent3rd-and-X
Florida7.7
Cincy6.6

By comparison, I think Michigan's 3rd-down position last year was in the 5's.

I don't have the stat for the most recent game, but against Florida Michigan rushed for almost as many yards on 3rd and 4th down as they did on 1st and 2nd; that's not remotely good. You put your offense behind the chains on 3rd down that consistently, you are going to have trouble converting. But yeah, "okay".

MichiganMan14

September 12th, 2017 at 2:42 PM ^

Anybody coming sideways will get addressed time permitting. Yall can Mean Girls WD. I'm not playing that shit anymore. Some of yall act like little women. Try to gang up and sound intelligent with one another. It's pretty sad actually. I watch yall do this all the time. Rarely post as a result because it's annoying to have people attack you from their keyboards when you'll never get a chance to discuss with them in person.

TIMMMAAY

September 13th, 2017 at 2:47 PM ^

First, people brought up your lack of numbers, on a post you titled (then edited) "Inside the Numbers". Second, your arguments convey that you think you know more about how to coach a football team than our coaching staff, which, okay dude. Third, you "rarely post"? What? You have almost 18k points, and have only been on this board since '12. 

Am I a clown too? 

Schemboeller C…

September 12th, 2017 at 1:33 PM ^

I would be more inclined to believe it was a Pep issue if receivers weren't getting open or nobody seemed to be on the right page. But this is more of a problem of Speight not being able to hit wide open receivers and/or throwing behind them. That's a Speight issue.

SMart WolveFan

September 12th, 2017 at 2:04 PM ^

...it is more of a timing issue between the OBs and receivers because they haven't adjusted to Speight's lack of accuracy, and that can be corrected.

If it was just a "Speight issue" that would be because he's making bad reads, not giving his teamates a chance to make plays and not making sure all these inexperienced players are in the correct place. He seems to be doing a pretty good job in those areas.

Kevin14

September 12th, 2017 at 2:36 PM ^

that Speight had offseason surgery?  Or, is this just a rumor?  

I thought I remember him being asked at some point and refusing ti answer it.