Significant betting line movement in the past hour for The Game

Submitted by Fieldy'sNuts on November 25th, 2016 at 4:19 PM

The line has been at Ohio State -6.5 all week after initially opening at -7.5. Within the past hour the line has fallen to -5.5 at most sports books, with Caesars Palace giving us the most favorable odds at -5. I can't imagine the line would be tightening if the insider buzz was that O'Korn was starting.

http://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/odds/line-history/730320

Update 6:45 PM EST: Two more sports books (in addition to Caesars) now have the line at -5. Update 10:30 AM EST: Twelve sports books now have the line at -5.5 or lower. Two have it at -4.5.

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Night_King

November 25th, 2016 at 4:43 PM ^

Yes... I think what OP was saying is that the line is in fact tightening because news around Speight playing is looking more likely and money is being placed on Michigan in response.

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bluebygod

November 25th, 2016 at 4:44 PM ^

You'd be amazed at the inherent wisdom and knowledge possessed within the betting line...

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zguy517

November 25th, 2016 at 4:45 PM ^

The idea is that a large movement in a short amount of time is going to be driven by insiders and a rush of insiders betting Michigan would imply good speight news.

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Ghost of Fritz…

November 25th, 2016 at 4:45 PM ^

that is obviously true.

But the OP's point is that insider info on Speight is leaking out and probably causing money to be placed on Michigan over the last hour plus.

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Mr Miggle

November 25th, 2016 at 4:49 PM ^

all on one side. They also move based on information that's going to lead to that. Say that OSU just announced JT Barrett was out, the books aren't going to sit back and wait to move the line. Of course the books aren't just sitting back and waiting for announcements. They want to have sources of info as good as the pro bettors have.

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MadMonkey

November 25th, 2016 at 6:16 PM ^

bet other than friendly wagers. However, I am interested in the technical side of gambling. I didn't realize that books continue to source information after setting the initial line.

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emozilla

November 26th, 2016 at 12:41 AM ^

Bovada (the biggest online book) hasn't taken any action on the game at all yet, presumably because they were waiting to see how the QB situation plays out

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uferfan

November 25th, 2016 at 4:47 PM ^

Man, there are more Michigan insiders on Counter Strike than I ever imagined.

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lhglrkwg

November 25th, 2016 at 4:51 PM ^

Brian's diabolical wind-enhacing device is fully operational

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beedub93

November 25th, 2016 at 4:51 PM ^

Exactly.

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Jack Hammer

November 25th, 2016 at 4:53 PM ^

I think it moved.

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Maize and Luke

November 25th, 2016 at 5:02 PM ^

Nice Seinfeld reference!

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Hotel Putingrad

November 25th, 2016 at 9:44 PM ^

I was in the pool

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TruBluWolv55

November 25th, 2016 at 4:54 PM ^

Russian hackers are at it again.

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Hotel Putingrad

November 25th, 2016 at 9:44 PM ^

but you didn't hear it from me.

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Toasted Yosties

November 25th, 2016 at 4:59 PM ^

I'm ignorant on betting but don't they just adjust to the amount of money being bet on the teams?

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Maize and Luke

November 25th, 2016 at 5:05 PM ^

Yes, if a significant of bets are on UM +7.5 they move the line to get more bets going the other way. So moving it to +6.5 would get more betters to take osu -6.5 therefore bringing balance to the universe

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Ghost of Fritz…

November 25th, 2016 at 5:06 PM ^

on both counts.

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unWavering

November 25th, 2016 at 5:05 PM ^

If Vegas is hearing insider buzz that Speight is starting, I'd imagine that we would be hearing that buzz as well.

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HenneGivenSunday

November 25th, 2016 at 5:09 PM ^

That buzz is definitely out there. The optimism has been building all week.

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ghostofhoke

November 25th, 2016 at 5:13 PM ^

Yeah by like 10 guys on here that don't know anything for a fact

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lhglrkwg

November 25th, 2016 at 5:19 PM ^

I think you mean several well sourced michigan insiders who have good travk records

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HarbaughHarbaughBlue

November 25th, 2016 at 6:58 PM ^

top receiver said some good things about him and that was at the beginning of the week.

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Ghost of Fritz…

November 25th, 2016 at 5:19 PM ^

today that is not yet general public knowedge (or even edge of the internet knowledge) regarding Speight?

The fact that the interwebs have suggested Speight practiced earlier this week, will be a 'gametime decision' etc.,would not cause the line to move substantially this afternoon.

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HenneGivenSunday

November 25th, 2016 at 7:12 PM ^

Sam Webb, other mods on scout, and a variety of others that are less reputable. I'm not saying he's 100%, all I said is that there has been increasing optimism as the week goes on. I've read "reports" that suggest he's definitely starting, but I'd prefer to not quote them. Also, our own umbig11 has let us in on some positive reports he's heard, and he's proven to have access.

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samber2009

November 25th, 2016 at 6:52 PM ^

For what it's worth with me being a random lady on the internet, I'm friends with a Speight family friend and they think he's going to play. Hoping he's good to go!

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HenneGivenSunday

November 25th, 2016 at 7:14 PM ^

Lots of this type of smoke rising as we get closer to game time. That gives me hope.

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Rather be on BA

November 25th, 2016 at 7:33 PM ^

I have some clients that are plugged into the program that seem confident he will play. Between that and the insider buzz I would be much more surprised if he doesn't play than does.

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Lawyer12

November 25th, 2016 at 5:06 PM ^

Line moved today because people are at home the last two day gambling on sports and a lot of money is coming in as a result. It does not reflect and actual change in who they think will win. Just Vegas crunching the numbers so they always win.

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Ghost of Fritz…

November 25th, 2016 at 5:20 PM ^

saying that there is a Black Friday betting line effect.

Huh. I'll have to process that one for a bit.

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JClay

November 25th, 2016 at 5:31 PM ^

Yeah man, all bets are half off on Black Friday. It's a really good deal.

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trueblue262

November 25th, 2016 at 6:35 PM ^

I'm not much of a gambler, but it seems like rivalry week would be a good week to lay low

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pbmd

November 25th, 2016 at 5:23 PM ^

Bettors may react to buzz
But Vegas reacts to money wagered

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We are back

November 25th, 2016 at 5:37 PM ^

This is partially true, but the big dogs bet late , they wait until the last day which pushes the line and some of them work for those companies

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Mr. Yost

November 25th, 2016 at 5:30 PM ^

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/18133797/lebron-james-a…

LeBron started showing up to the World Series and the CUBS came back from down 3-1. The CUBS, people.

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schreibee

November 25th, 2016 at 5:39 PM ^

Make sure Lebron gets a really cool, brand spanking new O hat upon taking his seat in a very visible location. Worked wonders in the WS

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HarbaughHarbaughBlue

November 25th, 2016 at 7:00 PM ^

go ducks!

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Dubs

November 25th, 2016 at 7:07 PM ^

If he were a true fan, it would be a 47 or 33 jersey.

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M Ascending

November 25th, 2016 at 8:59 PM ^

And pray that Lee Corso picks Ohio.

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UofM626

November 25th, 2016 at 6:02 PM ^

The line moved that much because there is to much money being bet on Michigan and the points. The line drops that quick when they want the money to go the other way for a day or so to even out the bets so Vegas doesn't loose there ass. They took a bath from the Super Bowl, NBA Playoffs, and the World Series this year.

That is why the line has changed so much.

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