Unverified Voracity Requires Purchase Of Coke Comment Count

Brian

COKEAGGEDDON. Well, it happened, and they quickly ran out of tickets, and the athletic department said that shouldn't have happened like a robot programmed to impersonate a human, and now it's over. The robot bit:

Coke is a great partner of ours and had purchased a limited block of tickets for the Minnesota game for a Coke retail activation aimed at Michigan students.

What I would give for an athletic department that responded to things like this without resorting to the nonsense phrase "retail activation." The program was "pulled immediately" after the Union had already run out, ie, not pulled. There's the silver lining: Michigan tickets are still worth more than two dollars.

As per usual when these things happen, the cover-up is worse than the crime. The pattern: Michigan does something stupid or embarrassing or annoying or all three. People laugh or complain about it. Michigan releases a mendacious statement that blames someone else for the screw up, wonders why everyone is making a big deal about it, and says it was never their intent for stupid/embarrassing/annoying thing to happen. Two months later, repeat the process.

The list is getting long: running out of water after banning outside bottles because terrorists, Allstate field goal nets, enormous macaroni sculpture, seat cushions, sky-writing over Spartan Stadium, telling people they got a discount on their hockey season tickets when really they moved a Michigan State game to Chicago, and Cokeaggeddon. Nobody apologized for "In The Big House," but they damn well should have.

I would prefer an athletic department that knew enough about how thing were going to look to a persnickety fanbase to not have issues like this on the regular. I would even more strongly prefer a department that didn't go "nuh-uh" when people called them on their crap.

Backhanded compliment battle royal. Man are people saying some things about Hoke these days that they mean to be nice but come off not so nice. Mark Dantonio:

Dantonio followed that up by responding "I have empathy for people" when some reporter asked him if he had empathy for what's going on at Michigan. If our athletic department is going to be a robot can it be a Dantonio-style killer robot at least?

I HAVE EMPATHY FOR PEOPLE

SPECIFICALLY: YOURS

/hail of gunfire

And then Dennis Norfleet was getting his coach's back when this came out and got on the internet the wrong way:

I know he didn't mean it like that but it's hard not to read it like that, you know?

Shades of the late RR period. Old pissed-off alums are coming out of the woodwork to yell on the talk radio. Former Bo QB Michael Taylor is up:

"Michigan football is not going in the right direction," said Taylor, who played for UM from 1987-89. "The leadership is bad. There are many more issues on and off the field than I care to talk about. It's sad." …

"What we've become is a propaganda football team, telling people how great we are when we're mediocre," he said.

Taylor has had an axe to grind for a while, FWIW. Hard to disagree with the last bit even so.

While Taylor's naplam job was widely reported the News is the only outlet I've seen that noted anything about Jon Jansen's immediately subsequent appearance. Jansen is on some sort of former players' committee, and says this about Taylor's complaint that players are being told to buy tickets if they want anything more than two per season (as in two tickets, total):

"It may not be the answer they're looking for, but we have started the process of getting a policy together for how many tickets you can get, how you get them, sideline passes," Jansen said. "That's the biggest thing — guys want to be able to come back."

IIRC, Taylor's beef with Brandon started when he further restricted tickets for former lettermen. It's not about "getting a policy" together. There is a policy. As per usual it prefers nickel and diming everyone to creating long-term allies.

More bloviation. Get ready for two and a half months of HARBAUGH HARBAUGH HARBAUGH posts that don't have much of anything behind them. PFT takes the lead:

…the speculation has been ongoing regarding the future of 49ers coach (and former Michigan quarterback) Jim Harbaugh for a while.  Mired in a contractual impasse that has been tabled until after the season, any college or program now knows that Harbaugh is in play for a jump to a new job come 2015.  With the 49ers already mired in a disappointing, stressful year, that jump could be more likely.

This gets everyone hot and bothered while not having a single quote or even a single assertion that a hot source told him something. Throw it on the bloviation pile. And reinforce the floor under that pile. It's about to get stressed.

The cycle is intact. Football team is bad at football. People say football team is bad at football. People say maybe football team would be better at football if this coach who seems to have a lot of bad football teams was no longer the coach. Media incessantly hammers coach and players at every media opportunity about The Critics, leading to people Taking A Stand Against The Critics and articles describing that event. Dennis Norfleet just did so.

If anyone thinks the massive public criticism being hurled at Brady Hoke on a now daily basis doesn't make its way into the ears of Michigan's players from time to time, then Dennis Norfleet has a message for you.

It does.

And they're pretty pissed about it.

Okay. I don't expect this conversation to go any other way, because Hoke has his team behind him and they would run through the proverbial wall for him, etc. I just don't see why anyone should care. It's all talk. Weren't we all like "I'm done with talk, show me" this offseason? We have been shown some things. Now there is talk about how bad the team is, and if you are mad at people talking about how bad Michigan football is currently I don't know what to tell you.

This is just not realistic:

"Even if we lose. If we lose, if you're a Michigan fan you're supposed to be with us 100 percent to pick us up. We need our fans just as much as we need a win. So, yes, it hurts. It hurts a lot."

It is impossible to control the emotional impulses of large groups of people, and fans are in this for themselves. They like the players, they want the players to succeed, they generally refrain from harsh personal criticism of the players. They are there to feel something, however, and when the only thing they feel is certainty Michigan is not going to make up yet another double-digit deficit they're going to talk about replacing the coach. Because that is the logical thing to do if your goals for a football team involve having a nice time with it.

That's the fundamental disconnect between fans and players and we can stop talking like any of these people have to have the same motivations. Or not, I suppose, because journalists are in this for themselves.

We're confusing to computers. Michigan has outgained every opponent en route to a 2-2 record with two blowout losses. The play-based ranking systems are having a bit of a conniption fit as a result:

Computer rankings after four weeks are never accurate but drive systems do take a lot more data than the final score into account and should be a bit more reliable as a result. It's just that sometimes not taking the final score into account particularly heavily is… unwise. Connelly on that:

On a per-play basis (in a system that counts turnovers simply as non-successes until drive data is factored in after seven weeks), they are good enough to rank 19th in the country, just one spot behind a team that beat them by 31 points and 11 spots ahead of a team that beat them by 16. But in ways similar to 2011 Texas A&M and 2011 Notre Dame, they're figuring out ways to make their failures count double, and it seems they (and their fans) know the failures are coming before they happen.

Seven of the next eight conference games are winnable, and eight are losable. We'll see if Hoke can figure out how to turn promise into reality, or if, like Texas A&M in 2011, it will take a new coach and a new quarterback to translate decent stats into good results.

He notes three teams with similar profiles to Michigan to date: 2011 versions of Notre Dame and Texas A&M and 2012 Michigan State.

Connelly and Brian Fremeau combine their ratings for something called F+ that is considerably more skeptical but still insufficiently so from the human observer's viewpoint. F+ has Michigan 32nd. Connelly used that to metric to project the Big Ten race and came up with this amazing possibility:

Record West Winner East Winner
4-4 23.2% 0.0%
5-3 14.3% 47.5%
6-2 13.8% 12.3%
7-1 11.0% 7.9%
8-0 37.7% 32.4%

There is a one in four chance that your Big Ten West winner is .500 in the conference. I think we can all agree that this annus miserabilis will be totally worth it if that happens.

As far as Michigan goes, he ran a bunch of simulations with his numbers and came out with an approximately 60% chance Michigan goes 4-4 in the league and 20% chances they go 5-3 or 6-2. Again, early season computer numbers so take lightly—suffice it to say computers are not feeling real good about Hoke's job prospects.

The wounded. Minnesota's Mitch Leidner still questionable for Saturday, "all indications" that Michigan will get the Gopher backup who completed one pass against SJSU. Maxxxxxxxx Williams is also doubtful with something or other. Against that Michigan puts up Jarrod Wilson and Raymon Taylor, who dressed but did not play against Utah, Delano Hill, who left before halftime with a boo boo, and an obviously still gimpy Devin Funchess. Funchess FWIW:

"I got a little dinged up, I had to make sure everything was OK, and I just had to fight through it," Funchess said Tuesday. "I knew it was painful (that day), and it'll (probably) be painful the rest of the season.

"You're never going to go through a season and stay 100 percent (the whole way) ... I'm healthy enough to play."

Sort of. His effort on blocks is not so good.

Etc.: Hinton on Gardner. Hoke isn't going to name a QB starter after all.

Comments

alum96

September 24th, 2014 at 1:11 PM ^

Synder tweeted that a UM official told him former players can get into 2 games per year free, and any games they are honored free. 

So there is a miscommunication somewhere.

But I agree with your post - honoring previous players and just being friendly and open to them is more important than friggin $100K for a program that bleeds money out of every orifice.

reshp1

September 24th, 2014 at 12:53 PM ^

Regarding the per play stats being pretty decent.... that's about the only hope I have left to hang on to. Based on that, it seems like we're close, closer than last year. It seems like there's an offense in there that can be serviceable if not for a couple of factors. Unfortunately, those factors seem to not be easy fixes. On the other hand, last year we were an all around tire fire but had some very low hanging fruit in terms of areas to address (i.e. Borges and Offensive Line). I dunno, I'm kind of fluctuating between thinking we're going to get better and thinking that this is as good as it's going to be. There don't seem to be many in season adjustments available anymore outside of maybe QB other than just keep getting reps in practice and hoping for the best.

B-Nut-GoBlue

September 24th, 2014 at 7:26 PM ^

Agree. 

But then again, Ohio State happened last year.  I'm not sure that was really Michigan figuring it out but more Ohio St. not preparing very well...but still, 40+ points happened.

I think we all keep praying that outbreak happens ASAP this year and not until the last game of the year when all is already lost.

Big_H

September 24th, 2014 at 12:54 PM ^

Former players should get some kind of break when it comes to going to a game. That just makes sense. They are the reason Michigan football came to be so great. Obviously, we are not great now, and every player didn't make an impact, but hopefully you see my point.

Space Coyote

September 24th, 2014 at 12:59 PM ^

LINK

“First of all, coaching college football at this level is a very, very difficult job,” he said. “There’s a lot of criticism. There’s a lot of fanfare, plus and negative. What I’m trying to say is I don’t think there’s a bad football coach out there. I think there are things that start to roll one way or the other, and a lot of that is chemistry, sometimes, relative to what’s going on at the moment.

“I have a lot of respect for Brady and what he’s done and the coach he is and the man he is. I also know and am very sensitive to media coverage, I guess. It’s up and down. It’s never as good as you want it and never as bad as you want it. I just try to concern myself with my little bubble here.”

At the end of the day though, I think it's pretty stupid to ask a coach about the state of another program. But it's the media, they're trying to bait something one way or another.

Bando Calrissian

September 24th, 2014 at 1:05 PM ^

And his response is pretty measured, and quite good. A lot better than the "pride comes before the fall" or "should I hold a moment of silence?" smugness he's much more well known for.

I'll say this: I look at what Dantonio is doing up in East Lansing, and it drives me absolutely crazy. MSU was a tire fire, probably even worse than ours is right now, under John L and Bobby Williams. It was a disaster. Now it's a machine. As much as we like to rag on Hollis, Izzo, and Dantonio, they've got something going there. All they need is a serious hockey coach. It's enviable, and infuriating.

Space Coyote

September 24th, 2014 at 1:09 PM ^

Things were obviously a bit of a mess on the field for John L Smith, especially on defense, but John L did a ton, and I mean a ton, to improve MSU off the field. He was very dedicated in making players go to class, he set up their study halls and training tables and a lot of that, things that Dantonio took and rolled with when he got to MSU. John L cleaned up inside the house, while the outside still looked like chaos.

John L was a failure as a coach at MSU because of his W-L record, but he was also an important part of rebuilding that program as a whole, from the inside-out, and Dantonio will say just as much.

Miles was right

September 25th, 2014 at 9:51 AM ^

No. it was indirect insult. Dantonio is still pissed that Bo didnt take OSUs rib again to beat Tressel, and hire him from Cinci. Love and hate are same emotion.
At this pt the only payback I see is if we bring Miles or Harbaugh back, as MSU seems to be pulling away.

Reader71

September 24th, 2014 at 4:13 PM ^

No player ever came out against Lloyd when he had his down seasons, and there are some Bo guys that didn't love him. No player has come out against Hoke and I don't think any will, unless its a Hoke v. Miles/Harbaugh thing. They did hammer Coach Rod. But for every Michael Taylor, there are 100 Jon Jansens. And this is regarding the AD anyways, not the coach. I would love some free tickets, though.

Dan84

September 24th, 2014 at 1:38 PM ^

I don't think it's accurate to say that "computers are not feeling real good about Hoke's job prospects" when one of the two computers cited says that Michigan is, so far, one of the top 20 teams in the country. I'm not saying that Michigan is, in fact, one of the top 20 teams in the country--that is almost certainly false--but half of the data laid out in the post contradicts the conclusion.

I think that the likeliest outcome is somewhere in between--being one of the top 20 teams in the country is unlikely, but 4-4 is probably also unlikely. So, in that way, I think that I pretty much agree with how the computers (in total) are actually feeling.

harperic

September 24th, 2014 at 2:33 PM ^

Michigan is beating itself more than other teams beating them. Our team has a good defense (great run D, good run D). Our special teams could be good with a modern punt formation. Our offense has great pieces, and good be great with better QB play. The OLine has improved and is functional. The run game is succeeding even with a non-existent pass game. You get the QB going and I think the season turns around.


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michiganinmd

September 24th, 2014 at 1:39 PM ^

Connelly updated the projections so there is only a .1% chance the West winner will be 4-4.  But like you I totally thought it was reasonable for there to be a 1 in 4 chance of a 500 division winner.  BIG TEN!

MGoBrewMom

September 24th, 2014 at 1:49 PM ^

I think  It's that we are not doing well on the Football Field, and then this:

As per usual when these things happen, the cover-up is worse than the crime. The pattern: Michigan does something stupid or embarrassing or annoying or all three. People laugh or complain about it. Michigan releases a mendacious statement that blames someone else for the screw up, wonders why everyone is making a big deal about it, and says it was never their intent for stupid/embarrassing/annoying thing to happen. Two months later, repeat the process.  

 

It's bad enough to be frustrated with the outcome and really (for me) the development of talent; but to have all these stupid eff ups, and clown shows by the athletic department it hugely embarassing.

UMfan21

September 24th, 2014 at 2:10 PM ^

Another thing to add to the list of AD moves are the Uniformzzz.  I believe at one point a photo was leaked, AD backed away saying they were "just testing the market" or somesuch.