Film Review: "Bad Play Calls" Aren't Really Bad; and You Should Feel Bad About It.

Submitted by Space Coyote on

I wrote a new post that piggy-backs a little bit off of Seth's Neck Sharpies (now with stunning re-post technology) and was based on a few tweet threads I've had this week.

I know the "execution" vs "play call" thing is a hot topic around here. I give my two cents on that. And give my general opinion about the "play calling" crutch I see most fans lean on when their team struggles vs what I see as the reality, and give a few examples.

What's this mean for any of you? I don't know. I get why "play calling" is such a crutch. But I also appreciate things like the Neck Sharpies post that say "hey, maybe there's a little something more to this; maybe there's some reason for this; maybe it's not so black and white and simple".

So I dunno. Feel bad. Or don't. Maybe just look at a few plays and see if you can get behind there being a little more to unsuccessful plays than just "play calling" (and hopefully give some optimism that there are correctable errors that could help the offensive improve over the season).

LINK

Also, because I don't want to push it off the page more, check out the Film Analysis post as well. 

Indy Pete - Go Blue

September 6th, 2018 at 2:51 PM ^

This is excellently written. I clicked on your link, and I particularly liked your summary near the end:

"I don't expect the casual fan to start digging through All-22 to resolve problems that they don't really care to resolve. It's unrealistic. But maybe tone down the rhetoric. Maybe don't pretend you know when you don't. Feel free to give opinions, but understand it isn't facts, and understand that you don't have all the facts to support an opinion, all you have is your limited perspective. And that's fine."

It seemed fitting that you put Michael Spath's tweet in there - he seems to me to be a very influential complainer who puts emotion and oversimplified conclusions over logic routinely.  And then his unwitting listeners parrot his negative rhetoric because they care too much about football but don't care enough about intellectually nuanced thinking.

Blue in PA

September 6th, 2018 at 2:52 PM ^

I had a professor who loved to say, "every offensive play in football is designed to score a TD".  One day I asked how a QB sneak on 4th and 1 from the 45 yard line was designed to score a TD?

I got a blank stare and then he started talking about something else....   

I passed his class, so at least he didn't hold a grudge.

FWIW

Reader71

September 7th, 2018 at 3:42 PM ^

In 9th grade, my coach called a QB sneak on first and 10 from our own 1-yard line, just to get some breathing room. Avoid a fumbled handoff or a holding call in the end zone, etc.

QB went for a 99-yard TD. Sneaks are designed to score - every defender but one is blocked and the ball carrier has to make the unblocked man miss. In the spirit of this post, that was a great play call.

Gr1mlock

September 6th, 2018 at 2:54 PM ^

Great article Coyote.  Especially excellent insight on the option play, which I'll admit to think seemed dumb when called but, upon reading, I get why it makes sense, just didn't work.  

NowTameInThe603

September 6th, 2018 at 3:01 PM ^

Seth pointed out why the play calls were made to protect the LT. Just because a team can't execute the play doesn't excuse a bad play call. No play is designed to work occasionally or be executed by 50% of the players.

Gentry basically played LT for 1 play and it was designed that way! That play should have resulted in a strip sack.

contra mundum

September 6th, 2018 at 3:05 PM ^

I played in a veer-option offense for a long time. You are dead on in your analysis of the option problems. Great call. Poor execution. Bad spacing by QB/RB. QB should have attacked the inside leg of the defender forcing a commitment/always wrong situation. This should have gone for big yards. Thanks Coyote

mgobleu

September 6th, 2018 at 3:16 PM ^

That would have been an amazing call if the line held for half a second and Shea had time to look 18° to his right and see Perry standing there open. 

Space Coyote

September 6th, 2018 at 3:53 PM ^

Did I? I seem to remember saying I thought he was above average. I seem to recall arguing quite passionately that "play calling" was far from the primary issue, and that people were mostly focused on the wrong things and were too focused on "it didn't work so therefore it was bad."

You've loved to bring up "but you thought Borges" on my posts a lot, I've seen that, which I always find a little funny given how much the offense as a whole tanked as soon as he left. I never thought Borges was great, but damn he got scapegoated and damn, was I correct that there were bigger underlying issues. Like the primary one that I called out: OL issues, which, as evidenced by this team under a new staff, seem to greatly hinder an offense's success.

And it's also rather funny, because all the people that claimed all these other things that Borges didn't do would have greatly improved the offense... Michigan did a lot of those things against ND and it didn't greatly improve the offense. Scheming around a poor OL is tough, maybe you should recognize that by now. So strong argument.

And just to make this very clear: 

In Borges's last year at SDSU, he had the 13th ranked offense per FEI, then was 14th at Michigan in 2011. In 2013, UM's offense was very inconsistent, and still 44th. The next year they were 93rd without him. Nussmeier, who replaced him, who many hailed as a savior, had the 10th ranked offense before coming to Michigan and finishing 93rd. Harbaugh has had successful offenses everywhere he went, and struggled Saturday. But it's "play calling" that is the main problem, something that, as a talent, doesn't nearly vary from year-to-year and is fairly consistent given it's the same person year-to-year. It's mostly all the other things, that do in fact change. Stats seem to back that up again and again and again. That the theme, after everything we've seen from Michigan post-Borges, is still that Borges's play calling was the worst and the primary reason for problems, is laughable.

Newton Gimmick

September 6th, 2018 at 4:08 PM ^

Thanks for the perspective.  As someone who doesn't get into the weeds on schemes, I continue to be baffled at how we can be so hideously awful compared to offenses like Oklahoma and Ohio State, despite recruiting talent that is at or near their level.  Those teams overcome injuries, suspensions, inexperience, and probably tons of mistakes made all the time, yet still move the ball at will.

Would you say that our schemes and play calls demand a higher level of execution than other offenses do?  Depend on a higher level of talent and experience?  An assumption that we will physically dominate?  Are they more apt to fall apart when just one assignment is blown?  

I do remember a similar refrain in the Hoke era, and could it be that we are simply demanding perfect execution from young and imperfect players?  It seems we are asking 11 guys, some of whom are still teenagers, to play with incredible precision all the time.  And it almost NEVER seems like our offense is playing with as much confidence and speed as the defenses we are facing.  The latter always seem to know exactly what to do to disrupt our offense, even if they don't know exactly what the play is.

I remember a Big Ten defensive player interviewed in the Hoke/Borges era saying something like, "Michigan runs an incredibly complex offense, but as long as you stick to simple defensive principles, it's pretty easy to defend."  

Space Coyote

September 6th, 2018 at 4:28 PM ^

There's a lot here, but I'll try to get to most of it without being terribly long winded.

I do think, in general, Harbaugh's schemes, or most pro-style type schemes, take more time to get good at. They are more reliant on experience because they ask you to do more things. It doesn't make them worse, in fact, they can be much better (which is why pro teams run them) but it typically is a balance between how much college kids can do and how fast they can learn it.

Now, Harbaugh is smart, his college playbook is much simpler than his NFL one was. This isn't his first rodeo. But yes, it can be more difficult still.

I wouldn't say Michigan recruits at the same level as OSU, but Oklahoma is probably similar. The biggest issue for Michigan is that the program has not been steady for the last decade. OSU has had a steady, rock solid foundation for the better part of two decades now (the Fickell year did not hurt OSU's foundation, and that team still had tons of talent). Oklahoma has had about the same. Those schools are much more akin to what Michigan once was, which is to say even when they had down years or injuries they still basically performed quite well. Michigan doesn't have that luxury anymore and needs to rebuild it, which takes time.

I don't think what you're saying is exactly right. Executing it isn't necessarily leaps and bounds more difficult than executing other stuff. But there is a mental game, and there is a lot to know, and in any scheme, you have guys that don't execute, and it can go belly up. 

Newton Gimmick

September 6th, 2018 at 4:39 PM ^

Thank you for the response.

OSU was probably a bad example, as they do recruit at an elite level.  But it puzzles me that our offense, for the better part of five years now, continues to struggle, even relative to many schools that do not recruit at our level.

That said, I am probably more patient than most of what I see here.  I want Harbaugh to be here long enough to figure it out, and who knows, maybe we are on the verge of it happening.

I look forward to your opinions throughout the season.

You Only Live Twice

September 6th, 2018 at 4:13 PM ^

What an excellent read.  I'm not going to pretend to understand all the components that factor into the explanations but I was able to follow much of the clarifying complexity that you provided SC.

Also it's nice to see you gently correcting and offering these clarifications to some of the expert Twitter playcallers out there.

His Dudeness

September 6th, 2018 at 4:24 PM ^

You seem to know what you're talking about but your post on your blog is about as preachy as it gets. You don't have to talk down to people. We are all idiots. We get it. Thanks for pointing it out. Sheesh. 

andrewgr

September 6th, 2018 at 7:24 PM ^

Space Coyote, I think that you're overlooking another reason why people criticize play calling, which is closely related to why I love football.

Football is, ironically, the most cerebral of all sports.  You literally pause the action every 6 seconds or so in order to talk over what you want to do next.  You have committee meetings (over headsets, in the huddle) to debate the merits of each option.  You intentionally show a tendency in order to get your opponent guessing, then you break it, hopefully at a crucial time.  And of course there's the design of the playbook itself-- the spread didn't always exist, and before that the WCO didn't always exist, and before that the option didn't always exist-- you can literally think your way to a totally new and effective way of playing the game.

So I think one way many fans engage with the game is that they imagine themselves to be making those decisions.  Or they try to understand and predict why those decisions are being made (though in the vast majority of cases, this effort doesn't include any attempt at meaningful self-education).

So I think form a psychological perspective, fans latch on to play calling because it's a big part of how they are engaging with the game.  It's what they're thinking about between plays anyway, completely apart from any desire to criticize it.  When things go wrong, I think it's natural that a fan's first thoughts will turn to what he's been thinking about and imagining all along, rather than on something that he has even less of an understanding of that goes on invisibly behind the scenes (teaching technique, evaluating talent, etc.)

Or anway, that's what it feels like for me; YMMV

outsidethebox

September 7th, 2018 at 8:39 AM ^

Due to there being 22 players on a football field there certainly is a significant "cerebral" component to this game. However, most of the challenge here is from the coaching side. I will take basketball and its continuous play as being more "cerebral"-from the player side. IMO the on-going nuances on the court trump those on the field. 

The greatest difference-maker, that is most misunderstood and under-valued in athletics, is the importance of coaching. Michigan does not seem to be winning on this front. But truthfully, the line between success and failure at this level of play is very thin...am I am willing to be, for the most part, gracious...the other team has talent and is giving great effort too. Here, I have to remind myself to get a perspective and be respectful. 

Carcajou

September 7th, 2018 at 5:13 AM ^

I thought the speed option was an excellent call. I was ELATED to see the it in the offense as the play developed--yelling "YES!"...then groaning "Nooo!" at the execution by the QB (not attacking the option key more aggressively), and the pitch back (whose responsibility is to establish a wide enough 'pitch relationship'). Perhaps they didn't understand the concept of the play: to isolate a defender and make him wrong, whatever he decides--the one thing you don't do is allow the pitch key to cover BOTH. While it is possible there was simply not enough reps on the field, I find it hard to imagine that this coaching staff failed to explain the concept. But those are all things that are entirely different from "play-calling".

I can only hope that they don't abandon the speed option, and they'll come back to show and utilize it  as the year progresses. It is relatively simple, and can be highly effective in the red zone and short yardage situations. The mere threat of it gives defenses more to think about (which BTW is a big part of play calling) and have to prepare for, setting up other things.

outsidethebox

September 7th, 2018 at 8:11 AM ^

Handing the ball off to your TE who wasn't supposed to be in the game on 4th and 21 from your own 5 would indeed be bad play-calling. Otherwise, for the most part, cries of "bad play-calling" are a true sign of ignorance. Every player has significant decisions to make on every play...it's "all" about execution...there is no argument to be had here.

jamesjosephharbaugh

September 7th, 2018 at 10:40 AM ^

hey Space guy. I appreciate this post and analysis.  my eyes mostly glaze over because I am so far behind on understanding the fundamentals that players learn in middle school/high school.  but I appreciate the way you show that the plays were designed and called for a purpose in the context.  I bet the coaching staff appreciates it too :-)