Las Vegas releases 2018 CFB Win Totals
Michigan opens up at O/U 9 wins for the year.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/las-vegas-releases-2018-college-football-win-totals-for-all-129-fbs-teams/
Big Ten
- Ohio State: 10.5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
- Wisconsin: 10 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
- Penn State: 9.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
- Michigan: 9 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
- Michigan State: 9 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
- Iowa: 7.5 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
- Minnesota: 6 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
- Nebraska: 6 (Over -110, Under -110)
- Northwestern: 6 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
- Purdue: 6 (Over -110, Under -110)
- Indiana: 5 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
- Maryland: 4.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
- Rutgers: 4 (Over -110, Under -110)
- Illinois: 3.5 (Over EVEN, Under -120)
If we go 9-3 but beat OSU, most everyone here will say that 9-3 was a small price to pay.
OSU: OVER
WISC: OVER
PSU: UNDER
UM: OVER
MSU: UNDER
IOWA: OVER
MINNY: OVER
NEBRASKA: EVEN
NW: UNDER
PURDUE: EVEN
IND:EVEN
MARYLAND: OVER
RUTGERS: EVEN
ILL: UNDER
Iowa may well be favored in 10 of their games. They may go over (does the O/U include the B1G Championship and Bowl games?)
Home games: Northern Illinois, Iowa State, Northern Iowa, Wisconsin, Maryland, Northwestern, Nebraska.
Road games: Minnesota, Indiana, Penn State, Purdue, Illinois.
"(does the O/U include the B1G Championship and Bowl games?)"
No. This should be for only regular season.
Wow that's a nice schedule. Avoiding OSU, UM and MSU, and getting Nebraska and Wisconsin at home.
I doubt they sneak past Penn State, but not outside the realm of possibility for them to win 10-11 games in the regular season. Of course, they could end up doing what they do most every year, fall flat on their face, and go 6-6.
They could have a year similar to 2015, where they went unbeaten with an easy schedule and you always kind of suspected they weren't as good as their record.
Sparty on the Under. Book it!
And screw them and their moron fans. I hope we kick the living crap out of them!!!
I think 8-4 for MSU, but it'll be another year where nothing between 10-2 and 4-8 surprises me. I would guess that at least 8 of their games will be decided by less than 14 points.
The schedule is tough but 9 would be a disappointment IMO. We were competent QB play from winning 11 games. The defense is better, the QB depth chart is vastly improved, the WR should progress, and according to UMbig11 the Oline is improved and deeper.
Over please. And I’ll take the under on tOSU... see them tripping up once before we take out a decade of frustration on their asses on Nov. 24
I'm taking the over on Purdue. I'm not ready to say that they'll dethrone Wisconsin yet, but they very well could. They played them extremely close last year and this year the game is in West Lafayette. They could very start their season 6-0 before OSU comes to town.
I still say Wisconsin is the clear favorite in that division, but I won't sleep on Purdue just yet. They could legitimately win 8-9 games next season, and maybe steal one somewhere.
Let's hope they steal one against the Suckeyes. Purdue has pulled some upsets against them in the past.
Yeah...Purdue has beaten OSU more than Michigan has since 2000 or something gross like that.
The B1G East is going to be a bloodbath, as usual. Four teams with an O/U of at least 9 wins, whereas the B1G West only has one O/U over 7.5 wins.
Did NW fall off a cliff? Coming off a 10-3 year, with 3 nonconference home games - including Duke/Akron, as well as playing in the B1G West with Wisky/Nebraska at home - I figured they were a 'dark horse' candidate to come out of that division. 6 wins just seems very low to me, and maybe my perceived fear of overlooking that road game is overblown...
They overacheived a bit last year in terms of record. They're still expected to be pretty good (31st in FPI) but their schedule is pretty tough such that FPI projects them to win 6.3-5.8 games.
They have Duke and ND in the nonconference, 5 away conference games and crossovers against M and MSU.
FWIW, FPI gives them a 31.6% chance of beating M. I would have thought it'd be closer to 40% but still in the should-win-but-scary game territory.
They also went 4-0 in one-score games last year and had good turnover luck. To me, they are a bit like MSU in that they should be tough but they won a lot of toss-up games last year and that doesn't always translate over seasons.
I have fucking had it with seeing OSU so high every year. Are they ever going to suck like UM did for about a decade?
Sounds about right. I assume this doesn't include bow games.
How unfair is the conference split? Wisco is projected 10 wins in a conference that number 2 is 7.5 and they have 4 9 plus wins on our side. Wow.
I believe Notre Dame will dictate the season. If we win that game, we are going 10-2 or 11-1. If we lose that game we are looking at 9-3 or 8-4. It is a very important game for early September.
I second that about Notre Dame. If Michigan can not beat Notre Dame, who I believe we should destroy, then we have no business talking about an 11 win season with a trip to Indy. The first game of the season, for Jim Harbaugh, is going to be huge. The hype around it will be enormous! If we lose that game, it will be a long season against teams with a pulse. If we have another 4 loss season, especially loses to MSU and OSU and Notre Dame, Jim's seat is going to get warm.
Year 4!!!
Need a least 10 with a tough schedule to make a statement and reclaim some momentum. Less is a fail.
10 wins for U-M is my current prediction. Not ready to believe in the offense.
Push
With this returning defense, if we get 9 wins, that would be extremely fucking unsuccessfull. Im sorry, and screw the schedule (great teams - schedule doesnt matter) because anything short of the playoffs with this team, and it is an unsuccessful season (back to back).
I have GOT to get there soon. This is like stealing. Over is the absolute lock of the year, the platinum pick, the premium plus, etc., etc.
As long as one win is OSU
8-4 with the annual loss to OSU. Michigan is a basketball school now.
Kind of amazed so many people are picking the over. While I want to believe 9 is a low bar, I think it’s accurate (or even high). The optics of beginning the season at ND are not good. Playing UW, MSU, and PSU in back-to-back-to- back weeks is rough. Ending the year at OSU sucks. Moreover, our road record has been brutal against teams with a pulse. That NW game scares me...IDK...maybe the past 15 years has got me down, but I’m not gonna get my hopes up. Admittedly, my fan hood for UM football had attained Costanza levels of shrinkage. Maybe that changes this year...
Why do we even play if we already know how many wins we will have, I hate spoilers