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We have a coach, but what…

We have a coach, but what staff?

Thanks, added a 1 in front…

Thanks, added a 1 in front of it, because I'm a terrible person for not donating more often. This place is special and I appreciate everything they do!

Everyone who reads this and agrees, sign up for the recurring (monthly) donations like I just did!

HAIL YES! Was just talking…

HAIL YES! Was just talking to several people how glad I was I had multiple copies of HTTV last year...I will have multiple multiple copies of this!

Go Blue!

National Champions!

I rarely login, or post, but…

I rarely login, or post, but I was thinking about this too...as much as I believe in the scouting this blog does of our own team via UFRs, I have always WONDERED if our coaches/other coaches (were talking low level staffers here) ever used this sites UFRs as a go by. The more I thought about it, I figured our coaches doing it wouldn't be very helpful, because they KNOW the plays and what the WANT the players doing, so the grades probably wouldn't match quite as well - think differences of opinion on Trente vs Barnhart possibly. However, for other coaches, this is basically an advanced, discussed, play by play and summarized explanation of PFF, so I would think it might actually be a data point. See what certain players are good at, struggle with, etc. 

Anyways, very long way of saying, I would love to see the Bama vs Georgia UFR, because I think it could really help inform us (and maybe even our coaches) of one or two key pieces of information about specific Alabama players.

This is the correct response…

This is the correct response...it's the only thing they care about, money

Confirmation Bias is real?

Confirmation Bias is real?

Was just about to post. Glad…

Was just about to post. Glad I checked...Would be awesome if he and Franz became key pieces of a great team there together.

Anyone have a stream?

Anyone have a stream?

What good is the Michigan…

What good is the Michigan Money Cannon if we are completely afraid or unwilling to use it?

I agree with you, and that's…

I agree with you, and that's the part that scares me. That's why I think a very smart end game for WSB to take would be to start recommending undervalued stocks...look at even Tesla, no matter how under/over valued you may think it is at current prices, part of what makes it so valuable is that people refuse to sell. They don't care what Tesla should be valued at, they care that it's a company they believe in the future. I agree that most tech stocks are OVER valued right now, but that doesn't mean that I don't own some of them, I just will buy more of the ones I believe in long term if/when they dip.

East Quad, what do you…

East Quad, what do you invest in other than ETFs or Mutual Funds? You do know that some of these hedge funds do quite a bit better than the S&P500 right? Look up Cathie Wood or some of the others I've mentioned here. Alex Denner isn't selling BCRX...so maybe he shouldn't either.

Glad you took my advice then…

Glad you took my advice then! It's a great stock. Definitely understand that this is going to make it extremely volatile, so selling a little for huge gains and then buying back if it dips is sometimes a great strategy!

Sorry, posted about it back…

Sorry, posted about it back in the high $3s to mid $4s in a couple of the many stock threads on here. If you want another Alex Dinner play, maybe look into ITRM. Alex Denner is probably the best bio trader right now and manages Sarissa Capital. The other plays of his I've done great in are MDCO, MRTX, ACHN, ALXN and MRSN.

State Street, Blackrock, and Baker Bros are in BCRX too.

Another two I think are close to a BO are VBIV and LJPC...I've been in both for a year+

VBIV - Hepatitis B Vaccine is already FDA approved so slightly less risky. Julian Edelman is the guy to look into there, he is a longtime investor Forbes named the 41% man because he has turned 3-5 Million into becoming a billionaire himself with perceptive Advisors. Another one they purposely manipulated down, just to get a larger stake. 

LJPC - Giapreza is a vasoconstrictor to increase blood pressure and keep people alive, it has been FDA approved for a little while, they originally botched the rollout on their own, and then Kevin Tang bought the largest position in the company as it tanked. His goal is to get a BO and his average is well above current prices.

Yeah I made my first buy…

Yeah I made my first buy around $1.70 and kept averaging up. I was planning to sell about 25% around $15. But now will hold for a while. Good news is I have complete faith in this company, their management, their drug pipeline (Orladeyo, Factor D, and Galidesivir), and they just secured a bunch of cash from their partnership so they don't need to dilute any more.

Thank you good sir, keep up…

Thank you good sir, keep up the sick dangles in hockey!

So silly, but has made me…

So silly, but has made me laugh

Thanks, this made me laugh!…

Thanks, this made me laugh! I traveled for work a lot pre-COVID, so I have headphone as soon as I'm through security, even if I'm not listening to music or on a call. It lets everyone know that you do NOT want to talk.

Amazon lost money for I…

Amazon lost money for I believe their first 12 years as a publicly traded company...Heard of Tesla? Go look into them. 

Sorry for being too sarcastic, but all small/mid-cap pharmas lose money their first several years...it takes that long to create a company with the goal of creating a new drug and get through FDA testing, and then even rolling out a new drug can be time consuming and expensive. That's why a lot of them sell their drug to a big pharma shortly before or after FDA approval. This is literally the entire space.

But are you comfortable…

But are you comfortable predicting your next election results?

Be careful with short…

Be careful with short positions. I just never do it personally, unless I have call options and it's just a short term hedge.

With that said, nicely done on being all cash pre-COVID. I just kept buying and used a good amount of my dry powder when that happened.

Agree completely, that's…

Agree completely, that's what I think is so interesting. What if they start getting a few people to do strong due diligence and then only go after highly shorted, undervalued, solid stocks? Then the hedge funds could actually go from shorting (just so they can drive the price down and buy retail investors shares at a discount - I can name LOTS of examples of this in biopharmas) to buying as they realize they can't overcome WSB. It will make them have to cover and buy if they still want a larger piece of the company

I have a few shares, I enjoy…

I have a few shares, I enjoy it. But basically just playing with them since 2 weeks ago. Sold about 20% of my shares so the rest are free.

Surprised OSU jumped Iowa

Surprised OSU jumped Iowa

I believe with this week’s…

I believe with this week’s games, now it is:

1. Gonz 10-0

2. Bay 9-0

3. KU 8-2 (Crushed by Texas on Saturday)

4. Vill 8-1

5. Hou 7-1 (L 65-64 vs un-ranked Tulsa)

6. Wisc 9-2 (L 70-64 to Maryland)

7. Tenn 7-1 (L 71-63 to Alabama)

8. Tex 8-1

9. WVU 8-3 (2 Ls vs Kansas and unranked Oklahoma)

10. Iowa 9-2

11. Creigh 8-2

12. Mizz 7-1 (L 73-53 to Tennessee)

13. Tex Tech 8-3 (L 82-77 to unranked Okla St)

14. Rutg 7-2 (L 77-75 to Iowa)

15. ILL 8-3

16. Mich 8-0 (with a win in the NW game tonight would be 9-0)

So looking at everything above, I think Michigan would for sure pass WVU, Missouri, Tx Tech, Rutgers, and Illinois. That would move us up to 11 at the worst, with a chance to pass Creighton, Iowa, and Tennessee...so I think 8-11 would be the range.

 

These are great questions,…

These are great questions, and I'd be curious to see what everyone says to this because I'm sure it's quite different for everyone. 

I generally research stocks/look at what strategies I want to use for about 1-2 hours a day, and then more on the weekends. Due to my job, I'm barely able to trade during day hours, so I want longer term plays - for example I thought there was a good swing trade on Luckin after it crashed, but I knew I'd miss it and don't want to be trying to be faster than Wall Street.

For my largest positions, I generally start with starter positions and then continuously buy as I learn more and more. I'd guess VBIV I now have done over 200 hours of research on since last October. BCRX is starting to get up there, and the more I own the more I have to remind myself not to get too in love with a few stocks. 

2) This is really all that matters. Can I beat VOO and SPY (my two favorite S&P 500 ETFs)? Like I said I'm younger, so I am always trying to remind myself that I need to worry more about the bear markets going forward just because of my predispositions. But yes, the last year to date going back to 7/21/2019, I'm up 589% right now. First to admit these last two years have been by far my best (think all of 2019 I was around 380% before taxes). I have tracked how I've fared vs the S&P 500 since I started trading and I have only done worse in 2 years where my favorite stocks were going down and I kept averaging down. Trading is something I absolutely love, and I've been thinking of making a career out of it, but I hate how most money managers make money which has always been why I just give friends/family my advice via text.

Great call on AZN. I tend to…

Great call on AZN. I tend to agree that long-term evaluations have rebounded way too fast for the current market outlook.

I have a trader friend who shorted the crash with volatility with calls/put options and if it had reached full value would have turned $20,000 into around $5MM....of course he sold at around $500,000 because everyone who isn't loaded would have (I wouldn't have made that much). It made him money on the way down though, so now he has loved the recovery. I've actually started looking at TVIX again.

People might laugh but I…

People might laugh but I think this is great advice. The only reason I will look on down days is to average down on some of my favorites...if I liked it at $10 p/s, and no news has changed the outlook, then why wouldn't I want more at $8?

I like Delta a lot of the…

I like Delta a lot of the airline stocks it was the one I picked when everything was tanking, but still about even on that. I chose Goldman on the banking front, and am out of that position now. I also still own my Boeing that I got around $120 (averaged down) as I don't believe the US government would ever allow it to fail.

What other picks is she making recently, I think Netflix was a great pick that I completely missed.

Hmmm like SKYY a lot, solid…

Hmmm like SKYY a lot, solid etf to buy calls on too didn’t know you could. Thanks I’ll look into this

Yeah should have put in some…

Yeah should have put in some losers...that’s my bad but those two definitely hurt. See above. Lost my ass on an ETF that crashed, and then to add another, still bag holding ADMA (medical stock) from $4.50

While I agree that having a…

While I agree that having a lot of ETFs and mutual funds (I’m younger so I prefer ETFs for now) are the way to go with a large percentage of your money, I have significantly beat the average over the years with my personal wins. With that said, I am down 97% on a small stock I bought last year, and was in an ETF that the algorithm crashed and went to zero...so I’m not going to tell you there are zero risks. I don’t think anyone is a savant, but there are definitely solid things where you can know more than “Wall Street” especially when it comes to bio stocks and other tricky fields if you know the science (i don’t but have great friends who do)

Nicely done! Wish I you have…

Nicely done! Wish I you have talked me into keeping my SHOP haha

Okay I like that, who are…

Okay I like that, who are your favorite Oligarchs?

I did well on SNAP and if it…

I did well on SNAP and if it holds above it's IPO I might get back in above what I sold it at about a year ago. TWTR is interesting as someone who loved FB and just recently sold...I don't know if they can capture the young as well as IG, SNAP and now Tik Tok do, so they will need to decide how to stay as relevant going forward. What do you like about DBX?

Interesting, I like ESPO and…

Interesting, I like ESPO and am kicking myself for not getting in earlier. I don't know enough about Peloton to have an opinion, might look into their financials.

We had 60+ people playing…

We had 60+ people playing and almost all our accounts went to zero stars. So that’s probably a large part of the falloff. Sorry we used a few burner emails, but this really soured our fun as we were texting about moves and having some fun on which people got MVPs. I gave you some of the accounts a few days ago, and never got any response as a bunch of others got cancelled...

CFB, any update on any of…

CFB, any update on any of our accounts. We have now all been given open stars. Guessing they think we all have alt accounts but this really sucks because that's not the case. Our group has kept putting in moves, but it doesn't look like any of them are counting. Let me know if there is nothing you can do and we will all just quit

Any chance you were able to…

Any chance you were able to help with the accounts I posted?

Any luck getting this fixed?…

Any luck getting this fixed? They still weren't active today

It sounds like at least 4…

It sounds like at least 4 groups/families have an issue. Here is what they sent me:

Datsyuk1390, CHags62, Chags12, CourtBlue90

Walkerac05, MichHockey05, APPenguin05, APPenguins05, LateBlue05

AMurt99, WeSuck99, WolverBlue95, WolverBlue62, NewestBlue95

Mobile-Cookie, GoBlueRisk, RiskyWolveriness

Thanks. Sorry, the person who started this told people they could use his junk email and I'm guessing these are the groups who did.

 

It looks like my fear that a…

It looks like my fear that a lot of them using the same junk email caused a big issue. Today a lot of people texted in that they are all 1 stars and there stars aren't filled in. All of their streaks are still in tact. Can I give you all of their user names to get this fixed?

I should point out that they…

I should point out that they are Finish so it’s a lot of people

Okay, I messaged our big…

Okay, I messaged our big group and two families replied. One household said they have always followed their orders but they are using the same laptop and now just MichiganCFBRisk isn’t working for them. 
 

The other said that today (for the first time) their stars were all hollow and they are using a cell phone. I also know this family used the same email that our group used as a burner. So this looks like the only issue where they have been cancelled. Please let us know because that will be a decent amount of power that our team will lose and they aren’t cheating at all

Like I mentioned in other…

Like I mentioned in other threads, a big group of my friends got me into playing this, and now I have my family and other friends joining too, and some of them said yesterday or two days ago that when they went to MichiganCFBRisk to get an order it said "Blacklisted for non-compliance or being flagged for alternate creation"...We just told them to double up on some of our orders. After reading this I wanted to make sure we weren't getting our accounts flagged for this. I know some of them used burner email accounts to create their reddit accounts because they didn't want spam so I'm guessing that could be the issue. Thanks

For all 200+ of you who…

For all 200+ of you who haven't joined but had time to read this post and comment...I'm just going to leave this here for you...

https://michigancfbrisk.com/

For all 200+ of you who…

For all 200+ of you who haven't joined but had time to read this post...I'm just going to leave this here for you...

https://michigancfbrisk.com/

You can always create a…

You can always create a different reddit account and use it on a different browser...that would probably be easiest. You can also help as chaos to hit OSU.

Yes, below the map on the…

Yes, below the map on the main page there is a link for “See past maps” and it would show you all the past days.

 

Also, you can see how every team deployed their troops and their odds for each territory at the top left by clicking “Team Odds”

When you are at https:/…

When you are at https://collegefootballrisk.com/ you can look in the upper left and you are at "Home"

Below this is the map, and you can click on each territory and it will show you the name of it, and who currently owns it (Yellow are the territories Michigan currently owns).

When you scroll down below that map, Defend will be on the Left and Attack will be on the right. You can defend a territory we already own (if that was your order) or attack a territory we are touching.

The slightly confusing part at first is that If you "attack Hawaii" you are actuallly attacking Georgia Tech who currently owns Hawaii. Please recognize that we are allied with Nebraska and Texas, and against OSU, Wisco, TA&M and Georgia Tech

Quick Question CFB Risk:

Quick Question CFB Risk:

Any luck on getting Clemson, Oklahoma, and Stanford (aka Chaos) to give up on trying to eliminate Texas and join our alliance? To me this could easily be the deciding factor in this game and right now it's going against us.