UM Opens -6.5 over Wisky, up to -7.5

Submitted by FauxMo on October 7th, 2018 at 7:09 PM

Wow. I really expected -3 or so. This line scares me...

WolverineHistorian

October 7th, 2018 at 7:57 PM ^

It would be funny to go back and read the thread when the line for the Nebraska game came out.  From what I remember, I'd say 90% of the people here were dumbfounded about us being favored by 18 and that it was waaaaaay too big.  The majority thought we'd win by 10 (myself included...I was even a little nervous.) 

We won by 46. 

LSAClassOf2000

October 7th, 2018 at 7:18 PM ^

Why do I have this feeling that the odds and lines on this game throughout the week will make me think of that line in Airplane! - "He's all over the place - 900 feet, up to 1,300 feet - what an asshole!" ?

lhglrkwg

October 7th, 2018 at 7:18 PM ^

[Ed: Adrian. Oops] Martinez did just pass for almost 400 yards on them. This the same dude who passed for 22 against us. This ain’t the Wisconsin defense of yesteryear. I can see it from an outsiders perspective. 

DrMantisToboggan

October 7th, 2018 at 10:10 PM ^

That's only because of who they've played. S&P has them at 55th overall defense despite a really good ppg - that's because they've given up a ton of yards to bad teams and a probably not going to stop those yards from translating to points against, say, S&P top 25 offenses. S&P's side of the ball metrics show what the team would be expected to give up to an average offense. They have Wisconsin at 27.8, which should tell you about the offenses they've played given that they're giving up only 16ppg.

MJ14

October 7th, 2018 at 7:27 PM ^

Martinez had 384 yards passing and Nebraska had a receiver go over 200 yards. Michigans passing game ought to come to life in this game!! 

HAIL-YEA

October 7th, 2018 at 7:32 PM ^

If we were healthy on the D-line I would say we cover easy. With Dwumfour and Kemp out this will be more of a challenge. If we can stop the run though we might roll them.

Nervous Bird

October 7th, 2018 at 7:38 PM ^

I don't gamble, but that's larger than I thought it'd be. Apparently, Michigan's performances, and home field, have made believers out of the oddsmakers. With Wisconsin's defense being less than stellar, while their offense trends towards being one-dimensional, an argument can definitely be made that Michigan wins this game easily. I won't make that argument, though. I see a tough fought game with slightly more offense than 2016, but with a similar result. Wisconsin's running game is better. However, I trust Michigan's defense, quarterback, and passing attack more. 

A late td puts this game away for Michigan 31-17

 

Nervous Bird

October 7th, 2018 at 9:23 PM ^

Ahh, the old memory is fading. Yes, O'Neill was the 'trouble-with-the-snap' guy. Kenny Allen, from Fenton by the way, pulled double duty on the 2016 team. He was both a decent punter and a decent fg kicker. I'm surprised that he didn't latch on with an NFL team. Maybe he should call the Packers in the morning.

Nervous Bird

October 7th, 2018 at 9:23 PM ^

Ahh, the old memory is fading. Yes, O'Neill was the 'trouble-with-the-snap' guy. Kenny Allen, from Fenton by the way, pulled double duty on the 2016 team. He was both a decent punter and a decent fg kicker. I'm surprised that he didn't latch on with an NFL team. Maybe he should call the Packers in the morning.

The Fan in Fargo

October 7th, 2018 at 8:28 PM ^

I forgot all about that. That Wiscy team was good and playing good. I'd say easily better than their team this year. Michigan could've opened that game up. That was like the first time that Speight connected on a deep pass to any receiver that year and we all thought the offense was going to become untouchable. Man I'm glad Shea is there now. I'd be pulling my hair out if old Wilton was still there taking the majority of the snaps.

TrueBlue2003

October 8th, 2018 at 1:50 PM ^

I mean, if Michigan just had normal Kenny Allen that game, they would have won comfortably.  He was 0-2 that game (and the coaches probably yanked him too quickly) and 19/21 in all other games that year.  In fact, he would go on to make ALL 15 of his FGs after that game.

Pretty sure he is the most accurate Michigan kicker in history at over 80 percent.

Just a fluky game.