a terrible blight on our fine country
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|6 days 22 hours ago||MSU last year||
had already taken a big step back defensively according to the advanced stats: 22nd in S&P+ and 40th in FEI.
|6 days 23 hours ago||I had the same thought||
as the comment you responded to, and it seems like you confirmed the criticism by pointing out that it is opponent adjusted already.
I do think it is very misleading to show the overall opponent adjusted numbers, show the opponents themselves, then discount the overall numbers that have already been adjusted for opponent. I'm not sure what we are taking with a grain of salt here: the overall advanced metrics or the traditional tempo-biased, non-opponent-adjusted stats? Because if it's the latter, I totally agree.
Appreciate the effort put in. Thank you.
|1 week 20 hours ago||Tempo||
The '97 team probably compares so well statistically to more recent defenses because no one was upping the tempo then. So on a per game basis, they look far better, but I'd be curious how recent defenses compare on a per drive basis.
|1 week 21 hours ago||This series of responses was perfect!||
You guys have 11 touchdowns on 14 trips to the red zone this year. What’s been the key to getting that part of the offense going?
“Good execution in the red zone.”
How important is it to have that to get this offense where it needs to be?
“Yeah, very important.”
Can you talk about Maurice Ways? We’ve seen a bit more of him lately. What has he done to put himself in that position?
“Yeah, there’s a good question...[Finally!]
|1 week 1 day ago||Tradition? Exposure?||
We haz those things. If that actually matters to him, our tradition and exposure is far better. Crazy fans? Yes, their's are much crazier, albeit in far fewer numbers. I think recent success (leading to likely future success) and proven coaching (that gets guys to the NFL) is the much stronger draw for kids, and we of course, had been lacking in those categories for a while.
I'm not super up on recruiting. My guess is we've lost head-to-head battles to them for guys from the South which are harder to pluck away from home. Is that the case?
|1 week 1 day ago||2nd half||
He protected the football, didn't take unnecessary chances. I think we got exactly what we expected (in the preseason) and what we wanted from Rudock yesterday. He chose not to go to some open guys in the second half, but with the lead and our defense, being super conservative sounds like exactly what he was coached to do, based on Harbaugh's postgame comments. Seemed like a very good game from him yesterday, given the situation and playcalling.
|1 week 1 day ago||Tough to say we should||
Even if those win percentages below are correct, and I do think it's reasonable to be favored in the next 7 games, given what we know right now, we still only have a 13% chance of actually winning all of the next 7. So to say that we SHOULD enter the final game with one loss is a stretch.
It isn't just a pipedream though. Those aren't horrible odds! Harbaugh!
|1 week 1 day ago||Counting the conf champ game||
4.5% chance of winning out regular season, 2.6% of doing that and winning the conf champ game. I think the dankbro just meant the odds of winning out for the regular season.
|1 week 2 days ago||Exactly||
if we take care of business the next two weeks, nothing else matters (like the polls) until Oct 17. But, dare I say, it's looking more and more like that game is a push or even favorable for us at home.
|1 week 3 days ago||Crazy to think||
that McNabb had a good, long career, but it still seems like he's been out of the NFL forever, and Tom Brady is looking as good as ever. What a career.
|2 weeks 4 hours ago||QB Rating, Passer rating...||
The most common statistical metric used to rate QBs. Gardner was 94th last year: http://espn.go.com/college-football/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/collegeQuarterbackRating/year/2014/count/81
He was 79th in ESPN's proprietary Total QBR, which takes into account a QBs rushing and other non-passing contributions.
I admitted that it was the coaching, scheme, o-line, etc. that put him in a terrible place to succeed. It's a shame we didn't get to see him do what he was recruited to do. I have no doubt he could have been college Tim Tebow in the right situation. But in a pro style, poorly schemed, poorly blocked offense, he performed like pro Tim Tebow in an offense not fit for him.
Apologize if it seemed like piling on because DG remains one of the best people to ever put on the winged helmet. Amazing ambassador of the school who continues to be a class act.
I think that's also why we're rooting so hard for Shane. We all hope he becomes amazing, but to expect it and to think he's a bust if he doesn't, is unfair. There are many 5 star QBs and most of them don't make it to the NFL, many of them don't end up being top-notch players in college and that's okay.
|2 weeks 20 hours ago||Gutierrez||
lost out to an NFL QB and still made it to the NFL (after transferring) so he was obviously pretty good. Just not the best QB on a team with a great QB. That's what happens when you have an embarrassment of riches at QB. Sort of like Matt Cassel never starting for USC but eventually being an NFL starter.
Richard gave it a shot for a year, but after losing out to a good QB and having other options (MLB), he left.
We have kind of the opposite problem right now, but I imagine with Harbaugh getting multiple guys per class, we'll return to having several good QBs to the point where some have to transfer to show their skills.
|2 weeks 21 hours ago||How about||
Devin Gardner? Similar recruiting profile to Morris (borerline 5 star) and by year 2-3 he was playing WR, which is about as telling about his prospects at QB as a year three redshirt. He was the 94th rated QB in his senior season per ESPN. By any objective metric he was terrible, and only started for lack of a better option. I don't blame him, because his his line, coaches and scheme were not good for him, but he was bad.
If Harbaugh didn't get Rudock for this season, Morris would have been pressed into similar duty out of necessity and it would not have been pretty. For all the frustration about Rudock, imagine having someone not even close out there.
|2 weeks 22 hours ago||On the other hand||
Harbaugh has been very transparent about where he thinks guys are, for the stated reason of competition. In this very interview, he flat out says Braden is the number five. He has shown absolutely no inclination to pad guys egos, and seems to want starters to think/know they need to get in gear to keep their spots. I think he would love it if someone was pressing Rudock, and wishes he could say that there are guys pressing for that job.
Unfortunately, I think the writing is just very clearly on the wall that Morris isn't what anyone hoped and expected at this point. It happens, especially with QBs. Hard to translate high school ball to college, and a strong arm alone isn't going to get the job done.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||It's here in CA||
Love that I can get me some Two Hearted at several places near my place in Venice Beach. I have no idea all the places it's distributed but it does well in an area dominated by west coast IPAs.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Makes a lot more sense||
That explains the drinking and the 72 hour round trip for which skipping college classes is entirely reasonable. Oh, college. Such good times!
Terrible thread title.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Also||
good lord, when your graduation rate is so low, you probably weed out many of the lower earning people (UofP is mostly working professionals).
The annual tuition paid per graduate is six figures! Highway robbery these for-profit schools are.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||"kill us"?||
Ivy league schools are much smaller, much more expensive private schools so comparing average data on them to UM is useless and not even remotely apples to apples.
Our closest peer group, some of whom you supposedly looked up, includes UC-Berkeley (62k), UCLA (58k), UVA (58k) and UNC (50k) and those schools do not at all kill us (57k). If one included relative salaries by markets in which graduates choose to live, I would bet the COLA adjusted avg salary for UM would top this group.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Absolutely||
I think this is entirely a regional difference.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||"Crazy" or "Genius"||
This sounds like a really fun opportunity for high schoolers. Great for them.
Growing up in (West) Michigan, about half of my HS friends were MSU fans and half were UM fans, so this would have been one of those rare opportunities to join together for one cool football experience.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||California definitely #1||
but Oregon is not at all one dimensional. Cascade and Double Mountain make some of best sours in the country. Logsdon makes, I think, the best farmhouse ales in the country (but one could make an argument for Hill Farmstead or even Jester King or Jolly Pumpkin). Hair of the Dog is highly versatile, and the list goes on and on.
I would argue MI to be more limited in it's versatililty because aside from the suberb stouts and a few really excellent IPAs (and the aforementioned Jolly Pumpkin), MI has yet to really go deep on the whole, IMO.
I'd rank the states: #1 CA, #2 OR, #3 CO, #4 MI
|21 weeks 4 days ago||Because Doyle and Donnal||
Are that good? Yeah, it wouldn't make any sense to give some of their minutes to a 5*.
|21 weeks 4 days ago||2016-2017||
Those guys won't be on the court for two more years. Center is easily be position of greatest need for this upcoming season. If they fill the open spot this year, do they still have a spot for PG next year? If so, you absolutely take a 5* center for this year. Even if you don't have a spot, I think you take him and ride with a senior Wlaton and MAAR at point in 2016 if you have to.
|24 weeks 4 days ago||It appeared||
that Jeff Meyer was killing it in Indiana with the run of McGary, GRIII, Irvin and Bacari was doing work to the point where we had two classes in a row that were right up there with the best. But that recruiting momentum has surprisingly tapered off a bit. I figured it would have sustained after Beilien demonstrated such excellent player development skills. Good thing he's still the best identifier of undervalued talent.
|24 weeks 4 days ago||Defense||
You only mention offense here which is far less important to be able to play "above the rim". Skilled post guys and finishers off the pick and roll are just fine. Look at the insane efficiency of Jordan Morgan. He was an outstanding finisher on offense. It didn't matter much that he was making layups or dunks. Part of that is the genius of Beilien's offense too.
Playing "above the rim" is far more important on the defensive end where a long and athletic player can block and alter shots and get more rebounds. We got absolutely murdered on the interior this year around the rim (and are typically average at best in this regard) without any kind of shot blocking presence. Opponent 2pt% was very high against us.
The best you can hope for in a below the rim defensive guy is to be in the right spots, keep post guys in front, take charges, and box out for rebounds. "Below the rim" defenders (Morgan, Doyle, most of the guys we recruit) are taught in most cases to not leave their feet to attempt a block (low likehood of success and high likehood of foul), just get your hands up and turn and block out. A below the rim defender can be fairly effective with high discipline, but what is more effective is someone that can do all those things and block shots without fouling much and sky for rebounds that don't come directly to them.
This guy does not look like he'll be an above the rim defender, but he's young and could grow.
|24 weeks 4 days ago||But none of them||
are the kind of athletic we would need to not get dominated in the post, is what he's saying, because that was the theory presented by the OP. If the attempt was to try to not get dominated in the post, Beilien would have pursued longer, shot-blocking rim protectors. But that's not what he's done.
He's just recruited another below-the-rim skilled big man, who can finish around the rim but probably won't have any more success on the defensive side than Morgan or Doyle had the past two years against bigger teams. And there's nothing wrong with that. We've had pretty good success with Beileins current style. That style has been making sure every player has skill on offense and needs to be accounted for, and we sacrifice a bit on the defensive end to be able to have that.
|25 weeks 22 hours ago||I think||
the correct adjustment would be to give every second rounder in the analysis at least 3 YoS, since each first rounder was arbitrarily gauranteed that many. You'd be taking too much away from the first rounders if you dropped the first three from theirs, since some of them would have at least earned some of those first three years.
|25 weeks 22 hours ago||Devil's Advocate||
The D-league is a 100% developmental league (by definition!). You make it sound like street ball with guys playing selfishly to get that 10-day contract. It's exactly the other way around. The guys in the D-leaugue have a singlular focus to be a role player in the NBA. The parent team is telling each guy what he needs to do to be able to play a role in the league and they're coached to play that role regardless of winning or losing. They are able to work on exactly what they need to work on to be a contributor in the NBA (unless they play for Sacto's team, but even then you could argue that they're working on a style for which they'd have a better chance to make money than a more standard style which clearly no team thought they were good enough for).
The pressure on college teams to win often leads to players playing in roles that they'll never use in the NBA, but will help their college teams win. Take Branden Dawson for example. He's never going to be a post player in the NBA but Izzo had him playing in power forward doing everything within 15 feet of the basket. His only chance of having a long term NBA career was to develop some sort of jumper, but because it would have been bad for MSU to let him try to develop that in college, he's going to have to try it overseas or in the D-league and he's already a couple years behind where he could be. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure MSU worked on his shot plenty, and he likely would have never would have developed it anyway, but this argument is completely backwards. Similar story to GR3 playing the 4 and Irvin playing the 4. It's crazy (for his development) that Zach Irvin is being asked to gaurd post players when he could and should be honing his perimeter defense.
Because the d-league doesn't worry about wins and losses, it can worry about developing players in the roles best suited for them, whereas the pressure to win in college can and often does cause players to play roles that best serve the team but not the players professional future.
|25 weeks 5 days ago||3 pt shooting||
I feel like 43% as just a corner gunner down to 35% as "mostly the guy" isn't that surprising or that bad. If we assume he's about a 39% guy, is a 4% deviation really that crazy? Wonder what the typical season to season variation is for his position.
What concerns me the most about his efficiency this year is his microscopic FT rate and surprisingly poor FT% for a shooter, and relatively low 2pt%. I wonder how his FT rate changed as he became "the guy" late in the year and was driving and kicking a lot more. He seems to have an uncanny knack for getting shots blocked in the interior, which accounts for the low 2pt% and FT rate. He needs to figure out how to avoid the block and draw contact.
|25 weeks 5 days ago||It's not "allowed"||
but like other fouls, it doesn't always get called. The first one was incidental, and actually Irvin kind of went scissors with his legs to initiate contact. The second one was absolutely a foul and probably gets called more often than not.