Poole leaving due to ball screens?

Submitted by AC1997 on April 24th, 2019 at 10:52 AM

Dylan over at UMHoops posted a fantastic piece this morning about the role of "ball screens" in Jordan Poole's decision to go pro.  It sounds like he's been getting some advice from his inner circle that might not match the stats.  Here's the link:

https://umhoops.com/2019/04/24/ball-screens-jordan-poole-michigans-offense-future/

(You should really subscribe for the quality content Dylan regularly posts.)  

Here are a couple of quotes from the piece worth sharing - but go read the whole thing:

The unforgiving truth is that if Jordan Poole had played as well in January, February, and March as he did in November and December — even with a similar usage of ball screen possessions — then this conversation would be different.

He also discusses whether we need more iso players or not:

I’d lean in the other direction. The key to making the Simpson-Teske pick-and-roll as efficient as possible is surrounding it with weapons who don’t need the ball in their hands to be effective.

Maximinus Thrax

April 24th, 2019 at 11:26 AM ^

I think there is a valuable conversation to be had as to whether or not he has legitimate beefs for the way he was utilized this year or whether he is projecting his shortcomings onto others.  Also, the perennial conversation as to whether or not player X should go pro.

I recall last year nary a soul casting doubts as to whether or not Mo should have gone pro last year.  Neither did we with Trey after 2013.  Shit, I'd like to quite my job but I know that it would cost me a boatload of money in the near-term and long-term.  That's why most of us don't make stupid decisions.  It's not always about what we want.

ijohnb

April 24th, 2019 at 11:31 AM ^

It's a little bit of both.  There is no question that Poole could have done more than he did if he was the focal point of the offense, but to that I would ask, had he ever watched Michigan before he chose to play here?  With Beilein, "the offense" is the star of the offense.  Players thrive at Michigan by being able to be a really effective cog in the wheel.  The offense does not cater to particular players.  That is just the way it is here.

cobra14

April 24th, 2019 at 11:24 AM ^

His dad at this point is as infuriating as watching his son do his own thing on the court in key moments of big games. 

Cali Wolverine

April 24th, 2019 at 11:25 AM ^

Poole had some great moments at Michigan...but I don’t understand why everyone is so undone by this.  He was a good player...not a great player.  He will be lucky to get drafted and stick with an NBA team (but has the size athleticism that it is not a total pipe dream)...but if he is ready to go...ok...not a big deal...someone else will shine for Beilein.

mGrowOld

April 24th, 2019 at 12:22 PM ^

Co-signed on that one.

I mean people are acting like this is Freshman Trey Burke packing up his dorm room.  It's not.

!. As you stated - Poole is good but not great.

2. Unlikely he would change much given his physical abilities, personality and Beilein's system dont seem to be meshing well (unlike a young Trey Burke)

outsidethebox

April 24th, 2019 at 2:08 PM ^

When you have a point guard who, pretty much, is so limited and demands virtually no defensive attention there are a lot of issues. Are you really going to argue that being a wing with Burke and Walton correlates with being a wing with Simpson??? And this IS the issue. The opposition clearly figured this team out and next year was/is going to be worse-even if Iggy, Poole and even Matthews stayed. When Michigan struggles to stay above .500 next year the stream of excuses exuding from this board will be most incredible-many, once again, blaming Poole...simply incredible. Poole is well down the list of problems here...he is leaving for good reason.

I said at the beginning of last season that I liked the roster and the team had a high ceiling but the coaches would be greatly challenged to figure things out. Here, this board thought I was nuts but this is exactly what I feared. With that blistering start I was optimistic that they had figured things out. The second half of the season the walls came tumbling down and all the chickens came home to roost. The coaching staff deserves as much criticism for how the season ended as the credit they received for how it started. As crazy as it may sound, this was a bad 30 win season. 

 

ypsituckyboy

April 24th, 2019 at 11:30 AM ^

Jordan Poole's gripe about the offense was really a gripe about the other guys in the lineup that were laying bricks. Simpson can't shoot and that clogs up the offense versus opponents that are reasonably talented on defense. So, most of the time, Michigan had 3 guys on the floor (Matthews, Simpson, and Teske) that were not reliable shooting threats at all. That hurts a guy like Poole since defenses can key on him.

You can't say "Michigan won't be able to win big games with a player who is as limited offensively as Simpson" since the B1G tourney and NCAA Tourney run kinda shows otherwise. But I think that ignores the fact that Michigan got a good bit of luck in that NCAA tourney run. Plus, that team was loaded with guys who were legit threats from behind the 3 pt line and who were good passers. The team this year was almost the polar opposite.

Any guy is going to look less effective when the guys around him can't shoot well, but I think Simpson's effectiveness suffers to a particularly large degree by that given his strengths and weaknesses.

Spontaneous Co…

April 24th, 2019 at 11:38 AM ^

I stick by a comment I made awhile ago.  Poole and Matthews leaving will improve the team offensively.  Matthews was a bad offensive player and efforts to run sets for him were a waste.  Poole is a highly skilled offensive player who showed flashes but sets for him were equally inefficient.  He should not be a primary ball handler and creator.  He is terrible at it.  His handle is super loose, he would make about 5 moves that created zero space for himself and were not at all directed at getting teammates open, and then he would take an ill-advised shot or pass the ball back to Z, who can't shoot, and would then have 8 seconds left on the shot clock to do something.  The team's incredible defense (of which Matthews was a HUGE part) resulted in two very, very successful years.  So I would never say we would have been better without them or say that they were not valuable contributors.  And Poole's flashes were absolutely impressive and entertaining.  But the team certainly can improve in his absence.  If Poole gets it together defensively, I could see him having a decent NBA career - lofty ceiling would fall somewhere short of Ray Allen. 

andidklein

April 24th, 2019 at 11:53 AM ^

So what came first, his decision to leave or his inability to hit the broad side of a barn? Pretty sure they both happened at the same time 

Fezzik

April 24th, 2019 at 12:02 PM ^

"The team the team the team" is dead. Captain Higdon put this mantra in the coffin by sitting out the bowl game and Poole hammered the nails into it by going pro in January. We need more WE players not ME players.

NeverPunt

April 24th, 2019 at 12:13 PM ^

This should only further cement the idea it was good for him to move on to the league or wherever he ends up. Michigan shouldn't want a guy who's unhappy and wants to play elsewhere on the team - what good does that do anyone? - bad for chemistry, other players development, morale,etc. 

And Jordan shouldn't stick around and be unhappy and 'stick it out' for another year just because fans think he might be better off. He can go develop in a system that fits him better in his mind and try to make some money.

He might end up being "wrong" and could have been drafted higher or developed better our coaching staff but that's a hypothetical and its equally likely the opposite is true. if you're mad about this it's because you want him to be on the team and play better next year or to have played better this year or something. That's obviously not an option so why are you mad? move on. The players and coaches don't seem to be upset about it.

Michifornia

April 24th, 2019 at 12:24 PM ^

I rooted for him and wish him well in the future.  I'm just glad he sucked the last half of the year so it's not as painful that he's leaving.

GO BLUE!!

bacon1431

April 24th, 2019 at 12:26 PM ^

I do think Jordan needed more opportunities with the ball in his hands to grow as a player. But I do not think that was what was best for the team to be at its best. Poole was just wildly inconsistent this year. He had that stretch in December and early January where it looked like he was heading toward a Stauskas like breakthrough. But it didn't happen. He had opportunities but didn't take advantage of them. He needed to work through them, but the way the team was constructed did not allow him to work through them. I think he could improve with another year, but it's not a guarantee. 

He's a draftable player IMO. I'd take a flyer on him in the second half of the second round. Could end up a pretty nice piece if he develops physically and gains some consistency. 

harmon98

April 24th, 2019 at 12:37 PM ^

hashtag no bad days

Good luck to Jordan and his family. Beilein will recruit a player and coach him up to fill the void.

Rinse. Lather. Repeat.

JamieH

April 24th, 2019 at 12:40 PM ^

I think Poole is nuts.  Good scorers should LOVE playing with a PG like Simpson because he will get you the ball when you are open and put the ball right in your breadbasket.  So, when you play with a guy like that, get open, and get ready to score when you get the ball.


Poole was rather ineffective at playing iso ball.  The entire team lacked players that were effective late in the shot clock when the play broke down.  Poole got a TON of opportunities to show he was our "go-to-guy" and he never seized it.

The reality is, if Poole was an offensive star, he would have been lighting it up on a regular basis for us.  I can understand him wanting the ball more often because, that's a pretty standard complaint for players.  But I think the idea that he would have been a star if he had the ball a ton seems just wrong to me.  He's a shooting guard with the ability to get to the rim, not a point guard.  Look at what Stauskas was able to accomplish in that same role.  He turned himself into a first round pick in just 2 years. 

Oh well, if he didn't want to be here, then he wasn't going to be a good locker room presence.  I liked him, but no point in keeping a malcontent around.

Marvin

April 24th, 2019 at 12:45 PM ^

Anyone who has played a sport knows that team chemistry is huge -- one the court/field and off. One or two guys can ruin it. I don't know if Poole was that guy, but it's starting to sound like it a little. 

Naked Bootlegger

April 24th, 2019 at 12:49 PM ^

Here's what I'll say about Poole and his ability as a playmaker.  Go back and watch the first half of the Wisconsin game in Madison.  I attended that game.   Poole was lights out with the ball in his hands.  He was electric. This trait was unfortunately inconsistent, but I caught a glimpse of what Poole could be.   That's when I truly saw Ace's vision.   As a selfish UM fan, I wanted one more year to see if JP could perform at that level on a consistent basis.   I'm just sad that it won't happen at Crisler and other Big 10 courts next winter.

footballguy

April 24th, 2019 at 1:05 PM ^

I feel like his struggles were overstated and his talent was overstated. Poole is definitely very talented, but we're talking about the NBA - he is not exactly "special" by their standards. He has his work cut out for him but he could definitely have a nice NBA career

AC1997

April 24th, 2019 at 1:05 PM ^

I posted this link because to me this is new information about Poole and his recent (within the last 24 hours) decision to go public with the finality of his decision.  We're all ready to move on...but that won't really happen until the roster shakes out and we get other topics to discuss.  The fact that Poole announced yesterday he wasn't coming back and the news about "ball screens and Simpson" being part of the reason was new information. As was the statement that he made this decision a long time ago. 

I think there's some truth to the fact that having non-shooters on the floor hurt spacing, which perhaps hurt Poole's ability to be Stauskas as some hoped.  At the same time, Stauskas played with GR3 (about the same shooter as Matthews) and Morgan/McGary (both non-shooting bigs) and didn't seem too restricted.  The UMHoops piece points out that Poole's ball-screen opportunities were only slightly lower than Stauskas.  

It is probably best for all at this point that he leave and we move on.....but thinking that his development was being held back by Beilein and Simpson is probably not a good reason to put your name in the draft.  I wish him the best of luck but I hope he has some people in his inner circle that will be honest with him and help him plan for non-NBA outcomes.  

bronxblue

April 24th, 2019 at 2:02 PM ^

It was good to share.  

What got me with the announcement was that he sorta blamed the offense and the players in it, even when he claimed not to be.  Had he just said "I think I'm ready for the next step in my career and I wish my old teammates the best", nobody would have particularly cared.  But the whole "I'm not saying it's Simpson's fault at all but...<issues with Simpson>" rubbed me the wrong way, especially when taken in the context that the reason they did make Simpson the primary ballhandler was because his limitations offensively had to be protected against because of his defensive performance, while Poole's clear defensive limitations were protected on defense because of his offensive potential.  It just felt like an argument that shit on one guy's limitations while assuming the trade-off didn't apply the other way.

I want Poole to be successful because he seems like a fine person and I'm not one to shit on someone's dreams even if I don't agree with them, but this honestly feels like a rash decision that might not work out as well for him as he'd hope.

sleeper

April 24th, 2019 at 1:07 PM ^

What exactly did his dad think running him off more ball screens was going to create? Teams would have just switched it and he is not good enough to beat guys off the dribble and he would be an awful decision maker coming off of the screens. It's like he thinks that just setting ball screens for him will automatically give him an open three or an easy drive to the basket. 

njvictor

April 24th, 2019 at 1:18 PM ^

It's clear he just wanted a bigger part in the offense that he felt like he wasn't getting. Wanted more ball screens and/or to be the primary ball handler more often

PEACH

April 24th, 2019 at 1:33 PM ^

Jordan is a BETA. That is why his father speaks for him. I don't think he is a bad person. He needs to grow up mentally. I wish him the best.

bronxblue

April 24th, 2019 at 1:55 PM ^

This is what has driven me crazy about the whole Poole situation.  Yes there are some assholes who just shit on a kid for leaving regardless of context, but pointing out that he struggled for more than half the year and has flaws in his game isn't the same as being a hater.  As Dylan and others have noted, the actual on-court performance doesn't mesh with the narrative that he was misused within the offense.  Is Simpson now an ideal PG for Beilein's offense?  Sure.  But this team has been immensely creative on offense over the years to fit the general strengths of it's players, and had Poole had been more consistent my guess is they would have highlighted him more.

But as it stands he was a guy who wasn't particularly efficient offensively once the new year began, and when he wasn't hitting 3s at a fantastic rate he failed to do much else (like get to the rim or generate assists) and struggled defensively.  Nobody is doubting his talent offensively, but remove the name, team, and the shot against Houston and ask yourself if a guy with Poole's resume should be going to the NBA this season.  The answer would likely be "no".

I hope he's successful where he goes, but I still think this is a bad decision for him.  Will he get paid quicker and be able to focus solely on basketball instead of have to balance being a student?  Sure.  But I don't know if he'll get any better preparation in the G-league or Europe (if he doesn't get on an NBA roster, which seems unlikely).

 

stephenrjking

April 24th, 2019 at 2:01 PM ^

The article's analysis is excellent.

There are two sides of this that are both kind of right:

1. Poole struggled. His own poor shooting hurt his performance significantly. He didn't always want to be the guy Michigan needed to be.

2. The offense isn't going to change much next year with Simpson and Teske, and their limitations mean that Poole can continue to be a target of opposing defenses in a way that can damper his ability to produce. When Poole has the ball, Simpson's defender can cheat into the lane. Simpson cannot shoot fast enough or well enough to punish teams for that. The best shape of Michigan's offense, that most engages and challenges the entire defense, is with the ball in Simpson's hands.

I still think Poole would have developed a lot. And I think he hurt himself with his performance, and I think he has some growing up to do and won't get drafted well or at all. But the analysis of where Michigan will be next year is not wrong at all, and I can understand the logic.  

jonnyknox

April 24th, 2019 at 2:15 PM ^

We have seen a NCAA final game and a sweet 16 in his 2 years here with him being a key player on both teams.  That will be his legacy and it's better than most.

Jimmyisgod

April 24th, 2019 at 3:31 PM ^

The 2nd half of the year, teams figured out you don't have to guard Simpson at all, just sag off him because he's not an effective shooter.  Poole has some valid complaints, but he's also way overestimating how good he is.

MoCarrBo

April 24th, 2019 at 9:15 PM ^

Simpson being the reason for his struggles is bullshit. The point guard for the 2014 Michigan team that lost by 3 to Julius Randle in the elite 8 was Freshman Derrick Walton who averaged a whopping 8 points and 3 assists a game.

Stauskas played like a monster that year after being basically a spot up shooter for most of the season prior.

Stauskas was a better ball handler, better passer, better finisher at the rim, better shooter inside the 3 point line and of course lights out from 3. Poole is not where close to his talent level, not even sure he is more athletic and Stauskas is a role player at the next level.

 

Poole wont come close to an NBA roster. I guarantee it.

Squeezebox

April 24th, 2019 at 9:54 PM ^

Everyone here agrees that the team hit a wall at mid-season after a perfect start.  So the question is: how much is due to the Poole attitude affecting team play and how much is due to other teams figuring out the system and finding a way to shut it down?

The team seemed to have lost its offensive flow and creative plays - just going through the motions, at times.

I'll leave it to the better BB minds here to throw in their 2¢.