Michigan's "High-Powered" Offense

Submitted by Brady2Terrell on

http://espn.go.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/20554/the-2010-all-big-ten-teams-award-winners

Apparently the Big Ten coaches and media do not agree that Michigan's offensive weapons are significant - count of players on the media and/or coaches two-deep on offense per team:

10 - Ohio State
10 - Wisconsin
6 - Iowa
5 - Michigan State
4 - Illinois
4 - Michigan
3 - Penn State
3 - Northwestern
2 - Indiana
0 - Minnesota
0 - Purdue

Solidly in the middle, tied with Illinois.  When you expand the count to defense and the honorable mentions, this gets much, much worse (obviously):

34 - Wisconsin
31 - Michigan State
30 - Iowa
28 - Ohio State
20 - Illinois
17 - Penn State
12 - Northwestern
12 - Purdue
11 - Michigan
10 - Indiana
4 - Minnesota

While many on this board may still have faith that we have the talent on this team to compete for a BIg Ten Title next year, the Big Ten coaches and media appear to strongly disagree.

Mitch Cumstein

November 30th, 2010 at 12:57 PM ^

Carr's fault.  Get ready for about 20 of those posts here.

In all honesty though, I think if the defense was better we'd have more offensive players on that list.  W/L's have a lot to do with post-season recognition. 

Brady2Terrell

November 30th, 2010 at 12:59 PM ^

Fewer players than Illinois, Purdue and Northwestern?  3rd from the bottom doesn't equate with our W/L, and if our offense is "great" and defense "horrible," why are we the only ones recognizing it?  It seems to me that the coaches recognized Denard for being a one-man show.

.ghost.

November 30th, 2010 at 12:57 PM ^

We aren't seeing the fruits yet.  We see the potential.  This offense has some glaring weaknesses (fumbles, drops, no clear-cut #1 back), but these are situations that should be remedied as time goes on.  What I see in this offense is limitless potential as these kids grow in strength and smarts.  Those other teams ahead of us are at their ceiling, and good for them.

nazooq

November 30th, 2010 at 1:30 PM ^

It makes perfect sense.  At this stage Denard is more of an offensive curiosity than a guy you'd want to QB your team in a must-win game due to his consistency and fumbling issues.  If he can cut down on the turnovers next year he'll make the first team with ease.

Cbus 91Wolverine

November 30th, 2010 at 3:12 PM ^

Can someone just make me an all-Dreads team?  We're 7-5.  You are what your record says you are.  I'll be disappointed when next year's Big T-E-N team isn't filled with Wolverines.

The smartest thing RR said about youth is that he's got 18 and 19 year olds going against 22, 23 year olds.  That's a big difference physically.  More Barwis for everyone.

There ain't no sense looking up a dead dog's ass...

mgoblue52

November 30th, 2010 at 1:01 PM ^

This offense is about the whole, not the sum of its parts.  For example, we're not likely to have a star, play-making receiver on this offense because we don't throw as many bombs deep that are jump balls.  Our offense is based on players fitting into specific roles in the system, so while we may not reap many individual awards, the product will be solid.

Communist Football

November 30th, 2010 at 1:04 PM ^

So the guys who talk about offensive yardage to say "the offense is awesome" are nuts, but the guys who cite polls about individual players to say "the offense sucks" have got it figured out?  Interesting.

oakapple

November 30th, 2010 at 1:03 PM ^

Post-season awards have always taken winning into account. Denard had great individual statistics. His record, particularly in conference play, was not that good.

This is not to deny his achievement, which would be significant in any league, and in any year. But he had a losing record in the conference. Part of that is attributable to Michigan’s poor defense, but Michigan also had long stretches of offensive ineptitude, especially against the better opponents.

I can fully understand voters who take that into consideration.

profitgoblue

November 30th, 2010 at 1:10 PM ^

This is a stupid conclusion drawn from the Big Ten awards.  The sum of all parts equal the whole.  Just because there are not 11 guys from the offense on the list of best position players, that has no bearing on the effectiveness of the offense.  The converse of that is also true.  Also, as an aside, I'd much rather have one Denard on the list than several other positional players.  In other words, one Denard equals a RB, FB, and at least one WR.

And now I'm pissed that I took time to respond to your thread.  Damn you.

COB

November 30th, 2010 at 1:12 PM ^

This type of piece is a good thing to point at to say that RR has done a good enough job with the talent at hand.  If you blame the "talent at hand" portion on RR, well that is a different story.  This is the same (converse relationship type of same) idea behind Tressel never winnging B10 COTY, "the teams are too talented not to win".  Well, by that logic and in light of this poll, UM shouldn't be winning at the clip of OSU, UW or even Northwestern and Purdue.  Offensively, UM is basically exactly where they actually stand in the B10 this year and in the all encompassing ranking, they have drastically outperformed their player's rankings. 

Sambojangles

November 30th, 2010 at 1:16 PM ^

It's a team game, and individual awards shouldn't matter. That being said, there are plenty of reasons why we are not on the awards list:

This offense is about scheme, not players. Obviously, you need talent, especially at QB and OL, but most of the reason it's successful is because it puts people in space with a chance to make plays. On some of the throws Denard made, the receiver was wide open, because the design of the play took advantage of the defense. Smith and Shaw are not great backs, and they can't power through a line for 3 yards every play, yet we average over 4 YPC because they get open space through Denard's run threat and good OL blocking.

Another reason we are not well-represented is "we should be" is that there are biases all over the media and coaches. QBs are judged on their ability to throw and hand off, not get first downs, so Dan Persa and Tolzien are ahead of Denard and Pryor. WRs are judged on circus catches they make that highlight reels, not little things like getting open or blocking. People have confirmation bias toward the players that they picked in the preseason, so they looked at guys like Kerrigan and Clayborn more closely during the season, and automatically put them ahead of players who may or may not have outplayed them during the season. The fact that Mouton made second team is pretty good evidence of this. Raw statistics, not adjusted for pace or situation are given way too much weight.

Finally, the coaches and media don't have time to watch 44 total games over the course of the Big Ten season. They probably watch 1 or 2 games a weekend, plus the highlights of the others. They don't have nearly enough information to make objective judgements of all the players on all the teams. They are mostly just making these pointless lists up as they go along.

bronxblue

November 30th, 2010 at 1:21 PM ^

I could care less what the coaches in the B10 think about this offense.  If you look up and down these lists in any conference, you'll see guys on there because of their name, the school they play for, etc. that don't make any sense.  I have seen this offense go from one of the worst in the nation to one of the best in 3 years, and that is enough for me. 

jamiemac

November 30th, 2010 at 1:26 PM ^

How many from Michigan made this list a year ago?

Wait, I can answer that.

Last season, not a single Michigan players made either the coaches or medias first or second team all Big 10 on offense.

You're telling me 4 made it this year and its somehow a bad thing?

lol

For the record, offense, defense and honorable mention included, MIchigan had 4 total guys on those lists last year, and three (BG, D-War and Zoltan) were in their final season at MICH.

We have almost three times as many this year. Thats not a bad step towards the top of the league, IMHE. Considering most of the selections this year for MICH are back, plus some stars in the making not on that list (think Denard, Lewan, as examples), I would expect another bump closer to the top in 2011.

kaykaybroke

November 30th, 2010 at 1:32 PM ^

yeah, but the numbers of total offense disagree with you fine sir... Michigan avgs 500.9 yards of total offense per game, that's first in the big ten and second in the nation(?)

...doesn't matter about the talent, if we have the will to execute and move the ball

Tha Quiet Storm

November 30th, 2010 at 1:33 PM ^

the fact that we have such a low number of all-conference performers is obviously much more important than the fact that we are #1 in the conference and #6 in the nation in total offense. OP, as an exercise, why don't you try to name as many of Oregon's starters on offense as you can, not including Darron Thomas or LaMichael James... GO!

Blue_Sox

November 30th, 2010 at 1:49 PM ^

So these stats mean that we have 4 offensive players getting mentioned and 7 on the defense?? Doesn't this alone tell us that you have no point whatsoever?

BlueGoM

November 30th, 2010 at 1:50 PM ^

6 - Iowa

4 - Michigan

30 - Iowa

12 - Purdue

11 - Michigan

And yet Iowa finished the season 7 and 5, Just like Michigan.  Purdue was 4-8 yet somehow had 1 more better player than Michigan?

Undefeated dre…

November 30th, 2010 at 2:07 PM ^

Your vorpal sword swipe at the keep Rich Rod camp instead provides ample evidence of the decimated defense/cupboard was bare meme -- if Michigan can do as well as it did with only 11 'good' players, how will it do when it continues to recruit good to very good classes? (and there's a consensus that Michigan is at least in the top four of the Big 11+2 for recruiting for next year).

I'm at this point highly ambivalent about whether to keep or can the coach, but this is a ridiculous argument.

Papochronopolis

November 30th, 2010 at 2:53 PM ^

Michigan's performance in the last two games essentially killed their chance of getting post-season rewards.  What do you expect?  Media voters are big on team performance.  Michigan will be near the top of that list next year.

jmblue

November 30th, 2010 at 4:55 PM ^

I agree with the voters.  We have a very talented QB and a scheme that takes good advantage of his skills (though it does leave him with a lot of bumps and bruises) - but I don't think we're stacked up and down with NFL talent by any means. 

cigol

November 30th, 2010 at 5:28 PM ^

 

We basically have a flag football offense.  You put your early pubescent 6th grader at quarterback who can outrun everybody.  When you're playing against a dud team, he can do even more than the best passer in the country since he can simply outrun everybody.  On the other hand, when you go up against a team that can match your athleticism, your team's scheme is so bad that you simply have no chance to compete.  Why do you think even teams like Minnesota, Northwestern, and Purdue put together upsets on occasion, while the only win Michigan has had against a ranked team in 3 years ended up being a dud Wisconsin team that floundered?

Also, how do you respond to building an offense entirely around one guy when that guy finished maybe 3 games all season?  There's a reason that little runners keep away from the D-Linemen and Middle linebackers, and why the successful spread teams go to the air when they play against big time defenses.