wanna race [Patrick Barron]

Preview 2022: Running Back Comment Count

Brian August 29th, 2022 at 4:30 PM

Previously: Podcast 14.0A, 14.0B, 14.0C. The Story. Quarterback.

RUNNING BACK: AT LONG LAST, THE CHOSEN ONE

[Bolded player rules: not necessarily returning starter, but someone we've seen enough of that I'm no longer talking about their recruiting profile (much, anyway). Extant contributor.]

FEATURE BACK Yr. SHORT YARDAGE Yr. THIRD DOWN YR.
Blake Corum Jr. Kalel Mullings So.* Donovan Edwards So.
Donovan Edwards So. Tavierre Dunlap Fr.* Blake Corum Jr.
CJ Stokes Fr. Isaiah Gash Fr.* Isaiah Gash Fr.*
Tavierre Dunlap Fr.* Alex Orji Fr. CJ Stokes Fr.

RATING: 5

ATTENTION MEDIA: did you know that Fred Jackson rejoined the Michigan football program this offseason? He's an analyst or somesuch. He's in the building. He is there for you, the quote-gathering media, to sidle up next to. Once you've sidled real good you can say "hey" or "psst," preferably in a large group. And then you can do this.

mikehart-but-fast

Anyway. BLAKE CORUM is the light and the truth. It is a longstanding UFR tradition to cluck ominously at Michigan's running backs, decrying their missed cuts and their… other missed cuts, moaning about how Mike Hart never would have ever done that why aren't you Mike Hart you filthy sonofa treasured student-athlete, &c. This did not happen in 2021.

[After THE JUMP: what actually happened]

Instead, rapture.

… Corum’s tape was even better than the feels. When coach types talk about “bring your own blocking” they usually mean setting up defenders so your linemen can clear them out. Escaping a linebacker who’s sharing your phone booth without him getting a hand on you is a thing we have not seen much of.

It’s impossible to avoid invoking the Great Little One’s name. The way Corum stutters his feet so the linebackers can’t figure out where to attack (nope, not there!) was a vintage Mike Hart trait. As is the acceleration. If you get a little bit out of your lane he’s going to take it from you, at which point your only solace is you’re not going to be the only back seven defender called out in this film session.

And then he is fast.

I thought this was at least kind of bunk. Early last year I thought Seth was a pushover when it came to RBs, because the grades he was putting up were unprecedented in the history of UFR. Then, I mean, you know, I may not have been charting every snap but I was still in possession of eyes.

When it comes to Hart feelings in particular, there's nothing I remember more than Hart ghosting some linebacker who thought he was about to get a TFL because he'd managed the spectacular precognitive feat of anticipating another outside zone from Mike Debord. WOOP, Hart would go. WOOP. Lo, the prophecy has been fulfilled:

I mean:

Corum is not just a speed back who needs a crease carved out for him and then he can go fast. The Draft Network:

uses his height to his advantage to hide behind blockers on slower-developing plays before exploding into the second level of the defense. It is difficult to out-leverage him due to his stature and low center of gravity. He possesses loose, oily hips to change direction quickly. … big-play threat … juiced lower body generates the requisite burst to separate from defenders with lateral cuts. He’s a patient and disciplined runner that follows his blocks to daylight. He’s elusive in space and is able to string together sudden cuts/moves.

He's a jittery inside runner with an excellent feel for how plays develop. He does not want to bounce the ball. One of the few negatives Seth had for him last year was in fact cutting a bash up inside Erick All after All had sealed the edge. He does keep his eyes up and will regap and regap again…

If the situation calls for it. But, and here's the thing: not if it doesn't. And there you go.

CORUM DOES LACK ONE HART TRAIT. That would be the ability to drive a ruck of Penn State defenders six yards at a time. This is a tradeoff we'll make for the ability to dust anybody in the country not named Nakobe Dean, but it is an important thing to note in the context of this year's team. Corum can make guys miss in insanely constricted spaces…

…but if he doesn't do that his yards after contact potential is fairly low. Instances of plus-plus contact balance did exist but were rare. Hart was a suitable short yardage back; Corum probably isn't. TDN's "cons" section was all about this—"does not run through defenders"; "lacks the size to assume the RB1 role for an NFL team"; "not an ideal short-yardage back".

And that's fine. Third and two is not the down to put mileage on Corum's legs, and someone else will step up and be at least adequate there. What might hurt Michigan's offense is what happens when Corum doesn't bust out for a huge play. Third downs might have their distribution changed—last year it felt like Haskins set them up for a lot of third and two and then converted those third and twos. This year Corum (and Edwards) might hit more home runs but also set up more third and fours.

This is really searching for a downside. A more realistic one is that Corum is small and missed a chunk of last year with an injury. NFL types bring this up amidst all the hoopla. The Draft Bible:

First thing you see is twitch, lightning quickness with fluid ankles and hips. Bouncy athlete, utilizing a sharp jumpcut in and out of gaps. Scarce lateral agility makes him an open-field nightmare for defenders. Fast-twitch muscle fibers that repeatedly fire. Gets into a hole with excellent burst, hits another gear with maximal speed into green grass and then the endzone. Plays above his size, doesn't pitter-patter and will use vision and toughness to drive forward regardless of his stature. Size concerns are real for a multitude of reasons. Durability will be a concern and add to the mitigation of a lead-back role. Struggles in pass pro and comparative play strength won't be eased in the NFL.

That's less of a concern at the college level. It's even farther down the list since Michigan has a running mate for him this year, too. So then you're left with PFF ranking him the third-best back in the country going into this year, and the clips above, and all the other stuff. Corum should push for All-American honors but probably end up behind at least a couple of the Henderson/Robinson/Vaughn trio when it comes to big honors.

ALSO LIGHTNING, SOMEONE PLEASE TELL HIM HE'S LIGHTNING TOO

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free Kirby Smart interpretive dance with wheel route purchase [Patrick Barron]

The 1B to Corum's 1A will be DONOVAN EDWARDS [recruiting profile], who got a smattering of carries early in the year before bursting onto the scene with a 10 catch, 170 yard performance against Maryland with Corum out. You probably remember the cackle you emitted when the wheel route stayed undefeated in that game:

That along with some spring game feats…

…have Michigan fans salivating about Edwards's two-way potential. Certain Michigan blogger type persons may be trying to come up with a hybrid Spiderman Pointing/Wolverine Is Wistful combination meme involving Edwards and coulda-shoulda hybrid threat Chris Evans as we speak. Possibly. Maybe.

This space is more optimistic than that since Edwards picked up about 60% of Evans's career catches in that Maryland game, and it was clear that Michigan knew what it had before that. He was an accurate throw away from a wheel route touchdown against Wisconsin. By the time the Ohio State game rolled around OSU was keying so heavily on Edwards that Michigan got a nearly free end-around touchdown for AJ Henning on their opening drive. This says something about something because by that point in the season AJ Henning was a blinking end-around alert signal.

Let's be clear: Edwards isn't just a running back who happens to be decent at catching the ball. He appears to be a generational talent as a hybrid WR/RB. Bold? Sir, no bolder than casually spearing an errant flare pass with one hand against Ohio State.

Or turning a (temporarily) defeated wheel route into an elegant back shoulder catch.

Or torching Georgia over the top and coming down with the ball despite being interfered with:

If Edwards was a freshman wide receiver with absolutely no indication he could run the ball people would be losing their minds about his potential. Since he's an actual running back, I mean, like… dude.

However, there's a catch. Edwards is fast and agile and has a lot of potential as a runner. This potential is currently unrealized. Here's an exceptionally thorough breakdown of most of Edwards's carries last year:

If you don't have 16 minutes, the tl;dr is that Edwards was far too willing to put his shoulder down and attempt to run through tacklers in situations where he should have sought to get his meep-meep on. Running like Hassan Haskins is great when you're Hassan Haskins, but when you're closer to Corum you should be out there shouting NEVER BUNT HIT DINGERS at the guileless NPCs clutching at your afterburner exhaust. Edwards's breathtaking acceleration on his one long rushing touchdown is evidence enough:

It remains to be seen whether Edwards has that jitter in him. Seth swears up and down that lowering the shoulder was the right thing to do in high school because of his circumstances; if that's the case hopefully Mike Hart, of all people, should be able to imbue Edwards with some ability to ghost linebackers.

This is not to say Edwards is not an actual running back. He is capable of downshifting, letting his blocks develop, and then hitting his hole.

He's not a mindless bounce machine or a mindless pile-pusher. He gets himself in the gap with consistency. What we haven't seen yet is an ability to ghost a guy and turn a decent play into a monster one.

Even if that doesn't come along this year, the threat of Edwards out of the backfield will make him a major weapon for this offense. I remember the terror of seeing Saquon Barkley motion out of the backfield, taking Mike McCray with him. Now Michigan gets to do that to opponents. Because of that ability teams will either have to try to cover Edwards with a linebacker, or tackle him with a DB. We know the former doesn't work. Edwards's 2022 inflection point is about whether the latter does.

Finally, we cannot exit this section of the preview without embedding what may be the greatest running back pass in program history—modern era, Seth, pre-WWII does not count:

In the aftermath of the game Roman Wilson said that he nailed this pass every time they ran it in practice (and biffed in when they tried in walkthrough the day before). I'm setting the over/under on Edwards pass attempts this year at 2.5, and if I was in charge it would be an every-game occurrence. Never bunt. Hit dingers.

Reasonable expectations this year feel like 800 yards from scrimmage split about evenly between runs and catches with some indication that Edwards can hack it as a feature back who needs to make guys miss. Next year he'll be the man.

DESPERATELY SEEKING SUSAN MOOSEBACK

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like this except with several more people trying to tackle him [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

The aforementioned Pikachu tag team should suck up the large majority of Michigan's carries. But since Corum isn't a pile mover and Edwards shouldn't be one, there's an opening for a third back in the move-the-chains, terrorize-the-fishing-village archetype. This preview wants that guy to be KALEL MULLINGS [recruiting profile], who may still be a linebacker but probably shouldn't be unless there's a cliff after the two ILB starters that looks like the Michigan fanbase's opinion of Warde Manuel in the aftermath of l'affaire Pearson.

This preview bases its opinion on the robust sample size of one (1) spring game in which Mullings looked like the needed hoss:

Also this:

Mullings was ranked and arrived as a sushi-raw OLB after a couple years of high school injuries, but here's the part where we mention that Wisconsin and Notre Dame were recruiting him for the other side of the ball. The latter led to one of those ND recruit scouting posts:

at running back his size/frame grade is elite … elite power potential … nimble … moves really well for a 6-2, 220-pound running back. … ability to make back-to-back cuts and then get vertical. … don’t often see that kind of fluidity and cutting ability from a back that big. … quick second level cuts and shows impressive anticipation as a runner…. sets blocks up well and shows the ability to quickly plant and burst vertically.

Mullings is now being listed at 232 (actually down four pounds) in the latest phonebook, so that "elite power potential" is close to being fulfilled. That guy moves piles. This was eventually ruled not a fumble, but here he's got little momentum and nobody pushing from behind; he still manages to fall forward with two different guys tackling him:

Nobody else on the roster is doing that.

And on top of that he was able to burst outside when the opportunity presented itself and rip off a chunk.

It doesn't seem like it's working out at linebacker, and what little we've seen of Mullings at tailback looks enticing. OC Matt Weiss makes it sound like this is happening:

“[Corum and Edwards are] not 200-and-however-many-pounds Kalel is. He’s a really big, physical guy so he gives you that presence that obviously we had a lot of success with Hassan last year. … he adds an element that (is different than) the other two really talented players.”

If you want to parse those words within an inch of their life (which we always do), to me that says he's your short yardage guy. Then again, Mullings was only referenced as a linebacker during Harbaugh's depth chart dump. On a third hand I just grew for this sentence, Alejandro Zuniga came back from a recent NIL event reporting that Mullings is "still practicing at running back and looking good at it" and he "continues to feature as a short-yardage back." So… I don't know. Your guess is as good as any.

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thematically appropriate image: advantage Dunlap [Patrick Barron]

TAVIERRE DUNLAP [recruiting profile] is the other option here. We have one clip from last year for him on a nice run that doesn't indicate or dis-indicate short-yardage suitability:

Dunlap got a low four-star ranking from 247 but was otherwise a nondescript three-star. This site generally backs 247 rankings as the best in the business, so Dunlap's steady rise over the course of his senior year is encouraging. The book on him does point to effectiveness in short yardage:

“…frame to play in the 220 neighborhood. Terrific north-south hole puncher with requisite long speed to hit the home run…Not the type to string moves together in the open field. Power Five running back at his best getting north-south or in one-cut situations with juice to hit the long ball.” and “thrives when getting north-south as quickly as possible, showing impressive initial burst for a back on the larger end of the spectrum.”

Dunlap appeared to be the leader for the big-back role midway through spring, before Mullings was an option, and seems to know where his playing time is coming from this year, if indeed he gets some:

“H2 was an every-down back for sure, but he was definitely the one that put in on short yardage — 3rd-and-1, 4th-and-1, goal line. That’s what I want to embody.”

Based on our very robust spring game sample, though, it seems like you'd have to give the edge to Mullings.

It's a yard, maybe two, and maybe Mullings gets stood up there. We're not working with a lot of data here. But your author's feelingsball from the stands pointed to Mullings even if Dunlap did weave his way through an arm tackle or two for a nice run.

One thing's for sure: Mr. Dunlap does not lack in confidence.

“If you ask Blake and Donovan, they’re going to tell you that they’re faster than me, but they know in the back of their head that they’re not,” Dunlap laughed.

I don't believe you dot gif. FWIW, Harbaugh suggested that Dunlap and CJ Stokes were very close for third back duties.

EH?

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walk-on du jour [Patrick Barron]

I'll bet one American dollar that nobody outside of the above four guys takes a meaningful snap. There are a couple other guys worth mentioning. First, a shout-out to walk-on LEON FRANKLIN, who a penalty robbed of a touchdown against NIU. Franklin popped up with a nice run in the spring game…

…and will be a sentimental favorite to dunk on someone in the fourth quarter of a blowout.

Michigan brought in just one running back this year. That would be three-star CJ STOKES [recruiting profile]. Early signs are good, at least when it comes to off-field demeanor. He's apparently wearing tape in class so he misses less practice time, drawing praise from Harbaugh himself. Also, I mean:

“Lots of people ask me why you don’t smile more, ‘Why do you always look mad?’ To tell you the truth, I am always mad. I’m always trying to look for a way to get better, be better, and that comes with a lot of bad days that I’m holding myself accountable. There’s not a lot to smile about yet. There’s not a lot to smile about yet."

Ok, then. File under 1,000 years old. We'll check back with him next year, when Corum is presumably in the NFL.

And in "names I scrambled to get anything on because the head coach name-dropped him for the first time a week before the season," walk-on ISAIAH GASH may be a surprise hoss. Harbaugh:

…also the third guy is A-Gash [Isaiah Gash] because he's tremendous, tremendous in the short yardage running right now and being the third down back. So feel really strong with those those five backs going into the beginning of the season.

Gash does not profile like a traditional third down back at 5'10", 175, but this is his dad…

…so maybe.

Comments

bronxblue

August 29th, 2022 at 4:34 PM ^

If Mullings or Dunlap can take over some of the moose carries like Haskins did and not be a flashing "we're running the ball here" sign when they come in then the stars are the ceiling for this running offense because Corum and Edwards are both excellent all-purpose backs in this offense.

Needs

August 29th, 2022 at 4:57 PM ^

The "can they avoid being flashing signs" question raises the companion question "can they (can any back) pass block?" which always turns out to be an overlooked, but, on select plays, very, very important, question.

Another seemingly small thing that Haskins (and Mike Hart) was incredibly good at.

bronxblue

August 29th, 2022 at 6:11 PM ^

Yeah, that's where I think Edwards (you hope) can be a viable option because he's a bigger guy who can at least hold up at contact for a bit.  Though Corum isn't THAT small (if he's really 5' 8" and 210 lbs that's a dense ball of muscle and bone that could slow down most safeties and LBers momentarily), it would be nice if he picked up some of Hart's blocking chops during the offseason.

I am interested to see what they do with that aspect of the game because one other way you can slow down a rush is if the guy coming out of the backfield is a legit pass-catching threat and you get the ball out quick to them in space.  

AWAS

August 29th, 2022 at 5:38 PM ^

Is an alignment with 6 offensive linemen and 3 tight ends considered a flashing sign?  Asking for a friend.

The moment we fake the dive and pass out of that alignment will mark the full weaponization of the Death Star.  That will be right after JJ pulls the dive on the QB keep option.

stephenrjking

August 29th, 2022 at 4:45 PM ^

I'm not positive that one of Edwards or Corum won't become a decent short-yardage option.

Edwards because he's had a chance to bulk up and is willing to put his shoulder down; Corum because Corum is just ripped and might not need much refinement to put a shoulder down and get the extra yard. 

The only real exception being really obvious run situations where you can afford to bring on a blinking "we're running here" sign. 

I haven't really been blown away with the running of Edwards yet, but that doesn't mean he won't turn into a really good runner once given the opportunity to do so. And he'll get the opportunity to do so.

Hard not to be super-excited about our two starting RBs. And I'm not interested in trying hard on this. 

Wallaby Court

August 29th, 2022 at 5:15 PM ^

Hard not to be super-excited about our two starting RBs. And I'm not interested in trying hard on this. 

Your wrap-up was a roller coaster. These sentences felt like a triple (or quadruple) negative to me. I thought you were unnecessarily downgrading your excitement about the running backs, then I re-read it (and properly accounted for the negatives), and discovered that you are positively giddy about them. Thank you for taking me on that journey. I mean that sincerely; I enjoyed unpacking your writing and finding your ultimate conclusion. Thank you for that little bit of Christmas at the start of the season.

BuckeyeChuck

August 29th, 2022 at 9:56 PM ^

I'm not positive that one of Edwards or Corum won't become a decent short-yardage option.

It's possible; after all Corum is a Muscle Hamster, right?

But if not, Brian's description of Corum's running made me reminisce of all the years of watching Barry Sanders. Each time Barry touched the ball, you knew he could juke a guy on his way to a 15+ yard gain; but he saddled the Lions' offense so many times with 2nd & 12s.

Of course Michigan is counting on minimal TFLs, but might there be some similarity with Corum? Occasional big bursts, yet the offense sometimes being put in passing downs more than Harbaugh would like?

stephenrjking

August 29th, 2022 at 10:47 PM ^

Not something Corum has demonstrated to this point. He is actually really good at finding the right hole and hitting it; sometimes he makes a cut, but it's generally one lateral cut and then into the hole. He's not a guy who tries to make two or three jukes.

Brian alludes to the high grades the RBs received from Seth early last year, how he was skeptical that the grades could really be that high. I have a lot less experience than Brian, but I was as well, mostly from big picture "subjectivity is impossible to avoid completely" type reasons and Seth is just a different guy.

But as the season progressed it became clear that the astonishingly high UFR grades the RBs were getting were not due to Seth, but due to Blake and Hassan. These guys are *really* good. And one of the things they did really well is to pick the right holes, something that was a common problem for years spread across multiple coaches and many RBs in previous iterations of UFR. Hassan and Blake get good blocking, but they are also decisive and they pick the right hole. It's notable to me that our OL last year was not substantially superior to the Ruiz-Onwenu-Bredeson line from a couple of years ago, but the results are much better as the team around them (particularly the RBs) shows improvement.

tl;dr no, Corum is not likely to juke himself into a lot of losses. 

MadMatt

August 29th, 2022 at 9:28 PM ^

Thread jack warning: I agree. One thing that drives me nuts is the Tigers' radio guy who refers to almost every non-HR hit as "a buggy whip." When I was a student, we were several generations removed from anyone having seen one of those outside of the Henry Ford museum. And, I'm retired. As they said in Good Morning Vietnam, "I have no idea what that means, but it doesn't sound favorable."

Monkey House

August 29th, 2022 at 5:31 PM ^

How much of their success is due to Mike Hart and his coaching? I know there has been some probably justified criticism of his recruiting, but maybe he is a better coach than recruiter 🤷

njvictor

August 29th, 2022 at 5:41 PM ^

I don't really understand the general pessimism about Dunlap from Brian, Seth, and Co. He's a redshirt freshman who still doesn't look fully filled out and but has shown flashes. He's got time

dragonchild

August 29th, 2022 at 5:51 PM ^

My understanding of the MGoConventionalWisdom on RBs is that, unlike most positions, they arrive close to what they are. Oh, they might improve their blocking or run better routes as they age, but if they don’t make an impact early, it’s already getting late for them.

Dunlap, at least, has the caveat of playing behind one of the best thunderbacks in the country last year.  So he apparently ain’t no Hassan Haskins, but that’s not saying much: most backs aren’t.

M-Dog

August 29th, 2022 at 9:54 PM ^

. . . last year it felt like Haskins set them up for a lot of third and two and then converted those third and twos

Indeed.

Haskins was a yard-eating machine that kept us out of unmakeable third downs.  We are going to miss that.   It's not so easy to just wave that away.  Our running game will flat out not be as good.

DetroitDan

August 31st, 2022 at 9:06 PM ^

I'm afraid that's true.  I loved Jamie Morris and I just watched that tribute video.  But Haskins would have tacked on 3 or more extra yards on each of those Morris runs.  Haskins had amazing strength and balance, I guess, in addition to ability to find the holes and knife through them.

Double-D

August 29th, 2022 at 11:30 PM ^

Corum will be one of the very best backs in college football this year.

Edwards could probably play WR in the NFL.  He might be the biggest match up nightmare we have had at Michigan.  Maturity will benefit his physical nature as a running back.  

buddhafrog

August 30th, 2022 at 9:35 AM ^

I do not think one of these things will happen. But I see a possible world in which Michigan has THREE straight Heisman winners. 

2022 I do believe that Corum could win the Heisman this year if that was Michigan's goal - which it isn't and it shouldn't be. Too many weapons. But Corum could realistically set UM all time records in total yards (1818 Biakabatuka '95) and TD's (modern era 20 Haskins '21 / 26 Hermstein 1902) if they ran Corum like a true feature back. Corum could get extra games b/c playoffs. He is electric. 

2023 Donavan Edwards is legit the type of player that Heisman mania loves to follow. Give him rushing, receiving, and multiple passing TD's. He will be the center of every Michigan game story. It'll be insane if UM wanted to highlight him much like they did with Woodson. 

2024 And lastly, Mr. JJ McCarthy. Who is a great teammate and plays the 1B role behind Cade for two more years, but sticks around like a true Wolverine. His senior year, he'll lead Michigan to the National title. He'll be like Tim Tebow, but actually great at playing football. The media will be in a frenzy.

Yo, I can't wait for this football season to start. Also, I apologize to my boss for the total lack of work I can deliver this morning

MightAndMainWeCheer

August 30th, 2022 at 10:23 AM ^

Yes! Brian is making his way back ...

When it comes to Hart feelings in particular, there's nothing I remember more than Hart ghosting some linebacker who thought he was about to get a TFL because he'd managed the spectacular precognitive feat of anticipating another outside zone from Mike Debord.

 MGOBLOG snark/shade at its best!

caup

August 30th, 2022 at 10:40 AM ^

THIS preview, chef's kiss. God damn when Brian Cook is in the zone he is SUCH a fun read.

 

"free Kirby Smart interpretive dance with wheel route purchase"

 

Pure gold.

Goggles Paisano

August 30th, 2022 at 1:55 PM ^

Over these first three games, we should get a really good look at the backups.  The race for #3 and a contributing role should sort itself out in these games.  Great opportunity to give Corum and Edwards limited action to be fresh heading into the B1G season.