OT: what would u do in Tua’s Situation?

Submitted by goblue4321 on November 17th, 2019 at 6:18 PM

Read a report, doctors expect his recovery timeline to be 6-12 months, more so 12 months. That would put him out next year. Should Tua declare for 2020 draft hope a team drafts him in hopes he makes a full recovery to play 2021 in nfl? Or he could redshirt at Alabama for 2020, return as a redshirt senior 2021 and play at alabama to show he is elite again and maybe get back in first round? Curious what everyone’s thoughts are....

swalburn

November 17th, 2019 at 6:40 PM ^

Declare for the draft and go pro.  He will be a first round pick.  If he slides a bit he might end up in a better situation.  Big Ben slid to the Steelers and that was the luckiest thing that happened to him.  Going to the wrong franchise can wreck a QB's career.  He should get paid,  spend the year learning and getting healthy.

spider-sal

November 17th, 2019 at 6:59 PM ^

I don’t think he’ll have a problem getting drafted fairly early in the first round. Teams will be willing to wait and possibly tank for the year in hopes of loading up for the next season when he’s healthy.

NashvilleBLUE

November 17th, 2019 at 7:01 PM ^

There is no doubt that he has an insurance policy that covers him for an unexpected draft slide due to injury. I would go pro, cash in on my insurance and hopefully your slide took you to a good team where you can develop. Someone will no doubt take him and doctors in the NFL are better capable of assisting with your injury.

shags

November 17th, 2019 at 7:44 PM ^

He should never play football in college again.  I'm a Bears fan, and I would definitely draft Tua with one of their 2nd round draft picks, even knowing he won't play next year.  That should be his floor.

Hotel Putingrad

November 17th, 2019 at 9:51 PM ^

That's exactly what happened. His original ankle injury procedure has an 8-week recovery. They pushed him back in 2. His limited mobility enabled the hip injury yesterday. Nick Saban and the Alabama Medical staff are 100% culpable here.

No way in hell should Tua ever suit up for them again. They caused him a ton of pain and cost him at least $20M.

bluepalooza

November 17th, 2019 at 7:55 PM ^

Depending on severity of injury he could go 1st to a 5th rd....If the prognosis is good, someone would definitely take him in first.  Unfortunately he was looking at maybe being #1 overall.  I feel bad for him as he seems like someone you want to root for even before injury.

HailHail47

November 17th, 2019 at 8:09 PM ^

I think he should go pro. A team will take a chance on him in one of the mid rounds.

  • He will have access to better medical staff and training
  • He will get paid during his rehabilitation
  • If he gets injured again at Bama in his senior year he is never going to play in the NFL.
  • He needs to get paid as soon as possible, as his career has already been shortened with this injury. 
  • If he does well in the NFL he can still get a really good second contract. 
  • Getting drafted in a later round of the draft is very good money for a young person. 
  • Even if he does well at Bama in his senior year, NFL teams will still have doubts about his health. 

CarrIsMyHomeboy

November 17th, 2019 at 8:19 PM ^

It depends on whether he thinks he can ever play again (the report of a Bo Jackson-like avascular necrosis are scarier than this thread leads on.

If he can't ever play again, he can can maybe still strategize himself into some type of football payday by getting drafted in a middle round and securing a contract. Alternatively: move on to life after football.

If he can play again, that's complicated by whether he could possibly return to form. If so, and if that is doable by September, then of course he  should return to Alabama. If he can return to football but never again to this level, I  think he again is best off trying to trick an NFL team into giving him a midround contract anyway.

Dorothy_ Mantooth

November 17th, 2019 at 8:41 PM ^

can't really make a call until the outcome of the surgery is determined, as well as how well the healing and rehab process goes

drz1111

November 17th, 2019 at 9:05 PM ^

You guys are being way too positive about his chances.  It’s very possible this is a career ending injury.  See eg Bo Jackson.  But even if it isn’t - ie even if he doesn’t have the Bo Jackson complication - the odds of developing arthritis in the medium term and needing a hip replacement are very high.  This is a catastrophic and tragic injury for a serious athlete. He wouldn’t get drafted on the first two days of the 2020 draft.

decent discussion here:  https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/tua-tagovailoa-injury-surgeons-expert-insight-on-dislocated-hip-status-surgery-rehab-future-outlook/amp/

Durham Blue

November 17th, 2019 at 9:46 PM ^

By all accounts Tua is a good guy.  He seems humble and hard working.  I respected his demeanor after a tough loss to LSU.  A lot of smiles and hand shakes.  He does play for the Death Star but I appreciate good people from wherever they come from.  I hope he fully recovers from this injury and gets to the NFL.

Kevin13

November 17th, 2019 at 10:33 PM ^

I think he forgives anymore college football and e gets draft. He’s been hurt a fair amount in his tone there and don’t think he’s going to chance it anymore. Not sure he would improve his draft stock a lot unless he were to win Heisman. 

ToledoWolverine

November 17th, 2019 at 10:51 PM ^

Bengals fan here: Tua could do better than 13 of 31 for 115 yds and a QBR of 39 (Finley’s day vs Oakland), while undergoing the surgery. I’d take him in the 1st. Franchise QBs don’t grow on trees. The juice is worth the squeeze. 

Eph97

November 18th, 2019 at 3:26 AM ^

I would never draft Tua. The dude has officially taken the title of Mr. Glass away from Greg Oden. With his injury history, he will have another fracture somewhere else. Heck, maybe he is Mr. Glass for real and has a mild form of osteogenesis imperfecta or can't deposit calcium in his bones?

 

The Blue Collar

November 18th, 2019 at 9:16 AM ^

I'd probably transfer and sit the year. It's unlikely Alabama has a place when he comes back considering how well they recruit for a one year QB (I could be wrong, haven't looked at their recruits). But he could still transfer to a solid P5 team that has space and show the NFL his skill, assuming (we all hope for the kid's sake) it's still there. The NFL might take a flyer on him in a later round, but if he shows he's fully back he could still be a top pick. 

NoVaWolverine

November 18th, 2019 at 12:46 PM ^

I can't believe anyone's actually suggesting Tua come back to Bama, even just to rehab and wait for the 2021 draft. The chance he plays another down of football for Alabama is 0% (why risk getting hurt again before landing an NFL contract?) -- so why not get drafted now and rehab on some team's payroll? NFL teams are desperate for good QBs, and Tua has shown enough arm talent on film that he doesn't need a combine or pro day to prove he can make all the NFL throws. As long as he shows decent medical/rehab progress by the time of the draft, some team is gonna take him in the first round -- as others have said, if he slides, some smart team toward the back half of the first round without an immediate QB need will be happy to snatch him up. Worst case scenario, he falls to the second round -- and that's still good money.

Look at Jaylon Smith -- he was a projected top 10 pick who wrecked his knee, including serious nerve damage, in his last bowl game at Notre Dame. The Cowboys thought highly enough of him that they took him near the top of the second round, even knowing he'd have to sit at least a year and might never recover enough nerve function to play again. (It helped that their own doctor did the surgery on Smith's knee.) That's worked out pretty well for them -- and that was for a linebacker, for heaven's sake. Unless Tua's own doctors come out sometime before next April and say, "Tua will never play again," he'll get drafted.