UM still likely to go to playoff with loss to Purdue

Submitted by mert on November 27th, 2022 at 12:57 PM

UM likely selected to the CFP regardless of the outcome of the BIG championship, in these ESPN scenarios  

Even if Georgia, TCU and USC win out, we prevail: 
Certainly over 1-loss OSU. 
Likely over 2-loss BAMA 

https://www.espn.com/college-football/insider/story/_/id/35115823/college-football-playoff-scenarios-heading-champ-week

 

 

MGoBlue96

November 27th, 2022 at 5:51 PM ^

Nah Harbaugh and this team first and foremost want a Big Ten title. Not that they don't care about winning the whole damn thing because they do, but they will not hold anything back to win another Big Ten title. Very silly for anyone to think any guys who can go in this game will be rested particularly when you get a whole month after to heal up.

MRunner73

November 27th, 2022 at 1:20 PM ^

Totally agree! OK, this would be a worst case scenario and I get it but it's not worth mentioning.

JJ McCarthy said after this big win that they are not done yet and there's more work to do. This is the same attitude they had a year ago fresh after beating OSU for the first time in forever. What happened the following week in Indy?- a 45-3 blowout win!

tjohn7

November 27th, 2022 at 1:05 PM ^

Heather Dinich writes what her bosses want, as such her SEC and OSU bias is glaring. GTFO of here with talk about us not making the playoff when we just curb stomped OSU and PSU. Trumps any resume from the SEC

AndrelAnthonyCarter

November 27th, 2022 at 1:59 PM ^

I generally agree about Dinich, but her analysis in this article is pretty legit. What really pisses me off is slappies like Kevin Warren pushing for an OSU berth after yesterday. No way he's out there for Michigan if they had just lost by 3 scores at home.

 

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/35116043/doubt-osu-deserves-cfp-spot

BlueDad2022

November 27th, 2022 at 1:05 PM ^

Just beat Purdue is correct.   But think this  is why Corum, etc won’t even sniff the field Saturday.   CFP committee would certainly take into account a Heisman candidate missing in the BIG championship in the event of a loss when he’s very likely to be back by the semi’s.

OldBlueVa

November 27th, 2022 at 1:09 PM ^

The three 12-0 teams are pretty much locks, IMO.

If USC happens to lose, the committee may (in essence) punish them for playing an extra game. And reward OSU or Alabama for being idle. Kinda seems as if there's a flaw in the system.

mgoblue_in_bay

November 27th, 2022 at 1:27 PM ^

Interesting POV but I disagree - USC at 11-1 without a conference championship game looks even (high confidence) to slightly worse (medium confidence) than OSU at 11-1 without a conference championship.

Best win: roughly even, USC: ND+UCLA, vs OSU: PSU+ND

Quality of loss: OSU is better off here, even though they lost at home by more, losing to Michigan is probably less bad than losing to 8-4 Utah

"Eye test" - not sure if thats the right term, but OSU has better margins of victory than USC, who has 4 one score wins, compared to OSU who has none.

I think current projections are based on the likelihood that USC wins the conference championship game.

bronxblue

November 27th, 2022 at 1:56 PM ^

The funny thing is that O'Connell really hasn't been that good.  He's completing a bit over 63% of his passes (which is low in a Brohm offense), he's thrown 11 picks and isn't a threat with his legs, and basically 1/3 of his completions went to Charlie Jones.  Michigan's more than capable of taking away a team's first option throwing the ball and if they can do that I don't think Purdue has another hand they could play.

bronxblue

November 27th, 2022 at 1:51 PM ^

I don't think they have a choice - he could barely play yesterday and that was (I assume) chock full of every pain medication they could find.  

UM probably doesn't need him to beat Purdue and if there's a chance he can rehab and be ready in a couple of weeks for the playoffs then you have to sit him here.

MGoBlue96

November 27th, 2022 at 5:57 PM ^

Very possible and honestly likely based on what we know about the injuries they have. There is no structural damage to Corum's knee and I have to imagine Edwards hand would be close to 100% by then. Seemed like all the other injured guys either played yesterday or were very close to being good to play. A whole month or 3 weeks if you count needing to practice the week before for prep is enough for everyone to at least be good to play I would think.

TexasMaizeNBlue

November 27th, 2022 at 7:59 PM ^

"There is no structural damage to Corum's knee." Based off what?

Harbaugh claiming the xray was negative? Guess what? Most knee injuries aren't bone injuries,  they involve ligaments or meniscus/menisci.  An xray won't show diddly poo on the majority of sports involved knee injuries. 

Ask yourself why Harbaugh won't leak the results of the APPROPRIATE  diagnostic test after a knee injury, which is a MRI. 

Blake is a warrior, but I'm just hoping it's a low grade ACL or meniscus tear. Hence the hefty brace he donned for his 2 carries vs OSU.  That said, if there's one athlete in Wolverine program recent history that would put program national championship prospects over the NFL, it'd be Corum.