Pat Mahomes: G.O.A.T in waiting?

Submitted by duffman is thr… on January 28th, 2021 at 11:54 PM

     With the GOAT in his 10th(!) super bowl, the sports media’s lack of attention span and impressive ability to overhype anything; including the potential future careers of athletes is coming out in force. 
     Questions such as; if Pat Mahomes wins this matchup is he already the GOAT? Is Mahomes going to win more Super Bowls than Brady? Will the Chiefs and Mahomes dominate the NFL for the next ten years? 
     What say you folks? How repeatable is Brady’s and the Patriots run? Can Kansas City really replicate that with the money they’re spending on Mahomes? Is Mahomes really just that good it won’t even matter? Is Andy Reid really that good?

     He’s had an incredible start to his career but all of this seems to be just a little much. Most of these talking heads seem to forget that he actually didn’t play particularly well last year in the Super Bowl. Just showing he is in fact mortal. I’ll be interested to see how they do as  they have to rely more on crafty roster management and good draft results. 

    

San Diego Mick

January 29th, 2021 at 1:49 AM ^

First off he has to stay healthy, they're not going to be able to pay all their great players. 

Mahomes needs to consider taking less money in the future if he wants to have a competitive roster of teammates. 

He got hurt last year, is hurting now, he'll take bigger hits as he ages and wear down his body.

Other teams will get in the way, Josh Allen and the Bills for one will only get better. If Mahomes makes it to 5 SB's that will be an accomplishment, so what Brady has done might be out of reach for a long, long time if not forever, making it that much more incredible. 

 

1VaBlue1

January 29th, 2021 at 8:30 AM ^

Was going to say this, also...  He is far more active in the whole run game than Brady ever was, and it's going to catch up to him eventually.  Brady runs when he has to, because he's not good at it.  Mahommes runs both when he needs to and when a play is drawn up for him.  He's good at it, in fact he's better while moving around than he is just standing in the pocket.  Ask him to stand there and be like Brady, and he's not going to be as effective.

Also, Brady never championed a champions salary for himself.  He played largely within the Pats' cap schedule, so he always had a pretty good surrounding cast even if it wasn't the best roster in the NFL.  Cap and roster management will begin to play against KC - and Mahommes - at some point in the near future.

As good as he is, there are a lot of factors against him in the race to catch up to what Brady has done.

bluebyyou

January 29th, 2021 at 9:45 AM ^

Spot on!

With the exception of one season, lady luck has been on Brady's side with respect to injuries.  Brady obviously deserves the GOAT designation but he and the Patriots always seemed to have just enough at crunch time to come through. Some of that was Brady, some was Belichick and some was good fortune.

Mahomes had a knee injury last year where he was extremely lucky that it wasn't worse.  He's already had a concussion this year.

When the Seahawks won their Superbowl, it looked like Wilson was the next great thing, and he is an excellent QB to be sure, but other pieces of the puzzle just weren't there.

azee2890

January 29th, 2021 at 9:10 AM ^

This was largely the view of the Seahawks and Russell Wilson a few years ago. What the Patriots, Brady and Bill accomplished is something that really has never been done before. It worked because it was reliant on a balance between Brady and Bill. Bill sustained the defense (and could produce great defenses without paying tons of money to players) and Brady sustained the offense (he could take a pile of scraps and turn them into a middle tier offense). Then they took fliers on troubled but talented players because they knew they could either rehabilitate them or move on without them. 

The Chiefs are much more similar to the Seahawks. They are good largely because of the team they currently have assembled. Mahomes' contract is going to leave very little space to continuously field an elite defense. The offense will be fine with Mahomes and Reid but that defense will fall apart once they run out of money. 

UM85

January 29th, 2021 at 9:12 AM ^

I think OP has a point.  If OP can guarantee a few small points, then Mahomes will be considered the possible GOAT:

1. Age will not diminish his incredible skills over the next 15 or so years
2. He will stay injury free
3. He will have a coaching staff that will maximize his skills throughout that time
4. He will have a front office that will surround him with talent and negotiate the salary cap despite the weight of Patrick's salary
5. He won't develop a poisonous ego despite fame and fortune
6. He will retain a burning competitive desire to win throughout his career

With those few little things and and the minor issue of winning say 6 more Super Bowls, the OP is spot on.

azee2890

January 29th, 2021 at 10:55 AM ^

To me, it's like people saying "Does Steph Curry have a chance to be the best ever?" after the Warriors were headed to their second Finals. Like sure, if the Warriors win the next 5 NBA finals and close the door on anyone winning a championship and Curry is single handedly the most dominant player on the planet. But then they got Durant and then he wasn't even the best player on his team. Then money and injuries caught up to them and no one is asking that question. 

Tom Brady is two decades of dominance in the making. Totally unprecedented. If anyone even attempts to approach him, it will take a lot more than a strong arm and a great offensive scheme to make a case. 

tspoon

January 29th, 2021 at 2:17 PM ^

I just threw up in my mouth

I remember seeing Mitchell at Carl's Golfland in Bloomfield Hills in the offseason shortly after he signed his big money contract.  He was so sloppy-fat I could hardly believe it.  As Jalen would say, he was clearly one of those guys who "just keep gettin dem checks."

 

lilpenny1316

January 29th, 2021 at 12:13 AM ^

I haven't heard a sane conversation throwing Mahomes in the GOAT category. To have two SB wins by 25 years old would put him on pace to match TB12's numbers, but a whole lot has to go right in the Chief organization to keep winning for another 10-15 years. 

 

befuggled

January 29th, 2021 at 10:55 AM ^

I was thinking of Marino, too.

After that season, you could have made the same case for eventual GOAT-dom for Marino as you can for Mahomes now. However, vven though Marino had a long and highly successful career and is now in the Hall of Fame, 1984 was arguably the peak of his career. He never had a better year statistically and he never made it to the Super Bowl again. 

Will the past two seasons end up being the highlights of Pat Mahomes' career? I personally hope not, as I like to watch him play, but fuck if I know. He could easily end up in the Hall of Fame playing the rest of his career at a slightly lower level than he has been. Like Marino.

(I kind of wonder what would have happened if the Dolphins had not traded Anthony Carter to the Vikings. Yeah, they had Mark Duper and Mark Clayton already, but it would have been interesting to see.) 

jpo

January 29th, 2021 at 8:58 AM ^

Well, that wasn’t the point. Tiger has had a great career. For mY money he’s the greatest golfer ever. But in 2008 it looked like he would blitz past Jack’s 18. I figured he’d end with 25. But age, injury, and “other life matters” have a way of derailing things. As Jack said about Tiger: “He has to do it first.”

Longevity and staying injury-free are part of athletic greatness. Whether Mahomes can accomplish that can only be known in hindsight. In the meantime let’s just enjoy what Brady has accomplished as well as what Mahomes has on their own merits. Comparison is the thief of joy, as Bill Parcells used to say.