umbig11

November 11th, 2018 at 6:30 PM ^

Seems a little high, but Michigan is on fire. We are not turning the ball over at all. Much different than last year. Especially at the QB position.

mgoblue98

November 11th, 2018 at 7:18 PM ^

I agree with you, that seems high.  Michigan is especially on fire in home games.  That being said, Indiana has been competitive with Michigan for the last 10 years and I expect Michigan to run vanilla offense.  I don't think that IU will be competitve this year, I will take Michigan 42-7.

lhglrkwg

November 11th, 2018 at 10:10 PM ^

In general, people need to drop the "Indiana has played Michigan really close recently" narrative because it's just like every other stat that relies heavily on Hoke and Richrod era situations - it's very misleading

The last 2 years had JOK at starting QB. 2015 is the only real spooky game to me. Nothing in the Hoke or Richrod years has any bearing on this team. Even with the Hoke and Richrod years, Michigan still hasn't lost to Indiana since 1987. We're going to pave them no matter how much past teams didn't

njvictor

November 11th, 2018 at 7:41 PM ^

These Vegas odds haven't seemed to take into account that we're taking our foot off the gas against Rutgers and IU because both spreads are way too high. We're gonna play as vanilla offensively and defensively as possible, try to restrict injuries, and not give any schemes or plays away. I didn't think we were gonna cover against Rutgers and I think 27.5 seems a little high as well

The Fan in Fargo

November 11th, 2018 at 7:29 PM ^

Well I mean, they just had a bye week a couple weeks ago. They just played Rutgers. How much time off do you want to give these guys? We all know what happens when you have your guys out there not going all out. I'll never forget the 265 pounder that rolled into my ankle when I was in la-la land. I'd say you take the momentum from a huge home win and ride it all the way into cbus. If everything works out, there is a three game stretch for the Michigan ages here and the team needs to be firing on all cylinders. You can say that you want to avoid injury but guys can get injured at any point in the season. Don't run Shae and rest the horse Higdon. Everyone else, keep them sharp into next week. It's only three more games. They've already had ten. Nothing is going to matter from here on out if the team isn't jacked up at the shoe and ready to beat down the beaters of significant others.

DrMantisToboggan

November 11th, 2018 at 6:54 PM ^

Different teams. This will be the first Indiana game in two years in which Michigan does not have John O'Korn under center. Also, Indiana is currently 81st in S&P. This will also be the first time we've faced an Indiana team that is outside of the S&P top 60 since 2014, and the lowest S&P-ranked Indiana team we've faced since 2010 (96th in S&P).

We're pretty healthy, we're playing at a high level, and Indiana has regressed a ton from the late Kevin Wilson, early Tom Allen years when they could chaos games up. Now, they're just a run of the mill bad team.

Edit: I should add that doesn't necessarily mean we cover...just that this won't be the recent Indiana outings where it's a legit game in the 4th quarter (slash OT ohmygodwewenttoovertimewithindianatwooutofthelastthreeyearsshhhhh).

Reggie Dunlop

November 12th, 2018 at 10:13 AM ^

Speaking of S&P+, I was just fartin' around in there and Michigan has the #21 ranked offense.  #27 Rushing attack and the... um...  #7 Passing attack in the country?

I know it's based on efficiency and adjusts for tempo and all of that, and I feel Patterson is doing an even better job than the UFRs give him credit for, but that was eye-opening. A little more investigation and there seems to be a loophole in the formula:

#1, #2 & #6 are Oklahoma, Alabama & Georgia, which sound about right.

#3, #4, & #5 are Army, Georgia Tech & Air Force -- three triple-option teams. So obviously, chunk plays in limited quantity are rewarded.

This is usually the point where one would draw some profound conclusion, but I'm a dummy. Just thought it was interesting.

SlothWolverine

November 11th, 2018 at 7:04 PM ^

Come to think of it, the crowd should be VERY into this game. 

Might grab a last second ticket to try to make it myself. Want to say "thank you" for a great season and make sure they are properly motivated. 

Plus, the extra 30 minutes for tailgating beyond the usual 3:30 start should be put to good use with the consumption of copious amounts of belly warming liquor.  

xtramelanin

November 11th, 2018 at 9:21 PM ^

we attended the last snow bowl at the big house. that was a very cool game but as we know, it wasn't decided until de'veon smith put the team on his back and ran us to victory late in the game.  in the snow.  i'm not much worried about losing to IU, but that spread seems big.  i do appreciate the comments on this thread that talk about senior night - that could indeed be a motivating factor to crunch the hoosiers.