UPDATE: Michigan to open 2018 season AT ND, host them on October 26, 2019!
UPDATE:
Official release.
We open the 2018 season against them and then will host them in 2019.
ON OCTOBER 26TH
http://www.mgoblue.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/070716aaa.html
2018 schedule
9/1 | at Notre Dame |
9/8 | OPEN DATE |
9/15 | vs SMU |
9/22 | vs Nebraska% |
9/29 | at Northwestern% |
10/6 | vs Maryland* |
10/13 | vs Wisconsin% |
10/20 | at Michigan State* |
10/27 | Bye Week |
11/3 | vs Penn State* |
11/10 | at Rutgers* |
11/17 | vs Indiana* |
11/24 | at Ohio State* |
12/1 | B1G Championship |
2019 schedule
8/31 | OPEN DATE |
9/7 | OPEN DATE |
9/14 | Bye Week |
9/21 | at Wisconsin% |
9/28 | vs Rutgers* |
10/5 | vs Iowa% |
10/12 | at Illinois% |
10/19 | at Penn State* |
10/26 | vs Notre Dame |
11/2 | at Maryland* |
11/9 | Bye Week |
11/16 | vs Michigan State* |
11/23 | at Indiana* |
11/30 | vs Ohio State* |
12/7 | B1G Championship |
I don't mind scheduling Notre Dame again, but 3 big rivalry road games in 2018 along with supposedly paying Arkansas $2 Million to get out of that series seems too steep of a price. Also Notre Dame got an extra home game on us in the last series. I feel like we gave too much for the chance to play them again.
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Playing Arkansas at home in 2018, Michigan would have had up to eight home games that year (five BIG home games). Playing Arkansas away in 2019, Michigan would have had at most six home games that year (four BIG home games).
Playing at South Bend in 2018 (i.e. switching the 2018 Arkansas home game with a Notre Dame away game) could be a means for smoothing out the home/away breakdown for those two years (i.e. seven home games in both 2018 and 2019 vs. the eight and six setup).
Fandom-wise, it’s sub-optimal for Michigan to play at Columbus, East Lansing, and South Bend in the same year. Nobody is debating this. Revenue-wise, it could be that playing in South Bend in 2018 is better overall for the AD’s year-to-year cash management. Regardless of how many home games there are in a given year, the AD will always have fixed working capital requirements and debt-service payments relating to prior financing on capex (i.e. stadium upgrades, Crisler Center, other capital projects, etc.). Without having the numbers in front of me, it is a possibility that the extra revenue generated from premium games such as OSU and MSU aren’t enough to offset not having a seventh game (which would be the case in 2019). It could also be that the discounted opportunity cost of not having the seventh home game in 2019 exceeds the lost revenue of removing a premium home game in 2018.
I have a pretty neutral opinion of Manuel (to me, he’s “just a guy”), but a lot of people seem to want to jump the gun on him. Scheduling Notre Dame away in 2018 doesn’t necessarily make him stupid or a bad AD. His hands are absolutely tied. Having both OSU and MSU at home during four BIG home game years is the absolute worst-case scenario for Michigan (I’m actually trying to figure out why Brandon would agree to box himself into a six home game year (even if OSU and MSU are at home)). Short of convincing the rest of the BIG to revamp the 2018 and 2019 conference schedule by allowing us to split OSU and MSU home games into different years (or moving the OSU/MSU home years to the years where Michigan has five BIG home games), I’m not sure Manuel had a good option either way.
Whatever, hopefully the next time the schedule is made (or there is realignment), Manuel won’t have been such a d*ck that the other ADs allegedly go out of their way to screw Michigan.
That's a fair point that Manuel's hands weren't necessarily tied and that he could have deferred until 2020/2021 to schedule Notre Dame.
My point is that there is a distinct possiblity that Michigan's '18/'19 arrangement with Arkansas was going to get changed regardless. That six home game schedule in 2019 was problematic.
Essentially, to squeeze seven games of revenue into six games, total revenue for those six games (tickets, concessions, parking, etc.) would have to be increased by ~17% at a minimum (given that price increases would distort demand). I'm not sure the fanbase would take kindly to paying higher prices for seats.
From an optics standpoint, all three rivals away in the same year is bad. From financial standpoint, it potentially makes sense. It wouldn't be the worst thing to kill two birds with one stone (i.e. fix the six home game issue while getting Notre Dame back on the schedule).
I get the arguments people are making, and I too am not pleased with ND getting the first home game of the ''rebirth'' (seeing how they had the last home game), but to the people complaining about ''schedule suicide".... Just take a look at our road games this year @Iowa @MSU @OSU - on paper it looks like ''suicide''.
I guess what I am trying to say is that 2018 is still 2 seasons away. Michigan could be A BEAST and ND,MSU,OSU could be mediocre. Nobody knows.
Just play the damn games!
GO BLUE!
I get the arguments people are making, and I too am not pleased with ND getting the first home game of the ''rebirth'' (seeing how they had the last home game), but to the people complaining about ''schedule suicide".... Just take a look at our road games this year @Iowa @MSU @OSU - on paper it looks like ''suicide''.
I guess what I am trying to say is that 2018 is still 2 seasons away. Michigan could be A BEAST and ND,MSU,OSU could be mediocre. Nobody knows.
Just play the damn games!
GO BLUE!
Having your marquee game be against Penn State, Wisconsin or Nebraska, while somewhat enticing, does not ring the same bell as Notre Dame, MSU or OSU. Not even close.
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They've made our even-year schedules unnecessarily difficult, and the home slate incredibly dull and uninteresting. I don't get excited that my biggest home game of the year is fucking Wisconsin or Nebraska. I just don't, and most of us out there don't either.
I wanted ND back on the schedule, but not this badly. I did not want to bend over backwards to have them back. We throw off an home game with an SEC team that could be an extremely good opponent by then, and trade it in for a road game with a school that bitched out of this series. And we give them the first damn home game. I would not have even bothered picking up the phone for ND unless they told me they were willing to come to Ann Arbor every even year.
Manuel had better be ready to field a lot of angry complaints (and rightfully so) from the donors today. He really dropped the ball on this one.
The only silver lining I can possibly think to come of this is that if we somehow win all three of those games on the road, there's no way we're left out of the playoff. Even if we lose somewhere else.
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Self inflicted as well.
He didn't schedule the games. That's the AD's job.
And by the way, we only played them twice in the 70s and played them all the way up to 2014 so it's not like this is some ancient thing.
to start this series again on the road. I don't really miss the ND games myself and think we would have done OK scheduling other teams for that slot in the foreseeable future.
from Hackett to Manuel has been mind-boggling. Manuel has only been here a few months and has already made a screw-up that exceeds all of the mistakes Hackett may have made in his entire tenure put together.
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are we always the ones playing a rival two times in a row on the road? WHY? Bad move by Manuel...Im really starting to wonder about him as AD
Wonder if Hackett got the ball rolling on this deal and Warde is just here for the announcement.
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This is partly harbuagh and the fanbases fault for yelling so loudly about getting nd back. We cared way more about getting the game back on the schedule than they did and as a result we got fucked.
But Warde should have a much better sense of fan sentiment. That's a huge miss to assume that people would be willing to deal with the absolute shittiness that he just threw onto our schedule.
I was afraid this would happen. Manuel has shown his ass. The series ended at ND with the two squads having played one extra game in South Bend. And now we re-open the series with us going on the road again? Please! No rivarly is worth us dropping our pants in this manner. To say nothing of the fact that we play all ourt other rivarly games on the road that same season. In final analsis I would have never accepted these terms and perhaps that's why I'm not teh AD.
Yes, It stinks that we're playing our three rivals on the road the same year, but I'd guess we asked for this, and here's why.
Given the 9 game conference schedule, we now alternate between 5 home / 4 road and 4 home / road conf games per year. 2018 is a year we have 5 conf home games (PSU, Wisc, IU, Maryland, Nebraska), so it's easier to have a non-conf road game that year.
If we played home vs. ND in 2018, we'd only have 6 home dates (4 conf, 2 non-conf) in 2019, which I'd guess is out of the question.
That's my best guess as to why it's going down this way.
At first being annoyed by this decision, I find myself loving it now. In 2018 Michigan will be at full strenth. They'll have two highly recruiting classes to go in there and kick their ass along with a ton of newbies who will play in 2017. It shows that UM has balls and is going to make a point and go back in there on an opener and clean their clocks. What better way to start off a season with a convincing win over the pre-season playoff contender on their turf? I'm sure ND will be stating that they have a shot at a NC about that time then as well and as always.
The Road Warriors!
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