OT: Power 5 Expansion Warming Up?

Submitted by umbig11 on

The Big 12 has formed an expansion committee that comprises Gordon E. Gee (WVU), David Boren (Okla), and Ken Starr (Baylor). All three presidents are pro-expansion. It's no coincidence that Gee is leading that committee either. He has the experience from the B1G. Many analysts are expecting them to target Nebraska and BYU and think they will be at 12 or 14 teams by 2017 or 2018. However, I can't see that happening regarding Nebraska as they are hauling in record revenue with the B1G along with an academic windfall that goes with it.

However, a new report came out confirming that Oklahoma, Nebraska, Texas A&M, Kansas and Iowa State sought to join the Big Ten in 2010. As you know, Nebraska was added and the others were either left behind or joined the SEC. The article ends with an interesting sentence:

"If the predictions come true that the clock is ticking on the Big 12 sticking together, remember what we previously reported from two sources at Nebraska the Big Ten has done its "homework'' to evaluate Oklahoma and Kansas as potential members."

If you remember Delaney's comments. The B1G may continue to expand south and/or east with contiguous boundaries and AAU institutions. Oklahoma and Kansas certainly fit that model. David Boren has been outspoken this summer about expansion too. So, will we see another round of expansion soon? Say 2017 or 2018?

http://www.foxsports.com/college-football/outkick-the-coverage/oklahoma…

UMfan21

July 27th, 2015 at 9:58 AM ^

except in the early 90s when George Pereles' Spartans were caught cheating. or the late 90s when Minnesota basketball was caught academically cheating. I'm sure there are others. let's not pretend Big Ten academics is pure.

Mr Miggle

July 27th, 2015 at 10:52 AM ^

Then we'll really dominate college sports. Watch out SEC!

I don't see the need to add anyone. If you can get Texas, UNC or ND, fine. They'd make the conference better and fit academically. But adding schools just to expand makes the conference worse. There's no need to compound previous mistakes. Only thing I could go fo isr 20 schools divided into old and new divisions. No interleague play in football or basketball until the postseason.

Aren't the new ACC exit fees astronomical? I think the window to get UNC, UVA or GT has closed for the foreseeable future.

Perkis-Size Me

July 27th, 2015 at 8:13 AM ^

Nebraska, in my opinion, would never go back to the Big XII. With the amount of money they're raking in from the BTN, why would they leave all of that to go to a conference where they'll get far less money and go back to being a second-class citizen to Texas? That was the reason Nebraska left in the first place.

A lot of schools are going to be turned off by that. I think the Big XII is going to have to poach mid-major schools like Boise (which I'm surprised they haven't done yet, because that move feels like it'd make sense), Cincinatti, USF, or something like that.



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elm

July 27th, 2015 at 8:39 AM ^

I would guess that they add BYU and one of SMU or Houston to get to 12.  The two Florida schools would be interesting if they want to "expand their footprint," but neither really bring that much to the table outside of that.  Similar deal with Cincinnati.

Boise State brings nothing but football (no other sport, not a large market, pretty far away geographically) and I wonder how long their football team stays good with Peterson gone and wonder how good it would be with stronger competition.

The good news for the Big12 is that 6 of those 7 schools would definitely say yes (does BYU want to stay independent?) and each is a reasonable if not exciting addition.  So they can get to 12 and get their championship game with ease.

blockm97

July 27th, 2015 at 8:35 AM ^

I think OU will have trouble getting out w/out OKST tagging a long.    

And no thanks on Kansas.  These decsions should never have basketball as part of the consideration.  

LSAClassOf2000

July 27th, 2015 at 8:36 AM ^

Sometimes, it just goes faster, as late last month when Oklahoma President David Boren called the Big 12 “psychologically disadvantaged’’ for having the smallest number of members (10) among Power Five conferences. He said the league should “strive’’ to get back to 12.

That's from the article that appeared in Omaha's paper. I found that use of "psychologically disadvantaged" rather interesting because it sounds like something that could be taken as a shot at the conference's long-term viability in the current absence of clear targets. Indeed, there are already some rumblings in the Big 12 media that the conference is by far the most unstable of the Power Five, which I could totally believe - more schools have compelling reasons to leave (if the opportunity presented itself) than to stay, it seems. 

M-Dog

July 27th, 2015 at 9:34 AM ^

They are right.  When you are surrounded by conferences with 14 schools, ten schools feels "temporary".  It leaves the Big 12 unstable and ripe for poaching.  

The ACC was in the same boat, but they have become a lot more stable since they expanded to keep up.  There is no longer the default assumption that they will disband like there is with the big 12.

 

M-Dog

July 27th, 2015 at 8:42 AM ^

I'd rather tne B1G not expand.  But if you are going to expand, I'd love to see Oklahoma and Kansas.

They are elite programs in Football and Basketball repectively, in football they add strength to the B1G West (Purdue would come East), it would re-create the historic, compelling Oklahoma-Nebraska rivalry under the B1G banner, and it would balance out the over-emphasis on the East coast that the B1G has recently gone through.

It would be an excellent, strategic add for the B1G as a whole.

Yes it's true, Oklahoma and Kansas are not in the largest media markets.  But at some point, every decision can't be about the last marginal dollar.  The B1G is an athletic conference, not just a bunch of $$ prinitng presses.

 

TdK71

July 27th, 2015 at 3:32 PM ^

but it'll go a long way to locking other conferences out of Jersey., An added plus is it gives B1G teams an additional advantage by providing kids from Jersey a chance to play in front of their families every other year (if they go to a B1G East Division School).

superstringer

July 27th, 2015 at 9:51 AM ^

Ignore performance.  It's that UMd is NOT a B1G culture.  Frankly, it doesnt have any real culture, the DC area is pretty ambivalent to its existence.  But its roots are Tobacco Road, its ultimately more of a Southern school than anything.  Its campus is an eyesore.  It doesn't have alumni who give a crap about any other B1G schools, except perhaps PSU.  The only reason they are in the conference for athletic purposes, from UMd's perspective, is the $$$.  Frankly that's basically what they said when they joined, and it was a President and AD who had virtually no historic experience with UMd or the ACC who made the decision.  Their Pres was actually from Iowa.  This was just a nonsense move for the B1G.

I Hate Buckeyes

July 27th, 2015 at 9:32 AM ^

Me and some good friends came up with what we thought the Power 5 would look like 5 years into the future. It was done all in fun and not taken that serious, so don't roast me lol. When I get home I will post them. The Big 12 turned out to be the weakest of the 5.



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sadeto

July 27th, 2015 at 10:27 AM ^

The ACC schools all granted their media rights to the conference, they can't take them with them if they leave. BC is in the same boat. Now, BC isn't exactly a football powerhouse right now but they are the sole representative of the New England market for the ACC. 

East German Judge

July 27th, 2015 at 10:23 AM ^

Upvote, I would be so happy to get rid of pedophile state university and their delusional joepa loving fans.  They are a blemish on the B1G, nothing any of the real B1G schools has done - Ed Martin, Tattoogate, etc. - compare to the stench of what they have denied and covered up.

UMgradMSUdad

July 27th, 2015 at 9:48 AM ^

The Big 12 has problems, one of the biggest being Texas.  Their Longhorn Network and throwing their weight around is a large part of what drove off Nebraska and Texas A & M.  The conference acceptance of West Virginia shows they have no concern for either geography or academics, though several of the original schools aren't exactly academic all stars either (and  West Virginia was never a realistic option for the Big Ten because of its dreadful academics). Fans and talking heads around here (I live in Oklahoma City) have been bemoaning that the conference didn't go harder after Louisville instead of West Virginia.

There are a contigent of Nebraska fans who want to rejoin the Big 12, but I have to believe a lot of that is motivated by nostalgia for a time when Nebraska football was relevant nationally.  As others have pointed out, even if for nothing else, finacially and academically Nebraska is far better off now than what it was in the Big 12.  The biggest losses for Nebraska were losing some recruiting strength in Texas and the rivalry with Oklahoma, but Oklahoma already considered Texas its big rival game any way.

west2

July 27th, 2015 at 9:51 AM ^

one of the power 5 conferences will get absorbed by the other 4.  Right now if expansion continues as outlined here with the bgtwelve getting poached I would say the big twelve could be in danger of disappearing. 

sadeto

July 27th, 2015 at 10:19 AM ^

I agree with this. The ACC isn't going to fall apart, it's too powerful now and the conference now owns the media rights of its schools. The Big 12 has the Texas issue and that may prove to be its downfall. Expect the vultures to start picking it apart, starting with Oklahoma and Kansas, proceeding to Baylor and TTU (the Texas media market is big). Both the B1G and the SEC will make a push for Texas. 

Blue Durham

July 27th, 2015 at 10:38 AM ^

Here's two lists: Schools that were able to leave the Big 12 Missouri Colorado Nebraska Texas A&M Schools that wanted to leave the Big 12 but failed to do so: Kansas Kansas State Iowa State Texas Tech Baylor Oklahoma Oklahoma State The list of schools that successfully got out of the Big 12 are quite different than those that didn't - they had something to offer. I see no compelling reason for the Big 10 (or any other major conference for that matter) to take any of those teams (and many reasons NOT to take the cancer that is Texas). Academics, geography, athletic competitiveness and markets all matter and all of these schools are severely wanting in most of those categories.

FrankMurphy

July 27th, 2015 at 12:04 PM ^

Since Nebraska is no longer an AAU member, the precedent for adding non-AAU schools has already been set, so I don't think non-membership in the AAU would be a blocker for Oklahoma or Oklahoma State (especially since Michigan and Wisconsin voted to kick Nebraska out of the AAU and the vote took place after Nebraska had agreed to join the B1G). If anything, distance and lack of geographic contiguity is a bigger deal than non-membership in the AAU.  

michelin

July 27th, 2015 at 10:07 AM ^

remember the movie Annie Hall. Woody Allen’s younger self is depressed. He won't even do his homework. So his Mom takes him to see a doctor in Brooklyn. The doctor asks him why he's so depressed that he won't even do his homework. The young Woody explains: Well, the universe is expanding. Someday it will break apart. That will be the end of everything! So, what’s the point? His Mom then raises her hands in exasperation and says: What’s the universe got to do with it? You’re here in Brooklyn! Brooklyn is not expanding!

gwkrlghl

July 27th, 2015 at 10:19 AM ^

I think it's far more likely that the entire Big 12 is absorbed into the other 4 leagues than it is that they successfully poach Nebraska or any other Big 5 team. The Big 12 is the weak conference right now probably because it's viewed as the Texas & Co. Conference.

If Delaney wanted to, he could probably pick off half the conference before the season started

Blue Durham

July 27th, 2015 at 10:48 AM ^

The Big 12 ain't getting Florida State, Miami, USC, Alabama nor even Dog Shit University from a power 5 conference. That is not even going to remotely happen. In order for the Big 12 to "fall apart" some of the schools that have been trying to leave will have to be incorporated into another conference. Despite the efforts of Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, etc., they have not been able to join another conference. I see no reason why the SEC, Big 10, etc. would take any of them now when they were passed over before.