A little fun to be had on this LONG week
Not sure if I got the link right or not, but this is a fun little website........I should warn you to not look ahead on the schedule. Best to only look at this weeks opponent. This weeks game is the most important game (this week)
Clearly I am looking forward to Saturday!
Go Blue
http://www.ncaagamesim.com/fb_GameSimulator.asp
October 16th, 2018 at 3:58 PM ^
My results were
FINAL SCORE
10
(2019)
13
(2019)
October 16th, 2018 at 5:31 PM ^
Ran a simulation of last year's game:
FINAL SCORE
21
(2018)
9
(2018)
Apparently Malik Zaire, Felipe Franks, and someone named Kadarius Toney all contributed for Michigan.
October 16th, 2018 at 4:00 PM ^
I'll take it.
FINAL SCORE
6
(2019)
31
(2019)
The average score is Michigan State (2019): 13.0 - Michigan (2019): 22.1, decided by < 5 pts 397 times (23.3%)
FINAL SCORE
17
(2019)
23
(2019)
The average score is Ohio State (2019): 22.4 - Michigan (2019): 23.2, decided by < 5 pts 435 times (20.8%)
October 16th, 2018 at 4:07 PM ^
I had the same results on OSU game.......Michigan wins, book your tickets to Indy!
October 16th, 2018 at 5:45 PM ^
I like mine even better:
FINAL SCORE
17
(2019)
56
(2019)
The average score is Ohio State (2019): 22.0 - Michigan (2019): 24.4, decided by < 5 pts 492 times (20.7%)
October 16th, 2018 at 4:02 PM ^
I immediately tried to check Michigan/Nebraksa 1997, but alas it doesn’t go back that far.
October 16th, 2018 at 4:04 PM ^
I ran MSU PSU and OSU and it claims Michigan won over 50% of the OSU runs and 2/3 of the PSU runs.
October 16th, 2018 at 4:12 PM ^
This one "took the cake" though......
FINAL SCORE
45
(2019)
42
(2019)
The average score is Purdue (2019): 30.4 - Ohio State (2019): 27.8, decided by < 5 pts 96 times (20.8%)
BOILER UP!!!
October 16th, 2018 at 5:43 PM ^
I'm buying this one, Purdue has been playing some good ball (mostly on the offense) after starting the year 0-3. Ohio State showed some chinks in the armor lately and especially against Minnesota. I can see Purdue winning a shootout.
October 16th, 2018 at 4:15 PM ^
FINAL SCORE
3
(2019)
32
(2019)
==================
FINAL SCORE
17
(2019)
9
(2019)
==================
FINAL SCORE
19
(2019)
24
(2019)
Home field advantage ON
October 16th, 2018 at 4:16 PM ^
FINAL SCORE
15
(2019)
21
(2019)
The average score is Michigan State (2019): 12.8 - Michigan (2019): 22.7, decided by < 5 pts 450 times (22.1%)
MATCHUP SIMULATION STATS
Michigan State vs. Michigan
# of simulations:
2040
# of overtimes:
66 (3.2%)
(2019)
» Michigan State won 517 times (25.3%)
» Michigan State won by >20 pts 52 times (2.5%)
(2019)
» Michigan won 1523 times (74.7%)
» Michigan won by >20 pts 551 times (27.0%)
Share this Result
October 16th, 2018 at 4:19 PM ^
Now take a look at this!
FINAL SCORE
31
(2019)
35
(2019)
The average score is Notre Dame (2019): 13.6 - Michigan (2019): 18.2, decided by < 5 pts 122 times (27.7%)
October 16th, 2018 at 4:21 PM ^
My results...
FINAL SCORE
10
(2019)
45
(2019)
The average score is Michigan State (2019): 12.7 - Michigan (2019): 22.7, decided by < 5 pts 452 times (21.9%)
October 16th, 2018 at 4:36 PM ^
Fuck this. I got a good 20-10 MSU score. However, we get waxed by OSU, 40-17. WTH?
October 16th, 2018 at 4:50 PM ^
There is a lot of variability when you simulate every single down in a game. One simulation doesn't really mean much - you have to look at hundreds or thousands if you want a better indicator of how things will go.
Even then, there's always the chance that the real game is a statistical outlier from what would be expected. See Iowa-OSU last year.
October 16th, 2018 at 4:53 PM ^
Uh-oh.
FINAL SCORE
17
(2019)
16
(2019)
October 16th, 2018 at 4:58 PM ^
But yet . . .
FINAL SCORE
7
(2019)
38
(2019)
October 16th, 2018 at 5:07 PM ^
Shut your damn mouth!!
October 16th, 2018 at 4:56 PM ^
My wonderful school district decided to move conferences up a month this year, so not only is this week dragging because it is Sparty Week, but it got twice as long because of conferences.
I'm already 0 for 2 on parents showing up; which gives me some more time here on the blog. Last year I had right around 20% of parents show, and based on the communication (or lack thereof) I've been able to have so far this school year, I would be surprised if I even get 20% participation this time around.
October 16th, 2018 at 5:03 PM ^
A handsome win for the Wolverines, and a crushing defeat for their oldest foe.
FINAL SCORE
0
(2019)
20
(2019)
The average score is Michigan (2019): 18.1 - Michigan (2019): 18.3, decided by < 5 pts 17 times (30.4%)
October 16th, 2018 at 5:05 PM ^
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Own 40 -- Pass by Shea Patterson complete to Jared Wangler for 60 yds TOUCHDOWN
Ok
October 16th, 2018 at 5:05 PM ^
M 27
O 3
brought a damn tear to my eye.
October 16th, 2018 at 5:10 PM ^
I'm shocked nobody posted a simulation score vs our real rivals: Rutgers! BRB I'm on it!
October 16th, 2018 at 5:12 PM ^
I ran one. We won 62-3
October 16th, 2018 at 5:14 PM ^
Michigan wins 30-7, wins 105 of the 106 simulations, and 89 of them by 20+ points.
October 16th, 2018 at 5:42 PM ^
FINAL SCORE
6
(2019)
36
(2019)
The average score is Michigan State (2019): 12.1 - Michigan (2019): 23.9, decided by < 5 pts 603 times (20.4%)
October 17th, 2018 at 10:32 AM ^
I could live with this outcome.