I did not make this headline up
- Member for
- 6 years 38 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|2 days 10 hours ago||It was pretty clear that the||
It was pretty clear that the ESPN journalist had a story he wanted to write, and Miller gave him the quote he needed.
|3 days 6 hours ago||IMO, the scoreboards are||
IMO, the scoreboards are oversized and distracting. This is especially the case when they fill every bit of down time with athletic department infomercials.
|4 days 7 hours ago||My guess is:PG -||
My guess is:
PG - Walton/Spike
SG - LeVert/Spike/Dawkins/MAAR
SF - Irvin/Dawkins/Robinson/MAAR
PF - Robinson/Irvin/Dawkins/Wagner or Brown/Chatman/Wilson
C - Wagner or Brown/Doyle/Wilson/Donnal
Robinson is a big kid. PF is going to be his primary position. Beilein almost always plays guys Wagner size at center.
As Brian says, guessing next years lineup is a total crapshoot, and with this much depth, a lot will depend on matchups. We're really going to have the ability to go big or small, especially if we land Wagner .
Edit - And I suck for not looking up that Brown is 6'7", not 6'10" like I thought. So my depth chart really only applies if Michigan lands Wagner.
|1 week 23 hours ago||Man, I'm kicking myself I was||
Man, I'm kicking myself I was a little too slow to the "print screen" button. That was epic. Poor girl.
|1 week 2 days ago||Irvin's made huge strides in||
Irvin's made huge strides in his handle and rebounding. Where he could make a huge improvement next year is finishing at the rim. The coaching staff should sit him down to watching how Trey Burke would use his off-arm to keep defenders away from the ball, often finishing with guys 10 inches taller defending him. Then show a tape of Irvin attempting to finish, allowing the defender to consistantly get in a position to block the shot by not using his off arm.
|1 week 5 days ago||He did the calculation||
He did the calculation correctly. He just used more pessimistic odds for each game than 538.
|1 week 5 days ago||Kenpom gives them a 33.8%||
Kenpom gives them a 33.8% chance of winning it all, so you're not too far off what he thinks. Considering he "only" gives them a 97.9% chance of winning their first round game, I think he's a little pessimistic. I'd say they're a coin flip.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Then expect him to head||
Then expect him to head elsewhere.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||It wouldn't surprise me if||
It wouldn't surprise me if Beilein let a few players know where they stand, which might scare them away (like Smotz, C. Christian, Brundridge, etc).
|3 weeks 3 days ago||We need a backup PG after||
We need a backup PG after Spike graduates. Sina would add another member to our current Freshman class which is already enormous...which makes me wonder how much it will shrink this offseason.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||Browsing through the Rivals||
Browsing through the Rivals DB, it looks like Michigan did not win a head-to-head battle for an Ohio recruit in the last 2 classes. Tressel is correct in this matter, but he should know more than anyone that things can change pretty darn fast in the rivalry.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||I would be shocked if 3pt||
I would be shocked if 3pt shooting and half court shooting were not strongly correlated. A lot of the characteristics that make someone a good 3pt shooter are useful shooting half court shots.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||Mathematical view of this bet||
I don't think you have to be THAT rock bottom. If you were a good long range shooter in HS, your percentage from half court is probably around 10-15%. Lets say 10%. The probability of missing all 10 shots would be .9^10 = 34.8%. That gives you an expected earnings of $6.97M.
Now let's look at expect losses. So, you lose all earnings for 2 years, and then lets make the assumption that your income will lag behind your current expected income by 50% once out of prison. If you make $80k, you lose $160k right off the bat, and then $40k annually for 25 years (let's ignore things like wage growth and ROI to keep things simpler). ($160k + ($40k *25)) * 0.348 = -$403k
Now your expected earnings are down to $6.57M - math wiz's let me know if I'm way off base. Other factors are difficult to quantify: what (negative) value do you put on prison time, how much damage do you expect it will do to your relations, how risk adverse are you, how much do you value the flexibility that having $20M dropped on you will give you? The prison time is pretty huge, but would it outweigh the expected $6.5M?
I think people do these calculations instinctively, and there are a lot of decent basketball players with a meh career/life that would take that bet.
|4 weeks 22 hours ago||You have more flexibility with a Roth, and it does||
You have more flexibility with a Roth, and it does diversify the tax advantages, so to speak. With that said, you should make sure you fully take advantage of your employers 401k matching before putting money in a Roth.
|4 weeks 22 hours ago||Open a Roth IRA and park it in an index fund or||
Open a Roth IRA and park it in an index fund or ETF.
I haven't read the replies, so sorry if I'm the hundredth person to suggest this.
|4 weeks 22 hours ago||People are reading WAY too much into the Bolden||
People are reading WAY too much into the Bolden comment. He probably would have said the exact same thing without the coaching change.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||Upper body strength isn't||
Upper body strength isn't unimportant, just not nearly as important as lower body in football. Yet it's the bench that's emphasized.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||Great numbers for both of||
Great numbers for both of them.
Why is the bench press always featured when football is a lower body sport?
|5 weeks 4 days ago||Izzo manages to keep his||
Izzo manages to keep his players in EL longer because he's had very little NBA talent in the last 10 years. He hasn't been able to hang on to his NBA talent much better than Beilein. I'm sure Green and Payne will be pointed out, but those guys were late 2nd rounders/undrafted type guys after their Junior years. They really helped themselves out as seniors, and even then Green did not become a 1st rounder. Dawson is another talented player that's stayed 4 years, but he'll probably go undrafted. Not really a huge sample size of NBA talent to determine anything from anyway.
All the Michigan guys that have gone pro were thought to be, at worst, borderline 1st rounders. With the exception of maybe Manny Harris, it was their circumstance that led them to go pro, not Beilein's inability to hang on to them.
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Has the Big Ten ever had more||
Has the Big Ten ever had more than 2?
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Chatman at least looks like||
Chatman at least looks like he's more aggressive rebounding tonight.
MAAR with a couple awful turnovers early. He's been the main culprit in this little run by the Illini.
|6 weeks 3 days ago||I'll be shocked if we can||
I'll be shocked if we can crack 75k. I think we had about 65k at the 2009 spring game when it was 65 or 70 degrees outside, and people were excited to see how RR's offense was progressing then. We might be able to do 70k with all the Harbaugh excitement and exceptionally nice weather. If it's less than 40 out or raining, then we'll struggle to crack 30k.
|6 weeks 3 days ago||The grad transfer gives||
The grad transfer gives athletes a chance to go to the best situation possible for their final year. It gives players stuck on the bench a chance to start somewhere else. It gives star athletes stuck in lower level schools a chance to get more exposure. It also gives players a chance to play in a system that best suits their skill set.
Naturally, some coaches care most about their own well being and want to kill the rule.
|6 weeks 4 days ago||Losing Vonleh and Fischer||
Losing Vonleh and Fischer (transferred to Marquette) has hurt his team this year. They're doing OK, but they've definitely been hurt by early departures too.
He seems to have missed on a lot of the big time Indiana recruits - Gary Harris, Brandon Dawson, McGary, GRIII, and I'm sure there's others. Hasn't even had a ton of recruits from Indiana in his recent classes. Maybe HS coaches have figured out what a clown this guy is?
|6 weeks 5 days ago||Nik shot 44% from 3 his||
Nik shot 44% from 3 his freshman year, when his game was standing in the corner waiting for Burke to throw him the ball.
|6 weeks 6 days ago||My westside centric||
My westside centric opinions:
Dimo's makes the best donuts and serves good diner food. The owner is quite a character as well. Definitely worth a try if you're looking for dinner on the west side of town, and don't want to spring for Zingerman's Roadhouse.
Wolverine brews the best beer in town (excluding JP, which is kinda a niche brewery, but awesome) and is a fun place to visit.
Metzger's still exists out on Zeeb road. Just had the Zwiebelrostbraten (Prime Rib topped with gravy and fried onions) on my birthday, and it was AMAZING.
I'm in the pro Zingerman's Roadhouse camp. Their execution isn't always perfect, but they always use top notch ingredients and their mac and cheese is consistently awesome. It's pricy, but not as expensive as some of the downtown establishments.
|6 weeks 6 days ago||I work nearby and go there||
I work nearby and go there for lunch all the time. It's OK. The beer is OK, better than ABC, but that's not saying much. It's not the best BBQ, but most of the dishes I've had are good. Nothing is exceptional though.
There's better options downtown, but if you're in the mood for BBQ or a hamburger and a beer, it's worth a try.
|6 weeks 6 days ago||Chatman has the size and||
Chatman has the size and frame to grow into a truly bruising 4, however, I question whether he has the motor to really take advantage of his size.
We'll actually be a very big team if Wilson or Chatman can become dependable starters.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Interesting that it might be||
Interesting that it might be an impermissable benefit to hire a lawyer pro bono to sue an NCAA institution. Sounds like grounds for another lawsuit.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||Chris Collingsworth is the||
Chris Collingsworth is the worst. Pam Ward would've been an improvement.