Still a B1G (big) college hockey game tonight
Although Michigan doesn't play tonight (SINCE WE SWEPT THE FIG THINGS LAST NIGHT, ENDING THEIR SEASON AND PUTTING US INTO THE SEMIFINALS OF THE CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT... for those unaware), there *is* a meaningful game tonight.
Wisconsin hosts osu for Game 3 of their quarterfinals. If wisc wins, Michigan plays msu next weekend in a single elimination playoff game @ East Lansing. If osu wins, we have to go to Minnesota for the same.
The game is on BTN+ at 6pm.
Let's cheer for wisc to end osu's season.
Fig things?
There's got to be a better name for them.
seems perfectly fine to me:
and yes, ending ohio in a sport, even as a state, seems like a very good thing.
I was wondering about this too. I think I saw the cup but I forgot about it. Nothing tops StAEE.
Awwww, he doesn’t know about the cup.
Now, he knows about the cup
Notre Dame playing for the Fig Thing Cup this year. To hell with them.
March 10th, 2024 at 10:45 PM ^
Knew about the cup.
Just thought actually calling them that was lame.
There's a thousand better pejoratives out there.
Tell us which ones
Maybe change your user name to Perjorative Master since you seem to be so fully aware of its uses, while the rest of us bask in your omniscience?
So... Master P?
That names is taken. It's P Master.
Wait. I thought it was P Diddy...
Not rooting for the Trohls. I don't really care who wins. Not sure whether we're better off going against FYS or taking a trip to 3M. I don't think it really matters.
I’d rather play FYS but I think you are right that it probably doesn’t matter much.
Ohio up 1-0 on PPG halfway through the first
Oops, went to watch, after logging into btn+ I realized I had gone on the cheap and only bought the Michigan-specific package. Doh!
I guess I’m rooting for Wisconsin as I’m betting the players want a chance for some MSU revenge.
Lol had that exact experience. "What do you mean this isn't included in my package?"
BTN -
- To win the B1G, I don't think it matters
- MSU then Wiscy or Minny, vs
- Minny then MSU or OSU (probably MSU)
- To minimize scenarios in which Mich doesn't make the NCAAs
- OSU would be 2 wins away from being a bid thief
- Maybe a 10-15% likelihood should OSU win tonight
- Still better to squash that tonight, IMO
- I think Mich is unlikely to fall further than 13th in the event of a loss next weekend (I'm not a pairwise expert)
- #11 Colorado College plays #11 Omaha (NCHC)
- #13 Western Michigan plays #15 St Cloud (NCHC)
- #14 Providence plays #15 Massachusetts (Hockey East)
- OSU would be 2 wins away from being a bid thief
I believe Ohio wins help our pairwise.
So one more is OK with me.
I like the dream of beating Sparty for the title after they win the regular season
for the first time.
:)
2-0 Ohio 6:50 left in the 2nd
2-0 11:35 left in the game
Trohl Center hasn't adjusted to DST?
Thanks for nothing, wisc.
Wiscy falls to #9 in the pairwise after their 3-1 loss to OSU.
Beat Minny.
https://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-rankings/d-i-men/
https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/probabilityMatrix.php
3-1 final. WI drops a couple spots to #9. We're still #10.
Pairwise predictor moves Michigan to 99.4% as of this morning's 20,000 simulations, which isn't a lock, but certainly feels much better than it did three weeks ago.
I'll be curious to see what tomorrow's numbers say since it will now simulate Michigan/Minnesota instead of Michigan/MSU or Michigan/Minnesota.
Right now the cutoff line is 14, the only way UM could be out is if they lose to Minn and every conference has an upset. So say OSU wins their tourney, and there are upsets in the ECAC, HE, and NCHC, the cutoff be at 11, where UM could be if they lose. I don't know if it will reach 100% tomorrow, but it would be great if it does.
March 10th, 2024 at 10:33 PM ^
Yeah, considering where they were a couple of weeks ago this team seemingly a lock for the tourney and setting up to be a really bad 3 seed for someone is pretty impressive.
99.6% :)
https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/probabilityMatrix.php
Final M Pairwise Ranking Likelihoods:
8 0.1%
9 1%
10 23%
11 31%
12 32%
13 12%
14 1%
15 <0.05%
Likelihoods of winning the B1G Tournament
- OSU 6% (bid thief)
- Mich 19%
- MSU 37%
- Minn 38%
The Atlantic Hockey and CCHA champions will be bid thieves since they are sure to come from below 16. I'm guessing the 0.4% chance of missing the NCAAs is distributed as
- mostly from falling to 14th and one bid thief arising from the B1G, Hockey East, NCHC, or ECAC
- a small contribution from falling to 13th and two bid thieves arising from the B1G, Hockey East, NCHC, and ECAC
- an even smaller contribution from falling to 15th and out for sure
Very helpful link. Thank you.
March 10th, 2024 at 11:36 PM ^
I guess I don't need to figure out if I can get a ticket for the game at East Landfill on Saturday. Probably rooting for OSU because an OSU win would give us another game at Yost if we could beat Minnesota. We are at 9:00 on BTN.
Would've liked if Michigan played Minnesota before the OSU-MSU game, as that would direct my rooting interest in the second contest (OSU if Michigan wins, MSU if Minnesota wins - to avoid any bid stealing).
I get why it's later though - central time zone game vs eastern time zone game.
March 11th, 2024 at 12:22 PM ^
Beat the Gophers…. Go Blue!
And, the B1G men’s conference tourney is in Minneapolis this week too.
March 11th, 2024 at 12:34 PM ^
Another reason our chances look so good now is that each of the 6 teams ranked from 11-16 plays one of the others this weekend. Should take at least a few of our competitors off the board.