The State Of Our Open Threads: After Northwestern
Let me say that this game actually made me briefly reconsider the Mood Chart just a bit. Here's the reason:
We won, and yet here it sits, cleanly in the "Anger" quadrant. I then thought about this a little more, and yes, I was still upset after that game as I imagine most folks were, and about a lot of things. For example, I am upset about having to win at least 1 of the next 2 to even sniff a bowl, about an offense that can only manage 10 points against a Northwestern team doing an equally good impersonation of futility to our own, etc...After a while, it made sense to me so I left it.
In any case, some interesting shifts in our language did occur, but while the raw totals would declare another victory for "fuck" at 178 fucks in a thread of 2,002 posts, it was the uptick in "suck" that was significant. We said we would at the beginning of the game, and we as a blog embraced the suck. Indeed, look at the normalized values.
"Damn" and "suck" clearly got more airplay than they typically do, although we had some practice embracing the suck during the Michigan State game as you can see above. The important thing is that we had no trouble taking the theme of the game to heart because damn, we suck, right?
We were fairly efficient in this game for reasons already mentioned. Here's that update:
4.31 is within shouting distance of a few games this year, so while this was not the shock that Notre Dame was, it definitely made us experience some Utah-esque irritation and disillusionment, the sole difference from a result standpoint being tht we won in this case. We simply weren't happy about it, that's all. If there is a lesson here, it is that a pyrrhic victory in football definitely exists.
The "Fuck-Fire" dynamic got some airplay on a few other blogs this week, or so I found out when trying to reference older diaries via Google. Here's that one this week:
It would seem to indicate that we're getting to a point where we've given most of the fucks we're going to give, and that we might be more or less resigned that someone will get fired in the next few weeks. Actually last night, Nussmeier, Funk and "the team" bore the brunt of the canning talk. A fair number of people not only want the house cleaned, but set ablaze and rebuilt, it would seem.
So, if there is a game this year so far which underscores the weird place many of us are undoubtedly at as Michigan fans, it is this game....and we won it.
November 9th, 2014 at 8:31 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 8:33 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 8:41 AM ^
We fucking suck like shit damn it.
November 9th, 2014 at 12:31 PM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 8:48 AM ^
We're 5-5, we've sucked for many, many weeks. And people are still just realizing this!
To be fair, no player has ever been hit by the snap in recent memory. The level of suckiness was elevated. In a Win, no less!
November 9th, 2014 at 8:55 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 9:01 AM ^
and then felt bad for laughing. And then grabbed my DVR thingy, hit rewind, and laughed again.
I feel slight remorse this morning, but I'm heading to church in an hour.
November 9th, 2014 at 9:42 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 11:46 AM ^
"Golly gee coach that was quite a gritty, tough, hard nosed performance by the boys. They certainly dug deep and pulled out a much-needed victory yesterday. Would you classify it as one of the three greatest wins in recent Michigan history or was that one of the all-time great wins for the program?"
November 9th, 2014 at 12:28 PM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 12:02 PM ^
This was probably discussed ad nauseum elsewhere, but I was at the game and remember Gardner signaling to Funchess to get his ass in motion pronto. Funchess didn't budge. And then he finally budged many seconds after Gardner's signal. The ball was snapped, which prompted me to think "what a perfectly timed snap directly to Funchess for a surprise jet sweep". Much to my dismay, Funchess did not appear with the ball in his hands, and the ensuing pile up made me realize that I would have fought every fiber in my being to not shut the TV off if I was watching from the comfort of my home. What a crap play.
That being said, I think I enjoyed watching that game more in person compared to if I had been at home. It was a great Michigan turnout...true fans, to the core.
November 9th, 2014 at 8:56 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 9:21 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 9:39 AM ^
If we do want to go in this direction, then my proposal for all offensive highlight reels, beginning with last night's, is the following music:
November 9th, 2014 at 9:45 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 10:12 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 5:09 PM ^
to steal it from Les Miles.
(He still wins, though.)
November 9th, 2014 at 10:16 AM ^
Now you could study Lombardi and be quite elite
And you can charm the critics and have nothing to eat
Just slip on a banana peel, the world's at your feet!
Make 'em laugh, make 'em laugh, make 'em laugh!
November 9th, 2014 at 9:26 AM ^
...was 100% Yakety Sax.
November 9th, 2014 at 9:27 AM ^
I have started watching the games on about a 3 hour DVR delay which allows me to wipe out the commercials & halftime obviously and condense the entire "experience" into about a 90 minute timeframe. Because I've reached the point where the suspense in watching a Michigan game is roughly equivilent to that I get watching a Mathew McConaughey chick flick thriller it really doesnt matter much to me anymore if I see the hilarity live or on delay.
Watching Michigan football for an old dude like me is like looking at pictures of Meg Ryan today versus what I rememer her looking like.
November 9th, 2014 at 9:38 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 9:40 AM ^
That is completely unfair to Matthew McConaughey chick flick thrillers. <3
November 9th, 2014 at 9:50 AM ^
On a WAY WAY WAY happier note
Blue Dragon did you see this pic yet? I call it "The mood of Cleveland Browns fans everywhere right now"
November 9th, 2014 at 5:59 PM ^
It's the same look plastered to my face since Thursday. Even the subscapular bursa can't ruin my mood.
November 9th, 2014 at 1:13 PM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 9:27 AM ^
Pat F said embrace the suck and I assume many ran with it.
Unfortunately so did Hoke.
November 9th, 2014 at 9:46 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 10:44 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 11:15 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 11:21 AM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 12:47 PM ^
would be a better OC than Nuss. Nuss has been very disappointing and gets my unimaginative OC award!
November 9th, 2014 at 1:17 PM ^
I think we have a fan base who is mostly emerging from stage 3 (anger & bargaining) and entering stage 4 (depression and loneliness). It is only the expectation that necessary coaching changes will be made that allows one to even think about stages 5,6,7. If for some reason that does not happen then stage 3 will likely be revisited with even greater vigor than it was entered in the first place. And I trust that at this point the graphing will illustrate this in stark fashion. FWIW
November 9th, 2014 at 1:51 PM ^
Yesterday might have been the worst offensive performance all season, and that's saying an awful lot. I think we would have been better off leaving the defense on the field and letting Jake Ryan hand off to Frank Clark.
Anybody still on the Nussmeier bandwagon at this point is suffering from some serious congnative dissonance.
November 9th, 2014 at 1:51 PM ^
November 9th, 2014 at 5:19 PM ^
I know that seniors should have the honor of going to midfield for the coin flip before the game, but considering what the Maryland football captains did at their pre-game coin flip at Penn State, could Michigan decide to have Sione Houma lead the seniors out and have them perform a haka at the coin flip?
November 9th, 2014 at 5:29 PM ^
It should be noted that Sagarin's projected spreads have been a touch negative on Michigan versus the actual observed Vegas spreads, so I think the outlook should be slightly better than the analysis below based on the numbers alone.
Captain Obvious would say that it's a tossup this week, and next week we're gonna be a huge dog.
Regular Season Game Win Likelihoods
Proj Spread | Opponent | Win Likelihood | Sagarin Rank | Last Week | Sagarin Rating |
---- | Mich | ---- | 64 | 70 | 70.01 |
------ | -------- | ---------- | ------- | --------- | ------- |
-2.3 | MD | 43.9% | 40 | 40 | 75.48 |
-22.6 | @OSU | 6.6% | 11 | 15 | 89.44 |
Probability Distribution of Final Regular Season Record
Reg Season Record | Likelihood |
----------------- | ---------- |
5-7 | 52.4% |
6-6 | 44.7% |
7-5 | 2.9% |
Sources:
• Projected Spreads via Sagarin
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/
• Normal Distribution functions using
Sigma(ActualMargin-ProjSpread)
calibrated to minimize sum of squares vs
Chance of a football team winning vs Spread
• Resulting Sigma(ActualMargin-ProjSpread) = 15