Round 1 Draft Recap Roundup - from the pundits

Submitted by oriental andrew on April 29th, 2022 at 11:12 AM

It's a slow Friday. Round 1 of the NFL draft is in the books and it saw two Michigan players taken - the second pick of R1 and the second to last pick of R1. There is some symmetry there, I suppose. 

Anyway, had to read up on the pundit post mortems. General consensus is that Hutch was a GREAT pick for Detroit b/c JAX made a sub-optimal at best or stupid at worst move by passing on Hutch for Walker. Jameson Williams is a bit of a split b/c of the injury. No doubt he's a great player, but how quickly will they get value from him and was it worth all those picks? And Dax Hill was the best player left on many boards by the time Cincy picked, but they are also already fairly strong in the secondary so didn't necessarily fill a position of need this season - although could be for the future, depending on how the Jesse Bates situation works out. 

Anyway, here is the roundup. 

NFL.com

Cincinnati Bengals: Grade A

31. Dax Hill

Analysis: Hill can play anywhere in the secondary. If Jessie Bates, who received the franchise tag this offseason, eventually moves on as a free agent, Hill could end up filling the void at safety full time. With the Ravens taking Tyler Linderbaum, who would have been a nice fit in Cincinnati, off the board six picks earlier, Hill was a sensible pick.

Detroit Lions: Grade A-

2. Aidan Hutchinson

12. Jameson Williams (WR, Alabama)

Analysis: The Lions made the safest pick possible by rolling with the home-state hero in Hutchinson. He's coveted for his strength against the run and relentless pursuit of quarterbacks from a hand-down or stand-up position -- as well as his football intelligence picking up screens and misdirection. 

It's too early to make a complete evaluation of the Matthew Stafford trade, which netted the Lions an extra first-round pick this year. Of course, seeing Stafford win a ring in his first year in Los Angeles while the Lions floundered to a 3-13-1 record was not a great start. Detroit packaged that pick in a deal with the Vikings to land the draft's top receiver in Williams at the 12th overall selection. If he didn't get hurt in the national title game, Williams would have been a top-10 pick because of his speed, reliable hands, stop-start ability and toughness. I love the pick in terms of talent, and the injury shouldn't be a long-term issue, but he'll need to become an elite playmaker to justify the price.

And the worst grade goes to....

New England: Grade D

29. Cole Strange (OT, UT-Chattanooga)

Analysis: The Patriots traded down from No. 21, acquiring two middle-round picks from the Chiefs. Their pick at No. 29 was a surprise, as Strange was selected at least 40-to-50 picks ahead of where I expected him to go. This is typical of New England, which often goes against the conventional wisdom in the draft. Strange is a versatile player with a high floor who will likely play for a long time. I’m not sure he warranted a top-50 pick, though.

 

CBS Sports:

2. Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan

Grade: B+

They need a pass rusher in the worst way, and they have to be thrilled that Hutchinson fell to them here. He is a polished edge rusher who will be an impact player right away. The Lions have to be able to impact the quarterback better than they did last year. Hutchinson will do that. But he might be a 12-sack guy most of his career, rather than a 16-sack guy. But that's OK. 

12. Lions (from Vikings): Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama

Grade: B

This is the best receiver in the draft. The Lions can wait to get him healthy. When he is healthy, he will be a dynamic playmaker. They made a bold move to go get him, but they did give up a bunch to get him. They better hope he is what they think he can become. I think he's a star.

31. Bengals: Daxton Hill, S, Michigan

Grade: B-

They have contract issues with their safeties coming up, so this is a good pick. He also has the skill to play corner, which they also could use in terms of coverage help. He's a versatile player, which they love. To beat the Chiefs and the Bills and the AFC West, you better cover.

In their "Winners and Losers" Segment...

Winner: Detroit Lions

A sneaky winner in the first round was the Lions. They landed a hometown hero in Aidan Hutchinson at No. 2 overall, something that was considered relatively far-fetched just a couple of months ago, and then traded up in the first round to grab Alabama wide receiver Jameson Williams at No. 12 overall. It's surprising that Williams was the fourth wide receiver taken. While he tore his ACL in the national championship loss vs. Georgia, Williams caught 79 passes for 1,572 yards and 15 touchdowns in 2021. He was a first-team All-SEC playmaker, and led the SEC in receiving yards. Those are two legitimate top 10 picks. 

 

ESPN's Mel Kiper picked winners and losers, also. ($)

WINNERS: 

DETROIT LIONS

The pick: Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan (No. 2)

Any time you can get the best prospect in the draft at any pick other than No. 1, it's a win. The Lions filled a huge need, and they did it with a 6-foot-6 edge rusher who grew up 30 miles away from Ford Field (Plymouth, Michigan) and went to college at Michigan.

I don't get the talk about Hutchinson already being close to his ceiling. He had 14 sacks last season, but he can keep improving. He had a better 3-cone drill time, short shuttle time and vertical jump than Travon Walker at the combine. He's going to be an instant contributor and should challenge for Defensive Rookie of the Year.

More picks I liked

  • The Bengals could get a steal with Daxton Hill at No. 31. The Michigan defensive back can play corner or safety. He was ranked No. 14 on my Big Board.

Head-scratching moves from Round 1

Starts off with JAX/Trayvon Walker, then NE and Cole Strange, then...

DETROIT LIONS

The pick: Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama (No. 12)

Yes, the Lions can be a winner and also make a head-scratching move. Williams is an awesome player, and he probably would have gone in the top 10 if he was fully healthy and didn't tear the ACL in his left knee in the national title game in January. The head-scratching part of this is the Lions -- who aren't contenders -- trading prime picks to move up 20 spots to take him.

Detroit sent Minnesota pick Nos. 32, 34 and 66 to move to No. 12 (and added No. 46). Those are two early Round 2 picks that often become starters. Do Dan Campbell & Co. think they're close enough to an NFC North title that they can take one chance on Day 1 instead of two at 32 and 34? The pick at 46 will help, but this is a roster that needs a lot of help. Again, I'm a fan of Williams, but he needs to be a superstar -- quickly -- for Detroit to justify this deal.

 

Sports Illustrated:

2. Detroit Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan

Not only is he my top-ranked prospect, but Hutchinson is also the type of prospect Dan Campbell will appreciate due to his relentless energy, leadership and intangibles. In addition, he fills one of the team’s biggest needs as only two teams had fewer sacks than the Lions (30) in 2021. Hutchinson was productive (school-record 14 sacks) and is polished at this stage of his development, but he doesn’t get enough credit for his athleticism. His combine times in the 3-cone (6.73) and 20-yard shuttle (4.15) ranked sixth and fourth, respectively, regardless of position. The son of a former Michigan captain, Hutchinson’s football character, relentless motor combined with his physical traits, polish and production make him one of the safest picks in the draft.

GRADE: A+

 

2. Detroit Lions: Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama

Williams had a breakout season (79/1,572/15) in 2021 after transferring to Alabama. While not just a deep threat, Williams’s track background shows up on the field with his game-breaking speed. Despite tearing his ACL in January, Williams is “ahead of schedule” in his rehab. Even if he were to miss time to start his rookie season, Williams has the talent to emerge as the WR1 in this draft class. The Lions signed D.J. Chark to a one-year deal, but the speedy Williams provides the Lions with an ideal long-term complement to Amon-Ra St. Brown.

GRADE: B

 

31. Cincinnati Bengals: Daxton Hill, LB, Michigan

Although he’s built more like a cornerback, Hill is physical and willing to throw his body around as a tackler. He showed off his elite athleticism by running a 4.38 40-yard dash at the combine and ranked second among all combine participants in the 3-cone (6.57) and 20-yard shuttle (4.06). The Bengals will appreciate his versatility, as he can play anywhere on the back end. Hill was the top-ranked prospect available (23rd overall) on my board.

GRADE: B

 

And finally The Sporting News:

2. Detroit Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan

  • Grade: A

Hutchinson doesn’t have to move far from Ann Arbor, going back home to the Detroit metro area. The Lions can be thrilled about the ferocious Wolverine slipping to be a cornerstone pass rusher for their 4-3 under Aaron Glenn, for which he’s an ideal fit. He is tough and relentless and straight-up productive. Hutchinson can remain dominant in the NFL and also is an asset against the run. He is the best player in this draft class.

 

12. Detroit Lions (from Vikings): Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama

  • Grade: B+

The Lions made an intradivision trade to make sure they got in on the run for the three best wide receivers in the draft from consecutive picks. Given the position was so deep, they get knocked a little for giving up a considerable haul of picks to the rival Vikings and also not thinking about the first crack at quarterback. But when breaking down the player, the Lions could afford to be patient with Williams, a flat-out big playmaker, while he recovers from his knee injury. He’s a terrific skill complement for Amon-Ra St. Brown, D’Andre Swift and T.J. Hockenson. Now they need a QB upgrade behind a top line to get the ball to Williams downfield.

 

31. Cincinnati Bengals: Daxton Hill, S, Michigan

  • Grade: B-

This is a curious case of the player himself being a solid pick as Hill brings the right blend of smarts, instincts, smarts and quickness to the position. But safety is also a strength for Cincinnati with franchise player Jessie Bates and solid Vonn Bell. The team also has a fine slot corner in Mike Hilton. The Bengals didn’t have any glaring needs and the offensive line values didn’t line up, it’s just interesting that one of the best players available was more of a luxury. This might mean they won’t be signing Bates long-term.

Erik_in_Dayton

April 29th, 2022 at 11:19 AM ^

Hill is an A.  The Bengals need versatility and depth in the secondary.  They also--and I can't believe I'm saying this--don't have any glaring holes.  It would have been foolish not to pick Dax.

m9tt

April 29th, 2022 at 11:53 AM ^

Draft grades aren't always about the player, sometimes it's about the roster construction of the team.

Dax was an outstanding value at 31, but the Bengals currently have Jessie Bates as a very good nickel safety (who they franchised-tagged this offseason) and the best slot corner in the NFL in Mike Hilton... the two positions Dax can immediately step in and play.

Sure, there's a good chance they'll let Bates walk after this year and let Dax replace him, but for a team that just went to the Super Bowl and play in the AFC with the Chiefs, Chargers, Bills, Broncos, Ravens, Colts, Browns, and Patriots, the Bengals used a high pick to primarily save money (for a team with a franchise QB on a rookie deal... if any team has money to spend, it's them) and add depth instead of an immediate starter at another position to help push them over the top. 

Chaco

April 29th, 2022 at 11:19 AM ^

most of the negatives relative to Dax seemed to be because it didn't necessarily fill their biggest need, not that Dax wasn't a solid player.  It's all a gamble either way.....

SalvatoreQuattro

April 29th, 2022 at 11:20 AM ^

Lions essentially gave up a third for Williams. Is the pick a gamble with his injury? Sure, but it’s one I am comfortable with. Lions still have a 2 and 3.

Holmes deserves an “A”.

We are back

April 29th, 2022 at 11:23 AM ^

All what picks for Jameson? We flipped firsts min 12 for Det 32. We swapped 2nds det 34 for min 44. And gave Vikings a 3rd

so the lions moved up 20 in first rd to move back 10 in 2nd and gave up a 3rd that’s great damn value. Teams paid a lot more to move up fewer spots 

UWSBlue

April 29th, 2022 at 11:23 AM ^

I don't follow the Lions so can someone bring me up to speed on if they will be competitive next season? Do they have NFL OL's, RB's, DL's, LB's & DB's?

GoBlueInNYC

April 29th, 2022 at 11:38 AM ^

This fall will be year 2 of what is likely a 3 year rebuild process (hard to overstate just how much Patricia and Quinn wrecked the roster). So they should be better, but I wouldn't expect them to seriously compete for anything. Personally, although they went 3-13-1, I thought they were a tough looking team last year (Elliott, a safety they signed from the Ravens this off season specifically said that part of his interest in playing for Detroit was how hard they played against Baltimore last season). They lacked talent but didn't lack effort or drive, which I think is a good sign for the coaching staff.

Their roster as of now has a legitimately good offensive line, a solid RB room, and WRs should be good once Williams is healthy. The defense has a lot of holes; they need to upgrade LBs and safeties, especially. Their pass rush last year was really bad, so hopefully Hutchinson improves that. Beyond that, the IDL, CBs, and TEs could all use some depth (or at least some health - a lot of defensive injury last season). Goff is a "depends on who you ask" kind of player, with some thinking he's fine, albeit not a long term answer, until Detroit finds a QB they really love with others thinking he needs replacing as soon as possible.

Short version: last season they played hard, but had a serious lack of talent; this coming season should see improvement, but don't expect anything for at least another year.

stephenrjking

April 29th, 2022 at 11:52 AM ^

They lacked talent but didn't lack effort or drive, which I think is a good sign for the coaching staff.

Great summary. Honestly, it looked like they were going to go 0-17 for a while, and it felt like that almost from the gun when they were getting absolutely trucked by the 49ers. But then they really fought hard and mounted a pretty big comeback in that game to get within striking distance before losing, an effort that wound up being a good capsule and preview of the rest of the season. Bad start, fought hard, a couple of wins and some moral victories.

Now, "they played hard" and "moral victories" aren't things that get to Super Bowls, and Lions fans have seen this show before. Campbell at times appeared to make poor gameday choices. We've been through this. But, viewed from afar (being out of area, I don't get as many of their games, but I see a fair amount on Red Zone, Thanksgiving, etc) there appeared to be a great culture behind the scenes. And it played out that way during the season. 

And I'll take a bad season if it is paired with a real change in franchise culture, one of the key problems cited by fans for the last, oh, 50 years or so.  

Sam1863

April 29th, 2022 at 12:23 PM ^

And one of the losses required the longest field goal in NFL history - not something that happens every day.

I don't know about a wild card chance, but they're a better team than they were a year ago. I'm genuinely curious to see how much they improve over this next season. I especially want to see how Jared Goff plays when he's got some legitimate weapons and a healthy O-line. Playoffs? Probably not. I'll settle for decent. That would be a considerable improvement over the Patricia years.

1VaBlue1

April 29th, 2022 at 11:50 AM ^

No.

They will not be 'competitive', as in compete for titles.  They will play competitively, though, because they have a blue collar coach that expects his players to play their best.  They need playmakers all over the field, especially on defense.

The issue with moving up to take Williams isn't Williams - he will be really good, and was much needed in the WR room.  But it gives up two sure fire, long term starters in Nakobe Dean (still on the board, for a minute) and (probably) Lewis Cine at safety.  Whoever they get at #46 will probably start because that defense sucks, not because he's better than either Dean or Cine.

GoBlue96

April 29th, 2022 at 12:11 PM ^

I think they wanted an impact QB and WR in this draft or next year.  Obviously no QBs available this year but they got a trade offer they couldn't refuse and took the impact WR in a strong WR draft.  I don't think they thought they could get both next year.  They must be more confident they can fill defensive starter holes in rounds 2-4.  I'm not 100% sold on Dean.

lilpenny1316

April 29th, 2022 at 12:00 PM ^

The offense is ahead of the defense, but even that's full of question marks. Can Swift finally get through a season healthy? Can St. Brown produce in Year 2 as "the guy". Can Jameson get back to where he was before the injury.

The DL will probably be the strength. The LBs need to be upgraded and Okudah and the former PSU guy got torched plenty last year.

They are still firmly a work in progress. A weak NFC North might keep them in the division race for a while though.

St Joe Blues

April 29th, 2022 at 11:41 AM ^

How does CBS give a B+ on the Hutchinson pick? Was it possible for Detroit to do anything to earn an A? They took the best player in the draft at the #2 spot, a player whose personality will mesh very well with their hyper-competitive head coach, and filled a HUGE hole in their defense. Was there another player available that would have given them an A? Or was an A just not possible for the Lions?

stephenrjking

April 29th, 2022 at 11:44 AM ^

Great summary, thanks for posting.

Agree with others: Dax is a good pick, the major issues at Cincy being questions of what they needed specifically. Aidan is, obviously, a terrific pick, and given the long-running franchise culture issues, a good addition for the franchise in ways other than his potential to be a great player. 

I was surprised and impressed by the Williams move. I'm not sure I would have made that move, but it was bold, and as others have pointed out, it cost something (of *course* it costs something) but it wasn't absurd, particularly given how many picks the Lions have. You have those picks to get players and hope they turn out; tossing a lower-round one that's a lower probability of success and moving back in the second round to get the guy that they want, that has the potential to be an all-pro at a position that has become extremely important for offensive success? Seems good to me. And, of course, he's hurt, which is why he fell this far, but the Lions aren't in win-now mode. The pundit who critiqued the idea that the Lions are making a win-now move: What is he talking about? Williams won't be on the field in September, and in two years may well be a top-ten receiver in the game. It's a GREAT move for a rebuilding team. 

For the Lions, in both picks it *seems* to me like the Lions aren't focusing on shiny objects, and they're not focused on whatever the franchise was in the past (we shy away from Michigan guys! We've drafted too many receivers!). These were choices made by a focused front office with the goal of making the team competitive. 

Whether they work? Who knows. But there's a lot of value here. 

njvictor

April 29th, 2022 at 11:47 AM ^

2. Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan

Grade: B+

How is Hutchinson a B+ grade? How is basically consensus best player in the draft falling 2 at a position of need not an obvious A+ grade?

MGolem

April 29th, 2022 at 11:47 AM ^

I knew as soon as I saw the B+ grade for Hutchinson that Pete Prisco was writing the article. No one else above has the pick as anything less than an A. I don't know his background but he seems to have a negative view of all things Michigan. This is further supported by his B- grade for Hill despite saying nothing but positives about him. Anyone that rates Hutchinson as less than an A is a moron.

Jameson Williams is going to be a stud. ACL injuries are more of a shame/inconvenience these days than a true impediment in the long term. And Dax Hill can fit in either the slot or safety for a team that was weak on the back end. Vonn Bell and Eli Apple are bums and I am not saying that entirely because they are former Buckeyes. 

WhatchooTalkin…

April 29th, 2022 at 12:31 PM ^

Yep.  And continuing to trash everyone else saying he was always faster than everyone else, and will continue to be faster than everyone else when he comes back.

Interesting choice by the Lions when they claimed their picks are about culture/positivity.

1VaBlue1

April 29th, 2022 at 11:59 AM ^

Hutch was a no-brainer, and I'm glad that they ran to the podium to make the pick so quickly.  When I heard yesterday that they were strongly considering Thibodeau, I almost cried.  The Williams pick was a shocker - bold, decisive, unapologetic.  

I'm not sure, yet, whether giving up two obvious, long term defensive starters at LB (N Dean) and safety (Cine or Brisker) will be worth it.  But Williams as a player will be well worth any risk of drafting an injured player.  I mean, if he wasn't injured he's off the board before the Lions could sniff the stage again!

Maybe they can do something to move up and get Dean anyway?  Man, would that be nice!!

The Blue Collar

April 29th, 2022 at 12:00 PM ^

Nice aggregate, thanks.

 

Sometimes I hate the "grading" nonsense. Read the blurb from CBS about Hutchinson before reading the grade and it sounds like a joke. 

If there's no way to get an "A" then it's not valuable. And if the only way to get an "A" is to pick "the guy I would have picked" then it's even less valuable. 

Honestly, I'd prefer they just gave some commentary.

uofmchris2

April 29th, 2022 at 12:05 PM ^

CBS Sports in a nutshell:

"Lions got who most thought was the best pick of the draft, and best edge of the class"

B+

 

"Lions got the best wide receiver of this class..."

B

 

LOL

FieldingBLUE

April 29th, 2022 at 12:08 PM ^

It's funny to see so many recaps say "was Williams worth the price they paid" as their hot take. It's like they didn't even look at the trade, but have that as their template for any time a team trades up. The draftniks seem to all believe the Lions fleeced the Vikings and in order to move up 20 spots in the FIRST round, they gave up a quantity of ONE total pick (gave away 3, got 2 back). And NO future firsts. That's unheard of! Almost every trade up in last year's draft included an additional first rounder. The only one that didn't involved the Vikings! (Jets moved up to 14 from 23 and gave up two thirds plus got a fourth rounder back.)

Maybe the Vikings under two GMs just suck at first round trades?

S.G. Rice

April 29th, 2022 at 12:11 PM ^

Downgrading the HIll pick because Cincinnati has a relatively strong group of DBs is just dumb.  You're one injury away from needing a guy.  You have a guy playing on a franchise tag who may not be there long.  You need to roll six deep in the backfield against modern offenses. 

And you just got a player ranked in the mid-teens on a lot of boards with elite measurables at 30.

That's grade-A drafting.  Maybe A- if you want to bitch about the overstocking. 

Not B-.

CompleteLunacy

April 29th, 2022 at 12:44 PM ^

"safest pick possible"....surely they meant to say "the most no-brainer pick possible". Aiden was in no way "safe". It was the obvious choice screaming at them in the face. Fills a position of need, his motor might make him a star, he was expected to go #1 and fell into your lap, and oh yeah it's a slam dunk for PR/marketing (he's from Michigan and half of your fanbase will watch the Lions just to watch him now).

 

 

UNCWolverine

April 29th, 2022 at 12:50 PM ^

Good post, lots of content from various sources.

I do have to roll my eyes a bit at the analysis of draft picks the days after a draft. The only analysis worth a thing to me would be done a year from now, or three. I understand these guys get paid to publish this stuff, but there's no real value in any of it. Cole Strange could end up being in the HOF one day, only time will tell.

lunchboxthegoat

April 29th, 2022 at 12:55 PM ^

I don't share the injury panic from the people critical of the Williams pick. He will come back just fine. 

My problem is with the strategy. If you're biding your time for the next QB (Goff a'int it, chief) why not load up on defense so he doesn't have to be a superstar right away? Before the trade you could have had Hutch, Cine and maybe Dean which is an automatic, home run draft regardless of what else you do. 

 

You should be building up at least one side of the ball before spending all your draft capital. 

DTOW

April 29th, 2022 at 1:39 PM ^

I thought about the strategy as well but came to the conclusion that it is the right move.  The major pieces of the offense are now in place.  WR should be solid, Swift at RB, see if Hock sticks, and a well above average offensive line. 

Tons of ammo in next years draft to target a QB that you like.  A lot easier to plug a rookie QB in when there's legitimate pieces around him as opposed to what Jacksonville had with Lawrence last year.  I like the idea of getting "your guy" and having the support around him already in place.

Derek

April 29th, 2022 at 1:42 PM ^

As we saw with freshman Chad Henne, having a top-tier receiver in place makes the transition to the next level a lot easier for a young QB.

I was skeptical of trading up for Williams because of the value left at 32/34, but all the talk of "Tyreek Hill but taller" has me coming around to the idea of giving up a third-rounder to get him.

AlbanyBlue

April 29th, 2022 at 2:02 PM ^

Lions indicated a clear focus on 2023, not 2022 at all. They will bring Williams along slowly and hope he heals fully. What a player if he does.....

More pain watching them this year, but maybe 2023 shows a ray of hope. 

Ha, hope with the Lions, I'll believe it when I see it on the field.

ShadowStorm33

April 29th, 2022 at 3:54 PM ^

These draft grades are always a joke. I saw one article (think it was CBS, but maybe not) that, with respect to Sauce Gardner, said it would have been a reach to take Thibodeaux (or Johnson II) at 4 even though DE was a bigger need, and then right after gave NY an A for taking Thibodeaux at 5. WTF...