Predict the Big 10's Record in Bowl Season

Submitted by alum96 on

The Big 10 really needs to do better in bowls and OOC game to prepare for Michigan's 2016 playoff run with Harbaugh (drink).  Well not really because it appears if you are OSU you can get in with 2 wins over teams with some form of heartbeat.  

But let's still talk about the bowl season - what do you project for the Big 10's win/loss?

Matchups:

  • OSU v Bama (SEC)
  • MSU v Baylor (Big 12)
  • Iowa v Tenn (SEC)
  • Wiscy v Auburn (SEC)
  • Minn v Missouri (SEC)
  • Maryland v Stanford (Pac 12)
  • Nebraska v USC (Pac 12)
  • PSU v Boston College (ACC)
  • Rutgers v NC (ACC)
  • Ill v LA Tech (mid major)

I am not being an anti Big 10 guy here but I see about 3 games the Big 10 really has a good chance - Minnesota, Illinois, and Iowa?   Games like the Rutgers v NC could be ugly - NC put up around 50 on Notre Dame.  OSU and MSU face some serious offenses.  Stanford is not very good but crunched UCLA.  

If we go 4-6 it will be a massive victory.

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Scarlatina

December 7th, 2014 at 6:03 PM ^

How big of a factor do you think Cardale Jones will play in that game?

On the one hand, history has shown that with a month of preparation, Saban can thrash nearly any team (sans Utah and Oklahoma). On the other hand, Saban only has a 1-game sample size on Cardale Jones, and Urban has a month to coach Jones up even more...

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UMgradMSUdad

December 7th, 2014 at 6:18 PM ^

I didn't watch the whole game, but did Wisconsin have any pass rush at all?  The pass plays I saw, Cardale had all day to throw the ball.  I doubt he will have that luxury against Bama. Bama's offense is also much more balanced that Wisconsin's.  I will be surprised if OSU can stay within 2 Tds.

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Scarlatina

December 7th, 2014 at 7:32 PM ^

OSU's O-line won it pretty convincingly, and it was suprisingly how one-sided it was considering that Wisconsin was 3rd in the B1G with sacks.

The announcers were commenting on the effectiveness of Cardale Jones' "rocker steps" that made it look like a QB-run play only for him to pull-up and throw it. 

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ghost

December 7th, 2014 at 6:08 PM ^

  • OSU v Bama (SEC)
  • MSU v Baylor (Big 12)
  • Iowa v Tenn (SEC)
  • Wiscy v Auburn (SEC)
  • Minn v Missouri (SEC)
  • Maryland v Stanford (Pac 12)
  • Nebraska v USC (Pac 12)
  • PSU v Boston College (ACC)
  • Rutgers v NC (ACC)
  • Ill v LA Tech (mid major)

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Victor Valiant

December 7th, 2014 at 6:09 PM ^

OSU v Bama (SEC) Loss
MSU v Baylor (Big 12) Win
Iowa v Tenn (SEC) Loss
Wiscy v Auburn (SEC) Loss
Minn v Missouri (SEC) Loss
Maryland v Stanford (Pac 12) Loss
Nebraska v USC (Pac 12) Loss
PSU v Boston College (ACC) Win
Rutgers v NC (ACC) Loss
Ill v LA Tech (mid major) win

3-7, and I was being optimistic.

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flashOverride

December 7th, 2014 at 6:22 PM ^

Agree with the general assessment here that the B1G's hopes, such as they are, reside mostly in the "lesser" bowls. I'll be rooting for all but our rivals. An OSU win over Alabama would propel them into the stratosphere, and I'd like to see the Dantonio bowl win streak checked.

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bronxblue

December 7th, 2014 at 7:16 PM ^

Probable wins:  Minny, PSU, Illinois

Toss Ups/leaning toward a loss as we go down:  Iowa, Wiscy, MSU

Probable Losses:  OSU, Maryland, Nebraska, Rutgers

So at best they'll go 5-5, and 4-6 with most of those coming from the Minny/Iowa's of the conference seems closer.

MSU will be able to score, but we saw the ceiling on this team against OSU and Oregon defensively and Baylor is on that level offensively.  MSU will score 28-34 points; Baylor could do that in a half, especially if MSU's breaking but not bending defense doesn't change.

OSU will play better against Alabama than people think, but Saban is used to Meyer's type of offense from teams like Auburn and Miss. St.; he'll be ready, and it could get ugly if OSU's defense struggles like they tend to in the secondary.  

Wiscy should play better than they did against OSU offensively, but Auburn can gouge them offensively and even in a track meet I don't see Gordon being enough to keep the Badgers close unless their defense figures out how to stick with a mobiel QB.

Iowa is 7-5; they usually win 8 games.  So I guess that means they'll beat Tenn.  Beyond that, I don't know.

Minny should be a tough game against Missouri; the Tigers benefitted from a pretty bad SEC East, and what Minnesota does well is just beat you over the head with Cobb and throwing to the TEs.  I'm not sure Missouri is going to be able to stop that for 4 quarters.

Maryland is an okay team and Stanford is pretty mediocre, but the Cardinals hung with ND on the road and beat up UCLA, while Maryland is down to their 8th-tier WRs and haven't beaten much of anyone with a pulse.  It's going to be an ugly game.

If Peilini was still at Nebraska I think they'd play for their departing coach a la Carr in 2006.  With what happened recently, I could see them showing up and getting skunked early and often.  USC isn't a great team, but they should be able to run the ball decently enough and their QB is light-years better than anyone Nebraska has seen this year, save maybe Cook.

PSU has a great defense and I was unimpressed with the times I've seen BC play this year, so this feels like a win.  This could also be the last game before (shudder) Addazio joins the conference at UM's head coach.  

As noted, UNC scored 50 against ND, so they have some firepower.  I actually like Rutgers more in this game than Maryland for some reason, even though UNC beat both Duke and GT this season.  Just a gut feeling that Gary Nova blows up this game.

Illinois is playing La Tech.  I don't care.

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LSAClassOf2000

December 7th, 2014 at 7:17 PM ^

If you go with Sagarin numbers, not bothering with HFA, here's what you would get:

BIG TEN RATING OPP. RATING DIFFERENCE
Ohio St. 96.05 100.49 -4.44
Mich. St. 91.51 93.45 -1.94
Iowa 74.96 81.47 -6.51
Wisconsin 82.41 92.91 -10.5
Minnesota 77.68 84.27 -6.59
Maryland 74.01 82.54 -8.53
Nebraska 81.63 84.15 -2.52
Penn St. 72.13 75.15 -3.02
Rutgers 67.75 69.94 -2.19
Illinois 66.73 75.14 -8.41

 

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Perkis-Size Me

December 7th, 2014 at 7:51 PM ^

Wins

MSU
Rutgers
Illinois
Minnesota

Losses
OSU
Iowa
Wiscy
Maryland
Nebraska
PSU

I think OSU loses a close one to Bama, maybe by 7-10. Baylor will be in a huge letdown mode for this game and MSU will capitalize. That and MSU's defense will step up, thinking its once again been disrespected by the whole world.

I think Minnesota will score a huge win and propel the program forward even further, but other than that, most everyone else will fall in typical derby Big Ten fashion.



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