Special Agent Utah

June 12th, 2020 at 8:05 PM ^

That’s why there’s a good chance we’re not going to be seeing football this fall.
 

Every school is trying to do it their own way, including some really half assed efforts, in regards to returning to campus/sports and all it’s going to take is a few more of these Houston like situations to throw the whole thing into chaos. 

I Like Burgers

June 12th, 2020 at 6:42 PM ^

Either the NCAA or conferences need to create some sort of uniform protocols, otherwise its gonna be REAL hard to play football in the fall.  You can't have groups of 100+ people getting together every Saturday if you're going to have different testing protocols.  Just takes one team like Houston to fuck it up for everyone.

rob f

June 12th, 2020 at 7:10 PM ^

...which is pretty much what I was getting at with this post I made recently,

https://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/247-ncaa-plans-start-football-season-time#comment-243850926

"The best alternative, IMO? Learn by watching what happens as the NFL (which has a much MUCH stronger central organization than the fractured NCAA) opens and where it finds success, where it finds failure. The NFL, along with the NFLPA, essentially would be the "guinea pigs"; they're the professionals, the league is a huge business and has the resources to figure it out and players being paid enough to take on some amount of risk if they choose to do so. The NCAA, OTOH, is a bunch of disconnected greedy stuffed suits who share a common delusion of having the power to pull it off. And the student-athletes are their pawns. Hope and pray for a vaccine by spring. And start play in March. It just might work."

...in which I suggested that the NCAA should watch how the NFL does in their resumption of play, and to learn from them as to what works and what doesn't work.  Even if it means no games until spring.

1VaBlue1

June 13th, 2020 at 9:06 AM ^

I fully agree that the NFL/NCAA needs to lead with a common protocol.  The problem is, neither of those outfits ever leads anything.  The NFL could have already fully implemented significant concussion reduction measures across the entire football world.  Forget tackling technique and penalties.  They could have had all of football wearing anti-concussion helmets by seeding the PR and financial support for it.  Football would be in far better shape PR-wise if they had.  But noooo...  They continue to fight against it.  The NFL could have led the fight against systemic racism by supporting Kaepernick's protest rather than obfuscating his message and blackballing him.

The NCAA could lead by example in any number of violations against the competitive nature of the game.  By upholding class requirements instead of caving to UNC.  By SMU'ing Auburn and Arkansas, and many others...  But noooo, they'd rather be a toothless joke than stand tall on the side of ethics and morals.

Neither of those organizations lead anything.  They always follow in the footsteps of others while taking advantage of the great PR power they have to make themselves look good.

Swazi

June 12th, 2020 at 7:39 PM ^

When you foolishly open up your states far too early, then scratch your head wondering why cases are starting to spike again, yeah, might be a bit of an anti-science numbnut.

 

And as mentioned elsewhere on this thread, Arkansas is headed down the same path.  And the state in general barely bothered to test as is.  

They'll probably take it more seriously when their precious football gets postponed/cancelled.

jmblue

June 12th, 2020 at 9:10 PM ^

How much are we really controlling the spread of the virus via these stay-at-home orders?  

The first group of outbreaks (New York/New Jersey, Michigan, Louisiana) could be explained as states where infection was rising before the shutdowns happened. 

But then came the second group (Illinois, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, etc.), which had outbreaks a month after the early group, even though they'd been shut down for weeks.  

Now we're seeing a third group of states in the Sun Belt that are seeing increases.  These states had low numbers while the first two groups were blowing up.  Is the problem that they lifted their SAH orders too soon?  Or is it just that the virus is going to inevitably make its way through the country and public policy can only play a mitigating role?

schizontastic

June 12th, 2020 at 9:55 PM ^

Short of a state-wide randomized controlled trial, it is clear that stay-at-home worked for Massachusetts. Hosp. admissions were taking off late March at the time of stay-at-home; admissions peaked around April 22nd, one month after stay-at-home (delayed prob b/c a cycle of intra-household transmission, also HCW infections etc.). If the stay-at-home at been a few weeks later, the hospitals would have been in serious trouble--as it was things got a bit extreme but i believe no care sacrificed. 

I Like Burgers

June 12th, 2020 at 6:54 PM ^

Disagree.  And here's why....If there's no CFB in the fall, I think college sports is basically over.  They aren't setup financially to not have CFB because everything depends on it.  Schools will be forced to cancel most or all of the rest of their sports, and if/when CFB comes back in 2021, with new NIL laws on the books and everyone needing an influx of cash it'll be closer to pro sports.

So given that college sports would be facing their own armageddon if they cancel the season, I think they will do everything in their power to have a season.  Even if it means something like playing every other week and dragging the season out into the spring. 

You also might see leagues like the SEC push to pull away from the NCAA in general and have their own league.  The other power 5 teams would never allow that since it would make them irrelevant, so they'd likely join them and (finally) create their own power 5 division outside the NCAA as something like a club sport.

crg

June 12th, 2020 at 7:47 PM ^

College sports has been a house of cards for decades now, becoming far to dependent on "revenue sports" and recruiting "student-athletes" to play them... only a portion of them actually interested in obtaining an academic education.

I love college sports because of the school rivalries and that the players are supposed to be real students attending their respective schools (yes, this does mean amateur).  I would hate to see that lost, but if the system has become so unbalanced - perhaps it is best to let the whole thing come crashing down and go back to the basics.

BroadneckBlue21

June 12th, 2020 at 9:52 PM ^

Or, as or more likely, will be a contraction of D1 programs for the revenue sports and the smaller schools they have overspent on buildings will stop doing so when they realize that college will still be important in a recovering economy. Then more students will get partial scholarships like many smaller D1 schools already get in smaller sports like XC.

Maybe we will also see a contraction of administration positions too? 

The Mad Hatter

June 12th, 2020 at 5:34 PM ^

Symptomatic? That can't be right. Only really old or unhealthy people get sick from the rona.

Good for them, but stupid move not testing everyone beforehand.

wolverine1987

June 13th, 2020 at 1:06 PM ^

Potentially true. Also true and objectively so? What I said above--which is unassailable fact. Check the CDC deaths by age. Check out the Statement of Oxford and Cambridge scientists yesterday: kids have a greater chance of being struck by lightning than dying of CV. It's quite amazing that ppl on this site that normally pride themselves in being analytical and paying attention to statistics lose that ability when presented with CV facts. 

LDNfan

June 14th, 2020 at 5:27 AM ^

Comparing an infectious disease to a natural phenomena...

let's see...One is spread by close contact and even it if its unlikely to kill you, it can have some really nasty consequences and not just to the person who test positive but many unsuspecting friends and family members...

and they other...

wolverine1987

June 14th, 2020 at 9:20 AM ^

Your distinction is without meaning. The question for society is what response is best based on the data we have. And the data on seriousness of symptoms and death rates and all of that is critical. Using that data, and comparing it to something else that kills people and that you can get from others as a point of comparison, is totally legitimate. I don't need the flu comparison to make the point that CV is simply not much a threat to people under 60, but it is instructive anyway.

ikestoys

June 12th, 2020 at 7:47 PM ^

New Orleans. And I'm an ER doctor in NYC.

Weird how I never had any friends hospitalized with flu, but I got a dozen or so who got hospitalized with COVID. Four who ended up in the ICU. One who will probably need a lung transplant. He's in his 30s with a three year old.

So please tell me how this probably isn't as bad as flu. 

Stringer Bell

June 13th, 2020 at 10:13 AM ^

Never said this isn't as bad as the flu.  But the data shows that 98% of cases are classified as mild, and that number is even greater among young adults.  So yes there are instances of young, healthy people getting horribly sick from this thing but the odds of that are incredibly slim.

The Mad Hatter

June 12th, 2020 at 8:59 PM ^

1/2 the population won't even wear a mask at the grocery store because apparently wearing one makes you a pussy.  Or gay?  Or a Democrat?  I don't really understand it.

Have you seen any youngish people with Covid induced strokes at your hospital?  My 34 year old cousin just had one, and she was very healthy before it happened.  She didn't die, but she'll be in PT for a while after spending a week in the hospital.