With the way this basketball team has started this year, everyone is dreaming of a potential national championship run. Some analyst say we are the top team in the country, while others say we haven't had a true contest yet to test our potential. With the bulk of our schedule coming up against Ohio State, Minnesota, Illinois and Indiana, we shall find out. But if you were to talk to an analyst, the one concern they have for Michigan is the lack of a big man down low. Which got me thinking. When you are putting together a national championship run, there are three main ingredients that I believe you need. Number one, the most important thing is the point guard play. I took a look at the last six national champions, and these were the point guards.
2012 (Kentucky)- Doron Lamb 2011(UCONN)- Kemba Walker 2010 (Duke) - Nolan Smith 2009 (UNC)- TY Lawson 2008(Kansas)- Mario Chalmers 2007(Florida)- Taurean Green.
Most of these guys were top 2 on their teams in scoring and were all great leaders. We got Trey Burke, the best point guard in the country, so we are good here.
The second ingredient in my mind is coaching. Here are your last six national championship coaches. John Calipari, Jim Calhoun, Mike Krzyzewski, Roy Williams, Bill Self, and Billy Donovan. If you had to name the top six coaches in basketball, these might be your top six. I have 100% confidence in John Beilein, and would put him very close as an elite coach. There is no doubt in my mind that Beilein and this coaching staff have the potential to coach a national championship.
Then lastly, I believe having a dominant big man is the third most important ingredient. Here are your last six centers. Anthony Davis 14.2 PPG, Alex Oriakhi 10 PPG, Kyle Singler 17.7 PPG, Tyler Hansbrough 20.7 PPG, (Darrel Arthur and Darnell Jackson, 24 PPG combined), and (Al Horford and Joakim Noah, 25.5 PPG combined). When you look at Michigan, you have Morgan at 6.8 and McGary at 5.3. In my mind, having a big man is huge, because when the shots are not falling, it is nice to pound the ball inside. For example, during the Nebraska game when we were struggling with our shooting, it would of been nice to give the ball down low, but instead Morgan had just one shot and zero points. And for many games this year, Michigan has had some bad funks which put us in holes, in which luckily we were playing insuperior talent.. To win it all come March, you need to win seven games in a row. During that stretch, there will be times when shots will not be falling, which worries me with Michigan. What will this team do when they face a stretch of the game and shots don't fall? If it wasn't for playing Nebraska, Michigan could of very easy lost Wednesday. When Morgan and McGary do score though, it is usually a pick an roll dunk or a put back bucket. Very rarely will they score when posting a guy down low, which I don't get because if you keep an eye on those two, they get opportunities and they call for the ball, but they never get it. I get a sense that McGary gets frustrated at times, with not touching the ball enough, and Morgan appears "out of it" sometimes, when not active enough. Come Big Ten season and March, I hope this doesn't hurt us more. What are your thoughts? Does this worry anyone else?


It would be great to have a guy that you could throw the ball to in the post and have him score points. Every weakness could hurt a team in the long run, and I'm guessing that Michigan will drop a game they wouldn't if they had better post play this year. But all teams have weaknesses, and Michigan's offense doesn't rely on that, so while it certainly doesn't help, it's not catostrophic. The most worrying part is when you have a game like the one Michigan had against Nebraska where the outside shooting isn't there.
Come tourney time, you have one of those nights you're going home. This team can usually overcome that based on the number of good outside shooters it has, but a lack of post game could show itself at some point in the tourney too when the defenses get more intense.
4/23/13 - Denard Robinson's NFL Future, Part II