none more iowa [Patrick Barron]

Unverified Voracity Turns NCAA Setting To Nuke Comment Count

Brian May 28th, 2021 at 10:09 AM

The most Iowa thing ever. The Athletic has an article in which old coaches are interviewed abut their recruiting stories. It starts off by asking about the biggest recruiting wins these guys ever had, and it's a litany of names you know: Orlando Pace, Jadeveon Clowney, Ray Lewis, Champ Bailey. And then you get to former ISU head coach Dan McCarney, who was an assistant at Iowa:

the one that had as much to do with us turning the program around at Iowa was Reggie Roby. … It came down to Iowa vs. Wisconsin at midnight the night before signing day. …I felt at the time he might have as much to do with us turning that program around as anybody we could sign. In 1981, we had one of the best defenses in the country, and offense, that was OK. And we had Reggie Roby flipping the field like nobody had seen in decades. In my career, the two best punters I’d ever seen were Ray Guy and Reggie Roby.

A punter. Big Ten! Note that I'm not explicitly not making fun of this after RON COLUZZI IS A GOLDEN GOD cost Michigan a game in Iowa City. I post out of respect and fear.

In general, McCarney seems like a guy you'd like to be regaled by. On the "arms race" in CFB:

McCarney: (Laughs) I would have liked to have been in an arms race. The early days at Iowa, Wisconsin, Iowa State, I’d have loved to have been in an arms race.

On whether rules are being broken more now or more back in the day:

Now, guys go past the visit rule or the old bump rule, that thing was ridiculous. The bumps used to last half an hour to 45 minutes. Oh OK, I just bumped into you. Why were you in the room with the door shut for 45 minutes? That’s a long damn bump.

Put this man on TV with a gin spritzer.

[After THE JUMP: wacky football play]

Blow it all up, the bill. No idea how feasible passing this is but here's the Nuke The NCAA bill:

College athletes would be able to form players' unions and would be considered employees of their schools if a new Congressional bill introduced Thursday morning is passed into law. …

"Big time college sports haven't been 'amateur' for a long time, and the NCAA has long denied its players economic and bargaining rights while treating them like commodities," Murphy said in a statement Thursday morning. "...It's a civil rights issue, and a matter of basic fairness."

The bill explicitly states that existing scholarship compensation is not taxable and establishes each individual conference as a bargaining unit. Both are smart. The former deflates one of the more common (but oddly trivial) arguments about paying players. The latter creates bargaining groups with a relatively level playing field and prevents low D1 teams from either spending money they don't have or preventing money from going to the players.

Everyone hates the NCAA but the prospect of explicitly allowing unionization might cause the bill to founder in the Senate. The NCAA's response to the bill seems to have some red meat for potential opposition (emphasis mine):

"…turning student-athletes into union employees is not the answer."

(It is the answer.)

This could have been us. Michigan ran out the T formation a few times in Harbaugh's first year, but they did not do this:

It is my opinion that they should have done that, at least once. I miss early Harbaugh's dedication to Weird Old Running.

PFF projects the Big Ten. To no one's surprise, Ohio State is projected to win the conference. Michigan's section:

5. MICHIGAN WOLVERINES

Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 9%
Conference Championship Win Probability: 5%
Projected Win Total: 7

The safety tandem of Daxton Hill and Brad Hawkins is among the best in the Big Ten and has the potential to be one of the top pairings in the Power Five. And edge defender Aidan Hutchinson — a top-five player at the position nationally — is back and fully healthy after missing half of Michigan’s six games in 2020. The big thing to monitor on the defensive side of the ball is the outside cornerback unit. The group was scorched for a good part of the shortened 2020 season, ranking 57th of the 65 Power Five teams in expected points added allowed per target to outside receivers.

On offense, starting quarterback Cade McNamara — a four-star recruit in 2019 — is the obvious linchpin. He attempted 71 passes on the year over a few starts en route to a middling 65.0 PFF grade.

I think 7-5 and absorbing another roundhouse kick from OSU means Harbaugh is gone, but not a whole lot about bringing him back with a lame-duck extension made a whole lot of sense to begin with so it's hard to predict what'll happen if Michigan improves from 2-4 to a nondescript December bowl game.

Ohio State projected to leave the conference. Apparently OSU officials wondered about preserving their football season by stepping outside the Big Ten:

Johnson texted Smith: "Anyway to go independent?"

Smith responded: "I am trying to understand our contracts and if we can play independent this year. Nebraska is trying too and gone public with it."

The Big Ten resumed play, changed its rules midseason so that OSU could play in the title game, and got OSU to their inevitable playoff bid and loss to Alabama. College football has become simultaneously outrageous and boring.

Sure, okay. Zlatan is not on topic here, except Zlatan is on topic everywhere:

“Do you believe in God?” Zlatan asked, to puzzled glances from around the room.

A couple of guys in the back answered sheepishly in the affirmative.

“OK,” Zlatan answered. “Then you believe in me.”

That was it. “That was our first impression of him,” Bingham says.

Also!

“We need more guys to get stuck in on tackles,” Ibrahimovic bellowed. “Like Kevin.”

Ibrahimovic’s teammates were intimidated by the giant, ferocious Swede, who was prowling around the locker room, unloading on each and every one of them. But mostly they were confused. You see, there was no Kevin on the team. Zlatan, at this point, had been with them for weeks.

“Finally someone musters up the courage to ask him,” says Pontius, “who is Kevin?”

Ibrahimovic motioned toward defensive midfielder Perry Kitchen, who was seated at his locker. “Him,” said Ibrahimovic. “Kevin.”

I cannot recommend this Athletic story sufficiently. Only Zlatan could do that.

Mayotte replacement. Hockey lost assistant Kris Mayotte to the head coaching job at Colorado College, and per Jeff Cox his replacement is a familiar name:

Tambellini makes sense for a lot of reasons but he seems like he has a lot of overlap with Bill Muckalt, another BCHL alum who was a forward in college.

Etc.: USMNT conspiracy theorizing gets more difficult. Beniers scores at the World Championships. Softball has experienced a bit of a dropoff. Hockey has four skaters in the top six and six in the top 30 in the CSB's latest rankings of North American skaters.

Comments

KC Wolve

May 28th, 2021 at 10:36 AM ^

I guess I'm in the minority here. I can't imagine after all of the staff changes that JH doesn't come back after a 7-5 season. yeah, yeah the expectations at UM should be higher, I get it, but no matter what happened last year, I expected I somewhat down year in 2021 anyway. 

Sambojangles

May 28th, 2021 at 3:34 PM ^

Yes, 7-5 is a down year. Over the last 15 years, 8-9 regular season wins has been the norm (2007, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2019) and the good years have had 10 or more wins (2006, 2011, 2016, 2018). That leaves 7-5 or worse as the down years (which means, assuming 3 or 4 OOC wins, at least 4 losses or more in Big Ten play). That includes 08-10, 13-14, and 2020. You'll note that two straight 7-5 or worse years was enough to get RR and Hoke fired. If we end up 7-5 this year, I think it's it for Harbaugh too. 

CityOfKlompton

May 28th, 2021 at 1:01 PM ^

I don't think he has as long of a leash as it might seem. Both sides were forced into a subpar position and both sides leveraged this as much to their advantage as possible.

In no way would it have been a good idea not to extend Harbaugh unless you were firing him, and simultaneously, Michigan probably didn't have many viable candidates to replace him in a COVID year, so they both kind of had their hands forced.

Jim gets an extension so recruiting doesn't crater. Meanwhile, the school had leverage to get him to take some paycuts.

Harbaugh could very well be standing on his last leg in a make it or break it season, thus he went hard on some staff changes on the side of the ball that has been deteriorating most over the past few (disappointing) seasons.

The extension itself means nothing other than Harbaugh didn't get fired. The choices were black and white: fire him or extend him. He could still absolutely be fired next off-season if the team doesn't improve.

massblue

May 28th, 2021 at 6:06 PM ^

I am very confident that absence any scandal, even a 5-7 would not lead Warde to fire JH.  Will JH come back?  It depends on how bad a 5-7 it is. If there are major injuries to QBs and other key players, he will come back.  If he feels like he has lost the trust of players and coaches, he may decide to step down.  In any case, I expect 8-9 wins (WM, WAS, NI, RUT, NEB, NW, MSU, IN, MD)

Erik_in_Dayton

May 28th, 2021 at 11:00 AM ^

I could see it go either way.  Not that this is a great insight, but a 7-5 season in which the team loses the five games by, say, 30 total points is going to feel a lot different than one in which they lose the five games by 200 total points.  I can see Harbaugh sticking around in the former instance.

bronxblue

May 28th, 2021 at 12:37 PM ^

Yeah.  I went back to look at 2017 when UM went 8-5 and they went 0-2 in 1 score games and two of their other losses to Wisconsin and OSU were close despite being on their third-string QB and suffering a rash of injuries.  A repeat of that season would be annoying this year but I think buys you another look especially if you see improvement at certain spots.

maizenblue92

May 28th, 2021 at 11:04 AM ^

We had these exact same discussions with Brady Hoke and that was year 4. It is year 7, there is no reason our expectations should allow us to be okay with 7-5. 

"There's not enough talent to compete for the Big Ten championship."
Roster construction is his fucking job.

"He doesn't have the QB play."
He was supposed to be QB whisperer that turns out consistently good QBs.

10-2 or bust. You don't get paid $8m+ per year to go 8-4/9-3.

Blau

May 28th, 2021 at 11:36 AM ^

I'm not sure Warde will "push" him out the door at 7-5 but if they can zero in on an up-and-comer, I think we can pull the plug on the Harbaugh era and he will go quietly in the night. Don't settle for an oddball RichRod-type but locate your guy and hand him the keys.

Listen, it's easy to say "Might as well keep Harbaugh" in May but if were at the end of next November and OSU, among others, hands us another lopsided L, we can turn the page on his tenure. You will likely not care at that point who the coach is anyways. 

1VaBlue1

May 28th, 2021 at 12:23 PM ^

What I dislike is seeing a definitive statement like '7-5 is good enough', or '10-2 or bust'.  Nobody can predict the outcome of games, and I don't think it's fair to expect certain results over others.  What I want to see is a competitive team that plays hard, where teammates encourage each other.  Results will fall where they may, but we haven't seen a competitive fire from this team in almost two years - and even then it came and went.  Staff changes are meaningless if the team continues as it has largely since 2018.  It loses confidence in itself, stops playing hard, hangs it collective head... 

I can't expect great results from a brand spanking new defense that's missing some playing parts because of past 'crootin transgressions.  But if we can see how hard they're working, if they put everything on the field, I can get behind that and be patient for better results.  Offensively, I'm not concerned with the players - but I am scared shitless of the coaching.

I don't necessarily care about W-L, but I need to see a marked improvement from the team this year.  I've already called for Harbaugh's head, and I'll have little mercy if we again see what we've been seeing...

Richard75

May 28th, 2021 at 6:14 PM ^

"No scenario" is overstating it. Things do change, sometimes stunningly quickly.

In 2014, Michigan went 5-7, while Oregon and Florida State made the playoffs. The next season, U-M wound up ranked ahead of both. Not at all saying that kind of turnaround is in the cards, but people sometimes act like this is track or swimming, where future results are pretty much preordained based on past performance.

Stuff that seems totally implausible now will happen with teams across the country. U-M could be one.

KC Wolve

May 28th, 2021 at 1:43 PM ^

Agree. If they are 7-5 and still look incompetent on offense, i'm good with him being let go. After all of these changes and if they are making plays and growing each game, i'm fine rebuilding for a year. The following year better be an extreme improvement and continuation though. Again, I don't think UM should be in the position and yes, it is on Harbaugh, but people are putting way too much into last years season. I know everyone dealt with Covid, but the whole year is just a wash IMO. If the new coaches and young team show improvement and maybe steal a game or two this year, I can see the team building on some mojo, if they don't, I guess you move on and see if someone else can do better. I have no idea who that is, but it will prob be time. 

JFW

May 28th, 2021 at 4:00 PM ^

The "everyone dealt with covid" is stupid. By nature it hit different places harder, for many reasons. Not all of them predictable or controllable. My Hospital "handled Covid" better than Beaumont. 

Because we were lucky enough to not get hit nearly as hard. Not because we were better.

True Blue Grit

May 28th, 2021 at 2:29 PM ^

Your first paragraph is the core of the problem with this team in the last 2-3 years, in my opinion.  That's why I've lost confidence in this staff and will not gain it back unless I see a drastic turnaround in the way the team plays.  Everything to me points toward a loss of confidence in the coaches from the players.  The team just doesn't look like they're 100% on the same page in most games.  And it comes down to the guy in charge.  Changing assistants will only do so much.  But, we'll see I guess.

MadMatt

May 28th, 2021 at 6:55 PM ^

I think we're focusing on the wrong question here. 7-5 would be fine, IF there was some aspect that was a pleasant surprise. Say a big win on the road; an offense that makes sense and uses its weapons; the defense gelling and playing its best football at the end of the season; good and consistent QB play; UPSET SOMEBODY! (Especially if it's the douche-bags down south.)

When was the last time Michigan football delivered more than expected? The revenge tour and steamrolling ND's run defense when everyone knew we were going to run it? The Minnesota opener last season was a cruel parody of a pleasant surprise.

On the other hand, 8-4 with the 8 being close wins against the weakest teams on the schedule, and the 4 being prison-rapes with all the same old issues, and this staff is gone.

Gulogulo37

May 28th, 2021 at 8:20 PM ^

I don't get people bringing up staff changes. They're supposed to improve the team. Did people give a pass when Pep became OC? Hell no. The offensive staff hasn't changed much. Just because most on defense are new doesn't mean a team with the 2nd most talent in the big ten should still be a tire fire. Depends how it plays out, but my money would be on Harbaugh getting fired after 7-5. A lot easier to be sanguine about losses that haven't actually happened yet. 7-5 means our best win is against someone like Maryland. They absolutely shouldn't be that bad. The

Erik_in_Dayton

May 28th, 2021 at 11:01 AM ^

I miss Weird Running Harbaugh too.  The team is less interesting than it was in the early Harbaugh years.  But, in fairness, most of us were clamoring for a true spread offense, and here we are.

OldSchoolWolverine

May 28th, 2021 at 11:28 AM ^

It all seemed to begin, after father Jack told him to tone it down.....now he looks nervous on sideline, instead of the aggressive prick of old, the one who irked Schwartz.  And it is said a team takes on the personality of the coach.  I'm betting on him to let it all loose this year, with his back against the wall, and the team will respond in kind.

Blau

May 28th, 2021 at 11:41 AM ^

While the antics are sort of funny and I'm sure jack the players up, it's not needed to be successful. I'd take Harbaugh in an iron lung if that meant the team went 12-0 or 11-1 with a trip to the CFP once in a while. You can be a great coach and inspire your team in different ways without wearing cleats and tossing headsets every game. 

You know what would make this team more interesting? Competing and winning games.

LeCheezus

May 28th, 2021 at 11:05 AM ^

Brian, you keep saying things about how Harbaugh is going to be let go with a bad season (or even a 7-5 season just now)...but this seems contrary to every insider comment and Warde's general demeanor.  It's really just starting to look like wishful thinking with no basis for fact other than his buyout was reduced.

corundum

May 28th, 2021 at 12:52 PM ^

I agree with you. Everyone knew Campbell wasn't coming once his entire team decided to run it back.

Might be wishful thinking but it seems like Harbaugh was given one more year to turn it around and if that doesn't happen Michigan will heavily pursue Campbell following the season.

matty blue

May 28th, 2021 at 11:24 AM ^

i also loved that mccarney's biggest recruiting miss was u of m immortal...jamie mignon.  who didn't letter at michigan and ended up playing at northern michigan.

if, in the 36 years that dan mccarney coached college football, his biggest recruiting regret was jamie mignon...my, my.  the guy must've won at least a dozen national championships.

bweldon

May 28th, 2021 at 11:27 AM ^

Harbaugh stays with a 7-5 record?   Maybe, he would not leave by his choice but being shown the door possible.  I think it would really depend upon what those 5 losses were.   I am trying to see what these experts see as the 5 losses.

1) OSU (Sure considering recient history)

2) Wisconsin (Same especially if we cannot stop the run

3) Penn State ( Maybe, road game in November and possible white out night game)

4) Washington (Early season challenge game but at home and night makes for less)

5) Northwestern or State?  (Northwestern has a lot of questions just like UM does and State well you never know especially with it being played in the armpit of the state)

The heat level for Harbaugh will depend upon the way the games are lost.   Little or no heat if the game is a last minute single score game for the first 4,  the bigger the margin for loss and depending upon how the team plays in the losses will determine how much the heat is increased especially if we see results like 2020.  4 or 5 losses like the   Wisconsin game where we were simply run over by a cheese truck then yes we will be looking at a new coaching staff. for 2022