The speed with which this was posted suggests to me you've had a write up of replacement OCs waiting in the wings for some time.
A Totally Useless List Of People Michigan Might Hire But Will Not Hire, Probably
NOPE. / Please!
UPDATE: Kirk Herbstreit says it is a current college OC.
I'm going to try to keep this realistic, which means Oregon OC Scott Frost is out, RichRod OC Calvin Magee is out, and the two guys who have been in Manhattan, Kansas for 16 and 17 years as co-OCs are out. This puts me one step ahead of Coaching Scoop, which throws out Lane Kiffin as a name to watch.
The question is: how much control will Hoke cede and how married is he to manball? His coaching history suggests he's a "whatever works" guy, running a MAC-standard passing spread during his breakout year with Nate Davis and hiring Rocky Long to run the dreaded 3-3-5 at San Diego State. The fact that This Is Michigan seems to have given him the impression that he has to run Carr's mid-nineties offense. Has this season disabused him of that notion? Is he willing to hand the keys over to a proven offensive mind and say "go get it," even if it looks funky and does not abide by the Queensbury rules?
I don't know.
The problem with assuming that Hoke will look for a "pro style" coordinator is that they are increasingly hard to find. Looking at the top teams in yards per play this year is futile since they consist of guys Michigan cannot get to make a lateral move (OCs at Alabama, LSU, FSU, and Georgia aren't moving) or run offenses that would require a major philosophical shift(Oregon, Baylor, A&M, Auburn, Indiana) even if Michigan could hypothetically grab their OC. If we are sticking to manball, the field quickly narrows, leaving Michigan looking at candidates who are… uh… well, they're not slam dunks.
Current D-I coordinators who seem like they might fit are limited. Two that seem plausible:
Jim Chaney, OC, Arkansas. Chaney's been around the block, operating both Purdue's passing spread under Drew Brees and Tennessee's pro-style attack with Tyler "The" Bray. He just got hired at Arkansas by Bret Bielema and while Arkansas was in no way good, it is impressive that the Razorbacks had two 900 yard rushers and finished in the top 20 in YPC despite having a QB who completed fewer than half his passes for a Sheridan-like 6.0 YPC. Tennessee's offenses with Chaney were up and down; he did finish 2012 with the #19 YPP offense despite the turbulence at the end of the Dooley era.
Chaney's been around the block and has coordinated both spread and pro-style attacks; he knows the Big Ten from nine years as Purdue's OC.
Matt Canada, OC, NC State. Was Indiana's OC from 2007 to 2010, when Bill Lynch was swept out. Then started a Loeffler-like odyssey, visiting Northern Illinois, Wisconsin, and NC State for one year stints. None of his stops have been that successful save the one year at Northern Illinois, but did blow up at Bielema prior to last year's Big Ten Championship game, a 70-31 explosion against Nebraska. Likes futzin' and hoodaddery, in a Fritz Crisler sort of way.
Neither of these guys do much for me, and often the smart answer is to dip down to lower levels and pick off the guys killing it down there. Oklahoma State keeps losing offensive coordinator after offensive coordinator to head coaching jobs, and the last time Mike Gundy had to pick a guy he went over to the NCAA's website and picked off the guy at the head of D-II stats. That worked out fairly well.
With the kind of money Michigan was throwing at Borges they might not have to look at lower-level OCs, they can take a shot at…
Rob Ambrose, HC, Towson. You may remember Towson as the team that had an easier time against UConn than Michigan did, or from that time their basketball team played Michigan and was just unbelievably bad. Towson ended up in the FCS national title game against North Dakota State, and that is an amazing accomplishment for a program that almost ended in 1990. Ambrose was Towson's OC for a while before moving into the head job; he is a former quarterback who coaches that position but has flexibility:
Combs said many former quarterbacks who become offensive coordinators or head coaches often stick with pass-heavy offenses regardless of personnel.
Not Ambrose, Combs said.
With Ambrose as offensive coordinator in 1999, the Tigers thrived behind quarterback Joe Lee’s school-record 4,168 passing yards. The following season, Towson built its offense around running back Noah Reed, who rushed for a Patriot League-record 1,422 yards.
After a rough start, Towson's gone 9-3, 7-4, and 13-3, and Ambrose has heard of Michigan:
For Towson, winning a national championship means making history, and that’s something Rob Ambrose plays up when he talks to recruits.
“You can go to Michigan and be on Page 7,000 of their history book or you can come here and write it,’’ he said.
The article describes battles won to get coaches' cell phones paid for by the school, so I don't think the demotion in rank is going to bother Ambrose, hypothetically.
Bob Stitt, HC, Colorado School Of Mines. Stitt got on everyone's radar after Dana Holgorsen shredded Clemson with a play Stitt gave him, and his work at CSM has been impressive over a long duration. Hoke would have to give him the keys entirely…
Stitt says he'd be willing to move up as an offensive coordinator, but only if the head coach would give him total offensive control. It's not difficult to see why he's so well-regarded in coaching circles, especially by those who run wide-open offenses. At 6-3, Stitt is closing in on his 11th winning season in 13 years. In all but a few of those years, the Orediggers, who play in the Rocky Mountain Athletic Conference, have ranked among the top-10 in Div. II in passing offense.
…but this is a guy widely known for not wearing a headset for most of the game, so… yeah. That's implied. In terms of consistent, long-term resume and success at a school with zero recruiting advantages(Mines consists of 5200 engineers), Stitt is tough to beat.
Troy Rothenbuhler, OC, Findlay. Three year record as OC with D-II Oilers is impressive. First year featured a bounce up from under 250 yards a game to nearly 400; year two was 437 yards a game, and year three saw Findlay crack 500. They do run a spread, but their plays per game of 75 is not super fast. Rushed for almost 2900 yards this year at 5.5 a pop. Is an OSU grad, with whom Michigan has done well with in the past.
Phil Longo, OC, Slippery Rock. Yeah, seriously. The main issue here is that he's a no-huddle Air Raid guy, but hear me out: He's in his third year at Slippery Rock, finding plenty of success, and spent two years at SIU in which the Salukies went 20-5. One year he lost his QB midyear and went from passing-oriented to spread 'n' shred. Kind of looks like Brock Lesnar, too.
The other option is to look up at NFL types. When not mentioning Lane Kiffin, Football Scoop throws out three NFL position coaches that induce varying levels of depression in the author:
Mike Groh, WR, Chicago Bears. The Jay Paterno of Virginia football under Al Groh. Was OC for three years at end of Groh tenure. In 2008, Virginia was 102nd in YPP, in 2007 they were 105th. CFB Stats does not have 2006, but I think the point is made. Groh's resume is terrible. DEPRESSION LEVEL: immense.
John McNulty, QB, Arizona Cardinals. A grad assistant at Michigan in the early 90s and has one year as an OC to his name, that in 2008 at Rutgers. Rutgers was good that year (20th in YPP) and he is a QB coach in the NFL. Track record very thin. DEPRESSION LEVEL: moderate.
Randy Fitchner, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers. Another guy who started as a grad assistant at Michigan, Fitchner in the mid-80s. He was a college OC for a decade at Arkansas State and Memphis, where he ran spread offenses rather effectively. This was the DeAngelo Williams era at Memphis, not the incredibly depressing stuff since. DEPRESSION LEVEL: minimal.
…and now Sam Webb's hinting strongly($) that the announcement will come tomorrow and crosses off Kiffin, Mazzone, and a few other possibilities that no one thought were particularly serious, so we won't have to wait long. To me this means none of these guys are particularly likely unless Hoke's been doing groundwork completely out of the public eye since AFAIK none of them have Hoke ties. I figured Michigan would vet and interview candidates at the big AFCA coaching hoo-haw this week; apparently not.
The writing has been on the wall since the 100th negative yardage play this season (probably happened in the fourth game, though I may be exaggerating).
"Michigan's base play this year was a tackle for loss."
Michigan went all Jurassic Park style and have cloned Fielding Yost.
Bingo, Point-a-Minute DNA!
But you do realize that now we'll never pass the ball again, right?
Bill Lynch didn't die. Terry Hoeppner died, which led to Lynch, who was the interim, being hired after they made the bowl.
Bill Lynch's gum is what died after he chucked it clear over the top of Ann Arbor Pioneer high a few years agon.
What's going on with Brian Sipe? Hoke has a past connection to him, and he did well with Ryan Lindley.
it has to be someone from inside, or someone who is not working currently.
Confirmed by Kirk Herbstreit.
Cue the O-line suddenly making a 2011-like jump.
Please not Mike DeBord or Stan Parrish! Done with the retreads, I am looking for something bigger and more innovative.
DONT SLEEP ON DOUG NUSSMEIER
Who it should be:
Mario Cristobal - OL coach at Alabama. Built up FIU's program, then got a raw deal. The program has floundered since then. Plus, he worked under Saban, so he has SEC recruiting ties (not to mention a strong presence in Florida), and is way overqualified to be an OL coach. Most importantly, OC at Michigan would be a promotion.
Make Sanford - QB/WR/Recruiting Coordinator at Stanford. Knows how to develop talent, has been key in an offense that we want, and he used to work under Chris Petersen as an OC at Boise State. Again, Michigan OC would be a promotion.
Not sure why nobody has mentioned either one of these guys.
Those two are intelligent ideas/possibilities, versus many other's suggestions elsewhere on the blog (Brian's are obviously good and thought out as well).
I think I brought up Cristobal months ago in one of the "who should we hire if we do fire Borges" threads. I really like the idea, for the reasons you say. Won't be a massive change in philosophy, so shouldn't lead to much upheaval in the roster. I think he's my top realistic candidate.
IF YOU SLEEP ON DOUG NUSSMEIER IN THE LITERAL SENSE HE WILL THINK YOU ARE WEIRD
BUT IN THE FIGURATIVE SENSE, DONT sleep on him
A couple Jack Daniels and all the truths come out
He runs a pro style, had greAt success with Cam Newton and he needs a JOB...
He's on the Sam Webb "cross-off" list.
With all of these guys knowing who it is, I bet this thing leaks out some time tonight. Social media doesn't allow secrets.
FWIW (not much!) his younger brother Rusty played at U-M from 88-92.
He's a writer for theWolverine.com, our Rivals site.
Balas writes for TheWolverine.com, Michigan's Rivals.com site
Shock the world
My reacting: "WHO GOT FIRED OMG...oh, just Borges. Okay heart, continue beating."
Look for it to be Nussmeier from Bama, with Kiffin taking over for him in Tuscaloosa.
Look for it to be Nussmeier from Bama, with Kiffin taking over for him in Tuscaloosa.
Initially I thought Stitt coaches at the Colorado School of Mimes and was incredibly pleased that Colorado has a mime school (with a football team). Alas, I was left dissapointed :(
There is a trapped in a box joke in there somewhere but I can't find it. Any help?
They should be good at signaling in plays.
I don't usually post on the board, but I had to brave the '502 bad gateway' to log in just to say this comment made me chuckle... well done...
It's Flight Tracker time!
Guy obviously loves Michigan. Need no time to get used to all things. Played QB and knows how to run an offense.
A good guy too.
Interesting idea, but Balas says the new OC is a "college guy," presumably meaning he currently has a college job.
Having a coach named McNulty would be pretty sweet.
And Hoke is good friends with Jason Whitlock, so you know he's heard a lot about The Wire.
There's no way there's such thing as the School of Mines.
Wouldn't surprise me that Hoke had someone lined up before he fired Borges. Hoke isn't really in a patient situation where he can swing and miss with this hire; he has to get the right guy. Probably why they waited so long to do it; if the guy Brady wanted didn't agree, they keep Borges for another year.
No, not really. I mean, holy shit, could you imagine?
I thought you were making up the Colorado School of Mines. Had to google it.
To be honest, I have no idea who the heck any of these people are. I just hope it isn't a complete remake of the system. The last thing we need is more lost seasons due to guys having to learn another system. The 2009 & 2010 defenses haunt me.
Luckily, we're not replacing the defense.
Someplace mentioned Lane Kiffin as a possibility.
I would actually rather have Monte Kiffin as an OC than Lane. (Yes, I know that Monte is a defensive guy. I would still rather have him than Lane.)
The 2009 and 2010 defenses haunt me.
Hence, good thing we're not replacing the defense. You know. Deliberately missing the point. Snark.
Eh, never mind. It's been a long day.
A Slippery Rock coach! Do want! That would certainly make Michigan fans happy
Is it safe to assume unless you are an avid fan...like research these guys versus someone who casually watches the top 25 play on TV, you probably won't recognize the name UM hires? Is there no chance UM can poach an established OC from another BCS school? I don't see that happening but I also don't see why they couldn't, as they can afford to pay them as a top 10 OC in the country.
I think its Cam Cameron, which would be a great hire!
CONFIRMED: CAM it is!!