# Updated Massey win probabilities for Michigan and Nebraska

I posted this on one of the weekend threads but the Massey site has now been updated with Saturday's results so here's a new version. Massey win probabilities for the remainder of the season:

Michigan:

- Minnesota 78%
- Northwestern 68%
- Iowa 81%
- Ohio State 37%

Nebraska:

- Michigan State 51%
- Penn State 72%
- Minnesota 89%
- Iowa 71%

That works out to:

Michigan:

- 4-0 16%
- 3-1 43%
- 2-2 31%
- 1-3 9%
- 0-4 1%

Nebraska

- 4-0 23%
- 3-1 44%
- 2-2 27%
- 1-3 6%
- 0-4 0%

Chances of winning the division are now 71% Nebraska, 29% Michigan, ignoring the unlikely possiblity of someone else stepping in (I'm not going to run the numbers but eyeballing it I'd say Northwestern's chances are about 2-3%).

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