Risk Day 29 - It Appears That We Have Messed With Texas (A&M)
Last night, the Aggys decided to throw over 500 power at us in Arizona, which represented around 20% of their power overall and was by far their biggest allocation. Here's the thing with probabilities in this game, though.....the closer you get to 100%, the less of an impact additional power has on your odds, and the more exposed you become elsewhere. In other words, the Aggys were taking a big gamble on Arizona, and they lost. Big time.
Not only did we successfully defend Arizona with ~20% odds, but TAM lost almost all of Texas to us and the Longhorns. Indeed, they're down to just two territories in the Texas region. And it isn't as if this was an absurd result from a mathematical standpoint. The system calculated that, based on their allocation, they were expected to end up with 8.5 territories last night. The end result was 7 territories....so just a 1.5 territory difference.
This is why we STRONGLY encourage everybody to get their assignments at MichiganCFBRisk.com. Our guys are exceptional at math, statistics, and probabilities, and every day they are figuring out how to use your power to give us the best shot at winning a lot of territories, and high value territories. This is the edge we have on the competition, and it's an edge we should be exploiting to the fullest extent possible.
So keep playing (CONSISTENCY!!!!), keep recruiting, and keep getting your assignments at MichiganCFBRisk.com. There are going to be some good rolls ahead and some bad rolls ahead, but as long as we keep playing the odds, I like our chances of prevailing in the end. Go Blue!
Steps To Play Every Day With Hyperlinks: Attached to this post is a PDF with easy to digest instructions and hyperlinks. Below is the same information written out.
- Sign up for a https://reddit.com/ account if you don’t have one already
- Visit https://collegefootballrisk.com/ – Click Sign in with Reddit – Select Michigan as your team
- Visit https://michigancfbrisk.com/ - click “Login using Reddit” – Click “Get an Assignment”
- Return to https://collegefootballrisk.com/ – Scroll to the bottom of the page and execute your assignment (Note: Simply clicking action so that it becomes highlighted gray confirms the move. There’s no submit or confirm button needed)
April 20th, 2020 at 11:28 AM ^
Looking good.
So with Chaos taking Hawaii is our deal with GT to keep SDSU off?
April 20th, 2020 at 12:18 PM ^
I don't think so. GT currently holds SDSU and if we take it from them I doubt they'd be happy about that. We're in a good place right now. Our enemies are struggling to keep up with us and our allies are doing a good job of assisting. If GT becomes our enemy then suddenly the 4th or 5th most powerful team in the game is against us. No need for that at this point. GT is not a threat right now, lets not turn them into one.
April 20th, 2020 at 12:56 PM ^
The plan, actually, is to take SDSU back. It was a couple GT rogues that took it.
Yeah, if we don't try to capture it, there's a solid chance that Chaos would take SDSU, which would be a huge blow to us. Chaos is pissed at us (because its mostly OU people right now), and letting them get a foothold on the west coast along with OSU would be a huge loss for us.
Chaos is pissed at us
I gotta say, as a Michigan fan over the last 20 years or so... that sounds accurate.
April 20th, 2020 at 11:36 AM ^
Yay! Finally a 3-Star!!
Oh wait...does that mean I have to play Defense at UM?
Yep. Yet another 3-Star on Defense AND protecting (someone someone). Don Brown would be proud. LOL
***EDITED DUE TO POTENTIAL ESPIONAGE AS HIGHLIGHTED BY POSTER BELOW ME - JOKE REDACTED***
April 20th, 2020 at 11:48 AM ^
Please don't post your assignments. You never know who might be watching. :)
April 20th, 2020 at 11:58 AM ^
Ah sorry. Didn't think of that. Just thought it was funny and my humor overrode my common sense.
April 20th, 2020 at 12:05 PM ^
No worries -- it was funny. :)
April 20th, 2020 at 12:25 PM ^
sorry i missed the joke, but this is serious business. the word of the day: omerta
Come on, Geraldo.
I'm a 4* on offense. Glamour position all the way, baby.
April 20th, 2020 at 11:40 AM ^
Still way too much gray on that board .
April 20th, 2020 at 12:02 PM ^
Agreed, but it's much less gray than a couple days ago.
April 20th, 2020 at 12:57 PM ^
Frustrating thing is that their positioning means that a good roll tonight could hurt us badly. It's hard to consolidate and hold gains in this game. Too much randomness due to........the intentional randomness.
April 20th, 2020 at 11:42 AM ^
I for one am shocked that the Aggies turned out to be all hat, no cattle.
April 20th, 2020 at 12:41 PM ^
I hear their boosters may try and poach our math guys
April 20th, 2020 at 12:39 PM ^
Texas A&M
Just signed up my nephew who put in his first move. He's a junior at ND on a full ride math scholarship, but bleeds Maize and Blue.
Sign up the math genius to help with Risk Stragety and Math Number Thingies next season!
I am now associated with Michigan, whereas I was erroneously Air Force before. I was going to Michigan risk and could not fulfill my assignment. Thus, was blacklisted. If you un-blacklist me, I will comply now that I can. Thanks. Wolverineabroad.