Whole Milk

December 11th, 2016 at 1:56 PM ^

Another thing that should be considered is the wear and tear on a body. There was an article floating around the blog about the rehab that is necessary in the NFL. Even though there is a limt of hours that you can practice and learn in college, you also aren't getting your body as destroyed as you do in the NFL. Might still be more beneficial for long term development. 

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Michigan4Life

December 10th, 2016 at 11:44 PM ^

is completely and utterly false. Combine workout is a myth that doesn't raise or lower a draft prospect's stock. What matters more in combine is the medical check and interview. These will make or break the prospect's draft stock.

What you are right is if a prospect perform up to the scout's expectations in a combine workout, it won't change their stock. If it's off by a little bit, they'll re-check the game tape to see if they miss anything. Ultimately, it won't change their evaluations by much anyway

In general the draft grades are 99% done which means the 1% is the medical checkup and interviews since the scouts already have an extensive background check on a prospect as well as game tape study.

 

Ultimately the final decision goes to the GM and coaches.  I've heard several instances where they flat out ignore the scout's recommendations to pick their guy. 

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DrMantisToboggan

December 11th, 2016 at 12:01 AM ^

Nobody you mentioned were as good a draft prospect as a 3rd year player. People don't turn down guaranteed top 10 picks. Jabrill is six months away from being able to pay off every debt his mom has or buying her a house and changing/setting up his family for forever. Unless he can get a $10M insurance policy then he'd be foolish to come back --- and believe me, id about pop a tent if he came back, but it just doesn't make any sense to do so.



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ghostofhoke

December 10th, 2016 at 11:36 PM ^

Like I said above, if you asked me 4 games into the season I'd say yes it's trending that way 100%. But I think he left a lot on the table and there is more to accomplish. That alone isn't the best reason to come back for everyone but this kid is gonna be successful no matter what he does. There are 4 or 5 guys on Bama's defense alone who will likely be higher picks than him this year. He comes back, goes to the playoff, is a Heisman finalist again, he could end up in the top 3-5 picks which is much better than if he projects to the top 15-20. He's likely 5-10 though and that would be tough to pass up unless you really, really want to stay another year. Very long shot but not out of the question IMO.



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stephenrjking

December 10th, 2016 at 11:46 PM ^

Insurance policies don't pay as much as he stands to make in the NFL and they are hard to collect. If my memory serves me right, they don't cover a situation where an injury hurts draft stock and shortens a career but doesn't end it, either.

If he comes back and tears up his knee against MSU and isn't ready for the combine, he could easily drop a round, lose millions of dollars, and get nothing from insurance. And then, if he plays for three years and then rips up his knee again, nobody is willing to pay him big for that second contract, and he never sees the money he lost.

The insurance policies are good and I'm glad players get them, but they don't eliminate risk by any stretch of the imagination.

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Michigan Zag

December 11th, 2016 at 12:08 AM ^

There are policies that pay out if a player drops below a certain round. One that spings to mind is Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, the Oregon CB from a few years ago. He was considered a first round talent till he blew out his knee senior year, and Oregon had a policy that paid $3 million if he fell below the third round. He's still in the NFL, but obviosuly lost a lot of money. 

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Michigan Zag

December 11th, 2016 at 12:32 PM ^

According to this article, Oregon helped him pay for the policy.

"Ekpre-Olomu reportedly paid a good deal of his premium, though Oregon did help with the cost."

http://www.si.com/nfl/2015/10/19/cleveland-browns-ifo-ekpre-olomu-three-million-insurance-policy

Here is a good read on player insurance: http://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/leonard-fournettes-10m-policies-and-the-unregulated-world-of-player-protection/

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MgoBlueprint

December 10th, 2016 at 11:19 PM ^

I think he was just speaking in the moment. I'd love to see him come back. Harbaugh got four out of five possible years out of Luck, but I don't see Jabrill passing the NFL up this year.



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Communist Football

December 10th, 2016 at 11:20 PM ^

He said "I wish I could do it again," then corrected himself when he realized that that statement gave it away. Believe me comrades, I wish he was staying, but asking a sure first-rounder to stay is asking a lot.

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ColeIsCorky

December 10th, 2016 at 11:27 PM ^

He didn't correct it because it was wrong - I believe he corrected it because he hasn't made his decision yet completely. Is it 100% that he's leaving? No, I don't think it is (probably closer to 90% if I had a guess). But you're looking for an answer where there was none.

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ATC

December 11th, 2016 at 2:57 AM ^

It won't be the first big news the media and twitter land got wrong recently...... conventional wisdom is the root cause of black swans by refusing to see what (in hindsight) was there to be seen all along. Case in point: Harbaugh to Michigan

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