Upon Further Review 2015: Offense vs BYU Comment Count

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FORMATION NOTES: Michigan was super-heavy in this game. A plurality of plays were I-Form Big of some description, most commonly a 2FB lineup featuring Houma and Poggi.

iform-big-2fb

Michigan frequently targeted the bubbles a 3-4 leaves by running fullbacks up both gaps. That is BYU in its standard 3-4, which they only left on passing downs. They left 8 or 9 in the box all day.

When Michigan moved from a dual fullback set to something with a blocker right behind the OL…

fb-trap-1

…the setup was appended with an "H". Here you can see every BYU defender within six yards of the LOS. M hit its first easy big play off this kind of defense with a 41-yarder to Jake Butt.

Michigan came out in a wacky formation right here:

emory-3-wide-h

I dubbed this "Emory" since it's kind of what's usually dubbed "Emory and Henry". This didn't work so hot since it didn't seem like anyone to the bunch knew what the dang snap count was.

On passing downs BYU would lift all but one DL and throw an amorphous pile of dudes at the LOS. They call this "radar".

radar-two-pro-set

Michigan's in the pro set they used on the Khalid Hill stealth mode play.

PERSONNEL NOTES: Houma and Poggi got all of the FB snaps. Smith got the bulk of the RB snaps until his injury; when he was absent it was mostly Johnson and Green, with Ty Isaac only getting two carries. That was odd, but more about it later.

Butt saw just about every snap. With the two fullbacks on the field for most of the day there wasn't a whole lot of room for other TEs; Bunting, Williams, and Hill all played bit roles.

WR was mostly Darboh and Chesson. Moe Ways got a healthy amount of playing time and proved an effective blocker; Perry only made appearances in the rare three-wide sets.

OL was per usual. Braden got knocked out with an injury we are assured is minor; David Dawson came in to replace him.

[After THE JUMP: De'Veon and the eleven dwarves]

Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M25 1 10 I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Pass Waggle FB flat Poggi 2
The oh no here we go again play. M runs a waggle to start, Chesson's dude falls over, Rudock doesn't see it. To be fair the flat is probably his first read and it is open for a nice catch and run. Rudock puts it a little low and hard and Poggi falls over catching it. This is not an ideal throw but Poggi should be able to keep his feet here; the ball is barely below his waist. (MA, 2, protection N/A, Poggi route -1)
M27 2 8 I Form Big 2FB 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Power O Smith 2
Cole and Braden(-1) fire out at the playside end. End takes a big hit from Cole but Braden gets stuck on the backside of the DT. Looks like the DT has ahold of him but never getting that call unless you're Oklahoma State. Glasgow(+1) locks out the NT and Braden stays attached so Smith(-0.5) has a cutback opportunity behind Braden but does not take it. Instead he ends up running into a pile of guys with no crease because the end didn't get locked inside. Cole(+1) got a good hit on the DT and a second level block; Poggi(-1) hit a LB but bounced off, helping cram the hole full of bodies.
M29 3 6 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Radar one Pass Rollout comeback Darboh Inc
Just one guy in a three point stance with approximately five LBs on the field. M rolls the pocket and BYU does a good job flowing with it; Rudock can't find anyone open until very late when he tries a pretty covered Darboh and wings it high. Darboh gets a finger on it only. (IN, 0, protection 1/1)
Drive Notes: Punt, 0-0, 13 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M20 1 10 I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Lead FB trap Smith 4
All BYU players within six yards of the LOS and in this case the two super aggressive safeties combine to tackle after Michigan blocks this very well. M motions Poggi to the short side and then runs a trap to the wide side with Poggi taking on the DT that was let go. Poggi(+1) cuts this guy with authority. Glasgow(+0.5) and Kalis(+1) combine to blow out the NT. Houma(+0.5) gets a nice lead block on the LB in the hole. Smith goes through a big lane, and here's a spot I wish he was a little more patient and maybe tried to sucker these safeties on the wrong side of a block. RPS -1; well blocked play but one that saw two unblocked guys make contact after a minimal gain.
M24 2 6 I-Form Big 2FB 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Iso off tackle Smith 31
First big breakout carry. Cole(+1) and Braden(+1) club the playside end out of the hole with Cole getting a second level block on a linebacker trying to scrape over the top. Houma(+0.5) gets a little motion on his kick. Poggi(+0.5) is a little ginger with his hit but does set up to turn the other LB outside, which frees up a big swath of space. Moe Ways(+1) cracks down on the safety trying to prevent a big play and Smith(+1) reads the FB block and pops outside for a big gain. He had a little shimmy to get through a narrow hole. RPS +1. Crackback block from Ways was a 2 for one with WR in press man on him.
O45 1 10 Emory 3-wide H 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Flash screen Darboh Inc
Live I though this was BYU really sussing out the play; on replay it's obvious that Cole(-1) and Mags(-1) don't know the snap count and don't react post snap until the BYU CB is able to slip between Cole and Butt.(CA, 0, protection N/A)
O45 2 10 Offset I 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Draw Johnson 5
Williams(+2) has a great block on a blitzing LB that he stands up and begins driving back; Mags(-1) has an initial hit on a DT but gets spun off of, closing off interior options. Houma(+1) gets a blasting kickout of a linebacker; Johnson hits upfield quickly and gets shut down by a safety who started at six yards. On the backside Glasgow(+1) got a pancake on the nose tackle.
O40 3 5 Shotgun trips 1 1 3 Base 3-4 Pass Hitch and go Darboh 21
That play. You know, that one. This is a better throw than it appears since Darboh is getting held as he goes up the sideline (refs -1); Darboh makes it work anyway. I be like dang. (CA, 1, protection 2/2)
O19 1 10 I-Form twins 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Pitch counter Johnson 0
Poggi motions to the short side slot. M runs a beautiful pitch counter that pulls both guards to the backside and spends the fullbacks selling the fake. BYU bites hard. Mags(+1) seals the playside end; end trips on Glasgow's block. Kalis(+0.5) and Glasgow(+0.5) get second level blocks. Braden got kicked by a teammate as he pulled out from the line and has an awkward flight path. He still gets out on the end Butt has passed on after an initial hit and gets a pop on him; Johnson(-3) goes on the wrong side of this block. He has to bend around this defender set up to the outside of Braden and exposes himself to a safety who Kalis no longer has an angle on. Cutting upfield is one on one with a safety for a touchdown. (RPS +2)
O19 2 10 I-Form 3-wide 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Outside zone Smith -1
Another badly missed cut. BYU jams the frontside up; Glasgow(+2) feels that he can't seal the NT so instead he simply uses his momentum against him and buries him to the ground. BYU has shot a safety and a linebacker into any frontside gaps and Houma gets cut off in the backfield; there is nothing but an out of position end and blocks on the backside. Smith(-3) runs outside of a kickout block that's two yards in the backfield and gets what you get when you do that: tackled for loss.
O20 3 11 Pro set 1 2 2 Radar two Pass Double PA TE slip Hill 19
M motions from a pistol 2TE set to the pro and then executes a double fake screen that sees Khalid Hill screamingly wide open for a first down. Glasgow(-1) did get beat by a blitz to get Rudock somewhat pressured. (CA, 3, protection 1/2, RPS +3)
O1 1 G I-Form twins 3 1 1 Goal line Penalty False start Glasgow -5
These are unfortunately frequent so far this year. –1.
O6 1 G I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Goal line Run Power O Smith 3
Kalis(-1) blown through by the NT; NT falls but Smith no longer has the option of inside or outside the double to the playside. Houma(+0.5) went and scraped through a lot of traffic to find a guy to kick; Williams(+0.5) got some depth on his block; Braden(-1) picked the wrong side of Poggi's solid kickout block and ends up hitting the same guy, so there is no one in the hole to blunt the forward momentum of a linebacker. Smith(+1) gets hit hard at a yard and impressively cranks out another two.
O3 2 G I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Goal line Pass Scramble Rudock 3
Thoroughly illegal pick play on which Houma rips through the line and dives at the legs of a linebacker who is supposed to get out on Isaac. (Refs +2.) BYU's playside end does a great job to recognize what M is trying and drop back to cover Isaac, but in doing so he's left the corner open; Rudock saunters in. (SCR, N/A, protection 1/1) I guess I need to take back that Refs +2 because there's no OPI on a run. RPS +1.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 7-0, 7 min 1st Q. This f-ing drive, man. This was called so beautifully.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M10 1 10 Offset I 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run ??? Smith 0
Director gets fancy and misses the critical bit of this play. When we come back Smith is about to get snowed under. There are a ton of problems here. The endzone buttcam reveals that Mags(-1) gets ripped through on a downblock; Butt(-1) also whiffs on a block; Kalis(-1) runs after a guy Houma is kicking out. Smith(+0.5) does well to break a tackle and lose fewer yards. I wish I had a better look at this play because I think some of these might be -2s.
M10 2 10 Ace empty TE 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Pass Scramble Rudock 9 +15 Pen
Only a three man rush; Rudock gets immediate pressure as Cole(-1) and Braden(-1) don't communicate well and the DE heads right upfield between the two. If I had to guess this is more of a Braden problem since this DE is their best player and the NT isn't a pass rush threat. Rudock(+1) busts out of the pressure and escapes to the edge; Houma(+1) cuts inside to hit a linebacker and give Rudock the edge. (SCR, N/A, protection 0/2) Rudock gets a slightly weak late hit call added on. Refs +1.
M34 1 10 Ace trips tight bunch 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Stretch sweep? Canteen Inc
We don't get a good luck at what this is going to be since Rudock turfs an easy throw but it looks like the line is just blocking outside zone and Canteen is coming back for a screen that will probably go inside the two TEs and possibly much further. It's kind of a really tight tunnel screen. Supposed to be a pitch counter also. (IN, 0, screen)
M34 2 10 Offset I 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Pass PA Cross Butt 41
Poggi inline with Butt flanked just outside of him. Every BYU player is within 6 yards of the LOS and all bite on the power PA M runs; Butt is hand-wavingly wide open downfield with only a safety who ran up to a yard away from the LOS trying to recover. Rudock hits him for about 20 and there's a ton of YAC opportunity. (CA, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +3)
O25 1 10 I-Form Big 2FB 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Double Iso Smith 4
Glasgow(+0.5) gives a bit of ground initially before anchoring and starting to drive. That initial give convinces Poggi(+0.5) to redirect from one side of Glasgow back to the other, which is fine. He gets a hit on a linebacker. Houma(+1) cuts the other guy to the ground. Smith has to cut back behind Poggi and Glasgow; Braden(-1) got pushed back and disconnected from by a DT who now threatens; Smith runs up the back of Glasgow for what he can get.
O21 2 6 Shotgun empty 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Pass TE seam Williams Inc
Cole flanked over the slot with Williams an eligible at "LT." BYU CB recognizes this or they just coincidentally call a corner blitz off this; bubble fake draws a linebacker that leaves Williams open for a first down; batted down. (BA, 0, protection 1/1, RPS +1)
O21 3 6 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Radar one Pass In Chesson 5
This is not very Rudock. Chesson(route+) beats his man inside and has enough room for a catch and run; Rudock leaves it outside, necessitating a tough catch and leading to fourth and one after a questionable spot. (MA, 2, protection 2/2)
O16 4 1 Goal line 3 1 1 Goal line Penalty Offsides N/A 5
Kalis +1 for clearly jumping to draw the flag on a guy who Rudock had hard-counted across the line.
O11 1 10 Goal line 3 1 1 Goal line Run FB dive Houma 5
M lining up a WR at TE on these plays BTW. This is just a lurch forward by the world; Glasgow(+0.5), Kalis(+0.5), Cole(+0.5), Braden(+0.5). Mags didn't really have to hit anyone. Houma(+0.5) gets a half for a leap forward at the end. Five yards in this situation is pretty valuable.
O6 2 5 Ace diamond 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Double Iso Smith 1
Butt(-2) either trips or goes for a cut block way too early on a linebacker who is trying to shoot a gap and get to Smith. All he has to do is annoy this dude and M has a decent gain; instead Smith gets whacked in the backfield. Glasgow(+1) got excellent drive on the NT to make this a potentially successful play; wasn't a huge fan of the other blocks but they were okay.
O5 3 4 Shotgun trips 1 1 3 Base 3-4 Pass Slant Darboh 5
M picks up man coverage that they see with Butt's motion. Butt then releases outside; Canteen goes straight upfield; Butt's guy bangs into him and then bangs him into Darboh's man. He comes free. BYU does have an underneath defender making this difficult; Darboh smartly bends his route to the back of the endzone, giving Rudock more of a window to throw it away from this guy. He does; touchdown, (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1)
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 14-0, 13 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M32 1 10 I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run FB trap Houma 8
Another trap sees Poggi(+1) lined up as an H-back right over the guard, cut a DT. Glasgow(+1) kicks the other DT effectively; Kalis(+0.5) gets a hit on the MLB after his free release. Braden makes a tight pull around Glasgow and doesn't end up getting a hit as the other LB makes a desperate dive at Houma(+0.5), who runs through a weak arm tackle and gets a nice gain. M showing option on the outside here, BTW.
M40 2 2 I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Power O Smith 60
Poggi(-1) trying to get a kick block on the playside OLB; ends up giving ground and almost falling over backwards as that guy pops him good. Cole(+0.5) and Braden(+0.5) get a solid double on the playside end so there's a bit of a crease. Houma goes and buries himself in the middle of the gap that's not so much there to little effect; Kalis(+1) scrapes around the whole mess, pops to the exterior, and is set up to cut of anyone who will try to be a force player; Smith(-1) does not have the patience to see this develop and follow his block. A bounce here is probably a bunch of yards... and oh. Right. I just did the Smith touchdown like it was a one yard run. In addition to the above, Houma(+1) ends up shoving a LB well out of the hole eventually. Ways(+1) fights through a corner to get to the safety and seals him off. Smith(+2) somehow keeps his feet through the chaos and bursts into the open field and then fends off the cornerback at the 30(+1) and spins him off(+2) to finish the run. The minus stays though.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 21-0, 11 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M41 1 10 Ace 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 3-4 Pass Corner Chesson Inc + 15 Pen
M eats a double A gap blitz.. Glasgow(-2) does not read it and goes to double the ineffectual NT. Smith(-1) gets hurdled over as he goes for a cut; minus there might be harsh since this is pretty spectacular by Langi. Rudock needs to get rid of the ball right now and tries to get it out to Chesson on a corner route that is open for a big chunk but he gets hit on the throw and it's errant, almost intercepted. BYU guy hit Rudock basically right in the knee and gets hit with the Tom Brady PI. (PR, 0, protection 0/3) This is a new rule this year.
O44 1 10 Ace twins H 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Run Counter trap. Smith 11
This gets jammed up on the playside and is gloriously ridiculously wide open on the backside. Glasgow is the guy releasing immediately and he has to go out to a guy lined up directly over a slot receiver to get a block. That's a trap pull behind Kalis. A cutback is a massive gain. Smith doesn't see that despite it being the play design but I still like what he does on this play. Hill can't get a seal on this because the DT is heading right at him inside; that's one reason the backside gap is so massive. Braden(+0.5) gets caught up; forms up, and cuts the guy off. Kalis(+1) doesn't have an angle unless this goes backside and still buries a linebacker into the mess w Braden and Hill. Cole(+1) gets a yard of depth; Smith(+1) spots the tiny crease and does a hard out-in cut. Three BYU players take a false step and Smith bursts upfield for near first down yardage. RPS +2.
O33 1 10 I-Form twins 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Run Pitch sweep Smith 1
BYU did prepare for this and we see the result. Butt's motion takes him to the slot and brings down a safety with it; OLB flares out to be right over him. Cole(-1) has a good step that promises he'll be able to seal the playside end but cannot maintain it and gets run through. BYU forces it back otherwise. Houma targets the safety who came down and can't help Cole as he doesn't see the problem. Smith has to cut behind the Cole block. This might actually go well since Glasgow(+1) stepped around his guy and removed him from contention but the backside LB did nothing but haul after the RB and he makes the play. RPS -1.
O32 2 9 Shotgun 3-wide 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Waggle TE flat Bunting 10
BYU again way aggressive on the backside of the play; M immediately hits them back with the dumb little flat pass for a first down. (CA, 3, protection N/A, RPS +2)
O22 1 10 Shotgun 2TE twins 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Scramble Rudock 3
Protection is good; BYU vacates a huge space in front of Rudock. He starts moving up into it, and decides to run too early; he's got Butt for a first down and more if he can just see it. Instead he scrapes out a few yards. (TA, N/A, protection 2/2)
O19 2 7 I-Form Big 2FB 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Iso Smith 2
Glasgow(+1) and Braden(+1) double and seal one DL with Braden getting out to a LB. Houma(-1) gets his kick ripped through. Poggi(-1) runs in to the back of Cole, knocking him off balance and causing him to lose his block; Cole(-0.5) did contribute there by not controlling the DT enough to give Poggi a clear idea of where to go. Kalis(-0.5) also lost his man after an initial push; not much despite a solid looking hole from the one block that was real good here.
O17 3 5 Offset I 1 2 2 Radar one Pass Scramble Rudock 17
Only four sent and they get picked up. Again they leave a massive gap in front of Rudock. This time when Rudock breaks for it there is nobody there until the endzone; Chesson(+1) does get a probably unnecessary but quality block. (SCR, N/A, protection 2/2). I thought he had Hill on a corner route but that's just me.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 28-0, 7 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M31 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Run Iso off tackle Smith -1
Glasgow(-2) gets pushed back and the nose fights to the intended hole. Playside end got doubled by Mags and Kalis and did that 1960s thing where you just go down in a heap to create a pile. This is successful but it's just a push. There's nobody for the MLB so despite a big gap up the middle a cutback behind the Glasgow block seems doomed; if I'm picking a nit the Smith bounce might cost a yard or two.
M30 2 11 I-Form 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Pass Comeback Chesson 12
Infinite time as the line dominates a four man rush. Rudock can step up and nail Chesson on a comeback route to the far sideline. Takes a while to get there but Chesson(route+) got significant separation. (CA, 3, protection 3/3)
M42 1 10 I-Form 3-wide 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Pass Scramble Rudock 4
S blitz draws Smith; he makes the block but Rudock spooks. As he starts moving up. He scrambles for a few yards. I don't think there was an obvious better choice than this, but I don't want to issue a DSR-improving SCR for a three yard run so I'm punting. (N/A, N/A, protection 2/2)
M46 2 6 I-Form Big 2FB 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Double Iso Johnson 9
M attacks both bubbles against a 3-4. Glasgow(+1) controls and gets a couple yards of depth on the NT. Kalis(+0.5) and Braden(+0.5) get simple kickout-ish blocks on DEs lined up outside of them. Houma(+1) plugs and turns out a linebacker in the gap Johnson attacks; Poggi(+0.5) gets into the legs of the other guy; Johnson(+0.5) starts his run with an outside step that draws one safety well to the outside of the play and erases him; he ends up falling over. Just the tiniest subtle thing to screw with a key.
O45 1 10 I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Dive Houma 0
Kalis(-1) goes for a double on the playside end that last too long; they end up burying that dude but an MLB shoots the gap and hits Houma for minimal gain. Other blocks on this play are adequate at best; contact, middling seals, that kind of thing. Williams(+1) did blow up his guy.
O45 2 10 Shotgun 2TE twins 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Improv Darboh 18
Protection is excellent; Rudock doesn't see anything he likes right away. Pocket starts to break down; Rudock moves up and fires a sidearm laser to Darboh for a first down. (DO, 3, protection 2/2)
O27 1 10 I-Form Big 2FB 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Counter Power Johnson 1
BYU slants away and sends a LB on a blitz into the intended gap. This guy blasts Kalis(-0.5) and disconnects, but playcall is a factor here. On the edge Houma kind of bizarrely tries to get around a guy it really seems like he should kick out. I kind of get it, because by doing this he holds the attention of a CB so he's kind of getting a two for one but that does cut off the possibility that Johnson could bounce outside the Kalis block. Butt(+0.5) gets a good second level hit; Johnson tries to go inside of Kalis and his LB makes a nice play. Cole(+0.5) blew out the guy slanting away. RPS -2.
O26 2 9 I-Form Big H 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Dive Houma 4
Corner blitz and another slant. This wins as the NT gets through Glasgow(-1) but the quick hitting nature of the play means he has no time to tackle. Houma runs into a mass of bodies; Braden(+0.5) gave it much of its impetus; Cole(+0.5) had a good backside block that helped a bit.
O22 3 5 Shotgun trips 1 1 3 Nickel under Pass Drag Butt Inc
I think M gets a bit of an unexpected coverage here; three man rush; DE peels off to the short side flat; CB is following Butt across the formation. He has to bend away from him to clear some traffic; he does. Once he does not get caught up this drag is not a good route. I don't think this is late from Rudock; I think it was never particularly open. Rudock throws it anyway; he should come off it to a Johnson angle route that is breaking open underneath. (BR, 0, protection 2/2)
Drive Notes: FG(40), 31-0, 1 min 2nd Q
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M39 1 10 I-Form 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Pass Fly Chesson Inc
This is about on point as far as length but the ball is several yards inside. I'm not charting this quasi-hail mary. But LOL your feelings.
Drive Notes: EOH, 31-0.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M27 1 10 I-Form Big 2FB 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Double Iso Smith 6
Glasgow(+0.5) doesn't get much depth but when the NT picks a side he stays with him and shoves him laterally; Smith cuts back behind that block. Poggi's block is mediocre; he kind of bounces off and doesn't really control him; Houma(+1) does a better job. Smith(+0.5) bounces off Poggi kind of awkwardly but this causes the LB Poggi's blocking to spin back outside at he cuts inside of that. Here Houma's block is important as it provides the crease. Many people tackle from the side shortly after the second cut.
M33 2 4 I-Form Big 3 1 1 Base 3-4 Run Power O Smith 3
Both Houma and Braden target the same OLB for a kickout. I know M will run this both ways so hard to tell who's at fault. I think Houma(-1) given the flight path of Smith. Braden does recover after the mixup to knock a LB who had scraped over a block from Williams(+0.5) and Mags(+0.5) that had gotten some depth. Smith(+0.5) has a small lane he can hit. He spins through a tackle to near the first down.
M36 3 1 Offset I twins 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Run Iso Green 6
Not much push but M does block everyone and create a crease. Magnuson(+0.5) gets a kickout on a DE. Kalis(+0.5) and Glasgow get nowhere with the NT but he doesn't make an impact on the play and Glasgow(+1) comes off on a LB trying to shoot a gap. Green(+0.5) hops through the crease.
M42 1 10 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Pass Waggle scramble Rudock 0
DE attacks Butt and then specifically goes after Poggi as he tries to release in the flat. Poggi does not get in the flat; Chesson is bracketed. Rudock has no choice but to run OOB for what he can get, which is no yards. Not charting. (N/A, N/A, N/A, RPS -1)
M42 2 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Sack N/A -9
Another double A blitz that sees a free guy up the middle. This time it's Smith(-2) who blows it, as Glasgow starts to the outside to the guy he's never going to get but then redirects to the guy coming to him; Smith never sees this and lets the first guy through untouched; Rudock goes down. (PR, N/A, protection 0/2)
M33 3 19 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 3-4 Pass Tunnel screen Darboh 14
Pretty decent playcall since the rushers sell out and are gone; Cole(+1) and Glasgow(+1) get blocks in space and Darboh's off. Safety shuts him down. No RPS since BYU did force a punt. (CA, 3, screen)
Drive Notes: Punt, 31-0, 9 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M41 1 10 Offset I Big 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Pass Throwaway N/A Inc
Just a two man route; BYU is reacting better to it, hard to tell if anyone is open, looks like one on one at worst just let it rip man. (TA, N/A, protection 2/2)
M41 2 10 I-Form 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Power O Smith -1
Braden(-2) fires out way too flat and ends up barely applying force to the NT; NT chucks him aside and shoots up the middle of the play. Smith has no choice but to bounce; Poggi(-0.5) gets a block spun off of and his guy plus the S, an eighth in the box, and the DT combine to TFL.
M40 3 11 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel even Pass Sack N/A -5
Smith injured on previous play and will not return. Protection here is okay at first; Butt eventually lets his guy around the corner(-1); Rudock had already hitched up like three times and this isn't the worst. Rudock gets nailed for the sack. Camera angle super tight and director has ignored skycam for most of the day for whatever reason so no idea if this was covered guys or bad decisions. (TA, N/A, protection 1/2)
Drive Notes: Aussie Going Rogue, 31-0, 6 min 3rd Q. This drive ends with the Blake O'Neill sojourn.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M4 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Run Iso off tackle Isaac 8
Glasgow(-0.5) gets rocked back but does stay attached and pushes the NT upfield; not the worst. Cole(+0.5) and Braden(+0.5) erase the playside end; neither gets out on a LB. Hill(+0.5) loses a little ground on his block, stays with it, and ends up moving the guy a lot when Isaac(+2) moves him with his ability. Isaac first threatens inside before a quick bounce out; Poggi also sets up outside but then kind of waits for a guy to hit instead of finding a gent; Isaac stiffarms a DB at two yards and nears a first down.
M12 2 2 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Run Power O Isaac 1
Cole(+0.5) blows in a DE slanting away from the play. BYU puts LBs in the gap fast. Hill(-1) tries to kick an OLB; he lunges and gets beat. Poggi(-0.5) gets a hit in; guy gets inside and meh. Kalis(+0.5) does get a good sealing hit on a pull. RPS -1; LBs were heading downhill on this and it made it hard to execute.
M13 3 1 I-Form Big 2FB 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Double Iso Green 4
Butt(+1) is one of the lead guys; he gets into the legs of the relevant MLB and seriously delays him. Kalis(-1) gets stood up and ripped through, which is dangerous; Glasgow(+0.5) does get his block but it's not a drive or anything, he just occupies a guy. Green(+0.5) makes the cut behind and picks it up.
M17 1 10 Ace 3TE 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Pass Throwaway N/A Inc
This is bad from Rudock. He flips around and Butt is wide open on a corner route but he does not throw it, afraid apparently of an OLB yards away dropping into it. This whole play is designed to get this one route open and he doesn't throw it when it works. (BRX, N/A, protection 1/1)
M17 2 10 Offset I 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Pass Smoke Darboh 3 (offset pen)
Solid tackle from the DB holds this down. Kalis(-2) gets a completely inane clipping penalty at the end of the play; it's offset by a face mask.
M17 2 10 Ace 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 3-4 Pass Scramble Rudock 8
M runs all slants and there's nothing there; Rudock bails after two or three reads. He breaks the pocket and cuts up after Johnson gets discarded by a LB; picking up a quality gain, (SCR, N/A, protection 2/2, RPS -1)
M25 3 2 Goal line 2FB 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Pass PA RB flat Green 7
Dubiously legal but they never call this; Poggi cuts the playside LB and Green leaks out into the exposed space; easy conversion. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1)
M32 1 10 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Run Iso off tackle Green 3
This ends up cutting back. Glasgow(+0.5) and Braden(+0.5) get movement on the NT; Poggi(-0.5) is not assertive getting to the hole and gets fired back by the LB charging; Green(+0.5) cuts back. That's a good idea; Kalis(-0.5) got a little depth but does get ripped past by his guy as Green approaches.
M35 2 7 Ace twins 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Flare Johnson 14
Playside end rushes; LBs chase the TEs; Johnson wide open. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +2)
M49 1 10 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Run Power O Green 1
Hill(-1) hits the playside end but gets upright and run through as soon as the end tries to shed. Now this guy is in the play; Green has to cut up behind him. He gets nailed from behind by a backside end tearing after the play. Would RPS but situation.
50 2 9 Offset I 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Pass Out Butt Inc
Odd set from Kalis(-2) that is way too deep on a three step drop that is just trying to get the ball out quick to Butt. That lets another double A right up the gut and gets Rudock blown up on a play that should never get him touched. Ball is short of Butt. Should still get caught for a few. (PR, 2, protection 0/2)
50 3 9 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel even Pass Throwaway N/A Inc
Reasonable protection but Glasgow(-1) doesn't redirect even when the NT goes way out of his zone and a guy gets inside Dawson for some pressure up the gut. Rudock decides to take off; he has plenty of time to move and reset and throw but he does not do this; he takes it down and the chucks it once a spy LB comes up on him. Too many times to the well for a guy who is only okay at running.Just throw the dang thing downfield. (TA, N/A, protection 1/2, Glasgow -1)
Drive Notes: Punt, 31-0, 13 min 4th Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR DForm Type Play Player Yards
M29 1 10 Offset I 3-wide 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Run Counter Power Green 6
Somewhat dubious bounce here; Kalis(-1) bounces off on his pull to the OLB but Cole(+1) erased the playside end so there's plenty of room; Dawson(+0.5) got out to a LB who was taken by the counter action; Glasgow(+1) seals the nose. Hill(+0.5) leads through the hole; hard to tell how quality his block is because the LB is now trying to get to Green's bounce. The corner is open after Green(+0.5) makes the bounce and stiffarms the OLB; he cuts past the corner containing and runs into the guy who left Hill.
M35 2 4 Ace trips tight bunch 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Run Pitch sweep Green 1
Not good from the guys in the bunch. Hill(-1) lets the playside ILB outside of him by taking an angle that's too tight to the LOS; he does stay with the guy and annoy him but that's suboptimal. Perry(-2) lets the playside corner by without hitting him; he doesn't turn upfield at least, but he ends up sitting still for about half of this play; when he does try to go find someone he runs outside instead of hitting anybody in front of him. Kalis can't get to the unmolested corner but does at least target him. He goes around; Green cuts up, running through an arm tackle. Hill's guy then tackles.
M36 3 3 I-Form Big 2 2 1 Base 3-4 Pass PA TE drag Williams 7
Houma stumbles out of the backfield and is going to be covered anyway; Poggi is also bracketed; M leaks Williams out to run to the other side; he would be wide open but for an OLB who ran into the OL and then backed out. Rudock makes the read and throw for the first down; kind of wish they kept this under wraps. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1)
M43 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 3-4 Run Power O Johnson 3
Dawson(-1) doesn't ID the fact that an OLB has come down from the slot until really late. He basically runs by the guy with a bump; that gent comes down to tackle. Mags(+0.5) got lateral movement but was getting spun off of. Offense had no one for the MLB anyway. Would RPS this in competitive situation.
M46 2 7 Ace 3-wide H 1 1 3 Base 3-4 Run Power O Green -1
Dawson(-1) fires out wide, oddly; linebacker shoots the gap behind him and picks off Bunting. Glasgow(-1) saw his down block slant away; he's not prepared for this and the guy goes around untouched. That's fast enough for him to get a tackle in on Green's ankles in the backfield.
M45 3 8 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Nickel even Pass Hitch Hill 20
BYU sends a blitz off the corner that M does not block effectively because their protection is off; Dawson ends up with nobody to hit while a guy comes free. Hill leaks out into a little hitch that Rudock sees as a hot route and fires. DE was dropping here but not well enough; Hill turns upfield for a solid chunk of YAC. (CA+, 3, protection 0/2, Team -2)
O35 1 10 Offset I 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Off tackle Johnson 11
Williams motions to the short side and goes out into what might look like a route for a second; his motion drew a S down to about four yards; Williams(+1) latches on and stays on until the S just runs away from him in pursuit. Cole(+1) releases to a linebacker and seals him inside; Dawson(+1) sees a guy slant inside of him and adjusts to seal him off; Hill(+1) gets a good driving kick. Johnson(+1) bursts past the first level and hits the corner.
O24 1 10 Shotgun 2TE 1 2 2 Base 3-4 Pass Scramble Rudock 3
Plenty of time as BYU only sends three. TE mesh underneath covered; only thing that might be open is Perry on a deep route I can't see. Rudock decides to take off for a few. (TA, N/A, protection 2/2)
O21 2 7 Offset I 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Off tackle Green 6
Similar play but slightly tweaked with Williams targeting a LB instead of releasing outside. Cole(+1) drives the end in; Hill(+0.5) gets a good kick; Williams(+1) seals the LB.
O15 3 1 Offset I 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Run Off tackle Green -1
Well blocked; couple BYU playside linemen surge to the backfield but both get stepped around and sealed by Dawson(+1) and Cole(+1). Williams(+1) gets a big kick. Hill(+0.5) gets a LB; only thing left is a safety who is running hard at the point of a attack. Green(-2) makes a late decision to try to bounce it outside and gets tackled for not an inch of YAC. Impossible to see this happening to Smith.
O16 4 2 Ace trips tight bunch 2 1 2 Base 3-4 Pass Waggle WR flat Canteen Inc
Canteen gets into the flat and is open and Rudock pumps it to him; he is not looking. Rudock runs out of time and throw it to him; he is still not looking. This seems suboptimal if you are trying to catch a pass. (CA, 3, protection N/A)
Drive Notes: Turnover on downs, 31-0, 3 min 4th Q. Last drive not charted.

I mean this is okay.

It's pretty good, actually. 31 points and 450 yards against a real defense is good. That's more than UCLA got, more than Boise State got, more than Nebraska got. None of those teams project to have an awesome offense but we're just looking for the defense's competent sidekick here.

But if you leave out the 60 yard…

Let me stop you there. De'Veon Smith's ridiculous run did tack on a pile of YAC that could distort how good the blocking actually was… if the running backs hadn't given that much yardage back on poor decisions elsewhere. It is a fact of life that Michigan's backs will give up these yards; it's also a fact of life that sometimes De'Veon Smith will keep his feet and then mount a defensive back's head on his wall. The overall rushing performance is a fair reflection of the blocking. It says 254 yards on 51 carries, 5.0 a pop, in a game where Michigan ran two-thirds of the time.

Not quite Stanford's Harbaugh heyday; an obvious step forward. This leads to a

chart

run chart that's part promise and part coping.

Offensive Line
Player + - Total Notes
Cole 11 2.5 8.5 Moving guys. Not like Lewan did, but consistently.
Braden 5.5 5 0.5 Back to reality against strong DE, but reality still OK.
Glasgow 15.5 5.5 10 Would have been interesting against Tuiloma. Beat up this NT.
Kalis 7 8.5 -1.5 Had some meh pulls.
Magnuson 2.5 3 -0.5 M clearly left-handed when it wants to rely on tackles.
Butt 1.5 3 -1.5 One bad block got Smith nailed at the goal line.
Williams 6.5   6.5 Yup.
Kerridge       DNP
Poggi 3.5 4 -0.5 Weaker FB.
Houma 8.5 2 6.5 Thought he was mostly terrific.
Hill 3 3 0 Up and down.
TOTAL 64.5 36.5 64% Hair short of two thirds, solid outing against a solid team. Dawson's +2.5-2=+0.5 omitted, FWIW.
Backs
Player + - T Notes
Rudock 1   1 Run positives mostly stored in the decision to go.
Morris       DNP
Smith 9.5 4.5 5 Beast mode.
Isaac 2   2 Lack of time confusing
Green 2 2 0 Attempted third and one conversion baffling
Johnson 1.5 3 -1.5 One real bad cut.
Taylor-Douglas       DNC
TOTAL 16 9.5 6.5 Up and down.
Receivers
Player + - T Notes
Darboh        
Chesson 1   1  
Harris        
Perry   2 -2  
Cole       DNP
Ways 2   2 Chessonesque.
Canteen 0.5 1 -0.5  
TOTAL 4 1 3  
Metrics
Player + - T Notes
Protection 30 14 68% Glasgow –4, Smith –3, Kalis –2, Team –2, Cole –1, Braden –1, Butt -1
RPS 20 8 12

First touchdown drive was pure sex.

Some notes not addressed elsewhere:

  • The protection comedown is worth an eyebrow cock, but it was mostly failed blitz pickups. Michigan couldn't pick up double A twist blitzes… so, like, let's work on that the next couple weeks.
  • Moe Ways paved the way for a couple long pickups with safety pickoffs.
  • Braden is coping. He is much improved but still just okay. In general, the offensive line is two very good players (Cole, Glasgow) and three guys who are decent.

The blocky catchy stuff is also worth addressing; I thought Houma was excellent and Poggi just okay; Williams didn't actually get much time but killed it when he was in. I think the rampant 2FB stuff was a matchup thing against the 3-4; I expect more of Williams down the road, especially since this coaching staff discovered you can throw it at him.

Khalid Hill's relative lack of playing time was explained a bit. He had some nice catches; he fell off more blocks than his H-back compatriots.

You seem to be exceptionally generous about RPS given the fact that Michigan is running into stacked boxes all the time with middling success.

I haven't seen a whole lot of plays that get downloaded and overrun, so RPS minuses are only popping up when defenses can apply unblocked guys to defenders because they're playing their safeties closer than ten yards. That's been offset by a bunch of cheap yards when DBs play off, Harbaugh scheming his way to free blocks, and—finally—tight ends roaming the open plains of the American Midwest, wondering where all the people went.

I know I said I wanted to cosplay a pre-Columbian bison but this is a little much

JURASSIC WORLD WAS REAL

That latter is the first of many hilariously wide open downfield passes to tight ends the Harbaugh era will contain. We have not seen plays that wide open since Denard Robinson was putting the fear of God into every safety from Champaign to Timbuktu.

So anyway I think part of my manball hate was the fact that I never saw anyone who was actually good at running it. Let's go back to those smoke screens. They are literally the easiest and dumbest thing in football. Throw ball to guy. Guy runs. Anyone can do it. Michigan refused to for years for some damn reason; Harbaugh runs a pile of 'em. So what does BYU do? They roll up to the line of scrimmage and play press man. No more smoke screens.

That is not the end of it, though:

That is two for one on a wide receiver block. That does not happen to a corner playing off.

Even something as neolithic as an iso gets a boost from being under Harbaugh's wing. In this game Michigan faced a 3-4; they ran double isos at it, single-blocking the nose tackle and kicking the ends. This was difficult to defend.

That turns an iso from a play that's easy to constrict into something of a mini-zone run. Whichever way the NT goes is wrong. The LBs have to play it straight unless they've got a game on, and who the hell games for an iso? And do you really want to game an interior run against Michigan when they will trap you from any angle? 

Meanwhile this is so stupidly easy to execute. Michigan can do all this stuff because not much of it is that hard to get your head around. It is a system that works, and the RPS numbers reflect it. So do the results. The main downside is that UFR takes forever now because I have to try to figure everything out every week. I'd rather deal with that and quotes like "that was not what we prepared for" than the alternative.

I thought this offense was going to be boring. It is fascinating.

(I've also eschewed RPS minuses for big chunks of the season so far because Michigan is up four scores and is in scrimmage mode.)

But a lot of the frippery didn't work.

Some bad luck and some bad execution. On the Emory and Henry play the two tackles didn't seem to know the ball had been snapped until the play was over. That is the kind of thing that would irritate me if Michigan was bad at executing because it had no identity but it seems like an outlier.  The slot-tackle play was probably a first down for AJ Williams but the pass was batted down.

The pitch counter was Jared Leto in Fight Club. A beautiful thing destroyed too early.

image

AAARGH CUT UPFIELD

There is a safety offscreen… who took two false steps and was going to be hard pressed to prevent a touchdown.

Why did Ty Isaac get marginalized this week?

No idea. He only had two carries; he couldn't do much with one but the other was a very nice bounce and stiffarm:

You know me: I love it when backs take enough of a step inside or outside to get the defense moving and then cut decisively the other direction. That bounce is quality, as is the stiffarm that follows.

Instead we got a bunch of Derrick Green. I can only assume it was for team harmony reasons, because there wasn't anything about Green's play that suggested he'd passed the other guys. Particularly bad was the third and one right before Michigan turned it over on downs. Michigan blocks this play well, leaving Green at the LOS with a charging safety:

Woof. I'm usually not a fan of plays that see the 11th guy on a defense make contact at the LOS but on third and one I'll give it a pass because that should be an automatic first down as the back plows through the DB. Instead Green tries to bounce at the very last second before contract and goes down without a whisper of YAC. Impossible to see this happen to De'Veon Smith.

I would not be surprised if that was something of a last hurrah for him; over the past year and a half the other three guys on the roster have all outperformed him except when Michigan overwhelmed Appalachian State and Miami (Not That Miami) last year. At this point the data is fairly compelling.

I don't know why we are even talking about this after Smith went beastmode. He's the guy.

He probably is the guy but I don't think that's necessarily carved in stone. His vision remains an issue. On the snap after Drake Johnson botched the pitch counter, Smith missed a cavern of a cutback lane:

image

Instead he tried to go around a force player who shot outside of Houma and got bottled up for no gain. I don't mind that much when Smith misses a bounce since he is De'Veon Smith and should look to grind people under his treads whenever possible. Smith choosing a crappy bounce over an opportunity to run right at nobody in particular is an "oof" moment. The worst that happens there is the DE hits you from behind and you Smith your way forward for five yards.

A  bit later he picked up eleven yards on a play that was simultaneously really nice and a bit of a facepalm.

Love that cut. Have been asking for that cut every week since Mike Hart graduated. The one hard step outside that you plant off and change direction is the hallmark of great north-south backs. Like that cut so much I want you to see it over and over again.

Smith ruins three second level defenders with that cut. That is a new development from him and it's great.

On the other hand…

image

…holy hell that is a truck lane on the backside. By the point I grabbed this screenshot it was not realistic for Smith to hit it, but this was a trap play on which Hill was hitting the DL furthest in the backfield; Smith's path took him directly to that block. In fact, this is a counter designed to hit the truck lane. Hill fires off directly into the NT and Kalis makes no attempt to get across the LB, instead burying him into the line. Glasgow makes a short trap pull around Kalis. There he has to go all the way out to a slot corner to find anyone to block. Hooray eleven yards on a nice cut; WTF follow the play design. I gave him a plus one anyway. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Hell, even on the beastmode touchdown he decided to plunge into the interior of the line when Kyle Kalis had correctly decided to bounce his pull to the edge. He was sitting there waiting to give Smith the corner when Smith decided to use the teleporter instead. Good on yer, I guess. I did just say I'm not too peeved when he does not bounce. I'm even less peeved when he does not bounce and grabs 60 yards. I'm just sayin', though.

This has been your weekly book about De'Veon Smith.

Man, we run the fullback a lot.

It's funny. After years in which Michigan ran that edge pitch play after faking a fullback dive they never ran, Michigan is now running the dive while faking the edge pitch they never run. I assume Michigan will come back to it at some point. They showed a triple option look off the dive at some point—Bo would have loved that. In fact, that was not a dive at all but another of the infinite trap varieties they run.

Michigan is lulling opponents to sleep with these dives, and will hit a monster play off a counter to it some time this season.

For now the dives themselves are working just fine. Houma had 4.2 a pop in this game, and if you can do this when you near the goal line you are going to have a good redzone percentage:

I hope they call that play "blob."

Jake Rudock hives cases took a sharp dive… until the second half.

Jeez, you're a grinch.

Jake Rudock 2014

Opponent DO CA MA IN BR TA BA PR SCR DSR
Maryland 2 38++(2) 4(1) 2 2* 6 3 7 1 75%
Northwestern 5+ 7+(1) 3(1) 3 - 1 1 - 1 71%
Illinois 3 13(2)+ - 2 1 2 - - 3 77%
Wisconsin 5+ 16(3)++ 7 1 1 3 1 2 2 80%
Nebraska 3 20(1) 2 5 4** 2* 1 5 1 66%

Jake Rudock 2015

Opponent DO CA MA IN BR TA BA PR SCR DSR
Utah 5+ 18+++ 2 4* 4* 4 - 1 1 71%
Oregon State 3+ 17(3) 2 2 1* - 1 2 2 76%
UNLV - 13(4) 2 5** 2 2 - - - 50%
BYU 1 12(2) 2 1 2* 5 1 2 4 63%

Rudock was much better in this game. We finally saw him use his legs effectively. This has always been a part of his game—he had a few hundred rushing yards a year at Iowa once you remove sacks. He had two touchdowns, one a play on which a BYU defensive end faced a Hobson's choice between leaving the corner or Ty Isaac wide open, the other a decisive scramble to the other side of the field from most of the wide receivers. The latter was a good example of Rudock's pocket awareness. He is scanning downfield away from the big ol' gap but still feels it open with his peripheral vision or spidey sense or something and then he's off. 

He was also much better with the actual throwing of the ball. This time when a guy came hand-wavingly wide open in the endzone he threw it to him.

Even here though you get the impression things are moving too fast for him. He is still a little late, necessitating the throw behind and away from a defender. Several times in this game he avoided throws that were reasonably open, and some that were wide open:

That one was especially grating because without anyone in the flat that had to be his primary read.

In the second half he looked gunshy. We didn't get a downfield replay of this but from what we can see on the screen this is one on one coverage on a deep ball:

You've got the time. Throw your guy open. Rudock piled up the Throwaways in this game and that dragged his DSR down. It was very Iowa Rudock there, and that is understandable given the came context.

Also those TAS were mixed in with confident throws to the sideline from the opposite hash and that sidearm zing to Darboh after Rudock avoided a rush and stepped into the pocket productively.

Todd McShay said he looked like a "different human" and that was not wrong.

Rudock gave some of that back in the second half when he reverted to excessive conservatism. Overall still an encouraging and necessary step back towards the Iowa Rudock. And at this point Michigan just needs Iowa Rudock.

I think you've covered the Stanfordizations of the week already.

Mostly. Michigan did some ostentatiously different things in this game, particularly on the opening touchdown drive—the Hill pass, the Emory and Henry formation, the eligible-LT play.

They also continued their series of tweaks and adjustments to their base run plays. In previous weeks we'd seen Michigan run traps by pulling a guard around for a quick hit. This one sees Henri Poggi tasked as the trapper. Watch the ILB to the top of the screen bury himself well away from the play:

BYU saw the trap on film and probably prepared for it by keying on the OL pulling; Harbaugh switched the scheme and got a freebie. It took both safeties lining up six yards deep to prevent this from being a big gain, and if Smith sets up his blocks like he did in the 11-yarder above he could bust outside for a sizeable again.

They also came back with a variant of the ol' run-play-action-and-hit-the-flat play on third and short:

That was one OLB aborting an attempted run defense that had taken him past the LOS significantly from being a big play.

Receivers!

I be like dang.

This does up my frustration that Rudock has not hung more punts up for Darboh, who looks like he'll have a major advantage against most defensive backs when it comes to mutually leaping for a ball. Stop overthrowing deep balls.

[0 = uncatchable, 1 = circus catch, 2 = moderate difficulty, 3 = routine]

Player 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3
Darboh 1 1/2 3/3   6 1/3 16/18
Chesson     1/1 1/1   1/2 6/6
Perry       1 1/2 2/3
Harris         2 1/1 2/2
Ways           1/1
Cole         1/1
Butt 0/1 1/1   5 1/1 2/3 11/11
Williams 1     1/1   2 1/1   2/2
Bunting       2/2         6/6
Hill       2/2     2/2
Poggi     1/1         1/1  
Smith     1/1   1   5/6
Isaac         2/2
Green   1/1     1/1
Johnson     1/1   1     1/1
Kerridge         1/1 3/3
Houma                 1/1

Canteen got a drop on a 3.

Routes: Poggi –1, Chesson +1.

Lookit all the blocky/catchy targets.

Heroes?

Cole and Glasgow. Mostly Smith. Darboh. Harbaugh/offensive brain trust.

Maybe not so heroic?

Nobody stuck out as particularly bad. There were some indifferent performances but nothing that consistently hurt the offense.

What does it mean for Maryland and the future?

"The expectation is for the position" extends to the coaches. This was a stellar gameplan until it didn't need to be anymore. Michigan hit BYU with counters to stuff they'd prepped and hit them with things they'd never seen. It should have gone better than it in fact did except for some bad luck and bad cuts.

Meanwhile, Harbaugh keeps tweaking and tweaking. The Stanford stuff will happen again; it was a product of his diverse offensive mind and college football is not catching up to it because barely anyone runs it.

Cole and Glasgow are legit. Those guys can go toe to toe with just about anyone. The other guys are okay.

Houma and Williams are making the case for more playing time. In Houma's case that would be an opportunity to stay on the field more when Kerridge gets back and knock Poggi out of the second FB spot. Jay Harbaugh should go around with a big sign with a picture of AJ Williams that reads MAYBE IT'S NOT NEPOTISM.

The tailbacks could still use some coaching up. Progress; too many missed cuts still. I think we'll see Isaac re-emerge as the #2.

Rudock is still working towards comfort in the offense. Improvement. Safety. If we want the big flashing goals that are suddenly feasible he needs to have big games at the right time.

Comments

wahooverine

October 1st, 2015 at 6:30 PM ^

Maybe I'm wrong, but on a designed run play, such as those mentioned where Smith missed opportunities, aren't there just two options to check?  Either go through the gap the play is designed to go through, or, the cut to the outside lane if it's there. Just two places to look when you get the handoff.  When I think of vision I'm thinking of the ability to see lanes before they open or to quickly see alternative routes if, for instance, the blocking wasn't executed as planned; and this ability tends to be more applicable once you're in the second level negotiating your way through linebackers and DB's with more open space to identify fluid cutting opportunities and reading angles.  The point being..can't Wheatley help him to figure this go or no-go decision without needing mystical vision?  Deveon runs mostly angry and straight ahead into contact without much intuition as to where more space may be.

dragonchild

October 1st, 2015 at 8:21 PM ^

Both gap and zone are run perfectly on paper, but that's exactly what defensive fronts try to prevent.  They'll twist, stunt, switch, shift, blitz, do whatever to confuse the blockers.  So the gap won't always show where it's drawn up, and it'll never look the exact same way twice.  The play may say "A gap" but the fullback could bounce all the way outside if that's proper response to the blocking.  In some cases, such as Smith's 11-yard cut, TWO gaps might appear.  So "go where the play's designed" isn't so crystal-clear.  The back needs a green light to make a decision where to cut.

So you very much need vision in a gap-blocking scheme.  Thing is, even if your vision isn't great it's better to wait and see if your hunch is correct than plow into a bunch of defenders.  Smith showed that patience against Oregon State but he seemed to have regressed a bit.

Lanknows

October 1st, 2015 at 5:21 PM ^

A bunch of yards is some indication.  So is being Harbaugh's #1 back over two 5-star recruits.

The Wheatley Effect might not ever be a thing because Fred Jackson has a long track record as a very good RB coach and the odds that he just forgot how to do that are highly unlikely.  That whole thing is a very weak theory that can easily be explained by poor OL and scheme issues under Hoke.

antonio_sass

October 1st, 2015 at 4:59 PM ^

Thought you were overly harsh on the Green 3rd and 1 run. It's a somewhat slow developing play where he is just starting to turn the corner and build up steam, as the safety comes in flying at his legs. Not sure Deveon breaks that tackle either to be honest. Think it's a nice play by the safety and a function of Green having not enough momentum as he hits the hole (because of the play design). 

AZBlue

October 1st, 2015 at 5:37 PM ^

Sadly I agree. Thus far he has not shown the ability to beast mode like Smith and doesn't have enough speed differential to separate from Smith and Isaac in that regard. Maybe if Johnson didn't already exist as the "speed" back. That said, I very much hope this changes as I was extremely excited for him as a recruit - not McGuffie-level excited, but almost.

wahooverine

October 1st, 2015 at 6:35 PM ^

I don't what you're looking at to indicate Green would be more effective. He can't or won't break tackles and has just about the same vision as Smith.  I've never seen a back, especially one of his build, flop to the ground so easily the instant he is touched.  It's like he is top heavy and has no leg strength or balance.  I'm guessing he can't pass block either.  All I've seen from him is a tiny bit of burst and good speed for his size.

charblue.

October 1st, 2015 at 5:36 PM ^

was first unveiled in the Utah game, I wasn't quite sure that watching it was going to spark deeply satisfying interest in the way that Michigan used to attack with the pass during the Carr years and then with Denard during the RichRod, Hoke period. Even Devin had his moments if they weren't sustained of exciting offensive football. 

Now, however, I recognize the pure precision of power football and how it debilitates defenses and plays into the overall gameplan in a way we haven't witnessed at Michigan for a long time. Every gameplan seems to have specific purpose in wearing down the opposition with some power formation wrinkle or option off of previous game play calls, so that no formation tendency is a presnap assured likelihood. Harbaugh. Give him a foot he'll extend the possibility of it can be attained, even if you know where he is going to attack you and with how many tight ends on a given play. 

If you are on the depth chart at Michigan and you play tightend, chances are if you block and do what is asked, you will play and might get the ball thrown to you. 

How do you build a winning team and program, by getting everyone to accept their role and want to contribute beyond their capability because being part of something bigger than ourselves is what we all want 

AZBlue

October 1st, 2015 at 5:46 PM ^

What excites me even more is how many BIG opportunities are still being missed due to the relative newness of this team to this offense. In just this game you had huge missed run lanes, slow or missed reads on potential big pass plays, and even Canteen getting hit in the head with a 1st-down plus that he didn't think to look for.

I high much higher hopes for 2015 then I did going in, but think MSU and OSU et. al. should be VERY concerned about 2016 assuming we find answers for QB (confident) and LB (less confident) next year.

gbdub

October 1st, 2015 at 8:39 PM ^

What it means is that Harbaugh is building an offense that can still win football games even without perfect execution, because the scheme buys you favorable situations to exploit and sometimes almost free yards.

In that regard, Harbaugh has more in common with Rodriguez than Hoke, even if he is MANBALL. The coach has to execute too.

Harbaugh is like, Renaissance Manball or something.

urbanachiever

October 1st, 2015 at 6:22 PM ^

Great stuff as always Brian. My only minor nitpick: I think you are a little harsh on some of the missed cutbacks.

For one, cutbacks are incredibly hard for most college backs to hit, especially when you don't run a lot of zone.

But more importantly, in a couple of cases I would argue the cutbacks you are suggesting aren't really there, mainly because of good backside pursuit from the BYU contain guys. On the pitch counter, #12 (the strong safety lined up at the top of the screen) is hauling ass from the backside - it's unclear if Johnson can bust through the cutback quickly enough to avoid contact.

Similarly, when you say "Smith missed a cavern of a cutback lane", the backside end (#90) is playing to contain a Rudock boot and is in very good position to collapse if Smith cuts back. 

In general, I don't see too many backs not named Fournette having the vision to see these holes and the speed to make it through them

Brian

October 1st, 2015 at 9:52 PM ^

Neither of those cuts are at all difficult to make, and the alternative is a Mike-Shaw-type bounce that bends around a defender that is playing a force. They call it "force" because it forces you to cut inside of it for a reason. 

I dispute pursuit was at all able to tackle on those cuts but it doesn't matter because even if you're right the cut still gains more yards than zero and negative one. If the pursuit gets you, it gets you. 90% of the time you will be better off making the cut. 

urbanachiever

October 2nd, 2015 at 1:10 PM ^

Fair enough - I agree that cuts are the right move. I'm just trying to argue that (a) in general they are hard for young backs to see early enough to maximize the payoff, and (b) that the reward in these individual cases is not necessarily a huge gain. But of course I could (and probably am) wrong. You have a lot more experience measuring these types of things

Space Coyote

October 2nd, 2015 at 9:59 AM ^

Johnson has a fairly simple task on that play: read the butt of your read blocker. He kicks out, you cut up; he arc blocks, you bounce. His lead blocker kicked out and there was a huge gain to be had from simply sticking a foot in the ground and getting north/south. Maybe it isn't a TD because of pursuit, but it's a huge gain, and exactly what the RBs are supposed to be looking for.

PopeLando

October 1st, 2015 at 6:42 PM ^

First, I think Coach Nuss deserves some props for his work last season. Sure we sucked, but by the end we were approaching competant. You could see what he was trying to do. Second, the "pro offense is now some crazy thing" doesn't hold water with me. It may look like a pro set, but Harbaugh really screws with opposing coaches. This isn't an execution-based offense: it's as misdirection-based as we can be (or as we are capable of at this point...) this side of that Denard play where he takes one step forward then chucks it 40 yards to a wide open receiver. Finally, I like that we have the following people and what they bring to the table: Harbaugh: "fuck your preparation and game planning" Peppers: "fuck your screens" Smith: "fuck your arm tackles" O'Neil: "fuck it, I'm going for it"

Gulogulo37

October 2nd, 2015 at 4:32 AM ^

Well, they were getting competent in the running game. The passing game...not so much. Not saying Nuss was a huge problem last year. It's impossible to say because obviously the whole thing needed to be scrapped.

Agreed on Harball. Yes, Michigan is a tough team and that helps, but all the pundits I hear just think Michigan is doing well because they're tougher and meaner than the other team, and we're just Michigan, fergodsakes.

letsgoblue

October 2nd, 2015 at 12:08 PM ^

Once Deveon went down, and not knowing how serious the injury was, the best course was to protect Isaac for future games.  Johnson isn't ready for a full pitch count yet, and Green isn't an answer.  If Harbaugh (hallowed be his name) had played Ty in the second half and he had also gone down with injury, we'd be complaining about that.  I have no issue about using Green in mop up time...

BlueinOK

October 2nd, 2015 at 4:13 PM ^

I love how the offense continues to improve and make changes. Remember how we always asked for an identity with the old staff? This offense has that.