M favored by 4.5, W favored by 3.5 over Iowa....
Odds
Michigan by 4.5 over MichSt
Wisconsin by 3.5 over Iowa
Tulsa favored to beat Navy worse than Cincy beat them, by 9.5
Pitt by 9 over Miami
Georgia by 14 over Florida
Neb by 7.5 over Pur
October 27th, 2021 at 3:16 PM ^
That comes in 25th OT, right?
October 27th, 2021 at 10:28 AM ^
We don't know which team is better and by how much. It seems Michigan has been more consistent and played a more sustainable style of football through a slightly more difficult schedule. This game might be close, but it also wouldn't surprise me to see Michigan control the clock and limit MSUs gimmicky long pass plays and win by 10-14 points.
October 27th, 2021 at 10:34 AM ^
I wholeheartedly concur.
October 27th, 2021 at 10:48 AM ^
If Michigan wins, it would be by 1 to 3 points. Just win, baby!
October 27th, 2021 at 10:11 AM ^
Looking forward to the Sunday morning "Cade Mac appreciation" threads. Give 'em hell, Cade!
October 27th, 2021 at 10:13 AM ^
I guess I really haven't watched much MSU at all this year, but I'm a little surprised we're getting -4.5 on the road. I know they've got their weaknesses, but we certainly do too
October 27th, 2021 at 12:23 PM ^
The only MSU game I watched was maybe a quarter of the Miami game, so pretty much everything I know about them I learned from mgoblog. Needless to say I have no idea what to expect on Saturday.
October 27th, 2021 at 10:22 AM ^
Reverse line movement on the M game. Opened at 4, 60% of bets placed on MSU, but line still moving up. Vegas baby, Vegas.
October 27th, 2021 at 10:53 AM ^
I don't know how Vegas works in detail. But, it wouldn't surprise me at all if they knew who was placing the early bets and from that they could predict where later bets might be placed. Also, not sure when you say "60% of the bets" if that means 6 out of 10 bets or if that means 60% of the money.
October 27th, 2021 at 11:19 AM ^
When he says 60% of the bets he means 6 out of 10 bets. Despite that, the line continues to move in favor of Michigan. Thus implying the public is picking MSU in small bets but the heavy money from professionals is coming in on Michigan.
October 27th, 2021 at 1:47 PM ^
I agree with you because I like what you said. (The new American way)
October 27th, 2021 at 5:59 PM ^
The heavy money is on Michigan because it should be. When you think about it, how difficult would it be for State to beat Michigan twice in a row with two different coordinators and two different schemes with one of the best Ds in the nation. Add to that, MSU having many transfers mixed in who have not played together vary long. And add to that the poor performance of MSU of protecting its QB on passing downs.
I've been harping on that last point because it is a BIG factor. And I don't think thats an over simplification.
October 27th, 2021 at 10:23 AM ^
michigan by 13
i said it 1st
October 27th, 2021 at 10:30 AM ^
Wow. Purdue gets their one week in the spotlight after the Iowa game, entering the top 25, talks of competing for the West title. Then after losing to Wisconsin, all of that is gone and they're underdogs to the Flailing Fighting Frosts?
Ouch.
October 27th, 2021 at 3:18 PM ^
Vegas understands the Spoilermaker tradition.
October 27th, 2021 at 10:43 AM ^
Waiting for our next 97 PSU moment....
When then #4 UM went into Happy Valley and announced themselves as the best team in the country with a 34-8 road win demolition over then #2 Penn State.
Go Blue
October 27th, 2021 at 10:52 AM ^
I watched that game with excitement and awe. It was jaw dropping what Michigan did to Penn State that day. Yes, that team team played it's best football in Nov that year.
If our guys can do anything like that this year...let's hope.
October 27th, 2021 at 11:36 AM ^
We ain't beating Ohio State. It's just not gonna happen.
October 27th, 2021 at 12:04 PM ^
Username checks out
October 27th, 2021 at 5:35 PM ^
And Illinois is NOT going to beat Pennsylvania State University . . . oh, wait.
October 27th, 2021 at 1:56 PM ^
Chris Howard running wild on psu, that was fun.... good times.
October 28th, 2021 at 3:06 AM ^
I think that is my favorite Michigan game ever. Judgement Day.
October 27th, 2021 at 12:27 PM ^
I'll freely admit that I've been beaten down by so many consecutive years of BPONE that I can't get out of my own way. I *want* U-M to win; the oddsmakers think we will; fancy stats say we should; many people on here are convinced of it. And yet... The "glass is not just half empty, it was shattered against the wall when I threw it after MSU scored on its final drive to win the game" part of me remains unconvinced.
October 27th, 2021 at 3:20 PM ^
Well, maybe go for a long walk, do some yardwork, spend some time with friends or family, and check the score afterward. If we lose, you'll shrug and say, "I saved myself a lot of stress and heartache." If we win, you'll tell yourself, "I can't wait to see this one."
October 27th, 2021 at 8:47 PM ^
Pretty much what I do every year.
October 27th, 2021 at 1:44 PM ^
I am looking forward to, after Georgia throttles Florida, Alabama getting a bump for their "quality" squeaker win over a four loss Florida team. Or is it now the bump because of the "quality" win over Ole Miss (the Ole Miss team that lost to a .500 Memphis team)?
October 27th, 2021 at 2:14 PM ^
Ole Miss has only lost to Alabama
October 27th, 2021 at 2:40 PM ^
I appreciate you using facts and such but it really doesn't fit my narrative so do you mind deleting your post?
/s in case...
October 27th, 2021 at 5:37 PM ^
This game should be interesting as a benchmark. Florida is 4-3 but the 7th best team according to FEI.
October 27th, 2021 at 2:05 PM ^
Michigan isn't likely to cover 4.5.
21-17 sounds about right.
October 27th, 2021 at 3:21 PM ^
That sure sounds like the score to a UM-MSU football game to me.
October 27th, 2021 at 5:42 PM ^
I will take any win (duh) but I think MSU has good wide receivers and MSU also has an average defense so maybe 28-24??? Massey has 28-23. I see a Moody field goal in there somewhere so who knows.
October 27th, 2021 at 2:33 PM ^
IF Michigan wins on Saturday, start pulling for Wisconsin to upset Iowa. Apart from improving Michigan’s S.O.S, that would also certainly strengthen Michigan’s case to be slotted for the Rose Bowl when it comes bowl selection time. Provided of course that Michigan takes care of business on the rest of the schedule before OSU.
That Wisconsin-Iowa game could legitimately end 3-0.
October 27th, 2021 at 3:22 PM ^
Nebraska will not cover that. Might even get beat by Purdue
October 27th, 2021 at 4:08 PM ^
I have watched MSU this year. While their SOS is not overly spectacular, they are a solid team. They have some weapons. Their D is meh, but they always find a way to rise up against UM.
If UM wins, I also see a very close game. Barring JH pulling some wild surprises and blowing this game open, expect a really hard fought and close game.
October 27th, 2021 at 11:09 PM ^
I think it’s clear that Michigan is a good team. What we will be finding out the rest of the way is how good. Beat MSU soundly and they are at least a legit top 15 team. Beat PSU in Happy Valley and Michigan is definitely a solid top 10 team. Beat OSU and Michigan is top 4 and playoff bound.
Give me the good guys -4.5 (although I got in when it was 3.5 and I bought the hook to give me a push if they only win by a FG). I also like Iowa with the points. They need turnovers for their offense to score and I think Wisconsin will give it to them. - Normally I would advise to bet the opposite of my picks but I’ve been on a roll lately.