Mich/State Predictions
Michigan comes back home for a very big game today against state at 4pm CBS. Our backs are against the wall, and the beatdown at East Lansing should have our guys motivated for this one today. In February, we were missing our swagger from the beginning of the year when we went on 20-1 start. The frosh have been playing better at home. Let's keep winning at home and protect it. I have the confidence will get it done today.
Michigan 69
State 64
/haha69
Interestingly, Massey is going with a 78% win probability for Michigan and a 68-64-ish performance for an esitimate. Here is a quick comparison using conference play only:
COMPARISON STATS | |||
METRIC | Michigan | Michigan St. | |
Points Per Game | 63.5 | 68.2 | |
Points Per Poss. | 1.147 | 1.071 | |
Floor % | 56.49% | 53.54% | |
Eff. FG% | 54.56% | 51.13% | |
Opp. Eff. FG% | 48.30% | 42.60% | |
Off. Rebound% | 31.58% | 32.56% | |
Rebond Margin | -3.50 | 7.40 | |
Block% | 4.76% | 6.04% | |
Turnover% | 15.15% | 18.19% | |
Assist / Turnover | 1.2 | 1.1 |
If we can get offensive rebounds and keep control of the ball, I could see something like what Massey went with, but it will not be easy to do without some rather gritty defense down the stretch. Not much of a prediction, but I could see this game as being a few possessions in either direction. It should be a close one. The optimist in me, however, goes 70-67 Michigan.
I'm a huge fan of stats, and really like analyzing them - but it seems like when they play us you can toss them out the window. I really hope we are geared up for this game mentally.
GET FIRED UP WHOO!
I don't know man... too much anger, too much lack of perspective. I have always been more partial to the speak softly and carry an armored tank division type speech...
Either that or he could say: who am I? Petey Pie mutha fucka!
jdon
I have lost faith. 79-63, Bad Guys.
Michigan 51
I want to see how the team reacts. State will punch them in the mouth; will they punch back or cower in the corner like they did at the Breslin?
We're going to win, but this game is essentially useless. We have already made the tournament, and will probably be a 2 seed.
If you lose this game I can guarantee that you won't be any higher than a 3. Then you still have the Indiana & the BIG tourny. So lose today and you are probably looking at probably 2 more losses.
Tommy: Let’s think about this for a sec, Ted. Why would somebody put a guarantee on a box? Hmmm, very interesting.
Ted Nelson, Customer: Go on, I’m listening.
Tommy: Here’s the way I see it, Ted. Guy puts a fancy guarantee on a box ’cause he wants you to feel all warm and toasty inside.
Ted Nelson, Customer: Yeah, makes a man feel good.
Tommy: ‘Course it does. Why shouldn’t it? Ya figure you put that little box under your pillow at night, the Guarantee Fairy might come by and leave a quarter, am I right, Ted?
[chuckles until he sees that Ted is not laughing]
Ted Nelson, Customer: [impatiently] What’s your point?
Tommy: The point is, how do you know the fairy isn’t a crazy glue sniffer? “Building model airplanes” says the little fairy; well, we’re not buying it. He sneaks into your house once, that’s all it takes. The next thing you know, there’s money missing off the dresser, and your daughter’s knocked up. I seen it a hundred times.
Ted Nelson, Customer: But why do they put a guarantee on the box?
Tommy: Because they know all they sold ya was a guaranteed piece of shi*. That’s all it is, isn’t it? Hey, if you want me to take a dump in a box and mark it guaranteed, I will. I got spare time. But for now, for your customer’s sake, for your daughter’s sake, ya might wanna think about buying a quality product from me.
phork
you
.
yes
.
So you're basically agreeing with me?
Worst case scenario, we're a 3 seed in the tourney. I can't even fathom how horrible it would be to be a 3 seed instead of a 2 seed. We might as well just stay home if we get that 3 slot instead of 2.
Do not listen to Lundardi. His bracket sucks. Half of the time it does't even follow the bracketing rules the committee uses.
Him and Palm have a habit of making some suspicious last second changes to their brackets. Yahoosports' big board to me looks pretty accurate and its also easy to read. Lunardi yesterday had the Vols moving into the bracket after an awful loss to Georgia. That is not in any way logical. He has Alabama as the first team out. No way that is correct. The committee over the years has made it clear with the Pac12 that major conferences teams with nice records, but no good wins and alot of bad losses will not get the benefit of the doubt.
Nothing in the past month to suggest that we will play good basketball against a good physical defense. I hope we have a little pride and stand up for ourselves, but I dont see how that will happen all of a sudden. State wins by 10, disgust
A wide range of outcomes, some desirable and some not, are within the range of probability.
Most likely though and either way I will likely be at Comcast tomorrow picking up a new remote.
This team is guilty against physical teams until proven innocent. Hate to say it, but I agree with the prediction, although I think it'll be a single digit loss.
Hoping we can pull one off, but the way we've been playing lately doesn't bode well. I just don't see us holding up against their big men and against their tight defense. If we can limit turnovers and hit some outside shots, we'll have a good chance, but it'll be tight. If we don't, we could be in for a long afternoon.
That's basically exactly what I was going to put:
MSU 80
Mich 68
It pains me to think so, of course. But hey, we still have a great university right? And spring's coming up.
STAEE by a couch and a half.
Mich 81
Lil Brah 77
It's barely 9 in the a.m. in MN and the interwebs are causing my PC to heave to and fro like the TV in Poltergeist. Dunno if we will win or lose, but let the cliches fly.
It's a gut check game.
This is where the rubber meets the road (or court)
and my all-time favorite:
"If at first you don't succeed, keep on sucking 'til you do suck seed." (Sylvester T. Cat)
Prediction: Kittens 62 Snowlakes 59
75-63 bad guys. and lots of excited brahs yelling on the way out of crisler.
85-71 MSU
I predict I will take my son to the museum because it will be less painful to watch.
i predict izzo will stomp, whine, cry, scream, and a range of other things designed to get the most out of the refs.
also, michigan will win, by a bucket or two.
79-73.
This time when Nix tells Trey Burke, "you're soft", Burke retorts, "that's not what your girl said".
Michigan gives 100% for 40 minutes and discovers the antidote to soft play. Michigan 78, State 70.
with anyone's thang.
Da Bears, 432 to 6.
Have we not learned about creating bad juju?
I predict there isnt a person alive who has a clue what we're going to see in five hours. This team has played fantastic at home (but the students are on home break). Has recently enjoyed success against MSU (but got curb-stomped by them 10 days ago). Was rated 4th in the country then managed to blow a 15 point second half lead to a winless team in the B1G.
I doublt even Coach Beilein knows what's coming next. If you told me we were going to win by 20 I wouldnt be surprised (the team is that good when it wants to be). If you told me we lost by 20 I wouldn't be surprised (the team can play that soft).
I have no fucking idea. Truly none.
Michigan _______
Michigan State______
EDIT: Did Fearless Leader post a prediction? If so I missed it.