SIAP: B1G Coaches on the most overrated statistic in football

Submitted by Blue@LSU on October 10th, 2022 at 8:58 AM

I saw this a few days ago on r/CFB but hadn't seen it on the board yet. 

Just like the title says, each coach tells us what they believe to be the most overrated statistic in college football. I'm not sure when this was recorded, but Frost and Chryst are not on here. Bonus points for any guesses about what Frost's response would have been.

Anyway, it gave me a good chuckle. Happy Monday, All!

https://twitter.com/BigTenNetwork/status/1578461009815416832

 

WirlingDirvish

October 10th, 2022 at 9:09 AM ^

Not gonna lie, when Ferentz replied "offensive yardage" I had to check who tweeted this out to make sure it wasn't some kind of deep fake. But I guess that kind of summarizes Iowa football. 

Gustavo Fring

October 10th, 2022 at 10:27 AM ^

It's not crazy.  They've had a ton of success and you can see they're a pain in the ass to play against even when you have a clear talent advantage.

Field position, turnovers, and making sure you only give up 3 instead of 7 and 0 instead of 3 has a lot of impact.  We were only up 13 against them despite what felt like total domination at halfitme.  

That said, as Seth alluded to, it's pretty tough to beat truly high-end teams like that.  You're only built to win one way.  But when you can't recruit at a very high level, building a strong identity as a program that gives you a chance to win every game ain't a bad way to go.  We clown Kirk a lot, but there's a reason he's lasted as long as he has.  

MGolem

October 10th, 2022 at 9:12 AM ^

“All except points.” I love it. Illustrates that winning can be accomplished in a number of ways and it isn’t necessarily about a philosophy - super obvious Brohm, for example, believes in his style despite the evidence that his inability to run the ball and control the clock has killed Purdue at times. Same thing with Ferentz’s answer (eye roll). Happy our guy sees the big picture. 

Durham Blue

October 10th, 2022 at 9:16 AM ^

Ferentz -- "probably offensive yardage".  Not sure if that was a joke or if he was serious, given that, you know, their offense sucks.  I damn near spit my coffee.

EDIT: Franklin's response about penalties is a good one and I happen to agree.  Because during the course of a normal game the penalties tend to balance out fairly evenly, usually.  Unless it's Michigan - OSU 2016.

UMfan21

October 10th, 2022 at 9:50 AM ^

Not to mention how often teams with mediocre/good offenses often overcome penalties, especially on early downs.

Penalties CAN be killer depending on the situation but purely looking at # of penalties and penalty yards is dumb.

I'm going to now go rinse off since I agreed with Frames Janklin.

M Ascending

October 10th, 2022 at 9:32 AM ^

Most self- serving, cover your ass responses:

Tuck: Total pass defense

Ferentz: Total offense

Allen: Time of possession

Although I agree with all the coaches who picked TOP.

GRBluefan

October 10th, 2022 at 9:35 AM ^

Tucker's response is hilarious...literally the one thing that they have been historically bad at, and it just happens to be the most overrated stat in all of football.  At least he is putting his $ where his mouth is...this stat isn't important, so let's just go ahead and suck at it.

GoBlueMike21

October 10th, 2022 at 9:40 AM ^

Man...I listen to Franklin talk and he just comes off (at least to me) as the biggest douche I can think of in terms of coaching.  Everything just sounds so fake.  Cannot stand him.

 

Hope he kicks another FG down 30 on saturday.

DonAZ

October 10th, 2022 at 12:38 PM ^

I was out mowing (in WV, not AZ) for hopefully the last time this year, and I was thinking about this question.  What's somewhat ironic is that every one of those coaches employs a staff of people to do analytics and number crunching, so they care about the numbers beyond merely "points."

That said, what I was thinking about was that answer "points."  The more precise answer is "point differential."  A team with a point differential of +1 has probably lost about half their games, assuming a normal distribution of point differences in their games so far.  But even a point differential of +20 might not tell the W-L story if the W's were blowouts over cupcakes, and the L's were heartbreak 1 point losses.  However, a +20 where the mean=median=mode indicates a steamroller.  Or SEC teams' non-conference games. ;-)

My personal favorite statistic is 3rd down conversion rate, as it will often (but not always) tell the story of a game.  Some teams, however, rarely face 3rd downs ... they're all 1st-and-10, then 2nd-and-2, then 1st-and-10, 1st-and-10, TD.

I'm procrastinating.  My wife has a honey-do list, and I'd rather not get into it ... :-)