PSA to all MGoGamblers Spread for The Game 2022
The spread for the game is Michigan (+14). This is a great line and I think it’ll definitely go down during the season. Lock it in now!!
B1G Rivalry Week spreads: Michigan vs. Ohio State (-14) Nebraska vs. Iowa (-3.5) Michigan State vs. Penn State (-6.5) Minnesota vs. Wisconsin (-10.5)
What is the team doing to beat OSU today?
What are they doing to beat msu?
Michigan is a 4-point favorite at Iowa on Oct. 1
Michigan is a 6.5-point favorite against Penn State on Oct. 15.
Michigan is a 8.5-point favorite against Michigan State on Oct. 29.
Michigan is an 11.5-point favorite against Nebraska on Nov. 12.
on fanduel O/U is 9.5 for season wins as well
That 4 points against Iowa looks really good. Iowa is going to be buns this year
It’s at Kinnick. It doesn’t matter how bad we think they are. Count on a close one.
Kinnick at night is always a tight contest for us.
Kinnick is fucking nightmare.
Especially against an always sound Iowa defense.
Even worse when we run telegraphed dive plays over and over into an eight man box because we want to “take the crowd out of it”.
And they are going to want payback for the ass whooping in Indy.
I’m already getting pissed.
Iowa could probably give Alabama a run for its money in a night game at Kinnick. That stadium has a way of throwing top-tier opponents completely off their game.
No one should be surprised if Michigan goes into the locker at halftime only up 10-7.
Stadiums where I've never seen a Michigan win:
ND 0-4
Iowa 0-1
Washington 0-1
Utah 0-1
Bro stop going to ND games
(yea i know they're not on the schedule anytime soon but still)
Please stay home.
Next time you’re on 90 West, I want you to drive past Douglas Rd.😂
They'd be covering the first half spread at 10-7. I would be happy with that.
If the game was in Ann Arbor I'd absolutely agree with you. But its at Kinnick, where Iowa has routinely knocked off top-5 opponents. They've done it to Michigan, OSU and PSU just within the last 5-6 years alone.
Its probably more likely that this game turns into a low-scoring slobberknocker, which is exactly the way Iowa wants it. Kinnick is where Big Ten CFP dreams go to die.
"That 4 points against Iowa looks really good"
How do tell me you're a very young Michigan fan without telling me your age. Dude, I'm 62 and could write a fucking book of all the great Michigan teams that rolled into Kinnick as favorites only to leave with a loss in the most painful way possible.
Last time we won there was 2005 - that'll be 18 years of unhappiness for those keeping score at home. Here are all the games at the house of M horrors
2016 Michigan 13 - Iowa 14 L (Spieght breaks collarbone - so we get screwed here AND against OSU the following week)
2013 Michigan 21 - Iowa 24 L (Heartbreaking turnover ends game)
2011 Michigan 16 - Iowa 24 L (Borges puts Denard under center WTF Borges????)
2009 Michigan 28 - Iowa 30 L (Denard almost rallies us but falls short)
There are times when your posts equal most posts from Don. You know, the ones where you two offer tangible stats that are no fun to read. You guys can both kill a party!
Your posts are where fun threads go to die.
I was going to weigh in but he saved me the trouble.
*Upon further review:
After looking at our record in Iowa City, I'm a little less pessimistic—in my opinion, our recent struggles there are largely a function of the decline of the program under RR and Hoke, and the 2016 loss under Harbaugh was certainly affected by Speight's broken collarbone. Playing in Iowa City will be tough, but I think the record doesn't justify thinking we can't win there under Harbaugh—we did it regularly under Bo, Moeller, and Carr. From Fry's arrival in '79 through the 2005 game under Carr, Michigan was 7-3-1 in Iowa City.
The long story:
Some history: Michigan first played Iowa in 1900, and it was a loss in Detroit. The next two games in 1901 and 1902 were 50-0 and 107-0 victories for Fielding Yost's squad. The two teams didn't meet again until 1923.
Overall, from 1900 through 1978, Michigan dominated the rivalry 28-4, with Iowa winning just once in Iowa City. The rivalry turned quickly after Iowa hired Hayden Fry in 1979; his first game against Michigan was a 9-7 victory in 1981 in Ann Arbor. Fry's most notable wins against Michigan were the 26-0 drubbing and the dramatic 12-10 victory in '84 and '85, both in Iowa City.
However, as good as Fry's Iowa's teams were, Michigan still went 5-2-1 in Iowa City during his tenure. Importantly, Fry was facing Schembechler, Moeller, and Carr in those games.
Ferentz took over starting with the '99 season, and in his first three games against the Carr-led Wolverines in Iowa City, Iowa was 1-2. Michigan's last game in Iowa City under Carr was the 2005 victory.
This is when it went off the rails in Iowa City for Michigan—we've lost the last four there, with the first three under RR and Hoke. Harbaugh's lone game in Kinnick was the 2016 disaster, with Speight suffering a broken collarbone in the fourth quarter.
At least he spared you from the worst Kinnick game ever. I broke my mothers lamp with a couch cushion on this one. I hate that place.
2003 was the one I was at. Outgained them like 530-390 but special teams disaster because we had figured out the spread punt was an advantage...but not how to protect the punter out of it.
i was at all of those games.
2009 - tate got hurt. denard replaced him. threw a terrible pick in the final minute when we were near midfield. needed only a FG to steal that one. brandon graham was a beast all game.
2011 - iowa had a goal line stand at the end of the game. dumb borges had denard throw each down for incompletions. didn't even attempt a run on 4th down.
2013 - verrrrry cold.
2016 - argggggh
I would gladly take Iowa and the points at Kinnick. I don't care how good we are, 4 points is a ton when we go into that joint.
9.5 wins
MSU, Iowa, PSU and OSU are the only games we shouldn’t be heavy favorites to win. If we go .500 we’re at 10 wins. I think anything less than 10 wins would be a disappointment.
For sure fewer than 10 wins would be a disappointment, because it would mean we either go just 1-3 in those four games (which would be disappointing because we host both PSU and MSU and will be favorites at Iowa) OR it would mean we lose one of those games in which we'll be heavy favorites.
Will be quite disappointing if we're not playing for the conference title on the last weekend of November.
That said, I think 9.5 is a reasonable o/u because the tail of negative scenarios is too big to ignore. Injuries, flukes, etc. Winning 8 games in which you're a heavy favorite still isn't a sure thing.
I would take Michigan -4, Michigan -6.5, MSU +8.5 and, Nebraska + 11.5. Also would take over 9.5 wins and +14 against OSU.
At 42-27 we cover that by 29!
I'm drinking this Kool-Aid. And instead of killing me, it's only making me stronger!
My name is Eastside Maize and I approve this message.
Thanks for this heads up! Any others you like? Thinking about Iowa +21 against OSU. Iowa has most of their very good defense back.
But, that offense is cheeks tho.
I don't know I like Ohio State to score at least 22 points which should cover given I don't think Iowa scores more than 10 points all season
Where can I bet on this?
Michigan at +14? That has to be a preseason record or close to it.
The spread will close for sure, and now it's a good time to get in on this action. I don't ever bet on Michigan games because it difficult to separate Head/Heart and I usually end up getting ass-raped.
A very tempting wager for me right now is going with Notre Dame getting 13.5 vs OSU at night in the commode on 9/3 for a lot of reasons.
ND is returning its OLine almost intact and a decent RB room. It will have a new QB for the 3rd straight year. Curious to see if that Ohio front 7 is still soft 😂
...take ND & the points!
With all of OSU's marquee non-conference matchups over the years, do you know how long it's been since they won the home edition of a home & away series? It's been a decade+.
2021 Oregon LOSS (2020 game in Eugene cancelled)
2019 TCU backed out, making their 2018 game in Dallas a one-off "neutral site" game
2017 Oklahoma LOSS (OSU won in Norman)
2014 Va Tech LOSS (OSU won in Blacksburg)
2012 Cal WIN (may have looked like a marquee matchup when scheduled, but wasn't a marquee matchup when played)
2010 Miami (ytm) WIN (oh wait, this game supposedly never happened)
2009 USC LOSS (the only one on this list to sweep OSU of 2 games)
2005 Texas LOSS (OSU won in Austin)
2003 NC State WIN (Philip Rivers)
It seems like for the last decade, this has been a constant thread about this time of year. And the responses are the same: "The line is too big" ..."Michigan is a lock"... "Bet it now" .... blah blah blah. And for most of those years, we got rolled and were no where near covering the spread.
I'll keep my mouth shut and wait for the season to play out.
Here's what's gonna happen next year
9/3
Colorado State
38-13 Mich
9/10
Hawaii
45-10 Mich
9/17
Connecticut
35 -3 Mich
9/24
MARYLAND
31-17 Mich
10/1
@ IOWA
45-10 Mich
10/8
@ INDIANA
23-7 Mich
10/15
PENN STATE
24-21 Mich
10/29
MICHIGAN STATE
33-27 Mich
11/5
@ RUTGERS
27-20 Mich
11/12
NEBRASKA
38-17 Mich
11/19
ILLINOIS
41-10 Mich
11/26
@ OHIO STATE
45-38 Mich
11/26
v WISCONSIN
27-17 Mich
11/26
v OU
24-21 Mich
11/26
v Alabama
36-35 Mich
Huge fan of this post, but dear fuck do not throw money on this
yea I don't gamble and if I did it wouldn't be on Michigan football
You could make A LOT of money, however, if you put even $2 on Ohio University making the CFP and this all pans out.
eww this was in a nice table format then MGoBlog decided to unformat it and fuck it all up.
+1 to you Doc. And a “Can’t Wait” gif as well!
Unless you are Biff or don't have a copy of Gray's sports almanac 2000-2050...Stop fuckin with us Doc!
That, or give us samples of whatever he's smoking
I like how you Math.😂
If only online gambling were legal in my state.
The schedule is as easy as it gets this year. Cupcakes for non-conference, no Wisconsin, Iowa will regress enough to win there, and we get PSU and MSU at home. Frankly, it'll be a disappointment if we're not 11-0 going into The Game.