Michigan at Indiana spread: Opens Michigan -7.5

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on November 17th, 2019 at 7:28 PM

Per the usual Circa Sports was the first to open it earlier this afternoon , and now some lines are starting to pop up on the major offshore books.  BetOnline has it -7.5 with some juice, but now some major books like 5dimes has it at  Michigan -8 currently

https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/odds/line-history/1117532

 

,..Ohio St is 18.5 point favorite over Penn St.

MichAtl85

November 17th, 2019 at 7:32 PM ^

PSU had just lost to Minny and has OSU next. I feel confident about this game against the Hoosiers. Michigan had their ass beat at Wisconsin and lost a heartbreaker at PSU. For all intents and purposes this team, who felt like they could win the B1G this year, could have packed it up. 
 

They stayed the course and obliterated ND and MSU. The offense has shown it can run and finally pass. They’ve already had their letdown game. They seem dialed in and pissed off. I don’t think this one is going to be as close at 8 points. 
 

LeCheezus

November 17th, 2019 at 9:33 PM ^

While this is true, Indiana has beaten nobody.  Their OOC was some school I’ve never heard of so surely FCS, the worst P5 team outside of Rutgers in UConn, and Ball State.

B1G wins are Rutgers, Illinois, Nebraska, Maryland, and Northwestern.  Losses to OSU and MSU.

I repeat, they have beaten nobody.  You guys worry too much.

M-GO-Beek

November 17th, 2019 at 7:37 PM ^

I am jumping all over Indiana at +7.5. This has TRAP! TRAP! TRAP game written all over it.  Indiana is not bad and will likely keep it close especially if there is a little MSU hangover.

AverageJoe

November 17th, 2019 at 7:45 PM ^

This is it.  Last two games against the two top offensives in the B1G based on yards per game and both have given Don Brown defenses fits.  Keeping my fingers crossed that can change!

Maize and Blue AF

November 17th, 2019 at 11:56 PM ^

To your point, I'll be paying close attention to how the defense responds to IU's offensive attack.  The Indiana offense offers similar challenges to OSU, just with less talent on the field.  My hope is they don't uncover any exploitable weakness, like last year.  On the bright side, the D can prepare for both opponents' schemes simultaneously.

butuka21

November 17th, 2019 at 7:47 PM ^

I usually get nervous about the Indiana game and I think this team is better than last years team but I feel like Michigan pulls away in the second half wins by at least two scores

butuka21

November 17th, 2019 at 10:01 PM ^

Because they are not a fraud they are what they are and they are peaking at the right time.  They also run a defense with less talent by the way that suits there talents.  Brown finally wised up and doesn’t play man all day.  Our offense and our qb have more options on every play and don’t run half back dive every other play anymore

UM Indy

November 17th, 2019 at 7:48 PM ^

Would be very happy with a 7-8 point win in Bloomington considering the quality team they have, the win we’re coming off of and what follows. 

bluepalooza

November 17th, 2019 at 8:01 PM ^

This game will either be a barn burner or blowout in Michigan's favor.  This will be a good primer for OSU based on offense Indiana runs.  I was worried about this game 4 weeks ago and still feel same way. If Michigan is as dialed in as they were for ND and MSU they should take care of business. If they have a let down or are looking ahead to OSU this could end up bad for good guys.

Alumnus93

November 17th, 2019 at 8:02 PM ^

I recall reading that Michigan hadn't covered the spread since last years Indiana game, until the ND game.... but now it has reversed... I'd take us giving 7.5 pts....the smart money is now gonna be betting on us

AlbanyBlue

November 17th, 2019 at 8:10 PM ^

Total trap game. Michigan off an emotional win, going on the road (ugh) against a good Indiana team (ugh).

If I could bring myself to bet against Michigan (I can't), Indiana and the points is the play. The only thing that gives pause is that the line "seems" too high in favor of M. Have seen this often, where the book is basically daring the bettor to take the points. This usually means that the book is confident in a cover.

I wish I was.

RockinLoud

November 17th, 2019 at 8:15 PM ^

Too high. Still predicting IU wins this one. They're due, UM has played like absolute garbage on the road against teams with a pulse, smushed between your 2  biggest rivals = it's a trap!, and IU is a solid team that is going to fight like hell for this one.
 

Ultimately I hope I'm wrong, of course, just feel like this is a let down classic.

Drew Henson's Backup

November 17th, 2019 at 8:22 PM ^

Michigan and lay the points.

We are aware (fully aware) of what Indiana has done in our games for the last decade, most recently last year. We hit our stride on offense. We're going to prepare just fine for Indiana and go score 40 points (which will be enough to cover).

DK81

November 17th, 2019 at 8:27 PM ^

Why the hell is everyone screaming “trap game”? It can’t be a trap if everyone knows two quality teams are facing off. There will not be a single player looking past IU. Michigan knows IU is a good team and recently have played them tough. So people can now stop incorrectly labeling this a trap game (i know I will still have to listen to people all week incorrectly say it is a trap game). I think Michigan covers fwiw.

Durham Blue

November 17th, 2019 at 9:05 PM ^

I might put $5 on the Michigan game but that's it.  Michigan has covered ATS a lot this season and I've won some good money betting on us.  This is not the norm but I like it.  Not tempting fate again.  Just come out with any kind of W and I am good.

OTOH, that PSU-OSU line is tempting for the pedders.

uminks

November 17th, 2019 at 9:13 PM ^

I think we outscore IU. PSU played sloppy, probably thinking about the OSU game. OSU will probably beat PSU by 30+ points. I think Michigan will beat IU 45-27, I like how our D is playing. Just as long as the offense keeps moving the ball and scoring.

LickReach

November 18th, 2019 at 11:32 AM ^

I am more nervous about motivation/emotion for this one than  tOSU tbh.  Being hyper critical MSU did score first and we actually did have some lucky breaks that got our offense into the rhythm it did.  The 99 yard drive to go up 14-7 was a thing of beauty.  Can this offense do it one more time on the road?  No idea.  Furthermore, I think Indiana is just as aggressive at injuring our players as MSU.  Mike Hart had blood in his eyes last year.  Didn't that OL basically take a swan dive on Chase?  Knowing our luck we get John O'Neill and it is a nail biter.  Granted I am just being your normal UM homer fan.

MichiganStan

November 17th, 2019 at 9:18 PM ^

I hate facing Indiana. Obviously OSU is most hated but Indiana might be 2nd

And I know the team is nervous and planning for OSU so hopefully they don't fall into the classic trap game

uminks

November 17th, 2019 at 10:40 PM ^

I also fear road trips to Iowa and Purdue, especially when we are in contention for the B1G east. This year we are not, so the pressure to win on the road at IU will not be that great! I consider a trap game is when Michigan is undefeated.or one loss and could win the B1G east in their game with OSU.

Bodogblog

November 17th, 2019 at 10:10 PM ^

Traps require two things in essence, right?  Sneaky good opponent, or a team that's better than its we record in some way, ie a team that the favorite doesn't take as seriously as it should. Second thing is sandwiched between  two big opponents or after a very emotional win.  

IU has played Michigan tough for years, is 7-3, played a good OSU team tight on the road.  No way Michigan underestimates them.  OSU is coming up, so trap implications, but don't in get the sense that MSU was a huge emotional win?  It was a big deal.  But I think more because it validated Michigan's resurgence and Patterson's comfort with the offense.  But did it feel like it exhausted the team?  I don't get that sense. 

Michigan is a good team, Top 10 or so good.  They put this away like you'd expect a Georgia or Utah or Oklahoma would.