Michigan Favored by 29.0 over Nebraska; Other Lines

Submitted by BursleyHall82 on November 6th, 2022 at 7:56 PM

Other lines of interest:

Ohio State 41 over Indiana

Penn State 12 over Maryland

Michigan State 12 over Rutgers

Iowa 1 over Wisconsin

Texas 7 over TCU

LSU 3 over Arkansas

Alabama 12 over Ole Miss

Illinois 6.5 over Purdue

LINK

BoFan

November 6th, 2022 at 8:08 PM ^

Wow, I am not a gambler.  And the OP should add the home teams next time.  But

I would take Indiana and 41 if at Indiana. 

Texas over TCU seems about right. 

LSU and Illinois seem like a take 

MadMatt

November 6th, 2022 at 8:36 PM ^

The Spartans laying 12 point to Rutgers? How fast can I put some money down on Rutgers (and the points)? For one, the Spartans could have a few more suspensions/indictments this week.

AND, TCU is getting 7 points against Texas?! I'll take the unbeaten team and 7 points for $1000, Alex.

J. Redux

November 6th, 2022 at 8:39 PM ^

That ridiculous OSU line is exactly on the SP+ number.  Indiana has dropped like a rock.

If I were to bet that game -- I'm staying away -- I'd take the Buckeyes to cover as long as the weather is OK.  Ryan Day is going to be playing for style points after last week.

The MSU / Rutgers line is also on the SP+ number, but SP+ doesn't know that half of MSU's team is in purgatory on the way to jail.  I'd take Rutgers and would even consider the money line, depending upon how it comes up.  MSU's offense is better than Rutgers's, but Rutgers's defense is better.  The Over/Under is 40 and I might still take the under.

-29 is actually better odds than the Michigan / Nebraska SP+ line (-30.5).  Nebraska's so schizophrenic, and -29 is so many points, I'd probably stay away.  I could see just about anything from a 17 to 50 point win.  The O/U at 52, though?  Michigan might cover that by itself.

 

J. Redux

November 7th, 2022 at 12:42 AM ^

I think we're going to find that beating Illinois on the road says more about Illinois than it does about MSU.  Rutgers played Michigan approximately as well as MSU did, and now MSU is down several players from when they played Michigan and they have nothing left to play for because they lost their Super Bowl.

Winsatt may only be able to get one out of every three passes near a Rutgers receiver, but that may be enough.

91wolverine

November 6th, 2022 at 8:54 PM ^

That was a big win by MSU. They’ll prolly be bowl eligible this year which is pretty good considering how bad they looked. However, they have been playin much better lately. I would take msu. Rutgers has no offense.

Jordan2323

November 6th, 2022 at 9:08 PM ^

As far as the line on Nebraska, I think a lot has to do whether Casey Thompson plays or not and how banged up we are. Thompson is a much better quarterback than the other ones they have put out there lately since he’s been injured. If we don’t have everyone back on the line and some other key pieces are missing whether injured or we are resting them some, it could make quite a bit of difference in the spread. 

tybert

November 6th, 2022 at 9:09 PM ^

Indy is a real tire fire right now. Tuttle got hurt (and he's already announced he is leaving after the season). The Mizzou transfer is hurt (may be back for Ohio - who knows). That game, if the weather is decent, could be a 56-7 rout or worse.

PSU's D has been steady since the Purdue opener against everyone but Ohio and UM. I think they run for a lot vs. Maryland and cover the spread.

MSU will make a bowl now and I figure their alley-oop passes will give Rutgers problems. They cover. Wimsett won't be able to take advantage of their bad secondary - he is a runner.

Funny thing is Iowa can still win the west with help. Need to win out and also have Illinois lose at home to Purdue and at Michigan. Possible.

But the game I'm really pulling for is Texas to win over TCU and by more than 7. It's possible that the loser of a close game Ohio-UM could be the 4th seed in the playoff. We only need fear TCU and the Pac12 winner if they have just 1 loss. Not that I'd like to back into a playoff bid as an 11-1 team, but it's a new season and we have the goods to win 2 games on neutral turf. 

 

S.D. Jones

November 6th, 2022 at 9:38 PM ^

Nobody’s excited about the team that just beat Bama only giving 3 to the team that just lost to Liberty? God forgive me for betting on Kelly, but I’m feasting on pig sooey here. 

m83econ

November 6th, 2022 at 9:55 PM ^

Both OSU & PSU are going for style points now and next week's opponents have just about given up the ghost

For MSU, the assault was an excuse to play the "us against the world" motivational card and Rutgers is an awful offense

Durham Blue

November 6th, 2022 at 10:32 PM ^

I didn't think Michigan would cover the 26 at Rutgers but I bet it anyway, albeit a small bet.  To the contrary, I think Michigan will cover 29 at home to Nebraska.  I foresee an offensive explosion to the tune of 600+ yards.  JJ gets right on the deep shots and puts up 350+ yards passing.  The running game does its usual thing of 250+ yards.  Michigan handles the over by itself.  Our death star will be nearing completion.

Arkansas +3 is tempting.  LSU looks really improved since the start of the season but an Alabama hangover would concern me.

The Iowa offense has reinvented itself.  I think they beat Wisconsin by at least two scores.

MGoVictory

November 7th, 2022 at 12:03 AM ^

Off topic, but did you see Sean Scherer at Spartan Tailgate (247) put in a crystal ball for Dante Moore to Michigan State? Seems highly unlikely, and I think his predictions are laughably inaccurate, but I just found it bizarre.

Sambojangles

November 7th, 2022 at 11:00 AM ^

The Game line has been out all season and slowly creeping down. It was double digits for much of the season and is now OSU -8.5. The spread is compressing as the gap in SP+ does as well.