Caleb Houstan 3 Point Shot Issue

Submitted by RealElonMusk on March 21st, 2022 at 11:35 AM

After watching Caleb go 0-3 against Tennessee I noticed that he's slightly fading away on a lot of his three attempts-   this is a shot killer.   I think if he gets this corrected we will see much better consistency out of his 3 point shot.

ShadowStorm33

March 21st, 2022 at 12:51 PM ^

Outside of the TA&M game where we shot the lights out, our shooting was beyond terrible in the 2018 tournament. Here were the shooting splits:

Montana - 44/31/63
Houston - 35/26/70
TA&M - 61/58/87
FSU - 38/18/66
Loyola - 42/25/66
Villanova - 43/13/61

Two games in the 20s and two games in the teens from 3, and from a Beilein offense no less. Kind of incredible we made it to the championship game shooting so poorly in 5/6 games (though our defense that year was outstanding), but we lucked out having such an easy road (14/6/7/9/11 seeds) until we hit the Nova buzzsaw...

S.G. Rice

March 21st, 2022 at 11:45 AM ^

Houstan is exactly what we all know he is at this point.

If he has an open catch-and-shoot 3 AND he gets his feet set, he's an excellent shooter.

Get him even slightly off-platform and he's as inaccurate as it gets.

I don't even want to hazard a guess as to whether he can ever shoot accurately with anything other than perfect form, but he can certainly clean up his footwork and bury the catch-and-shoots.  Didn't really notice anything else with his form, but if OP is accurate that too should be something that can be cleaned up pretty readily.

pinkfloyd2000

March 21st, 2022 at 11:46 AM ^

Well...

All I'm gonna say on this topic is that (I think!) it's safe to say that we are not gonna win vs. Villanova if Houstan puts up another zero in terms of points.

We got away with it vs. Tennessee, for a variety of reasons (one BIG one being that the Vols' 3-point game was basically non-existent), but against Nova? I don't think that this strategy is gonna work.

jmblue

March 21st, 2022 at 11:59 AM ^

We don't necessarily need a big game from him, but I don't think we can get away with almost no scoring from him and our point guards, like we did against Tennessee.  Houstan, Jones, and Collins combined for four points.  Brooks compensated with 23 points on 9-14 shooting, but I don't know if we can expect that again.

rockydude

March 22nd, 2022 at 5:09 PM ^

I doubt we beat Nova if any of our starters don’t score. Maybe at the start of the tournament, you can get away with it, if some other stuff goes your way, but I don’t see making it to the Elite 8 with a big void at any position. I’ve never felt like making a thread for it, but I’d be interested in knowing if there’s a lot of people out there that are hoping that Terence Williams gets the start over Houstan. Also, if there’s anyone who thinks that Brandon Johns can heat up in the tournament like he did last year, I’d be interested in hearing it. 

Perkis-Size Me

March 21st, 2022 at 11:47 AM ^

Hopefully he's due for a massive "Stauskas-esque performance in the Elite Eight against Florida" type of course correction against Villanova. 

Seems like if he can hit just one three, he's going to hit another 3-4. And that'll be a game where Michigan needs all the points it can get. 

stephenrjking

March 21st, 2022 at 11:48 AM ^

Houstan obviously has work to do in the offseason, and this is an important task for the coaching staff. Beilein was, for obvious reasons, pretty good at developing his shooters (though not perfect; Simpson, for example, never quite got there). We have less of a track record for Juwan in this regard. But Houstan as a levelled-up shooter next season would be a biiiig boost to the team next year. And it is certainly possible. 

JamieH

March 21st, 2022 at 11:59 AM ^

Houstan is one of the weirdest cases I've seen.  The guy can probably kick the crap out of most people in a catch & shoot 3-pt exhibition in a gym but when you get into a game and he has to take a 3 that is not perfectly set up in any way, he almost always misses it.  

Hopefully he comes back next season and figures out his issues over the offseason.

Qmatic

March 21st, 2022 at 1:15 PM ^

Defensively he was pretty good. He was excellent on D in the second half vs Colorado St as well. 

He just seemed afraid of the ball all second half vs Tennessee. Looked uncomfortable dribbling, passes were rushed, and rebounding he couldn’t get two hands on them. Props to him for hanging in there and doing everything he could do without the ball.

robpollard

March 21st, 2022 at 12:09 PM ^

You are as overconfident, in making pronouncements on the internet about things you don't know about, as the actual Real Elon Musk, so I respect the commitment to the bit.

MaizeGoBlue

March 21st, 2022 at 12:18 PM ^

For Michigan to Advance the Freshman have to start playing like Juniors...now or never ...show what all those recruiting starts are all about...Cant live on Hunter all game every game and Eli is Eli ROCK FUKN SOLID....Devante dont turn the ball over Williams  and Frankie are starting to Shine..Brandon Johns?  What happened to YOU?    

 

BEAT NOVA

SDCran

March 21st, 2022 at 12:21 PM ^

Why don't we obsess over Eli Brooks' 3-pt shooting?   They are statistically identical. (if Caleb made 1 more shot over the course of the season, they would be tied)  And don't even get me going about DJ 

(also statistically identical to EJ Liddell, J Wheeler, Jaden Ivey, Sasha Stefanovic, Ben Mathurin and a click or two better than Johnny Davis, Brad Davison, Max Christie)

jmblue

March 21st, 2022 at 12:29 PM ^

Because 1) Brooks finds ways to score even when his outside shot is off;  2) Houstan (unlike Brooks) is tall enough to get off his shot against pretty much anyone; and 3) so far Houstan has shot much better at Crisler than away from it, which is an issue given that we have no home games left.

Houstan has one main job in our offense, to be a sniper from long range.  When he shoots well, we win.  When he shoots poorly, we don't always lose (we didn't at OSU or vs. Tennessee) but our margin for error gets a lot slimmer. 

SDCran

March 21st, 2022 at 1:04 PM ^

so you are saying that if Houstan made 2 more shots this year, nobody would be complaining about his shooting?   That's the difference between 'he can't shoot' and 'he shot 38%, why would we be complaining'  2 makes.

BTW - Fr and So Eli shot under 30%

michengin87

March 21st, 2022 at 1:32 PM ^

Because Brooks is 45% from the field with twice as many assists, more ppg and almost as many rebounds from the SG position as a SF.

More importantly, Caleb had 12 games with 6 points or less this season.  Brooks 3.  The variation in Caleb's game is a killer in the tourney.  We'll all take the 21 point outburst against IL, of course, but he's equally prone to the goose egg.

They should post a mean and std dev with everyone's ppg.  I'm pretty sure that Caleb is way above the other names mentioned in his std dev.  Plus, most of those guys you point to are getting more attention than Caleb.

Don't get me wrong.  The kid is getting there, but he is what he is this year, which isn't there yet.

SDCran

March 21st, 2022 at 1:35 PM ^

Diabate is our 2nd all time rated recruit.   He shot 21% (sorry that was snarky)

How about some of our noted shooters and their freshman years:

Caris - 30.2%

THJ -  36.7%

Sauce - 44.0%

Walton 41%

Zac Irvin  - 42% (then 35, 29, and 34 as a starter)

Duncan Robinson (not freshman, but first year) in Big Ten play - 35.2%  (pre-big 10 he was the greatest shooter I ever say already as he shot 60%!!!)   But just 35% in BT play.

Consistency?  Houstan in Big Ten play had 9 games with 0 or 1 made 3.   Robinson that year had 9 games with 0 or 1 made 3.

Team 101

March 21st, 2022 at 12:22 PM ^

I'm going off on a bit of a tangent here but during the Staee game yesterday I was thinking how many here would trade Caleb for Max Christie.  Christie was a 5 star and I think ranked higher than Caleb but seems lost in the Izzo system.