Basketball Snowflakes

Submitted by HollywoodHokeHogan on November 16th, 2021 at 11:42 PM

If figured I might as well do this because the other post game post is in fact terrible.  Here's my flake:

After Buffalo, I said that it "looks they might be a a little short on shooting (3pt and ft), but Williams and the freshmen could help" and "I thought Jones really struggled.  He started off well, but then he picked up bunches of fouls and did very little else."  That's pretty much where I still think we are, only with a dose of what  Brandon Johns should probably come off the bench. 

You may have noticed that Howard pulled Johns (not just on offense either) for Williams after Johns last offensive possession went, uh, not well.  It's year four for Johns, and if he's not going to be consistently some kind of contributor, then you need to start seeing what other guys might develop.  He looked great at times last year, but you can't have a starting senior playing this inconsistently on a young team.  All of these freshmen dudes are going to have bad game and that's just what you have to deal with.  But if you're going to threaten for a title you need consistent upperclassmen to help weather those moments.  Johns isn't providing that. 

Plus, playing Williams puts another three point shooter out there with the starters, which I think is desperately needed if Jones isn't going to be a threat from deep. 

Cam

November 16th, 2021 at 11:47 PM ^

I wish the incessantly negative people would just shut the fuck up for one night. Yes, that loss was very irritating, but when you’re breaking in two freshman and a transfer, it’s going to be a bumpy ride for a while. Losing to a top-30 team on some tough luck isn’t a “terrible loss.” Not even close, asshole.

Michigan has a top ten football, basketball, and hockey program, yet all we see are complaints.

HollywoodHokeHogan

November 16th, 2021 at 11:53 PM ^

What is your deal?  There is nothing in this post about the football team, the hockey team, or anything else.  Not one fucking thing.  It's literally an alternative to post entitled "Terrible." 

This an attempt to talk about what happened in the basketball game. It's not whining about the program or anything else.  It's not making any sort of complaint about the program.  

So what's got you pitching a bitch about a snowflake post talking about switching the starting line-up?  Why don't you stop whining and go fuck yourself.  

TheCube

November 17th, 2021 at 12:02 AM ^

Evidently people thought our youthful basketball team was going to go undefeated this year lmao. It was pretty obvious that this team was going to struggle to replace the players that left early on this year. 

Just wait until Bufkin and Houstan gain a feel for the college game. Jones is an interesting situation. I thought he would adapt quicker. Johns seems to be a lost cause at this point. 

Ham

November 16th, 2021 at 11:48 PM ^

An overlooked problem with the offense in the second half was not being able to get Hunter the ball with a chance to do something with it. 0 shots in the final 14 minutes except when he rebounded Johns's miss late. If they're going to struggle this much at shooting from 3, they need to be able to get him the ball under the basket.

umchicago

November 17th, 2021 at 12:15 AM ^

well, with poor PG play and mediocre shooting, teams aren't dumb. they will not let dickenson get his 20 points in the paint. teams will force us to shoot 3s. and we better start knocking them down at a decent clip or we are looking at a 20-10 type year before tourny play.

1145SoFo

November 17th, 2021 at 12:20 AM ^

Unfortunately I don't recall seeing many double teams, ball denial, or any other tricks Seton Hall did to force the ball out of the paint. It seemed like Hunter was worn down by their center -- or at the very least could not solve how to make his own shot against him.

i.e. not sure Seton Hall did anything other than win the individual matchup in the last 10 minutes.

ak47

November 16th, 2021 at 11:50 PM ^

People had ridiculous expectations for the early season for this team and also seemingly already forgot we went to overtime against Oakland at home last year. This team is replacing a ton of talent and has nobody at the guard position who can consistently create their own shot. On top of that the 3 pt shooting is just a massive question mark overall.

Teams don’t just replace 3 nba players in a rotation no problem, even with high level freshman. You can point to plenty of examples of early season Kentucky, Kansas, duke teams struggling, especially on the offensive end.

This season is going to be a grind and this offense is going to look really ugly in some games. It’s also going to get better throughout the season. But if we can’t come up with a better end of game option to get points than putting the ball Eli’s hands this team is more sweet 16 than final four 

WorldwideTJRob

November 17th, 2021 at 10:58 AM ^

I'll give you your props, before the season you correctly predicted that the offense would struggle some. Houstan's struggles from deep are making the offense a little clunky. Bufkin looks like a kid that may be able to generate some looks for himself and I was shocked Frankie didn't get in yesterday to provide a spark. I don't mind putting the rock in Eli's hand at the end of the game because I know more often than not he will make the correct basketball play.

MaineGoBlue

November 16th, 2021 at 11:51 PM ^

Davante  Jones is not Mike Smith.  And we have no one to replace Livers.  Houstan is a perfect Franz comp IMO, but we lose A LOT with Jones vs Smith.  Eli needs to have the ball in his hands and I think we’ll be ok, but depth is iffy the way 5, 12, and 23, are playing right now.

MadGatter

November 17th, 2021 at 12:40 AM ^

And isn't the dribble drive, shot creator Franz ended up being last year.

Also his three point shot has been quite poor so far. 

So yeah he's basically nothing like Franz lol. He has time to grow, but to suggest he is comparable is out of touch with reality

Megumin

November 17th, 2021 at 12:35 AM ^

It was forgotten as the season went on, but Mike Smith was shakier than most remember at the start last season. He turned it on as the season progressed, but he battled turnovers, particularly early on in season. The Oakland game left a lot of people shook about his ability to translate from Columbia, but he eventually figured it out. Jones plays differently than Smith (more drive-oriented, less of a shooter) but I'm confident DeVante will figure it out, much like Mike Smith did. Compared to the Oakland clunker last season, a very tight loss to a tourney bound squad like Seton Hall is better in all regards outside of the final result. 

Houstan I'm a lot more worried about right now. Even if Franz and Houstan are equivalent offensively (they're not for the record, Franz is a much better finisher at the rim), defensively we've went from Big 10 player of the year level to a guy who is constantly over-rotating and unable to contain guys driving in. Looking out there, it felt like Houstan was picked on relentlessly when Seton Hall made their big run to take the lead. Combine that with a dismal offensive performance and it was a night to forget for the freshman.

That being said, freshmen are going to freshmen. This stuff happens, and it's good to figure it out now in the non-conference so Houstan can either improve or Michigan can find an alternative option on the wing. Once again, early season small sample size means everyone can take these performances as learning experiences.

The one thing I do agree with you on is this team is going to live and die on the performance of the wings. Dickinson will hold down the fort for bigs, while Brooks is rock solid as a guard. It's going to be on Houstan, Williams, Johns Jr and possibly Bufkin to be responsible defenders and solid secondary scoring outlets for this team to reach it's lofty expectations.

And of course, I'm not counting out the X-Factor on the bench who just got paid. Juwan is a great coach and he and his group of assistants have shown they can take a freshly constructed group and build a Big 10 champion out of them. Obviously repeating won't be easy, but this Seton Hall game doesn't damage my faith that we'll figure everything out.

blueheron

November 17th, 2021 at 8:16 AM ^

It's also the case that Mike Smith (5'9" on a good day, not super-strong, not super-athletic) is not DeVante Jones.

I'm not sold on Jones yet, but I think it's too early for anyone to write him off. He's had some good moments. Did you notice the twelve rebounds? I think he needs time to get used to the step-up in competition. He did OK at the pre-NBA camp last year, so there has to be some substance there.

Kilgore Trout

November 16th, 2021 at 11:51 PM ^

Give it a little time. Does anyone remember that in game 2 last year UM went to overtime with Oakland? I didn't, most likely because they won and we forgot about it. This stuff happens. In that game Mike Smith scored 2 points and had 3 turnovers in 18 minutes. Honestly going to OT with the #312 kenpom team is way worse than losing by 2 to the #35 kenpom team, so let's have some perspective and give it a little time. 

There are obviously issues to figure out, but I am still confident that all the pieces are there and Howard and company are smart enough to figure it out. 

MJG

November 16th, 2021 at 11:54 PM ^

One of the best things about CBB is watching a team grow, especially a team with young contributing players. Sit back and enjoy it.

We lost four very strong players. 

Michigan Arrogance

November 16th, 2021 at 11:54 PM ^

I agree with You about BJJ. Dude hasn’t really gotten better in 2 years and he can’t finish at the rim. Solid defensively and rebounding so he seems like a bench player to me. Rather see TWill and Diabate out there instead. 
 

Houstan is so young, you need to give him time. But 39mins of time when he’s playing that poorly?  play small or put diabate in there and play big for a few? iDK

Jones is very concerning as a 5th year dude. No situational awareness. 10sec bio? Foul 30ft from the hoop with less than 50sec left in the double bonus? Too many TOS and fouls. Rather see another 10mins for Bufkin. 
 

not a terrible loss if this is the only OoC loss. Long way to go before B10 play starts. 
 

 

Sllepy81

November 16th, 2021 at 11:54 PM ^

Almost every season in bball we feel doomed in November/December then they gel. Not to worried atm.

On a side note at least we're not #12 Oregon. Down 29 to BYU in the freaking PHIL KNIGHT INVITATIONAL. That stings.

Frank Chuck

November 16th, 2021 at 11:55 PM ^

+ I'm very concerned about this team's lack of consistent/reliable/elite perimeter shooting.

My platonic ideal for a national championship caliber college team is 2018 Villanova / 2021 Baylor with a bit more defense. If we don't find some answers from mid-range and deep, this season will be a grind.

+ At least 3 of Seton Hall's 9 made 3s were from blown/busted switches.

> To this point, Caleb Houstan's defense is quite concerning. He's adequate in iso/1v1 defense but he struggles to handle screens and switches. (Don't think so? Rewatch the game. You'll see that Seton Hall identified Houstan's lack of defense and attacked him repeatedly. Future opponents will notice this.)

> Right now, Houstan's offense simply isn't effective enough to compensate for his defensive breakdowns.

+ For all the talk about DeVante Jones as an established scorer (re: see his impressive stats against high major competition at Coast Carolina) and a NBA prospect, he has not impressed me.

+ Eli Brooks passed up a game-tying layup which was strange. Also, I think he should've used the glass on his floater attempt.

+ Defensive rebounding was an issue but refs kept calling fouls when our guys tried to body up Seton Hall's players on the glass.

+ Brandon Johns Jr. hasn't shown the improvement I hoped he would showcase this year. Last season, he seemed to play much better when Livers went down and Johns knew it was his time to make up the difference. He hasn't take the step in his mid-range game that I badly wanted to see. Here's his shooting stats through 3 games:
1-3 / 0-2 from 3
1-2 / 0-1
3-9 / 0-1

So through 3 games, he's shooting 5/14 (35.7%) from the field and 0-4 (0%) from 3. Ouch.

Nervous Bird

November 16th, 2021 at 11:58 PM ^

It just burns me when the refs put their thumb on the scale. I can take a loss. UCLA last year. Texas Tech in '19. The Big Ten Tourney in '19 to MSU. All were legit losses. The team played hard and just didn't play well enough to win. But this fucking bullshit tonight where the refs swallowed the whistles on our end and called some bullshit fouls ON us on the defensive end??? That's infuriating! Of course, Michigan could have played better. But, how much of that was the refs giving possessions to the opponent? I don't expect the team to play perfectly every game. I don't expect the refs to officiate perfectly, either. But, this shit was blatantly, egregiously one-sided for Seton Hall. Those had to be fucking Big East refs!

Brayden09

November 17th, 2021 at 12:00 AM ^

The biggest, and seemingly glaring hole is leadership. Who besides Brooks is considered a leader? Johns should be by now...but he's not. Mike Smith was an instant leader where Jones seems like a role player. Nothing seems to be holding them together like the last few seasons. 

Mannix

November 17th, 2021 at 12:02 AM ^

Seton Hall was pretty tenacious on D and they made hard cuts and drives the basket most of the game. It didn’t hurt that their guys could create their own shot, and did so on numerous possessions. 
 

For as good as M defense was / is, they lost dudes all night on rotations. 
 

Not to bag on Johns, but he’s been very underwhelming- doesn’t look to shoot, doesn’t finish, and doesn’t really rebound. Rotations got pretty slim at end and Jones will need to be much better. 

DetroitDan

November 17th, 2021 at 12:05 AM ^

  1. Jones played a great game -- got screwed by the refs in my opinion.  See his 4th foul.  At any rate, he's a cool customer and will be back to lead us to many victories.
  2. We might want to burn a redshirt (Barnes or Tschetter) to get some better shooters involved.
  3. Bufkin played another good game, as did Diabate.
  4. Johns and Williams are fine.  But perhaps neither is as good as Diabate.  
  5. Houstan looks good for a freshman playing in his first games.  He should be fine once the team chemistry gets set.
  6. Brooks is NBA caliber -- played great.
  7. Dickinson is 1st round NBA caliber -- our best player.

michgoblue

November 17th, 2021 at 1:50 AM ^

I disagree with almost all of those points. 

1. Jones has not impressed me at all. I can see him ending up in foul trouble in almost every single game. Also, doesn’t yet run the offense well. 

2. Not sure throwing MORE young players at the problem is the way to go.
 

3. agree that Abidjan had a decent game. Diabate is a defensive stud, but remains limited on offense. This was somewhat expected. 
 

4. Johns and Willians have not been fine. They have both played poorly. Johns in particular has regressed to the point that he is an offensive liability. 
 

5. Houston looks terrible if we are being honest. Does that mean he IS a terrible? No - he’s a freshman and will improve. But his shooting has been terrible and his defense is flat out disastrous. 
 

6. Brooks is likely not NBA caliber. Not athletic enough and not a good enough shooter. 
 

7. Dickenson is our best player. Agree. Not sure where he would be drafted though, as the NBA likes freak athletes or insane shooting and he brings neither. Think Garza. I like Dickenson more, but that guy was a college beast as well, and was not highly regarded as an NBA prospect. 

Wendyk5

November 17th, 2021 at 12:05 AM ^

I think we have a great team with a deep bench, and some exciting young playmakers who are going to be fantastic once they settle in. These guys don't really know each other yet and I think they deserve some time to do that before people start declaring them not good enough to win championships.  

remdog

November 17th, 2021 at 12:06 AM ^

Tough loss, especially since it looked like Michigan had a comfortable lead most of the night.

I'm not sure what we can learn from it.  Basketball can be unpredictable with unlucky bounces, especially early in the season.  Seton Hall's a good team.  It's just one game.

I don't agree with the OP regarding Johns in this game.  He's still not very reliable offensively but his stats were a little better than T. Williams in this game.  And he can also shoot the three.

It was an off night for the two star freshmen, Houstan and Diabate, who were a combined 1-10 from the field.  And the team overall shot poorly from the 3 point line.  Bufkin, on the other hand, showed his potential.

It's a learning process.  They are still developing chemistry.  I suspect they will improve defensively and offensively, especially the younger players.   

DetroitDan

November 17th, 2021 at 12:11 AM ^

Our defense was excellent.  The refs let everything go the first half and the better team led at halftime.  After Michigan got the double digit lead, they started calling all sorts of ticky-tak fouls/infractions, and we lost because of it. That's college b-ball. Michigan will learn that they need to improve and move forward as a better team, IMO.

1145SoFo

November 17th, 2021 at 12:15 AM ^

My snowflake is just a reminder that reading people's basketball thoughts (not necessarily yours, OP) in non-conference season is insufferable when the board is still infected with football brain.

No, losing to a nearly Kenpom top-30 team isn't "terrible" or as shameful as the other post made it out to be. No, we shouldn't be wanting the backup freshman PG to get starters minutes like the  backup QB infatuation. No, we shouldn't discard Johns or Jones after 3 games. No, a bench forward not making 2 game tying free throws with 0:00 on the clock isn't the end of the world, or probably even unexpected.

The whole board needs to stop smashing our keyboards and remember Basketball ≠ Football and is a sport with a lot more statistical variance.

Brayden09

November 17th, 2021 at 12:22 AM ^

I have put it in this perspective

Last years unranked team vs this years #4 ranked team, head to head,  at the same point in the season.

Last year woodsheds This year. 

That is the feel I get about this team. 

I'm not saying this just because they lost to an OK Seton Hall team. I literally feel like this is a middling Big Ten team the way they have played the first 3 games.