247 Composite Ranks UM 35th with 14 Commits - Not Bad

Submitted by alum96 on

We jumped 36 spots today to #35 on 247 Composite.  Not bad for 14 players and no effective recruiting for 3 months (Oct, Nov, Dec)

Florida the only real comparable jumped 46 spots to #20 today but has 21 recruits.  The two 5 stars they landed helped.  They had room for another 6 more slots I believe (27 total), we had room for 1 more.  They had a coach who at least could sell a future in October and hired new coach first week of December so really only had a 1 month blackout window (November) of recruiting - we had 3. 

All in all a victory - was shooting for low 30s with 15-16 commits a month ago; we got to mid 30s with 14.

HARBAUGH.

Data: http://247sports.com/Season/2015-Football/CompositeTeamRankings

a2_electricboogaloo

February 4th, 2015 at 4:23 PM ^

Actually we're at about 18th overall for average player ranking.  Our classes is around 35 due to the fact that our class is really small this year (there aren't any other classes with less than 18 commits in the top 50)

OysterMonkey

February 4th, 2015 at 4:15 PM ^

Team Total 5 4 3 Avg Rank by Average
Alabama 24 6 14 4 93.72 1
USC 24 4 14 6 93.45 2
Florida State 20 4 10 6 92.46 3
UCLA 20 3 12 5 92.09 4
Auburn 27 1 18 8 90.57 5
Notre Dame 24 0 14 10 90.25 6
Ohio State 27 1 14 11 90.06 7
LSU 25 2 11 10 89.98 8
Texas A&M 25 3 11 11 89.86 9
Tennessee 29 1 15 12 89.78 10
Georgia 28 2 11 15 89.65 11
Clemson 25 3 9 11 89.48 12
Texas 29 1 13 14 89.46 13
Penn State 25 0 13 12 89.05 14
Oklahoma 24 0 10 14 88.83 15
Oregon 22 1 6 15 88.72 16
Ole Miss 22 0 7 15 88.64 17
Michigan 14 0 6 8 87.82 18
Mississippi State 28 0 7 21 87.67 19
Arizona State 20 0 7 13 87.67 20
Michigan State 21 0 5 16 87.66 21

 

Magnum P.I.

February 4th, 2015 at 4:22 PM ^

Doesn't anyone else find it strange and problematic that we have at least six fewer recruits than any other team on that list. You might say, "well, we had bigger classes in years past and now don't have space," but every other team has taken just as many players as us the past four years, more or less.

Cope

February 4th, 2015 at 4:36 PM ^

I've felt exactly this way all season, even as Hoke was building this "small" class. None of the other programs seem to recruit small classes like this. It seems they have 20-30+ every year. I'm sure they find ways to fill the spots. I've been scratching my head about this since last spring. It would seem a more ambitious approach would pay off.

alum96

February 4th, 2015 at 4:50 PM ^

Here is what happened

  • Very bad 2010 class followed by below par 2011 class leading to...
  • Very big 2012 and 2013 classes of over 50 scholarships combined...
  • Very little attrition thus far out of 2012 and 2013 putting us just under 50 spots allocated..
  • ...leading to just over 35 spots open for 2014 + 2015 classes...
  • ...plus you are giving 3 scholarships to walk ons, Glasgow brothers and Kerridge

So basically you are splitting low 30s scholarships into the the 2014 and 2015 classes.

We are very unbalanced from class to class.

That does not excuse how Tennesse has 104 recruits in the past 4 classes and OSU something like 99 (someone else calculated it earlier).

But our low # is a combination of a # of things.  Even more amazing was that if Ferns Bosch and Funchess had stayed AND we did not have the 3 fifth year seniors depart this class would have been 8 people. (9 spots)

Magnum P.I.

February 4th, 2015 at 6:07 PM ^

My response is that our previously large class sizes have nothing to do with. Our retention has everything to do with it.

We signed only 14 kids this year, only 16 last year. You may argue that we signed 27 in 2013 and 25 in 2012. Well, guess what, Ohio State signed exactly the same number of kids in 2012 and 2013 and their class size this year was 27 and last year was 27. That's 24 MORE RECRUITS IN THE PAST FOUR YEARS that they have to work with compared to us, and 30 MORE OVER THE PAST FIVE YEARS. Let that sink in. Over the past five years, Ohio State has had 30 more scholarship players than us in their system. That's more than a full starting lineup's worth of players. They've signed 132 players during that window; we've signed 102.

I looked back over the past five years, and Notre Dame has signed 16 more kids than us. Penn State, which supposedly got the death penalty at some point in that window, has signed eight more kids than us since 2011. 

Michigan State is the only one of our rivals who appears to playing on a level playing field, with only two more players than us since 2011. 

This is a major, major competitive disadvantage for us. 

alum96

February 4th, 2015 at 6:31 PM ^

Well I was only speaking to Michigan's history and how it hapened; I can't speak to other schools as I dont know their players or history.  And I'd say 5 years is far more difficult to compare school to school due to 5th year seniors, etc.  A lot more oranges to apples in 5 years versus 4.  A school with a bunch of RS SRs like Wisconsin and MSU will look very different than a school like OSU.  So I'd stick to 4 years.

I just looked at Nebraska over 4 years and they had 88 guys on scholarship.  Which makes plenty of sense when you account for any guys who leave the program, have legal trouble, permanent injury etc.  I think 88-92 makes sense over 4 years.  Once you get mid 90s and higher you have to question what is going on.

I just looked at Wisconsin and they are at 80 - which again makes sense, it looks like some walk ons took scholarships there too based on that #.

Without looking at every single scholarship player - when they arrived, when they left - at programs like OSU and TN it would be difficult to figure out what is going on there.  Maybe someone like Seth wants to do that sort of project - I have enough hands full with UM stuff. It would be especially telling about OSU since they are our #1 rival.

gasbro

February 4th, 2015 at 4:16 PM ^

And only team in top 50 with less than 18 commits.

Avg stars of 3.5 is tied for 12th with LSU and Texas.

So, while likely not the most impactful class due to size, it's not a killer in that quality (avg stars) is on par with where we've been and in the realm where teams should be very competitive. Presumably, Harbaugh will crank it up a notch or two next year.

alum96

February 4th, 2015 at 4:20 PM ^

Average stars is a bit below our normal - but totally to be expected. I expected 3 guys today, we got 4. And not the mix I anticipated that is for sure - 2 guys out of left field. The job this class was to survive and advance... we did. Now onward to Feb 24th and real fun begins. KJ Costello - you're next.

Cold War

February 4th, 2015 at 4:21 PM ^

Incredible, considering this staff had weeks, rather than months or years, and was largely limited to flipping committed players. I'd honestly give the outcome A-.

schreibee

February 4th, 2015 at 4:29 PM ^

Any thoughts/insights on how we use the last schollie? Or is going to Wayne Lyons?

If not do we: Look for another transfer, give it to a walk-on, bank it...?

Danwillhor

February 4th, 2015 at 4:29 PM ^

I'm sad that I was right about not getting Weber, Clark, etc back in the fold. I'm sad that I was right in that we wouldn't get any "really big names" due to time (IMO, more time would have brought Weber/Clark back & landed a couple bigger names). I'm happy I was wrong that we got some kids I flat out didn't consider or think about. I guess the numbers surprised me in a good way as I honestly thought we'd end up with about 11 kids or get 14ish totally unknown kids. I thought Ty Jr was unlikely until I heard his Dad was with him today. Getting 2 quality shockers out of Florida & one out of Alabama is great. I'm happy I was wrong about how bad/obvious the class would be. I didn't think we'd end up a top 50 class. Glad to be wrong but a bit down to be right about the big names.

beevo

February 4th, 2015 at 4:43 PM ^

Actually, looking at the list right now, if you add one of the Clark/Weber/Jefferson trio to the list I would be pretty damn happy.  I am most disappointed with Clark.....he would have clearly benefitted the most from UM/Harbaugh.  He reminded me of the kid who passes over the smart, funny, cute girl for the hot chick who dumps him after a few weeks.  You see it coming but just can't keep him from making the wrong choice.  Well, Jake Butt for two years eases that a bit.

Weber hurt a bit as I truly believe the kid will regret the decision and won't see the playing field like he would of at UM. 

Danwillhor

February 4th, 2015 at 5:00 PM ^

and I'm certainly not knocking those two but I agree. The Clark description seems right on, ha! If he had another year he'd find 5 more schools to be "absolutely sold" on. Clark was just so flippant that I didn't trust his commitment when the old staff/class was still strong, before the implosion. Weber is kind of unfortunate because I'd heard the same things (some, not all) that Webb had. I didn't think he'd come back to us because Meyer had "Dunn'd" him given his late OV was completely on the down low. Plus, Cass is no longer a UM pipeline. It's official. The friend pull I thought would be too much. Yet, supposedly he was choosing UM until we landed that HB today! If true, I don't want to knock him but ....oh well. Best to both. It's kind of sad as a fan but "sad" is not really the emotion. It's unfortunate but best to them all.

Wolverine 73

February 4th, 2015 at 5:19 PM ^

There is no way that Weber's decision was based on the fact Higdon signed with Michigan.  You walk away from Michigan because there is another, lower-rated back in the class?  To go to OSU where the pre-season favorite for the Heisman is in the backfield, and the No. 1 RB recruit for 2016 has already pledged?  Not to mention the other guys knocking around that roster?  No, that remark (if said) is just a way to justify the decision, which appears to have been made because OSU has been winning, and Weber was unsure when Michigan would begin winning--if you believe the quotes attributed t him by the News.

Danwillhor

February 4th, 2015 at 5:26 PM ^

I'd rather it be that but word is that he was UM this morning. Yet, I mentioned the Cass pipeline is busted & ruptured. No matter the reason, it's a big miss. Unfortunate & if it is competition.....good luck at osu lol.

Franz Schubert

February 4th, 2015 at 6:09 PM ^

Weber has wanted to be the only running back in his class throughout his recruitment. He was trending OSU over the summer and was spooked off by the interest of Damien Harris. After that he was leaning to MSU and out of nowhere LJ Scott commited there and that is when he came Michigans way. When Scott commited to MSU, Weber actually tweeted something out acknowledging his surprise. Nothing wrong with wanting to be the only back but make NO mistake this was the case. As to OSU having more competition in the backfield this is false. E. Elliot is 100% gone after this year, and the Kareem Walker kid is a class of 2016 recruit, so basically Weber will sit behind Elliot one year, and only have to beat out Samuel to start as a sophmore. There is nothing wrong with Weber wanting to be the only back in his class but anyone pretending Weber didnt prioritize it is wrong.

 

Hotel Putingrad

February 4th, 2015 at 4:33 PM ^

they got a TE, RB, DE, and CB. and snagging gentry was a huge steal. and we have the best coach alive. I still believe we will be undefeated going into the Game if we beat Utah in the opener.

Danwillhor

February 4th, 2015 at 4:42 PM ^

I think this team needs proper building of strength, confidence, etc. We need to weed out those that don't want to compete or came here with entitlement. The first year may have 7 total wins & it won't surprise me (nor should it to anyone). He have talented Jr/Sr kids that should have gotten redshirts & an entire team that didn't get very good coaching for years. We have many upperclassmen that might as well be Freshman mentally. Finally, we have a lot if kids that are soft because the last staff allowed them to be. The "ok with losing" culture will likely take a year to get rid of. Tons of question marks all over the team. To end, I funny think year one well be more than 8 regular season wins. However, I think we'll see constant improvement & coaching/playcalling that is just exponentially better than the last staff.

Danwillhor

February 4th, 2015 at 5:21 PM ^

I agree. Yet, I think 8 regular season wins is the top. Maybe 9 total after a bowl game. I won't repeat the story but a family friend went to Stanford in their crap years & was a Senior in Jim's first there. The way he rebuilds a program is foundation up. Every player (literally) will be assessed & you'll be shocked how many change positions, etc. We need a new QB to go with a new system. An OL with talent that has a 5* who may have been better after his final HS game than he is now. It's a mess. Needs tons of coaching. The QB will need targets & our targets need coaching. I'm not being combative & hope you're right! Haha. I hope I'm wrong! I just think we need to be realistic unlike every year around this time.

Hotel Putingrad

February 4th, 2015 at 8:31 PM ^

but I think if harbaugh has morris "right" by the opener, things are set up favorably for a record akin to home's first year. their schedule is not particularly daunting aside from Utah and OSU, and if there's one game I'm confident they'll win no matter what, it's vs. msu at night. I think we'll be much more competent on special teams, and the o-line was already showing marked improvement by the end of last season. I get that people prefer to be cautious , and we are nowhere near OSU's level yet, but I still believe 11-2 is quite plausible.