21- 20 -17-14 -12 - 6
This is the descending # of points M has scored against Sparty since 2008. We have not scored a TD against Sparty since the 2011 season (3 years ago). Does the trend continue? After watching OSU destroy Rutgers yesterday I say yes, but then Sparty had trouble in Bloomington so I am cautiously optimistic. Thoughts?
GO BLUE!
October 20th, 2014 at 12:03 AM ^
Beat Sparty.
October 20th, 2014 at 3:54 PM ^
Fuck Staee.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:03 AM ^
10 years.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:04 AM ^
We're back to 45 then?
I mean, we're talking cyles here, right?
October 20th, 2014 at 12:07 AM ^
I'm betting on the cycle reversing itself the slow way. Sure, we will probably lose by 3-4 TDs but hopefully we can eek out 10-14 points. Don't worry, by 2020 we will be back in the 30s!
October 20th, 2014 at 7:37 AM ^
I think we have to bottom out first. I'd rather get it out of the way this year then be on the uptrend again in 2015 somehow.
October 20th, 2014 at 8:58 AM ^
we are reverting back to the grand super-cycle which started in 1916. That means from 2014 through 2112, we should go approx 65-33 against them... + or - 2 either way.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:10 AM ^
Nobody gives a rats pooper about the "tradition" of this program right now and if you do it's blatant blindness regarding the progress that we're lacking and downward spiral we're enduring. The past few years have been baaaaaaaad. We aren't getting better and the recent history is what's more the issue as it's more indicative of the immediate future than ten years ago.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:35 AM ^
He's showing the downward trend in points from 2004 on.
Calm down, dude.
October 20th, 2014 at 8:48 AM ^
Not for content. But for using "rat's pooper" in a comment.
Moving forward, maybe I'll start using "nobody gives a grouper's pooper" to express this sentiment.
October 20th, 2014 at 6:40 AM ^
'04-'07 were wins. So was '12.
October 20th, 2014 at 9:39 AM ^
really?
\/s
October 20th, 2014 at 7:30 AM ^
Silver lining?
October 20th, 2014 at 8:54 AM ^
I've woken up in a hotel room, my worries as big as the moon
Having no idea who or what or where I am
Something good comes with the bad
A song's never just sad
There's hope, there's a silver lining
Show me my silver lining
Show me my silver lining
October 20th, 2014 at 8:16 AM ^
... three years.
October 20th, 2014 at 9:09 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 10:53 AM ^
and betting against a trend would be risky. Sparty isn't going to look past us to ohio, so I won't be surprised if trend continues. I will stop someday ... but I fear it won't be 10/25/14.
Go Blue!
October 20th, 2014 at 12:22 PM ^
The first two are misleading because they include points scored in overtime. In regulation, it's
27-31-31-28-21-20-17-14-12-6.
October 20th, 2014 at 4:44 PM ^
So plugging this into my extremely complex statistical model(lol), which we call the ECSM for short, we're due to score 2 points! So put us down for a safety. Book it! :)
. corr points year
(obs=10)
| points year
-------------+------------------
points | 1.0000
year | -0.9780 1.0000
. regress points year
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 10
-------------+------------------------------ F( 1, 8) = 175.87
Model | 1179.92727 1 1179.92727 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 53.6727273 8 6.70909091 R-squared = 0.9565
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.9511
Total | 1233.6 9 137.066667 Root MSE = 2.5902
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
points | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
year | -3.781818 .2851707 -13.26 0.000 -4.439423 -3.124213
_cons | 7618.582 572.7659 13.30 0.000 6297.781 8939.382
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
. margins, at(year=(2004(1)2014))
Adjusted predictions Number of obs = 10
Model VCE : OLS
Expression : Linear prediction, predict()
1._at : year = 2004
2._at : year = 2005
3._at : year = 2006
4._at : year = 2007
5._at : year = 2008
6._at : year = 2009
7._at : year = 2010
8._at : year = 2011
9._at : year = 2012
10._at : year = 2013
11._at : year = 2014
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Delta-method
| Margin Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_at |
1 | 39.81818 1.522395 26.15 0.000 36.83434 42.80202
2 | 36.03636 1.291165 27.91 0.000 33.50573 38.567
3 | 32.25455 1.085898 29.70 0.000 30.12623 34.38287
4 | 28.47273 .9240586 30.81 0.000 26.66161 30.28385
5 | 24.69091 .8314082 29.70 0.000 23.06138 26.32044
6 | 20.90909 .8314082 25.15 0.000 19.27956 22.53862
7 | 17.12727 .9240586 18.53 0.000 15.31615 18.93839
8 | 13.34545 1.085898 12.29 0.000 11.21713 15.47377
9 | 9.563636 1.291165 7.41 0.000 7.032999 12.09427
10 | 5.781818 1.522395 3.80 0.000 2.797979 8.765657
11 | 2 1.769438 1.13 0.258 -1.468034 5.468034
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Science!
October 20th, 2014 at 12:04 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 1:07 AM ^
It was competitive for a while, before IU's sixth string QB started playing like a 6th string QB and their defense started playing like a typical IU defense.
October 20th, 2014 at 2:37 AM ^
Those are some pretty big breakdowns when the QB isn't much of a threat. Other than those 3 big runs IU gained 50 total yards. Once MSU cleaned up its act it was a complete rout.
It's hard to see how there was a serious decline in the QB's play during the game. He threw for 11 yards and 0 INT.
October 20th, 2014 at 3:55 AM ^
was also credited with 10 rushes for minus 12 yards. so he had a combined minus 1 yard on 25 touches. i don't think i have ever seen a QB have negative yardage after that many touches.
October 20th, 2014 at 8:19 AM ^
Not to be a jerk, but every game is competitive for a while since they all start at 0-0. When you're criticizing a team that won on the road by 5 touchdowns, it's just nitpicking.
October 20th, 2014 at 6:46 AM ^
Against a 5th string QB.
Take a long hard look at MSU's schedule. They have only played 2 good teams (Neb. And Oregon). Purdue (!) moved the ball on them. I don't think they're as good as their ranking.
I may be proven horribly wrong on Saturday, but I think we'll at least make this game close.
October 20th, 2014 at 7:27 AM ^
I've said as such in the past on here and have gotten downvotes. This MSU team is really not that good and we aren't that bad.
I don't think we win, but we keep it close and certainly cover the 15.5 (or something like that)
October 20th, 2014 at 7:49 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 9:05 AM ^
has some semblance of an offence. Any of the teams they played do.
Michigan was a DB's DERP away from not scoring a TD against Penn State.
It doesn't matter if MSU's defense isn't as good as it was in previous years. The drop-off level from where they were to where they are is A LOT less than the leve lfrom where UM's offense was from this time last year to where it is now.
October 20th, 2014 at 9:32 AM ^
Purdue just scored 38 on Minnesota. In Minnesota. How did our offense do against Minnesota, at home?
People need to realize that Purdue's offense is better than ours right now. At least they have an identity and a plan. We look like we're just trying to find a way to string 5 or 6 plays together to get into scoring position most of the time.
Add to that the fact that we're on the road, and MSU always gets up for this game more than we do, and there is a chance that it gets ugly. And you know that MSU isn't taking their foot off the gas against us like they did with Purdue or Nebraska.
The players had better be ready for a brawl, and actually fight back in this one.
October 20th, 2014 at 11:12 AM ^
precisely what thayre walking into, they better be prepared to fight bc sparty will try to dominate and embarass them
October 20th, 2014 at 12:04 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 1:25 AM ^
sailed for the time being. Every week will diminish the return on firing DB. The coaching hire is the key. I don't know who would drive the CC if DB is fired at or near December. That would truly bring chaos.
The time to fire DB was last week during the bye. Schlissel is not able to swallow that pill. So be it. The longer he takes the more I support DB to vet and hire the next coach. There comes a time to circle the wagons.
October 20th, 2014 at 2:13 AM ^
Pretty damn sure they want an AD in place before firing Brandon, hence why it will take longer.
If he does survive then I just don't know...
If Florida fires Muschamp Monday, and hires our #1 coach sometime in December and January while we're still stuck with Hoke's and Brandon's dumbasses we haven't learned shit from the two prior coaching cycles.
I give up...
October 20th, 2014 at 2:45 AM ^
if DB were doing fine I'd expect him to have contacted agents for other coaches by now. If it's Bates or Long or some other experienced AD I'm sure they would know who to call. To think that we would be hiring both an AD and coach in one month... it's just crazy.
The current AD should rightfully be scrambling trying to put together a plan/package that will get the right guy. A new hire has to assess the team, the politics and ps and qs and turn it all around in a week or so perhaps. The schedule is tight. Wouldn't you rather have DB take the onus of fixing his mistakes than Bates coming in and having his agenda handed to him by Schlissel, who is out of his depth, or worse yet the regents.
I don't like Brandon but I think he knows more about hiring football coaches at this point than the president or the regents ever will know or care to know.
October 20th, 2014 at 7:54 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 8:44 AM ^
Sorry no I truly believe Brandon hasn't learned shit. He is only doing what he is doing now due to public pressure and negativiy. He doesn't give a crap about the fanbase as long as he gets his way, which is usually a detriment to Michigan in every form possible except its pocketbooks.
I think Long and Bates are rather experienced in being ADs, so they will know what to do on the get go.
And if the micromanaging rumors are true, then I DEFINITELY don't want Brandon anywhere near the HC vacancy. We don't need Brady Hoke or another kind of Brady Hoke.
Apparently Basketball seating is still the same disaster it was last year which may explain the good PR from the football ticket announcments, since they just happened to coincide on the same day. Someone correct me if I am wrong. Typical DB bullshit.
October 20th, 2014 at 9:03 AM ^
remember that he was bragging about how stupid we all are for thinking that we should judge a coach based on the football product and not basing it on how they are in an interview.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:05 AM ^
35-3. Calling it now. Hope I'm wrong
October 20th, 2014 at 12:07 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 7:57 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 11:30 AM ^
We are bad, and MSU will be out for blood. DG will be having flashbacks to last year. His ribs will prematurely start hurting about Thursday.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:08 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 20th, 2014 at 12:08 AM ^
I noticed this a couple years ago and had forgotten. Thanks. Really.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:08 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 12:08 AM ^
If I was like the "Michigan Men" of the 2008-2010 era, I would cheer for Sparty to win so the housecleaning may happen sooner. But I can't ever cheer for Michigan to lose a game.
I hate that the program has gone down this far, but I am hoping for the "MIchigan Spoilermakers" to make an appearance.
October 20th, 2014 at 12:41 AM ^
I've seen enough uninspired and disorganized football the last three years.
The monkey rodeo needs to end.
October 20th, 2014 at 7:26 AM ^
October 20th, 2014 at 12:39 PM ^
Someone paged?
October 20th, 2014 at 12:14 AM ^
So at least RichRod's offense (that one that won't work in the Big 10) scored 2 - 3 touchdowns per year vs. Sparty, while Coach "ManBall" has only 2 touchdown in his 3 years. AWESOME!