Write this down: 'Sometimes you get...' [Patrick Barron]

Upon Further Review 2021: Offense vs WMU Comment Count

Seth September 8th, 2021 at 12:43 PM

If you hadn’t heard I’ll be your new UFR guy.

Formations:

WMU responded to Michigan’s heavy stuff by setting up with their MLB down off the butt of the NG. Usually that resulted in that guy eating a face full of guard several yards downfield. I called this “3-4 Mike.”

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Michigan’s 4th and 1 formation had 3 TEs and 6 OL: Trente Jones was the rightside TE, Honigford and Schoonmaker were on the left, and All is the H-back.

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I called it “Beef.”

[After THE JUMP: Beef.]

Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M25 1st 10 Gun 2TE Twins 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 2-high Run 8 Power Haskins 4
TEs are Zinter(+.5) and Honigford(+.5) and they run Power there. They and Filiaga(+1) blow out one edge and ILB who set up inches off. Keegan(-1) has to kick edge who set up inside and whiffs. HH(+1) runs through that guy for 4 yards. RPS-1 there's a safety coming down to hit too because everyone knows M wants to run here.
M29 2nd 6 Pistol 2TE Unbalanced 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 2-high Run 8 Split Zone Haskins 3
All back in for Zinter. Unbalanced with Honigford covered on the short side will All(-1) lined up wide. He and Honigford(-1) get wiped out by that WMU DE I like after Hayes chipped him as well. Vastardis(+.5) and Keegan(+.5) wiped out the NG with a double. HH(+.5) fights for a couple extra.
M32 3rd 3 Gun 5-wide 3-3-5 Okie 1-high Pass 6 TE Slant All 11
DE in coverage and McN(+2) sees it and slips it to All(route+) before that guy can back out. Or safety over him can react. Sain(+) had Nk beat on a fade; file that away. (DO, 3, Prot 1/1)
M43 1st 10 Pistol 2TE Twins 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 2-high Run 7 Power Lead Haskins 2
Same as before, the FS DE isn't read so he crashes and Keeg(-1) can't dig him out. Leaves little room for Honig as lead to squeeze through and HH can only dive into the mess. (RPS-1)
M45 2nd 8 Gun 2TE Twins 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 2-high Pass 8 Comeback C.Johnson 10
WMU jumps but no downfield routes. McN(+.5) puts it high so CJ has to jump when he comes back. Still a 1st down and since it's a free play I don't mind that this is a beat late in case something opened. (CA-, 2, Prot 1/1)
O45 1st 10 Pistol 2TE 3-4-4 3-4 Crowd 2-high Run 7 Split Zone Corum 18
M motions Bell and then brings Schoon as well (RPS+) WMU has entire front rolled close to the LOS and a LB loses track of his gap with all the motion. So Ravens! Vastardis(+.5) and Keegan(+.5) help by making big walls and Corum(+2) blows by this guy and a safety until guy C.Johnson(-1) lost gets him.
O27 1st 10 Gun 2T Flex 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 1-high Run 6.5 Zone Read Give Corum 2
Think this is a real read? WMU brings down a S and McN(read+) can't test him. WMU has 6 guys at LOS and slanting hard frontside, Honig(-1) doesn't recognize he can pop the S so Corum can only burrow.
O25 2nd 8 Gun 3-wide 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 2-high Run 7 Power Lead Corum 3
Fake read of the PS DE doesn't stop him from crashing the kick. (RPS-2). Filiaga(-1) can't budge him, Corum(+.5) cuts back into the extra LB in the box and falls forward. Some room because Vastardis(+1) cleared out the NG.
O22 3rd 5 Gun 4-wide 2-4-5 Eagle 7 1-high Run 7 Arc Give Corum 4
McN(RPO+) gets S to stay outside, Vastardis(-.5) takes a shot from NG and can't redirect to blitzer. Corum(+1) runs through that guy into air created by Stuebs(+1) then gets stuck by MLB 2 yards short. Refs(+1) give them one.
O18 4th 1 Beef 3-4-4 3-4 Crowd 1-high Run 9 Split Zone Haskins 4
All(+1) shoulders edge, Schoon(+1) blows out the edge, not academic bc Filiana(-2) thrown back and lets a DT under him. HH(+1) runs through him and unblocked edge (no read).
O14 1st 10 Pistol Tight 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 2-high Pass 8 Flare screen Corum 14
“That's a Touchdown!” we collectively thought the moment it was thrown, on target by McN(+1). Bell(+1) and Sainristil(+1), erase blockers, Corum(+1) has a safety he eludes. (CA, screen, prot n/a)
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 7-0. 10 min 1st Q. Corum and his Sainristil escort also set up M on the WMU21 next drive.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
O21 1st 10 Pistol Heavy 4-4-3 4-4 Under 2-high Penalty 8 False Start Vastardis -5
Everyone goes on the clap, Vastards(-1) didn't snap it. Oops
O26 1st 15 Gun 3-wide 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Pass 7 Curl Bell Inc
Clean pocket, Bell is getting harassed and McN(-1) might see a free flag. Batted at the line so must of the grab ends up legal. (BA, 1, prot 2/2)
O26 2nd 15 Gun 3-wide 3-3-5 3-3-5 Even 2-high RPO 7 RPO Power Haskins 0
RPS-3 they have this play dead to rights with a S high over the slant and all three LBs blitzing the frontside. Filiaga(-.5) for letting a well-coached DE get low and spin off I guess. McN (RPO+) I guess.
O26 3rd 15 Gun 4-wide 3-2-6 3-2-6 Eagle 1-high Run 6 Split Zone Corum 8
Give up and kick. Bring All(+1) all the way across to pop the HSP. WMU WLB tracks this and is in his gap but Corum(+2) dodges and picks up most of the long yards to shorten the FGA.
Drive Notes: FG(37). 10-7. 4 min 1st Q. Know you like to run coach but feel like you're a bit too committed to the bit.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M17 1st 10 Gun trips tight 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high RPO 8 OZ/Bubble Corum 0
This is #SpeedinSpace but McN(read-1) gives on shuffling end when he has numbers outside to the S to CJ. Honig(-1) stood up by DE, unblocked Fayad tracks him down.
M17 2nd 10 Gun 5-wide 4-2-5 4-2-5 Over 2-high Pass 6.5 TE Snag All Inc
Keegan lets a DT inside him and ball has to get out. Other DT gets arm up. All is crossing a LB and getting a little interfered with, ball loops over him. McN(-2) low arm angle is going to cause some INTs (BA, 0, Prot 0/1, Keegan-1)
M17 3rd 10 Gun Flex 3-3-5 3-3-5 stack 1-high Pass 6 Fade Bell 33
Worst officiating crew of all time ruins one of the greatest catches of all time. McN(+2). Refs-4. (DO, 1, Prot 2/2) Replay so they can’t memory hole this.
M9 3rd 18 Gun 5-wide 3-2-6 Dime 1-high Pass 5 Slant C.Johnson 5
GUAP. Slant underneath connects, gets no YAC. McN(+.5) (CA, 3, Prot 1/1)
Drive Notes: Punt. 10-7. 13 min 2nd Q. Announcers fill time while waiting for Robbins punt to land by continuing to go off on that call.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M17 1st 10 Gun flex trips 4-2-5 4-2-5 Under 2-high Run 6 Zone Read Give Corum 1
Rich Rod ZR with ignored Bubble. End shuffles, McN(Read-1) gives, DE tackles because you're supposed to read him. Honig(-2) gets stood up to smush this dead. Bubble was open, WMU was slanting playside. Do I RPS this? Does Michigan read?
M18 2nd 9 Gun flex trips 4-2-5 4-2-5 Even 2-high Pass 7 TE Bash All 6
Calling this a screen in the charting but really it's M running bash with a flip to the TE instead of a jetting RB/WR outside. McN(+.5) (RPO+) never looks at Henning coming wide open because there's an unblocked DE he's probably reading. He does throw off his back foot and put it where All(+1) can twist to turn upfield, then grind out yards bc guy who left Henning arrives immediately. (CA+, 2, screen)
M24 3rd 3 Gun Trips 2-4-5 Eagle 6 1-high Pass 8 Slot Fade Bell 76
The guts to throw this on 3rd and 3. WMU shows 8 and sends 3, Bell gets a step on the Nk and McN(+3) launches it right where it needs to be. 111,000 people send "Don't you dare OPI that" to the line judge...he does not OPI that, nor DPI the late shove from a dying DB that makes this a bit harder of a catch. Bell celebrates with the basketball team, who had their shot and can't have him back. (DO+, 2, Prot 1/1)
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 17-7. 9 min 2nd Q. Bell's season ends on the next punt return.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
O31 1st 10 Pistol 2TE Unbalanced 3-4-4 4-2-5 Over 2-high Run 7 Power Haskins 9
Well look at that: WMU's safeties aren't lined up in our nose hairs anymore. Zinter(+2) as covered inline TE inside Hong(+1) and they obliterate edge. M trying to lure WLB into backside gap but he doesn't bite (RPS-1). Huge win on frontside doesn't matter. Filiaga(+1) solid kick and HH (+.5) runs through one guy for a few extra.
O22 2nd 1 Pistol TE Twins 3-4-4 3-4 Over 2-high Pass 8 Dumpoff Haskins 0
Zinter gets crossed, immediate pressure. WMU bust downfield has Wilson SCREAMINGLY wide open but McN(-1) dumps to HH who's immediately tackled. Harsh since this could be PR or even CA for saving a sack but that's for people who can get Wilson running all alone out of their heads. (BR, 3, Prot 0/2, Zinter-2)
O22 3rd 1 Beef 4-4-3 4-4 Under 2-high Run 9 Split Zone Haskins 22
Honig(-1) lost on edge to the DE I like but backcut is open bc Keegan(+2) reached a DT, Vastardis(+1) locked out his, and Zinter(+.5) and Stueber (+.5) moved theirs. 1st down achieved, HH(+3) trucksticks a safety, keeps his footing, and walks in.
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 24-7. 6 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M35 1st 10 Pistol Trips Tight 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Pass 7 Flare screen Corum 8
Works again. McN(+.5) on target, Zinter(+1) reached Fayad, Sainristil(+2) escorts CB to the sideline, Wilson(-1) loses his guy and gets away with a grab (refs+1). That stretches it out so WMU DBs can rally. (CA, screen, Prot n/a)
M43 2nd 2 Pistol FB Unbal 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Run 7.5 Split Zone Corum 10
Keegan(-1) gets spun by Holley, Corum(+1) bursts past that into a lane created by Vastardis(+.5) and Filiaga(+.5), and through an ankle grab by the SAM. Hayes(+.5) watched his LB go outside and turned around, and this helps bc Fayad was coming back.
O47 1st 10 Pistol FB 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Run 7.5 Power Lead Corum 5
Extreme #EstablishingTheRun (note the clock). WMU expecting exactly this and it works anyway, which makes Harbaugh happy and gets an RPS-2 for delivering an unblocked LB to the hole they're attacking. Vastardis(+.5) does a better job against Holley, Filiaga(+1) and Stueber(-1) double a DT but Stuebs turns around instead of trying to get out at the trailing WLB. Schoon(+.5) halts the MLB, All(+1) thunks the crashing DE inside this time (adjustment!) and Keegan(+.5) kicks a CB. Corum(+1) sidesteps the MLB and turns the corner. Stueber's guy and S arrive to hold this down.
O42 2nd 5 Pistol 3-wide 4-3-4 4-3 Under 2-high Run 7 Belly Corum 8
Fake read (block read?) of the SAM who chucks Henning(-1) after setting up outside. All(+1) blew out DE but WMU LB exchanges. Corum(+2) bounces off that guy, carries AJ's guy through a safety for 3 yards. RPS+/- here since "read" wrongsided SAM but gap exchange should have worked.
O34 1st 10 Gun TE Flex 4-3-4 4-3 Over 2-high Run 6.5 Arc Give Haskins 12
McN(read+) as WMU tries the Army flip without the slant. Filiaga(+1) controls Holley who tried to slant by him, Vastardis(+1) locks out a LB who waited for it. Big gap.
O22 1st 10 Gun Twins Tight 4-3-4 4-3 Over 2-high Run 6.5 Dive Haskins 2
This could be IV and McN reads the safety who's coming down but I think the read is 100% fake because that S and everybody is focused on the RB. Nobody blocks backside (RPS-2) so HH has Fayad on his back and can't get outside despite Schoon(+1) crushing his DE, and a run support S if he did get out of that. My apologies to Drain: M did have all 3 timeouts. 1:18 left and they don't use one.
O20 2nd 8 Gun 3-wide 4-3-4 4-3 Over 2-high Run 7 Counter Trey Haskins 7
Timing of this is messed up. There's a fake backside read and no counter step, so All and HH(+2) collide while Keegan(+1) is turning in his DE. All is wasted but exchange LB guns for that gap and Haskins stomps that dude then hurdles a fool. 2021 Fools Hurdled Count: 1. RPS-1.
O13 3rd 1 Goal line 4-3-4 4-3 Over 0-high Run 9 QB Sneak Cade 2
Tempo. They get it. Vastardis(+1) gets to LB, HH pushes McN over.
O11 1st 10 Gun Trips 4-3-4 4-3 Over 0-high Run 9 Counter Trey Corum 7
Counter Trey with Sainristil motioning to become the TE. Fake read on the other side, shuffle, Keegan(-1) gets two-side by DE and Corum(+1) has to stop then cut past a safety behind Filiaga(+2) who kept feet moving and pancaked DT he and Vastardis doubled. Walk-in TD if Hayes(-2) didn't stop blocking and turn upfield instead of locking out the S. Guessing that one gets called out in film session. RPS-1, and hat tip to how the WMU DEs are coached (by DC Lou Esposito (not THAT Espo)).
O4 2nd 3 Pistol 2TE trips 4-3-4 4-3 Even 0-high Run 9 Dive Haskins 3
No read, WMU slanting. Filiaga(+1), Vastardis(+1), Keegan(+1) go to the IHOP buffet, HH gets what's there. No RPS because goal line.
O2 3rd 1 Gun 2TE Flex 4-3-4 Goal line 0-high Run 9 Arc Give Haskins -1
McN(read-3) or RPS-3 depending on whether they told him to read or burn a down. Unblocked DE gets a free shot at the handoff. Only excuse is 4 points don't matter in this game.
Drive Notes: FG (20). 27-7. 6 seconds 2nd Q. Good thing our coaches only do this against WMU amirite?
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M20 1st 10 Gun TE Flex 4-3-4 4-3 Even 0-high Pass 6.5 TE Bash All 6
Works better because Sainristil(+2) is lead blocker. Puts a S into the sideline then goes looking for more. Other S has arrived though so All runs into the first one. McN(+.5) (RPO+). (CA, Screen, Prot n/a)
M26 2nd 4 Pistol 2TE trips 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Run 7.5 End Around Henning 74
My first day on the job I +3 two guys on the same play. Looks like P&P with C and BS TE/WR all crossing the formation after the snap. WMU LBs are focused on RB. Vastardis(+3) reaches and cuts LB, Hayes(+.5) takes out the other. CJ(-1) loses his CB and All(-1) whiffs on S but Henning(+3) leaps over that and jets past CJ's guy and last LB and puts on the afterburners. HH(+1) hustled downfield to make the last block.
O3 2PC 3 Villaricat 4-3-4 Goal line 0-high Run 8 QB Split Zone Villari 2
Villari and All in the backfield, Keegan(-2) tries to do too much, gets only a glancing blow on his LB and can't really help on the S coming in. Block your guy and let Villari deal with the DB; that's the point right?
Drive Notes: Touchdown (2PC failed). 33-7. 10 min 3rd Q. Backups come in, end of serious charting.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M23 1st 10 Pistol 2TE 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Run 7 Arc Give Edwards 5
Sainristil(+1) leads outside followed by Honig, JJ(Read-1) has a 3-on-1 outside but gives to Edwards(+1). WMU is pinching so he patiently gathers, then Vastardis(+1) and Hayes(+1) create a late backside gap to the S.
M28 2nd 5 Pistol FB Unbal 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Run 8 Power Lead Edwards 4
Honig(-.5) chucked on his kick, Filiaga(+2) heady play to pick up the DT who slanted past Keegan and turn. Edwards(+1) steps around a blitzing (RPS-1) LB. CB blitzing but can't arrive in time.
M32 3rd 1 Beef 4-4-3 4-4 Under 0-high Run 11 Power Lead Haskins 3
Honig(+2) drives DE so well Stuebs(+.5) gets an LB, All(+.5) gets his kick, Keegan(-1) misses but Haskins(+1) cuts decisively and leaps between the now-closing gap between 84 and 83. (Gap 83.5!!!) for an academic 1st down.
M35 1st 10 Pistol Trips TE 3-4-4 3-4 Crowd 0-high Pass 10 Flare screen Edwards 3
WMU S's at 7 yards and one blitzes. All(-1) turns around when his blitzy LB won't matter, refs(-2) miss a nasty both hands to the face on Sainristil(+1) who still made room to the sideline while carrying this guy clutching his face like a zenomorph. Last S runs it OOB. RPS+1. Seriously, Big Ten, this line judge needs to be taken out of the rotation immediately. McN(+.5) (CA, screen, Prot n/a)
M38 2nd 7 Pistol FB 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Run 7 Split Zone Edwards 3
JJ changes play at the line. Stuebs(-.5) and Filiaga(-.5) get hung up on DT and let MLB in unmolested. Edwards(+.5) mostly dodges that guy to turn a loss into a short gain.
M41 3rd 4 Gun 2TE trips Unbal 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Pass 7 Bubble Screen Sainristil -3
RPS-3 M takes a lot of yelling to get set up in unbalanced and WMU is laughing. They run the world's most obvious bubble screen and WMU blows it up. Arm strength sort of an issue here perhaps. McN(-2) bc he should have called TO.
Drive Notes: Punt. 33-7. 2 min 3rd Q. Robbins's punt is still up there as far as I know.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M13 1st 10 Pistol 2TE trips 4-3-4 4-3 Over 2-high Run 8 End Around Wilson 43
RPS+1 DL crashes on RB, Wilson started in a TE spot so no idea this is coming. Hayes(+1) escorts a DB to the backfield, Schoon(+1) kicks the edge, Vastardis(+1) bodies a LB, Corum(+1) got downfield to block. All(+.5) and Baldwin(+.5) doing work downfield bleeding yards as their guys just want to end this. Wilson(+1) also turned on the jets for a second to make the LBs give up.
O44 1st 10 Pistol Heavy 4-3-4 4-3 Over 2-high Run 7.5 Power Corum 3
RPS off. Fee edge and slant gets a DT past Vastardis(-1). Zinter(+1) turns edge and Schoon(+1) turned out LB, but unblocked guy and Hayes(-1) whiff on another LB close this down.
O41 2nd 7 Gun trips tight 4-3-4 4-3 Under 1-high Pass 7.5 Curl Henning 11
A PASS! This is the first non-screen since the Bell toss. Pocket clean-ish, JJ(+1) (results-based) can step up as Filiaga runs his DT upfield (Prot+1). Could find a screaming wide open Wilson but this probably sped him up so he rips it to AJ Henning under the safety who let Wilson go. (CA, 2, Prot 1/2, Filiaga-1)
O30 1st 10 Pistol FB Twins 4-3-4 4-3 Under 1-high Run 7.5 Arc Give Corum 30
WMU slants frontside and this puts an unblocked LB Zinter couldn't get to. RPS-1. Corum(+3) makes that LB look like me out there. Hayes(+1) picks off a safety and speed does the rest.
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 40-7. 13 min 4th Q. Garbage time, but one more drive for the Sickos.
Ln Dn Ds OForm DPack Front CovLook Type Box Play Player Yards
M20 1st 10 Gun Heavy 4-3-4 4-3 over 1-high Run 8 Split Zone Corum 12
Line is (L->R) Barnhart-Filiaga-Crippen-Zinter-Jones, for you depth chart watchers. Fake read of DE of LB who's way out there, WMU gets three guys to playside, don't care RPS is off. Also Filiaga(+1) authoritative kickout, Honigford(+1) buries a LB, Seltzer(+2) holds two guys outside while Trente Jones rides a DT's back right in front of the refs(+1) for pancake #3. Corum(+1) runs through that and then an arm tackle. White flags.
M32 1st 10 Pistol Heavy 4-3-4 4-3 Over 2-high Pass 7.5 TE Bash McCarthy -16
Huge def hold (refs-2) as DE isn't going to let the Schoon get loose and yanks him in a circle. Arm is sorta moving forward but can't because there's a defender's arm in the way so Brady/Woodson call on the forward pass (personally I side with Woodson). JJ(-3) wants to throw it at this but waits too long for guy he read to get into his chest and throws it backwards. (BAx, screen, Prot n/a)
M16 2nd 26 Gun 3-wide 3-4-4 3-4 Mike 2-high Run 6.5 Counter Trey Edwards 2
Fake Read, Zinter(+1) turns edge, Seltzer(-1) overruns, Edwards gets what he can.
M18 3rd 24 Gun flex 3-wide 3-3-5 3-3-5 stack 2-high Pass 6.5 Deep cross Henning 15
Offsides, free play. Three man rush vs six is all day. Prot+1. Has Seltzer quite open on the other side but instead goes to Henning, who gets tackled by the safety. Refs throw the flag so late I'm sure the crowd reaction caused it. (Not charted, 0, Prot 1/1)
M33 1st 10 Pistol 2TE Unbalanced 4-3-4 4-3 Under 2-high Run 6.5 Split Zone Edwards 9
A-gap blitz and Filiaga(-1) (RPS-1) doesn't pick it up. Edwards(+2) goes around Zinter's guy and drags him along until the guy can't hold jersey any longer. SPRONG! 9 yards. Rootin for ya in UCLA Zach.
M42 2nd 1 Pistol 2TE FB 4-3-4 4-3 Over 1-high Run 7.5 Power Lead Edwards 4
Safety at 9 yards. Zinter(+1) crumples the end w Jones(+.5) who comes off late but does take down his LB outside when Seltzer(-1) can't get movement on his kickout. Filiaga goes outside instead of clogging that up further, pile lurches for a couple.
M46 1st 10 Gun trips tight 4-3-4 4-3 Even 1-high Pass 7.5 Deep cross Henning Inc
CB blitz but JJ doesn't see Anthony immediately wide open on the fade. Does see AJ but AJ stops and JJ(-1) zings outside his body. (MA, 2, Prot 2/3, TEAM-1).
M46 2nd 10 Gun 3-wide Flex 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Pass 6.5 RB Flat Edwards -15
Barnhart knocked a guy's helmet off and also got shoved by that guy. JJ(-2) chucks when a gentle wheel could be a chunk. Coming back anyway. (IN, 0, Prot 0/1, Barnhart-1)
M31 2nd 25 Gun 3-wide Flex 4-3-4 4-3 Even 2-high Pass 6.5 PA Seam Seltzer Inc
JJ(-1) puts it a little behind Seltzer—wrong side of the same hash actually—and Seltzer has to turn around. Drops it. (MA, 2, Prot 2/2). Anyway we're just here for...
M31 3rd 25 Gun 3-wide Flex 3-3-5 3-3-5 stack 2-high Pass 6 Henson Special Baldwin 69
The Unicorn. Zinter's club hand is useless, RB Leon Franklin should stay bc not like a dumpoff can do much. JJ(+4) sheds the LB, drifts to within 5 yards of the sideline, and puts it 5 yards inside the numbers and 7 yards past the line to gain. Baldwin(route+2) adjusts to a thing we've never seen before. (DO+++, 2, Prot 1/3, Zinter-2)
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 47-7. 8 min 4th Q. Last drive starts at 3 min and is Villari and Leon Franklin so we're done here.

Mike Hart but fast!

My aren’t you chipper this week.

I got some good football feels back; just don’t show me anything negative.

Well I’ve got some good news re: The running backs. MAC caveats need apply but Corum’s tape was even better than the feels. When coach types talk about “bring your own blocking” they usually mean setting up defenders so your linemen can clear them out. Escaping a linebacker who’s sharing your phone booth without him getting a hand on you is a thing we have not seen much of.

It’s impossible to avoid invoking the Great Little One’s name. The way Corum stutters his feet so the linebackers can’t figure out where to attack (nope, not there!) was a vintage Mike Hart trait.

As is the acceleration. If you get a little bit out of your lane he’s going to take it from you, at which point your only solace is you’re not going to be the only back seven defender called out in this film session.

And then he is fast. The first touchdown was THE THING we’ve been pining for from this offense (other than reads with the starting QB), a quick swing pass that puts Corum in space. Watch how fast he gets from the 15 yard line to the 10 yard line. As soon as that happens it’s ovah!

MAC caveats apply—big running back days correlate with bad linebacker play and the Broncos have a few very bad linebackers. But that caveat takes us from “You can rely on Corum to score all the points” to a mere “defenses are going to have to do unsound things to account for this guy.” Star goes on the FFFF chart.

So you’ve already moved on from Hassan Haskins? I thought he was your dude.

Hassan Haskins remains my dude. There is a Magic: The Gathering concept called “Trample” where if you manage to sacrifice one of your poor creatures to stop the other player’s rampaging beast, they still do damage after your pawn’s been run through. If Haskins was a MTG monster he would have Trample.

This isn’t just a BRRRUUAAH strength thing. Haskins sees things before they happen, and uses Step #2 to set up what he’s going to do on Step #8. THEN he is too strong to bring down. He also uses that and tools like his lethal jump cut to time his attacks just right. The holes look bigger than they are because the moment the pulling guard impacts the guy setting the edge is the moment Haskins uses to pop through. This ability saves Michigan from getting bottled up when the blocking gets messed up, or the timing of the play is thrown off.

I used to watch the MSU games with my Sparty little brother and some local HS coach friends of his, and during Le’Veon Bell’s years they had a “Fools Hurdled” tracker. I’m starting one for Haskins in 2021. Fools Hurdled: 1. Haskins also hustled downfield to make the final block that sprung AJ Henning.

As Brian wrote in the game column yesterday, Haskins and Corum are going to get about even carries and I’m happy with that. A thunder-lightning duo is one of those football tropes that actually comes from a real thing. Getting hit sucks, and the more it happens the more mental effort it takes to convince your body to go through it again. It physically wears you out. And then when you need that extra juice to make an all-or-nothing grab at the Lightning, you don’t have it.

Speaking of Lightning-Thunder combos, how was Donovan Edwards’s debut?

Delicious. When Edwards came on the field Michigan was already up 33-7 and had not thrown the ball past the line of scrimmage since the Ronnie Bell fade 18(!) offensive snaps prior. The WMU safeties had retaken their positions nine yards off the line of scrimmage, Michigan’s QB read game was completely off. Almost all of his 4.5 YPC this game was also YAC.

Michigan also had him moving around the offense in various wideout roles, which he did in high school as well. No need to show what their plans are in this game, but there are plans.

So are you ready to declare the running backs the greatest in modern history?

You know what rhymes with Hart?

HARTCHART.

Offensive Line
Player + - T Notes
Hayes 4 3 +1 Blocked backsides they never ran off.
Keegan 5.5 6 -0.5 Puller, WMU was coached to beat his kickouts.
Vastardis 12 1.5 +10.5 Reached a LB on the Henning end around. OL of the day.
Filiaga 10.5 3 +7.5 His kind of game.
Stueber 2 3.5 -1.5 Quiet day in the downblock mines.
Zinter 7 0 +7 Can't pass pro one-handed but can club people.
T.Jones 0.5   +0.5 Extra TE sometimes.
Crippen     DNC Center #2.
All 6 3 +3 Used as a fullback. Good at Mason things.
Honigford 3.5 4.5 -1 Pointman, no pass threat, got beat up by (good) WMU DEs.
Schoonmaker 4.5   +4.5 Caved a few edges.
Seltzer 2 2 +0 Blocked 2 guys.
TOTAL 57.5 26.5 +31 Beat up WMU inside.
Backs
Player + - T Notes
McNamara     DNC Zero carries.
McCarthy     DNC Not here either.
Villari     DNC Villaricat 2PC
Haskins 9.5   +9.5 Solid jersey investment.
Corum 16.5   +16.5 Mike Hart but fast.
Edwards 4.5   +4.5 Enticing debut.
TOTAL 30.5   +30.5 Enjoy Pasadena, Zach.
Receivers
Player + - T Notes
C.Johnson   2 -2 Not Bell.
Sainristil 7   +7 Michigan's best tight end.
Henning 3 1 +2 Zooooooom!
Wilson 1 1 -1 Fast. Also not Bell.
Baldwin 0.5   +0.5 Did work on Wilson end around.
Anthony     DNC Didn't get to block much.
TOTAL 11.5 4 +6 Sainristil is a Weapon. Bell was +1/-0 fyi.
Metrics
Player + - T Notes
Protection 15 23 65% Zinter—4, Filiaga, Keegan, Barnhart, TEAM—1
RPS 3 22 -19 Didn't have to be clever, definitively wasn’t.

Thing is I think I believe that.

So I’m not just an insane homer who buys running backs’ jerseys?

That +30.5 for the RBs is some kind of record right?

I looked it up. For sheer volume of things plussed (since 2008) this game came in 7th all time. It is the only one in the top 12 that wasn’t a Denard game.

But those games had offsetting negatives. By half a point, this one edged out the +38.5/-8.5 of the Fritz/Denard Jet game vs Minnesota in 2011—the one where Vincent Smith threw a touchdown--for the highest total ever. Corum’s +16.5/-0 is up there with Toussaint vs 2011 Nebraska and Higdon vs 2017 Indiana in greatest RB days in charting history.

It’s also half a point under the contribution from the offensive line.

Here I get to eat my crow, because all offseason my downer takes about Michigan’s OL were:

  • Filiaga should be replaced by a younger OL.
  • Vastardis is a weak spot.

Those guys were Michigan’s best linemen in this game. With Zak Zinter wearing a club on his right hand, Filiaga got the start at RG and got to do his thing, which was blow up a puny MAC DT on doubles or moving with slants. Trevor Keegan got the start at LG and went off when the rest of the ones did. He also got the majority of those kickout pulls when WMU was setting up their DEs inside and making them hard to kick. He also reach a DT on the truckstick Haskins touchdown.

#77 the LG

That was the very bad non-Holley DT so extra MAC caveats apply. Overall it was a pretty solid debut, and I can see why the race between him and Filiaga was so tight.

The guy who passed expectations and then left hopes in the dust was Andrew Vastardis. The key block on the AJ Henning end-around wasn’t Haskins at the end; it was Vastardis reaching a linebacker.

Only a few of his points were from doubling the afore mentioned nose. WMU was slanting a lot and Vastardis was picking up what was happening and finding his guy on the second level or locking out Holley to give his RBs a shot.

Zinter couldn’t play much pass pro—he had two –2s when he couldn’t do anything about a DT going to his right to account for the bulk of Michigan’s low protection day—which I attributed to the club on his hand. He rotated with Filiaga some, and this probably figured into why they chose not to pass at all for long stretches of the game. They also used him as a sixth OL in their heavy and unbalanced formations, since they couldn’t exactly use him as a full-time OG. That sucks because in the run game he is…well he’s the kind of guy the coaches notice because when he blocks a guy the guy ain’t there no more.

#65, the second “tight end” from left.

There was a weird lack of scoring for the tackles.

Yeah that was weird. Most of the action on the OL took place at the tight ends and the trenches. This came down to the two teams’ game plans I thought. I’ve been going on about WMU’s DE#1, Ali Fayad, since I was so impressed with that guy in 2018 I walked down to give him an ovation (only other time I’ve done this was for Antoine Brooks Jr. of Maryland in 2018). It took just two snaps for Fayad to make his presence felt, beating three(!) blocks to shut down Michigan’s attack.

DE#1 on the top

Michigan’s main rushing strategy was to try to run off tight end, bringing a puller from the backside to kick out the edge. WMU’s strategy was to keep the ends outside where they could crash on the running game and make sure those kickout blocks took place where there was no space to escape, replacing the DEs inside with roving linebackers. Michigan often had the quarterback fake reading that DE to try to get him to hold up, but the Broncos quickly realized the Michigan “reads” were as fake as unofficial forty time. The result was a lot of cutbacks into the interior blocks.

Later on Michigan adjusted by looping around the DE and sealing him inside:

Watch #83 Erick All, who lines up at fullback

The WMU response to that was to start doing the Army thing where the one DE crashes and the other reads that block and exchanges gaps.

image

Michigan’s running backs were routinely turning these LB collisions into solid, clock-draining four-yard gains, but they too adjusted to this adjustment by having the backs start cutting into the A gaps, where 3T Ralph Holley kept trying to blitz the backfield and Filiaga/Vastardis did a good job of sealing him.

But I saw a lot of tight ends.

Right, this too was stra…[eyes narrow].

What?

You were making a sophomoric Honigford joke there.

Guilty.

Yeah, so dropping down to 259 from 300 didn’t do him any favors I think. Michigan still didn’t use him at all in the passing game—he was ignored by the QBs and defense alike the few times he ran a route—and his past effectiveness as a sixth OL was nerfed. Michigan’s RUN BY GOD game plan meant to feature Honigford heavily, but WMU’s decision to put the DEs on edge duty was the kind of matchup that should have gone Michigan’s way if they were running out a Hoss and didn’t because Honigford was just sort of a tight end:

#84 at the top of the formation

I thought Erick All did a much better job at the violence—his shoulders came with ferocity and budged guys. Schoonmaker didn’t get as many kickout opportunities as the other guys, but he was more effective as the end guy who blocks down the inside of those plays. He got his man, and his man stayed put. He still hasn’t been used in the passing game; by the time they even bothered to have one he was off the field for walk-on Carter Seltzer.

All was also the designated target on Michigan’s odd take on BASH. Bash is a counter for teams that run a lot of arc/zone-read/split zone, which looks like the above at first but flips the QB/RB jobs so the running back is speeding out the backside while the QB gets the inside keep. Michigan’s “Let’s not have our QBs run ever” take on this was to use a quick throw to the TE in the flat as the “outside run” read and a handoff as the dive. The best it got was a play where All had to make most of the yards himself, and at worst it put a guy on top of McCarthy while the guy they were supposed to be reading was towing the intended target around by the shoulder pads.

[Hot take voice] MIKE SAINRISTIL IS MICHIGAN’S BEST TIGHT END

That’s what I should have gone with. The guy is a Matchup Problem™ because he does this to your CBs:

#5 WR at the top

This could be Michigan’s base play this year because these guys are so dangerous. Bell’s blocking made it lethal; their other receivers don’t really have that capability.

Michigan already recognizes what they have here. That TE Bash play that worked was essentially using the TE as a slot receiver and the slot receiver as a TE, because Sainristil blocks like one.

#5 the slot receiver on the top hash

Opponents are going to have to adjust for Sainristil mountain goat contributions or get screened to death by Michigan’s RBs, and that should open up other things.

Didn’t we have a guy who was the highest-graded player in the country this week or something?

Oh right, the passing game.

In fairness, there were a few people who forgot we had one this week.

I guess a chart?

CADE MCNAMARA

  Good   Neutral   Bad   Ovr   Reads
Game DO CA SCR   PR MA   BA TA IN BR   DSR GRADE!   RPOs ZRs
Western Mich 3+ 3(3)-           2     1   67% +5   4/5 2/7

Not a lot to grade here. The low sample size messes with us but Cade was efficient when he wasn’t getting the ball batted because of his low release point, though that’s an issue that probably isn’t going away. What you get in return is a guy who knows the offense well enough to feel where there’s going to be an opening, and gets the ball there before the defense can react. Here the defense shows an Okie alignment on 3rd down. McNamara recognizes one of those LBs at the bottom has to be the guy responsible for All and gets it there before that guy can recover from threatening blitz.

Game. Managed. That is until he showed a Michigan quarterback can actually throw a slot fade.

Let’s stay positive by not remembering all the games that could have been altered the last several years if any of our quarterbacks could make that throw consistently. McNamara also placed the other THE BELL CATCH where his receiver had room to grab it on the sideline and the cornerback didn’t have a chance to do anything more than interfere.

As for the seven “reads” I think they were fake anyways—the two “correct” ones were early handoffs (more on that later). The little we saw of the passing game showed why McNamara’s been out ahead.

However the little we saw of his backup showed why that might not remain the case forever.

JJ MCCARTHY

  Good   Neutral   Bad   Ovr   Reads
Game DO CA SCR   PR MA   BA TA IN BR   DSR GRADE!   RPOs ZRs
Western Mich 1+++ 2       3   1x   1     60% -2   0/0  

Other than THAT, what we saw of McCarthy was a ton of zip and a lot of JJ Hearts AJ, to the point where McCarthy was ignoring wiiiide open receivers to lock in on his fellow Chicagoan.

Two were productive (11 yards and a DPI) and the other a miscommunication. Those were chosen over open bombs to Roman Wilson, Carter Seltzer, and Andrel Anthony. In all three instances Henning was the guy to McCarthy’s left (frontside) while the ignored routes were on the backside, so it’s reasonable to assume he was working sideways and threw the first thing open. It’s still a very quick trigger for a favorite. Here’s the All-22 on the pass interference. AJ Henning is the 2nd WR from the top and about to cross this safety with a LB hanging out in the lane. Look down however and the next two reads are Carter Seltzer ten yards from anybody, and Andrel Anthony behind all those guys who realized they let Seltzer get that open.

2021010054-Western Michigan-quite open

Perhaps an icebreaker is in order?

There was also THAT:

Wide receivers?

The scale still goes like so: [0 = uncatchable, 1 = circus catch, 2 = moderate difficulty, 3 = routine] but I changed the headers.

  THIS WEEK   LAST YEAR
Player Uncb Circus Tough Routine   Uncb Circus Tough Routine
Bell   1/2 1/1   12 0/2 4/7 20/20
Johnson     1/1 1/1 6 0/3 2/5 12/12
Sainristil       1/1 4 0/6 2/3 3/5
Henning 0   1/2   1 1/1 1/2 4/4
Wilson         3 0/1 5/7 3/3
Baldwin     1/1          
Anthony                
All 1   1/1 2/2 2 1/5 0/2 9/12
Honigford                
Schoonmaker                
Seltzer     0/1          
Hibner                
Hansen                
Haskins         2      
Corum       2/2 1     6/6
Edwards 1     1/1        

It really REALLY sucks to lose Ronnie Bell.

Depending on your view of referees, that side judge deserves to be Clockwork Oranged to a chair and forced to watch Ronnie Bell’s catch replayed for him every half hour for the rest of his life, or something worse.

Daylen Baldwin’s adjustment to his route portends good things. Roman Wilson got past the second level so fast that safeties won’t be able to play that far up in a real game. That’s about it. Michigan got its two long TDs through the air and those kept them on schedule to keep playing clugball.

Routes: Baldwin++, All+

So speaking of clugball, why is “Punch Self in Face” still in the playbook?

Right, so Michigan was not going to run the quarterback in this game. What they wanted to do was have the defense THINK they might run the quarterback so the DE would form up outside and get clonked by a kickout. Early in the game that was still a possibility.

By the end of the second half WMU wasn’t going to be fooled. Which okay, you can run offense without reading guys. You can’t run offense by fake reading guys, however, because once they know what you’re up to that guy is just a dude you’re not blocking.

WMU DE#1 on the far left

That was the penultimate play of the first half on 3rd and 1 at the three. Your chances there of a first down or a TD are extremely high if you just block everyone and send Haskins into a safety. I don’t get the point. If you’re not going to read, why are you running it? If you are going to read then why can’t your quarterback get it right on the most obvious plays? If you’re practicing getting it wrong why do you think they’ll get it right when four points matters? If you’re converting these into RPOs then why isn’t your quarterback at least throwing those?

And yet here they are, running Rich Rodriguez’s base play: spread them out, check the alignment for a bubble screen so that SAM can’t bother the QB, then read the edge. That’s part of the play.

I don’t know man, but if Jim Harbaugh ever asks me what’s the #1 thing he needs to fix about his coaching I’m going to tell him to stop being afraid to get his QB hit. If this was 2015 we could say “Oh, it’s just WMU why risk it?” and if they didn’t do this sort of thing all the time it would even be fair. Michigan has their QB read guys who are being blocked. They have his back turned to guys they leave unblocked. They stopped their end-of-half MANBALL drive dead in its tracks. I agree with Brian (on the podcast): If Michigan was a read offense they would be using the tune-up game to practice their read offense.

Best guess—and this is just a guess—is that Greg Roman seems to get away with making his reads pre-snap instead of options, so Harbaugh thinks he can do the same. I don’t know what Gattis thinks or how involved he is in those decisions, but he coached under James Franklin for a long time, and Franklin makes this same miscalculation. You can say these guys all make way more than me, and that Shea Patterson got hurt on the first play of 2019 on a QB run, and McNamara probably isn’t near the athlete that Shea was, and the fact that the players were often able to overcome these disadvantages is also attributable to their coaching, and yeah I’ve grasped at all of those things too. I’m not smarter than these people and won’t pretend to be. I just grade the plays and try to understand why they worked or didn’t, and when I graded their gameplan against WMU the broken read option game was the one major thing keeping the score closer than the play deserved.

Also Michigan’s coaches told Sam Webb we’ll probably see more read option stuff from the backup QBs. Since they did that with Patterson, and did it with Milton, and now they’re doing it with McNamara, the most likely explanation is Michigan’s coaches have convinced themselves that it’s better to have their starters make fake reads than actual reads. This layman with a computer thinks this makes Michigan worse at football.

Any Ravens Stuff from Matt Weiss?

Yeah, I really like how they had multiple guys motioning across the formations. They put the fancy stuff away as the score got out of hand, but this play was created by messing with this linebacker (#6) by having Bell’s motion be followed by a tight end pull. Watch that LB freak out as all the bodies are flying to one side, then realize his mistake at the same moment he realizes Blake Corum is entering his world.

WMU#6 the LB on the bottom

The Roman Wilson end around also did this, but Wilson was the trailer and he took the ball.

Heroes?

Blake Corum and Hassan Haskins. The interior OL especially Vastardis. Ronnie Bell was starting to put a Heisman reel together before it.

Maybe not so heroic?

Harbaugh/Gattis burned a lot of downs by fake reading people, paying off a popular preseason take that the offense’s biggest issue is the coaches are trying to run a modern offense without running a modern offense. Andrew Stueber didn’t get to mash face. Zak Zinter couldn’t pass pro with his club on. I ignored Brian’s advice not to clip too many plays for these.

What does it mean for Washington and beyond?

The fact that they did that with absolutely nothing from the quarterback running game is insane. Interior OL might be good. Zinter should be a terror once he’s healthy again. The coaches really do like to run. All the stories you heard about the running backs? They’re real (against a MAC foe).

Comments

GoBlue96

September 8th, 2021 at 1:07 PM ^

Great job Seth. I think the majority of the carries should go to Corum if he continues to play like this against better teams.  I'm sure the defense is relieved when he's out of the game.

OldSchoolz

September 8th, 2021 at 1:15 PM ^

Great review. Loved two things in this game: passes to running backs in space, commitment to downfield blocking by receivers. Dax Hill is as promised. Totally bummed about and for Ronnie Bell.

readyourguard

September 8th, 2021 at 1:22 PM ^

Good job Seth.  Frustrating to see available yards/points left on the field because we can't/don't run the RPO/Read properly.  Hopefully it's just the coaches driving their new car cautiously during the break-in period.  

biakabutoucan_sam

September 8th, 2021 at 1:31 PM ^

I'm hoping it is just that: keeping Cade in bubble wrap if you don't need to bust out the QB runs. Optimistic take: the "fake reads" still let Cade see the play as it would develop and he will identify when to go when it's all B1G and live bullets. 

If the "fake reads" are truly fake, it'd be disheartening. For now, I believe the offense will get the green light and take advantage of those reads against more dangerous opponents.

 

Mich1993

September 8th, 2021 at 1:49 PM ^

Will be interesting to see if we pull out the reads in key situations.  With Shea, I remember him not keeping the whole game, and then on a key third and 3 he'd keep for an easy first down.  It seemed like the strategy was don't get the QB hit and use the keep the defense isn't defending to get key first downs for free.

This doesn't explain the lack of RPO passes.  I'm hoping these will show up as we go as McNamara gets more comfortable running the offense.

mitchewr

September 8th, 2021 at 3:21 PM ^

First of all, Harbaugh has never held the “good stuff” back for the tough opponents. What you see if what you get. 
 

Second, how do you expect us to be competent at running reads against the tough opponents when we never run it against the soft opponents? Time on task is key to doing anything well. If the coaches don’t add reads into the Washington game, then I’ll be shocked if we see them much at all for the rest of the season.

biakabutoucan_sam

September 8th, 2021 at 3:56 PM ^

Devin Gardner spoke on that a bit, essentially saying "Michigan doesn't have the best defense, but playing against your defense in practice > playing WMU and if you can't beat WMU without those wrinkles, you're in trouble".

I know how this has played out in the past, I'm just saying that everything that has been said about Cade and his football IQ and feel for the game gives me optimism that this won't feel like Shea or Milton running the offense.

Gulogulo37

September 10th, 2021 at 1:20 AM ^

I don't think it's an IQ problem. Some of these fake/failed reads are so screamingly wide open. That missed TD at the end of the half is a perfect example. Absolutely no reason they don't run that. It's so basic. Refusing it doesn't fool any defense. We've been hoping they pull out the reads when they need it for the last 2 years and it rarely happens. I'm probably a little less optimistic about the season than I was before the game unfortunately. Although the defense looked better than I expected. But I was a 9-3 guy before the season. Maybe the same but because of how weak some opponents looked. 

The Homie J

September 8th, 2021 at 4:08 PM ^

Yeah, I think instead of having an actual read, Harbaugh/Gattis or whomever must prefer keeping the "QB Keep" in their back pockets for certain moments, hoping to maximize it's effectiveness and keep QB's healthy.  I'm assuming that Milton's broken hand, Cade's nerfed shoulder last year, Shea's oblique in 2019, Dylan's missing head vs Wisconsin, Peters & Speight going down in 2017, Wilton's collarbone in 2016 and Jake Rudock missing time in 2015 is constantly on replay in Harbaugh's head, so he's nerfed his own offense to get his QB's upright and healthy as long as possible.

The RPO's passes that McNamara excelled at last year I'm assuming have to be being saved for better opponents I would think.

But yeah, running a read offense where you're afraid of actually running a QB is an interesting choice and hopefully it doesn't bite us in the ass

Watching From Afar

September 8th, 2021 at 1:45 PM ^

Been saying it for years and I agree with what Seth said in this piece, the QB keepers are called plays to some degree. Think back to the Wisconsin night game and PSU in 2018. In both cases Patterson's biggest runs were arc keepers and I'm putting the emphasis on keeper. There were inside gives after inside gives even when Patterson should have kept, and then on the 4th or 5th one they sprung the keeper when the DE acted in the same manner as the 2 or 3 snaps prior to that.

There has been nothing over the last 2 seasons to make us assume they run actual reads or will all of a sudden turn it on. Last year Milton made (what we assume to be) reads against Minnesota and then stopped after that game. Patterson in 2019 carved MSU apart on RPOs and then those just stopped. Leads me to believe it's a play call and not the basis through which they run the entire offense through. So if you think of it that way, they do turn it off and on to some degree. But the starting position is off.

Michigan Arrogance

September 8th, 2021 at 7:15 PM ^

Could it be a simple risk/reward calculation? Like, they don't want to use the QB (give him the option of keeping) just to keep the D honest and maybe get 2-5 more yards on the give on average.

So they force the give and observe. If the DE crashes every. single. time. (ignoring the potential QB keep), then...

... in a high leverage situation (3rd down, 4th Qtr, tight game, etc) they give the QB the option to keep b/c risking the starting QB is worth it for a 3rd down conversion in a tight game, esp. in half 2 or Q4. Yes, he has to make the right read. But I get the sense these kinds of reads are mostly pretty easy? Esp in the fill room the next week. So, they can go over each of these plays and say, "OK Cade - had this been an actuall read play, do you keep or give (based on the DE)?" 

Then they practice some during the week. I can't imagine they practice the auto give plays *too* much b/c it's so much easier than the read. Just hand off. I suspect they practice the reads in a controlled environment but on game days they install the "gonna be auto gives no matter what" offense until they need it.

I understand there's no evidence that says these guys "hold back the good stuff" but it's just too logical and there's no good explanation for anything other strategem.

Watching From Afar

September 9th, 2021 at 10:54 AM ^

So in my opinion, yes and no. I pushed back on this a few years ago when Seth was doing a neck sharpie or Brian a UFR and were complaining that Patterson was staring at the DE who was crashing and didn't pull. My argument was it wasn't an actual read. Then there was another play that Patterson was staring at no one, there was no DE in his line of sight, but he ran the mesh point through like you would a read option. That's what kind of confirmed it for me. The motion of a read option almost always exists, but it's not a read option. Kind of like Seth said in this piece, it's a predetermined "give" or "keep" call pre-snap. The defense could have 10 people out there, missing the read DE, and it wouldn't matter. That's starting to be the only explanation.

Against a MAC team or in a low stress situation, not having the QB keep is fine if you don't want to subject him to the hit. However, as that goal line play right before the half shows, if you aren't going to seriously threaten the DE with the QB pulling (or the bubble or whatever) then you're relegating yourself to playing a man down on the LoS because your OL ignores a guy that is supposed to hesitate even a quarter of a second to give the RB a head start to the point of attack. If you're not going to make that DE hesitate, then you have to a) block/chip him or b) run something that isn't predicated on the DE not catching the RB in the backfield. I said it elsewhere, but in old Harbaugh times, they go under center and run a dive or power and get the RB going as quickly as possible so the backside guy doesn't matter. In this shotgun offense, it takes forever (comparably) to get the ball back to the QB on the snap and through the mesh point. Add in the TE trying to cross the formation to pick up that backside DE and you get a mess of bodies moving around, which makes Haskins pitter patter in the backfield before finding a hole and accelerating to/through it.

So, I guess on film review, if we follow your logic, on that goal line play they will tell Cade in a normal read, that he should have kept the ball. Which is... fine. I guess? I mean, why run the play then? Even against MAC schools, you run a play to succeed and burning a down seems really... dumb. And more to the point, we've seen this offense for 2 years now and the reads come and go randomly. In some cases, there aren't even nominal reads. The QB turns completely around or looks at a guy getting blocked. You can't inject a read into those types of plays.

My point is, their baseline, the foundational building blocks of their offense at it's most basic isn't RO/RPO. They call QB keeps or the occasional true read in high leverage situations and that's really it. The problem is they burn downs against teams they can't afford to. Give for 1 yard, give for 1 yard, give for 2 yards, keep for 12. They waste valuable snaps to set up the later keep and the reward isn't big enough to just throw away downs when they could actually do the reads correctly every time and keep the defense from winning downs. Why run out of the gun at all when you're not going to use the advantages associated with running from that formation?

stephenrjking

September 8th, 2021 at 1:31 PM ^

"Ronnie Bell was starting to put a Heisman reel together before it."

Wait, what? All he did was...

make an incredible one-handed catch, make a long td catch deep, and make a fabulous punt return in the first half...

Ok, yeah. 

Crud. 

Shop Smart Sho…

September 8th, 2021 at 1:46 PM ^

Rich Rod ZR with ignored Bubble. End shuffles, McN(Read-1) gives, DE tackles because you're supposed to read him. Honig(-2) gets stood up to smush this dead. Bubble was open, WMU was slanting playside. Do I RPS this? Does Michigan read?


I've watched this a dozen times. Someone please tell me I'm not losing my mind and that Honigford is not on the field for this play.

Also, please don't take this as a criticism of the whole. It was excellent, and I'm very glad they're being done this year.

Cmknepfl

September 8th, 2021 at 1:47 PM ^

I was saying the same thing to myself about the reads!!  It cant be overstated enough, how ridiculous it is to do 'fake' reads.  For as much as I hate Urban Meyer, he did a fantastic job explaining teh basics of zone concepts on teh Fox show before he took the NFL job.  once you understand it you realize that running fake reads doesnt just negate the potential benefit the scheme hopes to gain for your offense, it actually turns it into a liability.  

It is galactically stupid for them to be doing this.  Something has to be done.  I think if more people (ie donors, boosters, etc) realized what was being done here there would be accountability.  Instead, I think many assume as you said in teh article, that "oh they make more than me" or "maybe I am missing something"  but I am afraid we arent missing somethign and we are just making the same mistakes over again.   Its the biggest reason that I am not getting too enthused.  And the fact that we were this successful in this game in spite of it just makes me more sad....

GoBlue96

September 8th, 2021 at 1:52 PM ^

Just did hours of research for you

For sheer volume of things plussed (since 2008) this game came in 7th all time. It is the only one in the top 12 that wasn’t a Denard game.

But those games had offsetting negatives. By half a point, this one edged out the +38.5/-8.5 of the Fritz/Denard Jet game vs Minnesota in 2011—the one where Vincent Smith threw a touchdown--for the highest total ever. Corum’s +16.5/-0 is up there with Toussaint vs 2011 Nebraska and Higdon vs 2017 Indiana in greatest RB days in charting history.

Sopwith

September 8th, 2021 at 1:57 PM ^

Harbaugh/Gattis burned a lot of downs by fake reading people, paying off a popular preseason take that the offense’s biggest issue is the coaches are trying to run a modern offense without running a modern offense. 

So if you buy an iPhone in China, there's a pretty good chance it's just a cheap android device in fairly convincing Apple-looking housing. And it runs reasonably well, but it's not what's being ostensibly sold. What I take from Seth's UFR (nice work newbie) is we've got a modern looking offense without actually being modern. The slick packaging is there, but the guts are still a Harbaugh motherboard and chipset.

Watching From Afar

September 8th, 2021 at 2:20 PM ^

The slick packaging is there, but the guts are still a Harbaugh motherboard and chipset.

I'm going to duck as I say this, but if the packaging is the only thing that is changing, I actually think this is not much better than the 2015-2016 Samsung case (under center with 2 TEs and a FB). Even in 2017, with a lost OL coach and a Center and rotating cast of QBs that shouldn't have been starting that year, the ground game could pummel defenses. Their top 3 backs averaged almost 6 YPC when defenses knew their QBs and WRs were outmatched.

The current offense is basically just a shotgun offense that doesn't allow the RB to get a head of steam as he gets the handoff and rips through the hole. Sure, Higdon might have met a LB in the hole, but he was almost at full speed when he got there, ready to put a LB in the ground (Haskins and Corum are just as talented, if not more so). Now, it's messing with mesh points (they're going pistol a lot it seems to give them more direction options and more momentum) that just slows things down.

jsquigg

September 8th, 2021 at 7:36 PM ^

I know everyone defaults to being not as smart as coaches. Coaching is, indeed, a skill, and one that I am not as good at as any football coach at any non-trivial level. That said, running this kind of spread running game is stupid. As pointed out ad nauseam, the 2015-17 versions of the offense also didn't read anyone but they had formational diversity and did more complex things on the line in order to run the ball. Not looking forward to this bullshit burning us yet again.

Watching From Afar

September 9th, 2021 at 11:00 AM ^

Yup, even in 2017 with a young and bad OL, a bad OL coach, and a cast of QBs that were also bad, they could still run over teams pretty well. Their low output runs were usually 2-3 yards because Higdon was going 1000mph at the hole when he got the ball and could fall forward. The low output runs now are 1 yard losses because Haskins has to wait for the mesh point and then accelerate. If you're going to play football in a hallway, which 2015-2017 kind of was and was very annoying a lot of the time, then put in your big guys and get going downhill fast. There were no QB keeps in those offenses either, but they at least didn't mess around with the negatives associated with the lack of QB runs.

jcorqian

September 8th, 2021 at 2:03 PM ^

Great job Seth.  The fake read stuff is just massively mind-boggling, and part of the difference between the thread I started on Ole Miss's offense and ours.