UM opens -14 vs Oregon State
Michigan opened up a 14 point favorite vs Oregon State for Saturday. The line quickly shot up to -15.5 within an hour, but has since came back down to 14.
I think there is some value with UM here. Coming off a very public loss, against an undervalued Utah team. Oregon State will be starting a true freshman QB on the road, in Harbaugh's first home game, with a terrible defense, coming off an underwhelming performance against Weber State (final score doesn't show how much they struggled, which helps keep this line down).
I think this line should be close to 17, and I wouldn't be surprised if it gets there. Small wager on UM at 14.
September 6th, 2015 at 10:08 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 10:12 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 10:13 PM ^
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September 6th, 2015 at 10:15 PM ^
Collins looks athletic. Don't know how bad Weber State is but . . .
http://espn.go.com/college-football/recap?gameId=400756887
Just hoping for a home opener win. Don't care if it's by 14 or 3.
September 6th, 2015 at 10:28 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 10:46 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 10:36 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 10:57 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 11:02 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 10:38 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 10:48 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 11:06 PM ^
In Harbaugh I trust, without question or doubt...
Howeva- it's seems like it's been a long time since we beat a Power-5 team by 2 TD. I'd say forever, but that's just the ol' Michigan "I only remember the Bad Stuff" talking.
Seriously tho - for those who keep accurate records or are true gambling addicts - when WAS the last time we beat a major conference team by 14+ pts?
Guess what my gut is saying is take the 14
September 6th, 2015 at 11:13 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 11:18 PM ^
September 6th, 2015 at 11:23 PM ^
In the Big Ten we absolutely hammered Nebraska the year we were good under Hoke.
September 6th, 2015 at 11:49 PM ^
September 7th, 2015 at 12:07 AM ^
September 7th, 2015 at 6:30 AM ^
September 7th, 2015 at 12:25 AM ^
Come on, it's not that rare. Under Hoke:
2011 - Minnesota (58-0), Northwestern (42-24), Purdue (36-14), Illinois (31-14), Nebraska (45-17)
2012 - Purdue (44-13), Illinois (45-0), Minnesota (35-13), Iowa (42-17)
2013 - Minnesota (42-13), Indiana (63-47)
2014 - Indiana (34-10)
September 7th, 2015 at 9:15 AM ^
That Indiana game totally didn't feel like a 14+ point win.
I guess that's what happens when you score more than the basketball teams.
September 7th, 2015 at 3:21 AM ^
We did it quite often under Hoke as has been pointed out.
But you can keep pretending to believe whatever you want.
September 6th, 2015 at 11:29 PM ^
Screw the doubters!
Just Win!!!!
September 6th, 2015 at 11:40 PM ^
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September 6th, 2015 at 11:48 PM ^
September 7th, 2015 at 9:21 AM ^
IMO, we have to do more than just win. We have to play well and control the game.
Please just win works for Utah, MSU and OSU...maybe BYU and Minnesota.
But for this game, we have to do more.
That's like the Hoke vs. UConn game, you have to do more than just win, we should've destroyed them. We barely "just win" and it was a clear indicator that the season was toast because we were awful (by our standards) despite the win.
If we beat Oregon St. something like 10-7 in an ugly game with no passing or running game, it'll hurt. It'll hurt big time. Because we'll be the same .500 team.
If we control the game and execute and play well, I'll have hope for UNLV, do the same versus them and we'll know that this team is turning the corner THIS season. Cap off the non-conference with a big win over BYU and hello, we may have something. 9-3 won't be so farfetched.
It all starts with these non-conference games.
Also, remember that we have 2 extra days to prepare for Oregon St. - so if we look like shit, eeeek.
Let's go dominate the football game. It doesn't need to be 76-3, but we need to be in control from beginning to end.
September 7th, 2015 at 11:56 AM ^
Yeah, they're wins. But you still feel like hell afterwards because you know your team is awful.
I'm with you. A 42-14 type win would feel good this week.
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September 6th, 2015 at 11:51 PM ^
September 7th, 2015 at 12:00 AM ^
Beavers are bad, making a coaching/style transition, and I think Vegas thinks Utah is good. Like I do.
September 7th, 2015 at 12:10 AM ^
September 7th, 2015 at 12:21 AM ^
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September 7th, 2015 at 12:28 AM ^
1) It's entirely possible it's a meaningless cliche from sports journalism. There are lots of them, after all.
2) If it is a real thing, then it's probably because game action is very much different from practice and you can really emphasize why the stuff you're talking about is important and you see who is actually good.
September 7th, 2015 at 12:28 AM ^
Game situations are just very different from practice. After week 1 you finally have game film to study.
September 7th, 2015 at 2:18 AM ^
Pretty tempting to take Michigan on that one. I suspect a) we'll look a lot better at home and b) Oregon State is one of the worst Big 5 teams this year
September 7th, 2015 at 11:19 AM ^
If we can't cover 14 points then it is officially time to panic. Oregon State is in full-on rebuilding mode. They are trasnitioning to a spread and starting a 2* true freshman QB. It's like a poor man's version of the 2008 RichRod team. If we struggle in this game then a bowl game is in doubt.
September 8th, 2015 at 7:46 AM ^
He's a low 3 star according to two of the services, a high 2 star in another. But, yeah, OSU finally was able to get a few big plays in late in the game against a really bad FCS school whose defensive starters were sucking wind at that point. The rest of your comment is spot on.
September 7th, 2015 at 2:53 PM ^
and total just came out at 48...........Looking like a 31-17 type win or so.
September 7th, 2015 at 3:17 PM ^
Seems a little low for the line. I hope to see a huge win in my first game in 5 years!
September 7th, 2015 at 3:21 PM ^
when the expected total is so low like this it is here.
If Oregon State is somehow able to score 20 points then you'd need 35+ points or so to cover this spread.
I'm extremely optimistic about Michigan football this season but even getting to 30 points scored in game right now seems tough so the margin of error in this one does feel small.
September 7th, 2015 at 7:55 PM ^
Weren't we favored in this game by about 24 points when the spreads first came out a few weeks ago?