How does Rudock change your 2015 predictions?

Submitted by ThadMattasagoblin on

He wasn't the best qb in the country but Ruddock had pretty good numbers and provides a massive improvement in the Michigan qb department. Now that we have him, what are your thoughts on the season and what areas are you still concerned about. I think WRs could still be an issue but we have Jake Butt at TE to take some pressure off of them. I think our defense will be the best it's been since 2006 but we may still have some question marks at defensive end.

FauxMichBro

April 1st, 2015 at 1:30 PM ^

but it's arguably the most important position on the field. having a good qb doesn't guarantee wins, but having poor qb play certainly correlates with losing...ask hoke/devin

Qmatic

April 1st, 2015 at 1:16 PM ^

Utah on the road is now much more winnable. If we can win that opener on the road I realistically see us undefeated when sparty comes to town



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kb

April 1st, 2015 at 1:17 PM ^

of 8-4 or 9-3 season, but what it does is reduce the variability in our record next year. Without him I could see us being good or awful, with him I see us as good period.

alum96

April 1st, 2015 at 1:49 PM ^

Agree on variability.  A 5th year senior QB who has seen it all in 2 years and is not error prone (turnover prone) reduces your variability a lot.  With a first year starter there is almost always that game your defense does all it can and your offense is just a mess and you lost 13-10 somewhere along the way to a middling team.

alum96

April 1st, 2015 at 1:56 PM ^

Let's say Morris won the job this year.  Speight or Malzone as backup.  I dont see much of a difference for Speight.  Rudock is a 1 year rental. 

Let's say Speight had beaten out the other 2 in spring.  That means he was doing "relatively well" - beating out of a true freshman and a troubled JR.  It means his job was "lost" for 1 year and he would be the front runner for 2016 along with O'Korn and whomever emerges of Gentry and Malzone.

If Speight is not seeing himself doing well this spring I'd say the O'Korn transfer would be much more of a threat to his viabiity at UM.  He is still a RS FR and Rudock does not displace him from starting for 3 years (which is more than 90% of QBs nowadays) as a RS SO, RS JR, and RS SR.  A guy like O'Korn on the other hand (if he won the job) would eliminate Speight's RS SO and RS JR years.

But that said there will be attrition in the ranks after this season IMO.

Harbeezy

April 1st, 2015 at 2:09 PM ^

My view is that this was his year with the least amount of competition with only an incoming freshman and a Jr with not so hot stats to compete with. Add in Rudock who many people think will now start and there goes him even being a backup this year. Add in Gentry and O'Korn both of whom potentially will compete heavily for 2016 time and he goes even further down. Then comes Peters in 2016 as well who probably will RS until the 2017 year. Now you have 3 people ahead of you in 2015, 4 ahead in 2016, and 4 or 5 in 2017. I just see him going from a potential backup to clipboard holder.

Brimley

April 1st, 2015 at 8:40 PM ^

Based off nothing whatsoever, I wonder, if he decided to give it a try, that Speight might be a decent tight end.  He could get the size pretty easy and should understand routes better than most.  Maybe a Riemersma path?  Just pulling that out of my ass, granted.

Brandon_L

April 1st, 2015 at 1:23 PM ^

Adds the running abort that our young receivers need. Last year our receivers struggled to gain separation a lot of times and when a Qb can escape pressure and get out of the pocket it creates broken plays where the receivers will have extra time to gain separation. This is a huge get if it in fact happens.

BlueKoj

April 1st, 2015 at 1:34 PM ^

Schedule + roster makeup+ coaching already had raised my floor to 8 wins. This just makes me much more comfortable with that prediction. There are still many questions (including how good is Rudock), and I don't assume Rudock as the starter just yet. 

nofunforfu

April 1st, 2015 at 1:34 PM ^

If true I think the "floor" is 8 wins. Given the overall talent on the team and the believed improvement courtesy of the coaching staff I would be disappointed with 8 but think itis possible (L's to Utah, MSU, Penn St. and OSU). Rudock's add, though, makes me feel better about the chances of hitting 10 wins.

MichiganMAN47

April 1st, 2015 at 1:38 PM ^

A superior quarterback is worth a couple games a year. I think we can get 10 wins this year.

StraightDave

April 1st, 2015 at 1:42 PM ^

But didn't this guy lose the starting job at Iowa?   And with no receivers to catch the ball I don't think it matters who is the QB because the defense is simply going to stack the box like last year to stop the run.  

Ghost of Hoke

April 1st, 2015 at 1:53 PM ^

He didn't lose the job by being outplayed. He lost the job because Ferentz is a terrible coach and folded under the pressure of the other QB possibly transferring leaving them with nothing next year. It was a move for the future not what's best for their current team.



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MaximusBlue

April 1st, 2015 at 1:43 PM ^

He improves our QB room as a B10 vet who has been through the battles. Still not sure how good he is yet but I'm assuming he should be slightly better than anything we have right now.

scottva1

April 1st, 2015 at 1:45 PM ^

It doesn t. Yeah he has had some experience but not with JH. Everyone else is already ahead on learning curve. I would find it tough to think he ll start. Prediction we lose two qb's before fall



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cheesheadwolverine

April 1st, 2015 at 1:45 PM ^

Ceiling would be he doesn't start and Shane plays like a third-year five-star should. The floor has to get pretty high though. The defense should be better, the offensive line should be better, and there is enough talent in the stable of RBs that one or more should emerge. The big question mark was always at QB, which held the potential to be among the worst in D-I.

Now that we can ensure at least mediocre qb play, I'd say ending the season ranked is the absolute floor barring catostrophic injury and/or fumble-luck.

wahooverine

April 1st, 2015 at 1:53 PM ^

My floor is 8 wins with plenty of upside for 10 (or higher if we catch some breaks).  My reasoning:  1) Better, more consistent QB play (our biggest problem last year IMO) this year whether it's Rudock or whoever beats him out; 2) Better O-line play (Drevno+talent+experience+depth); 3) Better RB play (Ty Wheatley+ Ty Isaac+ better blocking); 4) Better TE receiving and blocking  (Butt, Bunting, Hill etc.); 5) Fullback + Hbacks galore; 6) Equal or maybe better WR play (offset by more throws to TE's plus maybe Dukes, Ways, Canteen or Norfleet step up); 7) overall more coherrent, smarter offense/gameplanning (Harbaugh); 8) a defense improved from last years #15th ranked D (Durken+Gmatt+depth); 9) better special teams; 10) Reversion to mean in turnover differential (less QB turnovers + hopefully more defensive turnovers); 11) Home games against OSU/MSU; 12) Better overall coaching (HARBAUGH).  Even mentally adjusting for maize and blue glasses/rosy scenario bias as well as a harder schedule, I can't help thinking a good to great year is possible.