Semi-OT: Ole Miss Offense, Speed in Space

Submitted by jcorqian on September 8th, 2021 at 10:40 AM

https://youtu.be/i5dE7dg4Bsc

I was watching highlights of the Ole Miss win vs. Louisville and it just struck me how effortless this offense looks. This is true speed in space it seems to me, as QB Matt Coral and Lane Kiffin's play design is able to put a defender in conflict on what seems like most offensive plays. Basically, they just force a defender to be wrong. The QB's stats are veyond gaudy. Remember that they had enough offense to almost beat Alabama last year.

I wonder why we can't just implement something like this? I feel like we have better athletes, and Cade seems like a pretty fast processor and good decision maker. I thought that this was what speed in space was going to look like. It looks beautiful and effortless to me

1VaBlue1

September 8th, 2021 at 1:25 PM ^

Outliers.

I don't necessarily need to see a faster paced offense, I want to see more modern variation in how players are used.  Corum can catch - where are the wheel routes and HB outlet buttons through the line?  All we see is the rare swing pass (two of them since game 1 last year).  Where are the RPOs?  These are staple plays for modern offenses, and they don't seem to exist anywhere near Ann Arbor.  The chucks deep are few and far between (or is that only a mirage mixed in with the rest of the missed passes the last few years?).

Football today is fundamentally different from football 20 years ago.  Hell, even 10 years ago!  There are no such things as a shutdown defense, anymore - you're going to give up 25-30 points in most every competitive game.  If your offense can't keep up, you lose.  We've seen that from Michigan forever - the offense can't keep up.  Maybe it'll be able to this year?  We don't yet, because one game against a directional MAC team isn't a large enough sample...

Brian Griese

September 8th, 2021 at 10:52 AM ^

Ole Miss offense was moving so fast ESPN couldn’t even show replays. You’re right, it seemed almost…easy? 

The reason why we won’t is simple: Brown and Harbaugh believed that the best way for them to win games was to have a crushing defensive effort and the only way to get it was by keeping the D fresh all game, hence limiting snaps on offensive and slowing the game down was necessary. I was hoping there might be some philosophical change on that front but based upon the WMU game there was at least a little bit more tempo but nothing like Ole Miss. I’m certainly not saying the Harbaugh/Brown philosophy doesn’t have merit but you can’t have an up-tempo air raid and expect your D to only have to face 60 snaps a game. If you’re of the ilk that still feels the latter is important, you end up with a hodgepodge offense that pretends to be modern but really isn’t.

LeCheezus

September 8th, 2021 at 12:39 PM ^

Plenty of evidence of this as well - Don Brown's defensive units tended to really go off the rails when our opponents got in that 65+ range.  Wasn't really noticeable in 2016 (not sure anyone managed to get much above that number) but it was definitely showing up, as early as 2017.  Remember Maryland going up and down the field and hanging around with a fourth string QB?

unWavering

September 8th, 2021 at 10:57 AM ^

Haven't really watched Ole Miss, but I did think our game vs WMU was the first time I actually felt like we had anything resembling 'speed in space,' so I thought that was a positive change.  Apparently others felt differently?

Watching From Afar

September 8th, 2021 at 11:42 AM ^

The end arounds and the swing pass to Corum were the "speed in space" things. Nice to see. Kind of with Bell's TD as well: opening up the wide side of the field, getting him matched up 1 on 1 with no Safety over the top, and letting him just beat the DB across from him. Those specific plays were taking the best athletes Michigan has and giving them room to work.

However, the meat and potatoes of the offense, what we will see ran 2 dozen times each game, was still iffy. By that I mean the traditional run game. Hand offs to the RBs with no frippery. Corum and Haskins weren't delivered to the 2nd level of the defense easily. They are great talents so it worked out, but they had to beat a lot of guys within a yard of the LoS. Not many schematic wins to my eyes wherein they got an easy 3 yards before putting a guy in a blender. Those end arounds were great, putting some of the fastest guys on the edge, but those aren't staples of the offense, and that's my concern.

Mentioned by Brian in the pod, but there wasn't just 0 QB reads (protecting the QB in this type of game is fine), Cade was turning away from the LoS or "reading" a blocked guy multiple times, which implies they are operating a normal running game out of the shotgun with a fake read just to make it look like a RO. If it was a read option look and Cade just gave the ball every time, ok. At least we know he's "reading" something and might pull in the future. Completely turning his back to the LoS makes it look like they aren't going to be making many reads. At least not as their default running game.

Could be proven wrong and they will start running RO and RPOs more often. But given the history of the offense since Gattis got here I'd think it much more likely that they don't ever really play "11 on 11."

Watching From Afar

September 8th, 2021 at 11:00 AM ^

Would like to see an every snap video of them to watch their run game to see if their RBs are meeting LBs unblocked within a yard of the LoS. Yes, they run actual RPOs pretty much as their default, which Michigan will just never do. But I do want to see if they scheme their RBs into advantageous situations where they don't have to win a fight in a hallway. Getting Corum and Haskins 3 yards past the LoS before they have to make a guy miss a little more consistently would go a long ways to beating competitive defenses.

Also, no idea on Louisville's defensive competency, so caveats could apply here.

grmilton

September 8th, 2021 at 11:06 AM ^

All that offense and here are some fascinating numbers:

OM Total Offense 569 yds (Passing 381, Rushing 188)

UM Total Offense 551 yds (Passing 216, Rushing 335)

OM Total O Plays 73 (Passing 32, Rushing 41)

UM Total O Plays 60 (Passing 17, Rushing 43)

OM Time of Possession 24:08

UM Time of Possession 28:09

Is the OM offense fun to watch, yes.   They ran more plays and seemed to have lots of explosive plays but at the end of the day both teams ran more than they threw and both teams put up 40+ points. 

Speed in space is tempo from what I am gathering from the comments on this post.

 

 

Partial.Derivatives

September 8th, 2021 at 1:40 PM ^

Just breaking down the numbers you provided. Based off one game for both teams, Michigan gained yards per play which would make them more explosive. We’ll see if yards per play advantage holds up throughout the year though. I do get the OPs overall point that Michigan’s offense isn’t speed in space. I guess the argument against true speed in space is you can run around real fast and not gain a lot. Tend to get the feel people want more sense of urgency out of Michigan’s offense which would show itself in crunch time execution and less overall time of possession. Ole Miss is definitely more urgent in that sense. I also think folks want more passes and passing yards.

 

Minus The Houma

September 8th, 2021 at 11:13 AM ^

I understand the sentiment and teams played are obviously different but Michigan scored more points in the first half and total game. Matt Corral played the whole game for miss where Michigan had back ups in before the end of the 3rd. 
 

I’m ok to give this offense a chance and see what happens. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ 

bamf_16

September 8th, 2021 at 11:24 AM ^

What did you think of Happy Gilmore?

 

How’d he finish again? Dead last?

 

Yeah, they put up 48 on Alabama last year. Problem is, they gave up 63. I’m old enough to remember when, “we score a lot of points” was ridiculed.

 

Michigan scored more points this weekend.


No one will ever hate Michigan as much as Michigan fans!

mGrowOld

September 8th, 2021 at 11:35 AM ^

Time out.  Where do you see me drawing any conclusions or criticism of the way Michigan approaches its offensive game plan?  I'll give you a hint - you cant.

I answered the OPs question regarding why our "speed in space" looks nothing like the version he saw on display Monday night with Ole Miss.  I dont hate Michigan nor does the OP IMO - he asked a legitimate question and I answered it.

Jim Harbaugh knows exponentially more about football than I, you and everyone else on this website will ever know.  And he has chosen a different path for his offense than Lane Kiffin.  Is he right?  We'll all know soon enough but noting the difference and explain the why behind it isn't being critical - it's being honest.

Msmittakins

September 8th, 2021 at 11:43 AM ^

I think Michigan fans are just tired of UofM being okay with mediocrity. I’m not talking about the players or even the coaches. It seems like the administration is not committed to having a championship level program. One example being, whatever is going on with NIL. There’s nothing wrong with fans expecting more when the program receives an enviable amount of all around support.  

imafreak1

September 8th, 2021 at 11:31 AM ^

I am seeing a lot of the same RPO slant stuff that Gattis was doing so much when he first came to Michigan. That was one of the main plays he was running in that terrible Army game. It just looks like the Louisville defense is awful. For whatever reason, those same plays do not work like that for Michigan. Maybe Ole Miss is able to run the ball effectively enough to get those LB to jump the run. Maybe they move at a much faster faster pace. Maybe the Michigan QB can't make the right reads. I don't know. But Michigan has run that play. It just doesn't work as well.

Watching From Afar

September 8th, 2021 at 11:49 AM ^

Said this yesterday, but the coaching staff started 2 guys over the course of 3 years that never learned how to make the correct read on a RPO/RO more than half the time? Yet against Minnesota in 2020 and MSU in 2019, they ran a dozen of each to great success before... shelving it?

Highly doubt that. Their default offense is not a RPO/RO offense. Those types of plays are a small segment of the playbook that they pull out from time to time, but not what they want to run the offense through.

Don

September 8th, 2021 at 11:33 AM ^

Unless our defense is absolutely lights-out, it's difficult to envision an offense that runs just 60 plays is going to be able to keep pace with OSU.

MGoCarolinaBlue

September 8th, 2021 at 12:30 PM ^

How many drives does each team get, and what % of those drives result in TDs?

If OSU has a talent advantage over Michigan (and they do) then Michigan actually wants to slow down the pace and have a game with fewer drives, in order to increase the variance in the outcome.

Faster games favor the more talented team by an increasing margin, due to mean reversion. That is.... not us, in the game on this schedule that matters most.

LeCheezus

September 8th, 2021 at 12:34 PM ^

This, so much this.  Our most likely scenario for a win against OSU is a few early defensive stops combined with scoring drives that cause OSU to take more chances and hopefully more mistakes.  This is also the reason I think that when we finally manage to beat them it is more likely we win by 2-3 possessions than a squeaker.

WampaStompa

September 8th, 2021 at 1:48 PM ^

Very good points, I also think it's worth considering that Harbaugh/Gattis are specifically using this offensive strategy not because it's what they WANT to do or because they think it's the ideal kind of offense to run, but rather because they think it will best play to our team's strengths and weaknesses. 

Number one, it's clear that we have a deep, excellent running back group. They may want to focus on having a strong running offense so as to utilize these weapons as much as they can. This will however lead to fan grumbling about the offensive style instead of a high flying passing offense.

Number two, our DTs are one of the biggest weaknesses on the team, with poor depth, despite being a position that involves a lot of rotation and therefore needs depth. Keeping our top DTs as fresh as possible during a game is therefore very important, and limiting the amount of snaps that they have to face by chewing up clock on offense is a way to help achieve that and to mitigate that weakness. This might especially be the case if the season preview article (from Seth I think) is true in that program insiders have been waving big warning flags about our DTs.

Perkis-Size Me

September 8th, 2021 at 12:02 PM ^

To me it seems like the schemes might be somewhat similar, but the philosophies in how they operate are vastly different. 

Offense rules the day in this modern age of college football, and to an increasing extent, the NFL as well. A lot of teams out there are more than happy to win games 48-41 than they are 21-14. I have to imagine Kiffin believes his offense's goal is simply to put up however many points as it possibly can within a 60 minute timespan, and then just trust his defense to do enough to not be outscored on by the other team. 

I don't think Harbaugh operates that way with his offense. At all. He may have adopted the speed in space scheme, but the underlying philosophy in how its going to operate still has the same (or very similar) conservative approach that its always had. Long drives, protect the football, keep your defense rested, wear the opponent down, etc. 

Maybe something changes this season, but I doubt it. 

MGoCarolinaBlue

September 8th, 2021 at 12:12 PM ^

Defense seems to respect the QB run, which they don't have to vs. Michigan.

1. Cade isn't that kind of athlete
2. We've been snakebit by QB injuries for years and coaches don't want to run our starting QB vs. Western Michigan (notice they allowed Dan Villari to keep several times though as soon as he was in the game)

Gohokego

September 8th, 2021 at 12:39 PM ^

If they show they can pick up first downs and execute, then you can increase tempo. If you increase tempo and have a few 3 and outs it puts a defense in a bad situation and with limited depth at dt and from rumblings mazi and whittly don't have the conditioning to be constantly on the field.  

If you're moving the ball then all the playmaker can get more opportunities.  I like that they were at the los quicker much quicker then past years. It was western and we'll see what happens with the playback this week. They did talk in the off-season about establishing the run more and if they do truly believe that they have 7-8 lineman that can really play then you're back to those Stanford type offenses that just mauled their opponents.  This may be the first year that we have had any kind of depth in the oline in seems like 15 years. 

Hopefully Baldwin is healthy and ready to play. Baldwin and johnson outside with sainristal or henning Manning the slot. Or maybe Edwards in that position to get his talent on the field. 

I feel this offense has a lot of talent. Hoping Mac can make the right reads and get the ball to the right spot. Bell was great and I hope he comes back next year but with Shae 2 years ago he only saw bell when I saw nico and dpj open plenty of times but Shae had tunnel vision.  I think Cade sees the field better and doesn't panic under pressure.  That's the difference between a physically dominant qb and a great qb. Most people when they feel pressure it narrows your vision to the immediate threat, what you need from a qb is to stay calm and keep your vision.  Much more difficult then said.  

 

As for this OM game that UL defense was terrible. 

 

TomJ

September 8th, 2021 at 12:40 PM ^

I think the answer's simple: Harbaugh/Gattis don't want to throw the ball that much. They favor a run-first, run-second offense where the passing game is used on obvious passing plays and as an occasional change of pace to keep the defense honest. 

This philosophy is blindingly obvious to anyone who watches Michigan play. For example, many comments justifying the lack of passing during the Western game were essentially, "they didn't need to pass". Key word: "need". The difference is that Old Miss (and Alabama and Ohio State, notably) don't throw the ball because they need to, they do it because they WANT to. Michigan would prefer not to throw the ball if possible, as evidenced by the final drive of the first drive when they didn't.

It's what it is at this point, and was very successful vs. Western. Let's hope they can continue to make it work vs. better defenses.

 

JacquesStrappe

September 8th, 2021 at 1:06 PM ^

Bingo! What I have said in past posts. Michigan’s approach is not necessarily bad, but if elite is what they want to be, it will not get them there in the 21st century. If elite is what Michigan wants, then Michigan must approach the passing game as something that they hang their hat on and not just something they do when they cannot run.  

Blue Middle

September 8th, 2021 at 12:58 PM ^

Would it surprise you to know that we averaged more yards per play and nearly the same yards per catch as Ole Miss?

While Kiffin is perhaps the best offensive mind in CFB today, our first game was a masterpiece.

That said, I completely agree that the Ole Miss offense looks cleaner, and that is likely because they use reads (that they actually read) on nearly every play.

trustBlue

September 8th, 2021 at 1:09 PM ^

I think this is some of what Gattis was supposed to bring with "speed in space" RPOs and whatnot, but honestly I prefer the blend of power + spread that we seem to be evolving into now. 

Gattis came to Michigan talking about "holding the pen last" - i.e. using reads to force the defense to be wrong. The problem with that approach is that you push decision making down to the QB to make those reads, often post-snap, and to execute the play very quickly. If the QB makes the wrong read, or he makes the right read too slowly, then the play is blown up.  

That means its not very "QB friendly" system. It makes the offense is harder to learn, harder to teach, and requires more experience, more reps, and more practice from your QBs. Its harder to plug in a freshman or transfer QB and expect them to be able to execute properly. It means you can easily waste the talents of QBs who may be physically and athletically talented, but unable to make the reads consistenly or make the right read fast enough (Shea Patterson and Joe Milton come to mind).

OSU since Meyer has always run offenses that are very QB friendly. Reads are simple. They still use the fake clap, check for a play from the sideline that asks the QB only to execute the play that was given. That's why OSU is able to plug in QBs without missing a beat. Its why OSU QBs are so bad once they get to the NFL, but are consistenly among the most productive QBs in college. 

Good defense have also caught up to RPOs. Western Michigan is a heavy RPO team and Michigan got burned on very few RPOs all day. In the post game presser, Western's head coach talked about how Michigan had a plan for Western's RPOs that basically forced them to handoff by giving them run reads. I seem to recall this happened to us a lot in the first two years under Gattis. That makes it easy to take a lot of the bite out of RPOs if opponents decide they are willing to live with the results of your running game.

If teams can force you into predictable run plays, then you are probably better off with the power run stuff we do where you add blockers and force defenders to guess what gap your RB is going to pop out of.

 

jcorqian

September 8th, 2021 at 1:22 PM ^

I wanted to comment based on all the responses.

First, I am not trying to be critical of UM's offense on Saturday.  It was awesome.  But it doesn't seem to schematically force the opponent to be wrong as much as what I saw on this Ole Miss tape.  And we can say that Ole Miss did it against Louisville but we played a MAC team.  Ole Miss did this same thing against Bama last year.  Objectively, it's been a better offense at scoring points than ours, over a bigger sample size.

Second, I see a lot of comments on "protecting" the defense with an offense that isn't as tempo oriented or "quick scoring."  I think there is an element of truth to it certainly but consider the other side of the argument.  First, your defense should be good enough to force some 3 and outs sometimes.  They can be responsible for not playing as long, all by themselves.  Second, and more importantly, do you know what else makes life easier on your defense?  Having a huge lead!  Then the opposing offense becomes more one-dimensional and desperate as they try to catch up, which likely forces more errors.  And finally, I played sports through high school, and I can tell you it's super demoralizing when you have to play down multiple scores.  Conversely, I felt free to just attack and apply pressure when we were up multiple scores.  Players aren't automations...  morale matters a lot.  Someone with that black, sinking feeling of desperation once again is going to play bad offense, most likely.  Just see Michigan football in 2020 for an example close to home.

massblue

September 8th, 2021 at 1:24 PM ^

I watched that game. Louisville decided not play defense.  Ole Miss's offense is good but Louisville was responsible for a big part of that "effortless" play calling.

Hail2Victors

September 8th, 2021 at 1:47 PM ^

Uh, Louisville's defense looks like it leaves a lot to be desired.   Let's see if Ole Miss racks up those numbers against Bama or Georgia and then I will be a believer.

jcorqian

September 8th, 2021 at 2:09 PM ^

I think Seth said well in the UFR one of the key differences between our offense and Ole Miss.  We still inexplicably keep running fake read plays with the QB and lighting downs on fire lol.  We burned a ton of opportunities doing that.

Meanwhile look at Kiffin's offense and how the QB is nearly flawlessly reading it.  If we aren't going to read, why run the fucking play?  Just line it up and run it straight up and let our better athletes win.

MGoStrength

September 8th, 2021 at 2:51 PM ^

I wonder why we can't just implement something like this? 

I'd guess Kiffin is a better offensive play caller than Gattis at this point.  Is he handling the play calling and scheme or does he allow Lebby & Baker to do that?  My hunch is they assist and Kiffin is the primary play caller and scheme designer.